Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: March 2006

Friday, March 31, 2006

DJIA Trend Slammed, More Selling Friday

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Thursday 03-30-06: DJIA closed 11,150.70 down -65.00
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,150.45 up +4.62

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 31 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 81%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 81% probability to be "Up" Friday. This positive forecast most likely will need to wait until the selling subsides in a day or two. The DJIA Trend took a dramatic fall Thursday, which we expect will affect Friday's trading in a big move down. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 81% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 52% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.205% vs Yesterday 0.718% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .013% vs Yesterday .041% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 46.13% vs Yesterday 48.84% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 51.84% vs Yesterday 55.10% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .005% vs Yesterday -.054% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 60% vs. Yesterday 63% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 74.1% vs. Yesterday 77.2% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 15% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 02% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -03% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -24% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 00% vs. Yesterday 08% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 17% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, March 30, 2006

Stock Market May See Three Day Decline

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Wednesday 03-29-06: DJIA closed 11,215.70 up +61.16
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,145.83 up +10.59

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 28 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 26%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 26% probability to be "Up" Thursday. This confirms what we are seeing in the numbers. Both the DJIA Trend and Momentum were down yesterday. We believe that yesterday was the end-of-the-quarter window dressing for Institutional Money Managers. The Exchange Insiders pulled the Market down on Tuesday to gather inventory at favorable prices to accommodate yesterday's needs. All this sets the stage for a three day decline starting today through Monday. Opinions are a dime a dozen, so now you have ours. