Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: October 2005

Monday, October 31, 2005

Stock Market Must Now Start Trending Up

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Friday 10-28-05: DJIA closed 10,402.61 up +172.66

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday October 31 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 03%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 03% probability to be "Up" Monday. Friday's Stock Market action brought Investors back after testing key support levels once again. While most of the statistics have turned up from an oversold condition, Mondays after big run-ups on Fridays, are typically greeted with profit taking. Should this not occur because it is the end of the month, expect it to happen on Tuesday. To protect my long positions, I have hedged my accounts by shorting a major Index this morning via an ETF. The DJIA is at the high of this most recent move up. However, with November and December approaching, and the recent formation of a strong support base, perhaps there is more positive momentum ahead. So Monday and Tuesday's performance must prove that the Stock Market can now develop a positive Trend as we wrap up the Calendar year.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 03%
Trend: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Flat 23% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 37% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 35.7% vs. Yesterday 22.8 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -22% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -28% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -20% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -16% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -14% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today -02% vs. Yesterday 02% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -47% vs. Yesterday -49% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Friday, October 28, 2005

Saturday October 28 Weekly Edition

Gale Financial Market Econometrics Weekly Edition - Sponsored by: www.MktMetrics.com

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics.com over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to MktMetrics.com and financially benefit by the amount of work put forth.

After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving the individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices. Therefore, we pay strict attention to what the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To the end, focus is directed to the DJIA.

2005 Dow Jones Industrial Average- High: 11,027.15 / Low: 9,961.52
DJIA Week Ending October 28, 2005 MktMetrics analysis:
Close: 10,402.61 vs. Last week: 10,215.22 gain +187.39
21-Day Moving Average: 10,330.44 vs Last week: 10,359.25 loss -28.81
Current Directional Indicator: -7.2 vs Last week: -9.9 (High +35 / Low -28)
Resistance: Current- 10,510 vs Intermediate- 10,690
Support: Current- 10,150 vs Intermediate- 9970
Price Advance/Decline Line: -348 vs Last week: -275 (High 647 / Low -455)
Volume Advance / Decline Line: -299 vs Last week: -260 (High 188 / Low -367)
Exchange Insiders Inventory: -108 vs Last week: -105 (High 187 / Low -241)
21-Day M/A: .7% vs. Last week: -1.39% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): Buy
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): 64 vs Last week: -78 (High 240 / Low -202)
Money Flow Index: 55% vs Last week: 42% (High 90% / Low 10%)
Speculation Indicator: .196 vs Last week: .038 (High .590 / Low -1.023)
Misery Index: 68 vs Last week: 68 (High 128 / Low 68)
Stochastic Indicator: 42 vs Last week: 38 (High 100 / Low 00)
Relative Strength Indicator: 58 vs Last week: 32 (High 97 / Low 12)
Daily High/Low Volume: 1.1 vs Last week: 1.2 (High 1.4 / Low .7)

*********************************************************************************

Exchange Traded Funds/Sector Review
1. BBH -.09 vs. Last week: -.60 (High .50 / Low -1.02)
2. BDH -.20 vs Last week: -.13 (High .16 / Low -.32)
3. EWH -.23 vs Last week: -.19 (High .37 / Low -.25)
4. EWT -.21 vs Last week: .03 (High .23 / Low -.21)
5. EWY -.26 vs Last week: -.26 (High .43 / Low -.34)
6. HHH -.22 vs Last week: .06 (High .26 / Low -.22)
7. IAH -.28 vs Last week: -.36 (High .06 / Low -.59)
8. IBB -.31 vs Last week: -.34 (High .32 / Low -.62)
9. IDU -.47 vs Last week: -.38 (High .52 / Low -.54)
10. IGE -.54 vs Last week: -.56 (High .65 / Low -.65)
11. IGN -.45 vs Last week: -.32 (High .08 / Low -.46)
12. IGV .10 vs Last week: .13 (High .29 / Low -.23)
13. IGW -.32 vs Last week: -.27 (High .23 / Low -.58)
14. IIH -.09 vs Last week: .04 (High .17 / Low -.23)
15. IXG -.20 vs Last week: -.24 (High .44 / Low -.31)
16. IYC -.18 vs Last week: .21 (High .27 / Low -.64)
17. IYE -.58 vs Last week: -.60 (High .68 / Low -.69)
18. IYH -.29 vs Last week: -.34 (High .26 / Low -.44)
19. IYJ -.25 vs Last week: -.05 (High .33 / Low -.25)
20. IYK -.14 vs Last week: -.02 (High .10 / Low -.27)
21. IYM -.06 vs Last week: -.07 (High .15 / Low -.52)
22. IYR -.14 vs Last week: -.08 (High .17 / Low -.38)
23. IYT -.02 vs Last week: .11 (High .54 / Low -.52)
24. OIH -.52 vs Last week: -.64 (High .70 / Low -.85)
25. PPH -.47 vs Last week: -.52 (High .28 / Low -.61)
26. RKH .12 vs Last week: -.11 (High .26 / Low -.48)
27. RTH -.13 vs Last week: -.03 (High .19 / Low -.58)
28. SMH -.17 vs Last week: -.12 (High .23 / Low -.52)
29. SWH -.38 vs Last week: -.26 (High .10 / Low -.41)
30. TLT -.31 vs Last week: -.16 (High .11 / Low -.35)
31. TTH -.20 vs Last week: -.25 (High .45 / Low -.31)
32. UTH -.63 vs Last week: -.39 (High .68 / Low -.65)
33. WMH -.22 vs Last week: -.12 (High .13 / Low -.50)
34. XLV -.20 vs Last week: -.15 (High .13 / Low -.28)
35. XLY -.14 vs Last week: -.10 (High .05 / Low -.45)

Stock Market Retraces To Key Support Levels

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Thursday 10-27-05: DJIA closed 10,229.95 down -115.03

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday October 28 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 84%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 84% probability to be "Up" Friday. Thursday's Stock Market action brought Investors back to key support levels once again. The statistics have turned down from the high of this most recent move up. However, with today's positive forecast and the strong support base formed last week and yesterday's test of that base, the Stock Market has the opportunity to strengthen from here to move higher for the balance of the year. That is the best case scenario, but will only become realistic if the Stock Market has a particularly strong day today, Friday.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 84%
Trend: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Flat 23% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Flat 36% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 22.8% vs. Yesterday 34.5 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -32% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -22% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -17% vs. Yesterday -08% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -10% vs. Yesterday -02% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today 02% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -49% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, October 27, 2005

Stock Market Has Gone Flat With Indecision

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Wednesday 10-26-05: DJIA closed 10,344.98 down -32.89

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday October 27 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 55%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 55% probability to be "Up" Thursday. While there is hesitation at the top of this move after yesterday's decline, Investors should not make judgments of which way the Stock Market will go until Thursday displays the Specialists and Market Makers intent. The statistics have gone flat, which, either demonstrates a hesitation on the way up, or hesitation to a new move down to lower levels. Yesterday's Forecast was 52% and today's is 55%, both illustrating an indecisive market and not much of a Trend either way. Watch closely the Arm's Trin Index of Advances and Declines and respective volumes to get a better idea for today's action. Today should be positive with the earnings season in full gear and resistance levels not present yet.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 55%
Trend: Flat Today 52% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling 23% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 36% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 34.5% vs. Yesterday 42.6 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -16% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -22% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -06% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -08% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -02% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, October 26, 2005

DJIA Internal Statistics Are Positive

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Please note: November begins our "Weekend Edition" of DJIA statistics that all Stock Market Investors will appreciate.

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Tuesday 10-25-05: DJIA closed 10,377.87 down -7.13

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday October 26 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 52%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 52% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The Stock Market was expected to decline Tuesday as it absorbed Monday's big rally. What was interesting was the display of strength during the last hour. DJIA Money Flows, Trend and MACD advanced positively. Today should be positive with the earnings season in full gear and resistance levels not present yet.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 52%
Trend: Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Flat Today 26% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 34% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 42.6% vs. Yesterday 45.4 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -11% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -17% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 02% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Flat Today 01% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Flat Today 22% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -29% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

Stock Market Will Close Down Tuesday

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Monday 10-24-05: DJIA closed 10,385.00 up +169.78

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday October 25 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 3%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 3% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The Stock Market is expected to decline Tuesday as it absorbs Monday's big rally. DJIA Money Flows are flat after yesterday's advance, which is surprising. The DJIA Trend, Momentum and MACD did advance positively. So the Stock Market has moved off of depressed levels and the Trend, Momentum and MACD is back to where they were on September 30, when the DJIA was at 10,568.70. The important question now is: Can the Stock Market move higher in the face of so much adversity?
The MDY, IWM, QQQQ and IYT ETF's as of yesterday, are in positive ground. However, they could turn negative once again today and the Stock Market and DJIA are still not positive. Therefore, if we are going to move higher after Tuesday's profit taking, today needs to hold on to much of yesterday's rally. At this juncture, the resistance is 10,600 and support is 10,200.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 3%
Trend: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 31% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Flat Today 35% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 45.4% vs. Yesterday 30.3 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -12% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -16% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 02% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 01% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 01% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Rising Today 22% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -28% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Saturday, October 22, 2005

Stock Market At Key Support Level

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Special note: November begins our "Weekend Edition" of DJIA statistics that all Stock Market Investors will appreciate.

Welcome aboard CyberTraders to MktMetrics!
"Special Offer" presented on: www.cybertrader.com

Friday 10-21-05: DJIA closed 10,215.22 down -65.88

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday October 24 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 58%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 58% probability to be "Up" Monday. The Stock Market is expected to rise Monday as Futures and Options have expired. Thursday and Friday's market action was a shake-out for the Specialists and Market Makers to finish realigning their inventory at wholesale prices and to roll forward Derivatives, Futures and Options into the next cycle. The Money Flows are advancing positively.

There is a concern that the Trend and MACD pulled back Friday, after moving forward all last week. Also, the DJIA closed 1.37 below our lowest level that our subscribers were advised to accumulate equities. Should the DJIA close below the 10,200 level, a liquidation of unwanted securities would be advised. We expect such a negative event to be avoided and the NASDAQ Composite will move higher, providing impetus for the rest of the markets. The Specialists and Market Makers need to liquidate their inventory at higher prices.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 58%
Trend: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Flat Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 29% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 30.3% vs. Yesterday 29.8 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -29% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -10% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Flat Today -06% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -05% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -38% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Friday, October 21, 2005

Friday Will Win Back Your Confidence

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Thursday 10-20-05: DJIA closed 10,281.10 down -133.03

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday October 21 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 87%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 87% probability to be "Up" Friday. The Stock Market is expected to rise significantly today as Futures and Options expire. This particular 5-week cycle has been very volatile as our Blog had mentioned Investors needed to be aware of. Thursday's market action was a shake-out for the Specialists and Market Makers to finish realigning their inventory at wholesale prices and to roll forward Derivatives, Futures and Options into the next cycle. The Trend and MACD remain in a positive outlook. The Money Flows are advancing positively . The Stock Market is now poised to move higher. Therefore, because of continuing higher highs and higher lows, continue to add to your positions of choice. Become a subscriber to MktMetrics and see at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are buying and selling stocks.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 87%
Trend: Flat Today 45% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 28% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 29.8% vs. Yesterday 45.1 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -16% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -13% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -06% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -01% vs. Yesterday -03% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Rising Today 22% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -47% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, October 20, 2005

Thursday Could Present A Small Retreat

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Wednesday 10-19-05: DJIA closed 10,414.13 up +128.87

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday October 20 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 13%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 13% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The Stock Market may experience some profit taking today. Any profit taking will be light. The Trend has moved off of its recent lows and is now poised to move positively higher. Therefore, should there be a retreat after yesterday's strong performance, consider it a buying opportunity to add to your positions of choice. Become a subscriber to MktMetrics and see at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are buying and selling stocks.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 13%
Trend: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 25% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 45.1% vs. Yesterday 26.8 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -14% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -20% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -15% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -05% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -03% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Rising Today 10% vs. Yesterday -09% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -38% vs. Yesterday -54% (High 61% / Low -54%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Happy Halloween Is Good For Stocks

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Tuesday 10-18-05: DJIA closed 10,285.26 down -62.84

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday October 19 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 77%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 77% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA is now poised to move higher after having formed a strong base last week. Also, the Trend has turned up from a two-year support level and moved higher in the face of Tuesday's down day . There is plenty to be spooked about, which, is the perfect environment for Investors to dump stocks, while Specialists and Market Makers add to their inventory at wholesale prices. Yesterday's close and today's opening is a perfect example.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 77%
Trend: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Neutral Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 22% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 19% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 26.8% vs. Yesterday 36.8 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -37% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -46% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -26% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -17% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Rising Today -09% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -54% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 61% / Low -54%)

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Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
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Tuesday, October 18, 2005

Tuesday To Be Down

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Monday 10-17-05: DJIA closed 10,348.10 up +60.76

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday October 18 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 45%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 45% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA rallied Friday from recent lows, after having formed a strong base last week. Also, the Trend has turned up from a two-year support level. Typically, after the Trend has turned up after a base has been formed, within three trading sessions the DJIA will have a pull back to allow late comers to get in. This Blog said it could happen on Monday or Tuesday. It did not happen Monday, so expect the retreat to happen Tuesday.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 45%
Trend: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Neutral Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 20% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Neutral Today 13% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 36.8% vs. Yesterday 28.8 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -35% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -37% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -20% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -15% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today -11% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Neutral Today -46% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 61% / Low -52%)

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Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
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"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Sunday, October 16, 2005

Monday May Face Resistance In Move Up

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Friday October 14, 2005: DJIA closed 10,287.34 up +70.75

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday October 17 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 19%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 19% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA rallied Friday from recent lows, after having formed a strong base last week. Also, the Trend has turned up from a two-year support level. It is always a good idea to wait until the DJIA Trend has turned up after a steady decline. Typically, after the Trend has turned up after a base has been formed, within three trading sessions the DJIA will have a pull back to allow late comers to get in. This could happen on Monday or Tuesday.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 19%
Trend: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Rising Today 19% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 18% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 60% / Low 18%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Neutral Today 13% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 61% / Low 10%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 28.8% vs. Yesterday 15.9 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -38% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -38% vs. Yesterday -51% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -43% vs. Yesterday -61% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -15% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -14% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -46% vs. Yesterday -52% (High 61% / Low -52%)

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Douglas Gale (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Friday, October 14, 2005

Stock Market Set For A Nimble Friday

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Thursday October 13, 2005: DJIA closed 10,216.59 down -0.32

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday October 14 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 39%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 39% probability to be "Up" Friday. The major ETF's we post daily rose except for the interest sensitive IDU, which, made a new low. The DJIA and other indices presented rose yesterday from fresh lows from a very oversold position and a strong base has formed. Furthermore, the Specialists and Market Makers have realigned their inventory to profit by an upward move as we approach the end of this 5-week option period on Friday, October 21. Therefore, it has been prudent that an accumulation of quality stocks has been performed and Investors can now profit with the Exchange Insiders as the Stock Market moves higher. The DJIA Trend remains stuck in neutral at a two-year support level. It is always a good idea to wait until the DJIA Trend has turned up from a steady decline. The software sector often leads a move from a strong base and will be important to rise here. Emphasis on the hardware, semiconductor, biotech, software, consumer sectors are our focus. Subscribers should buy at MktMetrics suggested lows for stocks you like.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 39%
Trend: Neutral Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 58% / Low 13%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 19% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 60% / Low 19%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 15.9% vs. Yesterday 12.2 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -44% vs. Yesterday -48% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -51% vs. Yesterday -54% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -61% vs. Yesterday -64% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -32% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -24% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Rising Today -01% vs. Yesterday -07% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -52% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 61% / Low -52%)

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Thursday, October 13, 2005

Must Be The Season Of The Witch

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Wednesday October 12, 2005: DJIA closed 10,216.91 down -36.26

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday October 13 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 58%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 58% probability to be "Up" Thursday. Wednesday the ETF's, the DJIA and other indices presented fresh lows for this move and are now oversold with a strong base formed. Furthermore, the Specialists and Market Makers have realigned their inventory to profit by an upward move as we approach the end of this 5-week option period on Friday, October 21. Therefore, it has been prudent that an accumulation of quality stocks has been performed and Investors can now profit with the Exchange Insiders as the Stock Market moves higher. The third quarter earnings season is now reporting and the DJIA Trend is at a two-year support level. It is always a good idea to wait until the DJIA Trend has turned up from a steady decline. The Stock Market has formed a base over the past five trading days. Users of MktMetrics should buy at the predicted low of the day for the quality stocks you like most; with emphasis on the hardware, semiconductor and biotech sectors.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 58%
Trend: Neutral Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 58% / Low 16%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 21% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 60% / Low 21%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 12.2% vs. Yesterday 22.8 (High 88.8% / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -48% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 47% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -54% vs. Yesterday -50% (High 56% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -64% vs. Yesterday -59% (High 65% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -42% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 47% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -35% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 54% / Low -35%)
IYT: Falling Today -07% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -39% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 61% / Low -39%)

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Wednesday, October 12, 2005

A Base Has Been Formed

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Tuesday October 11, 2005: DJIA closed 10,253.17 up +14.41

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday October 12 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 52%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 52% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. Even though Tuesday fizzled at the end and the results were unattractive with the ETF's, the DJIA and other indices are now oversold and a strong base has formed. Furthermore, the Specialists and Market Makers have realigned their inventory to profit by an upward move as we approach the end of this 5-week option period on Friday, October 21. Therefore, it has been prudent that an accumulation of quality stocks has been performed and Investors can now profit with the Exchange Insiders as the Stock Market moves higher. The third quarter earnings season is now reporting and the DJIA Trend is at a two-year support level. It is always a good idea to wait until the DJIA Trend has turned up from a steady decline. The Stock Market has formed a base over the past four trading days. Users of MktMetrics should buy at the predicted low of the day for the quality stocks you like most, with emphasis on the hardware and semiconductor sectors, as well the biotechs.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 52%
Trend: Neutral Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 58% / Low 19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 24% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 60% / Low 24%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 22.8% vs. Yesterday 27.2 (High 88.8% / Low 22.8%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -47% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 47% / Low -47%)
SPY: Falling Today -50% vs. Yesterday -49% (High 56% / Low -50%)
MDY: Falling Today -59% vs. Yesterday -52% (High 65% / Low -59%)
IWM: Falling Today -38% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 47% / Low -38%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -31% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 54% / Low -31%)
IYT: Falling Today -06% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -29% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Tuesday, October 11, 2005

DJIA Trend At 2-Year Low Support Level

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Monday October 10, 2005: DJIA closed 10,238.76 down -53.55

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday October 11 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 61%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 61% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. Tuesday will be an important trading day for the Stock Market to regain its composure and reverse the recent decline. The third quarter earnings season is now reporting and the DJIA Trend is at a two-year support level. It is always a good idea to wait until the DJIA Trend has turned up from a steady decline. The Stock Market will require a short period to form a base before moving higher. This is the time to not overload on stocks. Rather, equities accumulation of perhaps 10% - 15% of capital availability each day during this week is more appropriate. As users of MktMetrics, attempt to buy at the predicted low of the day for the quality stocks you like most.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 61%
Trend: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 58% / Low 19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 26% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 60% / Low 26%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 27.2% vs. Yesterday 34.3 (High 88.8% / Low 27.2%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -45% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 47% / Low -45%)
SPY: Falling Today -49% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 56% / Low -49%)
MDY: Falling Today -52% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 65% / Low -52%)
IWM: Rising Today -26% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 47% / Low -26%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -27% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Falling Today -01% vs. Yesterday 0% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -20% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Saturday, October 08, 2005

Stock Market To Test Support Levels Monday

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Friday October 7, 2005: DJIA closed 10,292.31 up +5.21

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday October 10 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 39%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 39% probability to be "Up" Monday. The Trend and Momentum are at or near their lows. The DJIA has achieved the MktMetrics predicted low for this decline of 10,250 since recommending selling long positions and going short on July 28, 2005 when the DJIA closed at 10,705.55. Therefore, it is suggested that Investors begin to accumulate quality stocks at current levels. Earnings season for the third quarter begins on Monday, October 10 and should be a strong reporting quarter. It is always a good idea to wait until the Trend has turned up from a steady decline. At present, the Trend has not turned up, yet. However, the Stock Market has firmed at the current level of support and will require a short period to form a base before moving higher. This is the time to not overload on stocks. Rather, equities accumulation of perhaps 10% - 15% of capital availability each day during this week is more appropriate. As users of MktMetrics, attempt to buy at the predicted low of the day for the quality stocks you like most.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 39%
Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Neutral Today 23% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 58% / Low 23%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 29% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 60% / Low 29%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 34.3% vs. Yesterday 32.9 (High 88.8% / Low 32.9%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -31% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 47% / Low -32%)
SPY: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 56% / Low -41%)
MDY: Rising Today -37% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 65% / Low -44%)
IWM: Rising Today -17% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 47% / Low -24%)
QQQQ: Neutral Today -20% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Rising Today 0% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -04% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Friday, October 07, 2005

TGIF- Thank God Its Finished Declining

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Thursday October 6, 2005: DJIA closed 10,287.10 down -30.50

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday October 7 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 61%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 61% probability to be "Up" Friday. The Trend and Momentum are at or near their lows. The DJIA has achieved the MktMetrics predicted low for this decline of 10,250 since recommending selling long positions and going short on July 28, 2005 when the DJIA closed at 10,705.55. Therefore, it is suggested that Investors begin to accumulate quality stocks at current levels. It is also important to note that earnings season for the third quarter begins on Monday, October 10 and should be a strong reporting quarter.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 61%
Trend: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 58% / Low 23%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 32% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 60% / Low 32%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 32.9% vs. Yesterday 46.4 (High 88.8% / Low 32.9%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -32% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 47% / Low -32%)
SPY: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 56% / Low -41%)
MDY: Falling Today -44% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 65% / Low -44%)
IWM: Falling Today -24% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 47% / Low -24%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -20% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Falling Today -10% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -14% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Thursday, October 06, 2005

Time To Shift Investment Strategy To Buy

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Wednesday October 5, 2005: DJIA closed 10,317.60 down -123.51

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday October 6 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 90%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 90% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The Trend and Momentum are at or near their lows. The DJIA is approaching the MktMetrics predicted low for this decline of 10,250 since recommending selling long positions and going short on July 28, 2005 when the DJIA closed at 10,705.55. Therefore, it is suggested that Investors begin to accumulate quality stocks at current levels. It is also important to note that earnings season for the third quarter begins on Monday, October 10 and should be a strong reporting quarter.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 90%
Trend: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 58% / Low 26%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 36% vs. Yesterday 38% (High 60% / Low 34%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 46.4% vs. Yesterday 61.2 (High 88.8% / Low 46.4%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 47% / Low -25%)
SPY: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 56% / Low -25%)
MDY: Falling Today -34% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 65% / Low -34%)
IWM: Falling Today -17% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 47% / Low -21%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -15% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Falling Today -10% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Wednesday, October 05, 2005

Wednesday Should Be An Up Day In A Down Trend

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Tuesday October 4, 2005: DJIA closed 10,441.11 down -94.37

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday October 5 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 87%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 87% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The Trend has moved lower and the Momentum remains in poor shape. Therefore, it will be important for the Stock Market to rebound from yesterday, for the next two trading sessions to regain its upward composure. If not, it will generate renewed selling pressure. The Stock Market is trading a 5-week futures and options cycle and has less than three weeks left in October, which means a lot more volatility ahead. October has been typically known for dramatic swings. The Stock Market has experienced large distribution over the past six months. While there is a strong possibility for the Stock Market to move up Wednesday, keep in mind there has been no positive Trend in quite some time. September futures and options expired over two weeks ago when the DJIA closed at 10,641.19. Yesterday's close of 10,441.11 illustrates the selling pressure that has been holding the Stock Market back from any meaningful advance.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 87%
Trend: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 58% / Low 29%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Neutral 38% vs. Yesterday 38% (High 60% / Low 34%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 61.2% vs. Yesterday 70.7 (High 88.8% / Low 46.0%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************

ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 05% (High 47% / Low -37%)
SPY: Falling Today -12% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 56% / Low -38%)
MDY: Falling Today -05% vs. Yesterday 05% (High 65% / Low -33%)
IWM: Falling Today 10% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 47% / Low -21%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -01% vs. Yesterday 03% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Falling Today -05% vs. Yesterday -02% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 22% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Tuesday, October 04, 2005

Stock Market Needs To Be Positive This Week

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Monday October 3, 2005: DJIA closed 10,535.48 down -33.22

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday October 4 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 74%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 74% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. On Monday, the Trend moved lower. Therefore, it will be important for the Stock Market to rebound from yesterday, for the next two trading sessions to regain its upward composure. If not, it will generate renewed selling pressure. The Stock Market is trading a 5-week futures and options cycle and has less than three weeks left in October, which means a lot more volatility ahead. October is the month to watch out for as it has always been the month known for dramatic swings. The Stock Market has recently has recently experienced large distribution. Starting a new month is typically positive. So it will be important for this week to be positive to prove that the recent selling was not a precursor of a larger move down.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 74%
Trend: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 58% / Low 29%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 38% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 60% / Low 34%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 70.7% vs. Yesterday 73.0 (High 88.8% / Low 46.0%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 05% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 47% / Low -37%)
SPY: Falling Today -05% vs. Yesterday 03% (High 56% / Low -38%)
MDY: Rising Today 05% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 65% / Low -33%)
IWM: Rising Today 14% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 47% / Low -21%)
QQQQ: Falling Today 03% vs. Yesterday 04% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Rising Today -02% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 61% / Low -30%)

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Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Sunday, October 02, 2005

Stock Market To Pull Back On Monday

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Friday September 30, 2005: DJIA closed 10,568.70 up +15.92

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday October 3 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 42%

Market Comment: The DJIA forecast has posted 42% probability to be "Up" Monday. On Friday, a 16% reading was registered for this important measurement, which, should show up Monday in the form of profit taking. However, the DJIA Trend and Momentum has moved up. The third quarter portfolio adjustment is now complete. The Stock Market is trading a 5-week futures and options cycle and has three weeks left for October, which means a lot more volatility ahead. The S&P 500 was up every day this week. The Stock Market also closed September with a gain. October is the month to watch out for as it has always been the month known for dramatic swings. The Stock Market has recently has recently experienced large distribution. Starting a new month is typically positive. So it will be important for the second week of this month to prove that the recent selling was not a precursor of a larger move down.

Index Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 42%
Trend: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 77% / Low 16%)
Momentum: Neutral Today 39% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 58% / Low 29%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 36% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 60% / Low 34%)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 73.0% vs. Yesterday 67.7 (High 88.8% / Low 46.0%) (DJIA, S&P500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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ETF's Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 47% / Low -37%)
SPY: Falling Today 03% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 56% / Low -38%)
MDY: Falling Today -06% vs. Yesterday 05% (High 65% / Low -33%)
IWM: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 47% / Low -21%)
QQQQ: Neutral Today 04% vs. Yesterday 04% (High 54% / Low -27%)
IYT: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 06% (High 61% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 61% / Low -30%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

: Name: Douglas Gale; Location: Creston, North Carolina, United States

Aquarius, 57. Raised in N. Hollywood. Spouse of 20 years a retired San Diego City school teacher. Have married sister in CA and daughter in NY. Mom was a school teacher, Dad in the Radio and TV biz. After Vietnam War, went to college. 1975 hired by Blyth Eastman Dillon (now: UBS Paine Weber.) Additionally, employed by Morgan Stanley, and west coast superregional firms: Bateman Eichler, Hill Richards (now: Wachovia)and Rauscher Pierce (now: RBC Dain Rauscher) before entering Day Trading business in 1997. Formerly lived in La Jolla Shores, CA, now living in the High Country of North Carolina overlooking 400 acre Christmas Tree and Vineyard family farm. Spent four years back-testing formulas created from 30 years experience trading NYSE member firms capital and family trust funds. Publish 3 daily blogs and offer a Free Look to our premium pre-market data service: www.MktMetrics.com. Subscribers enjoy content of Stock Market Forecast and detailed individual stock trading information required for successful securities trading.

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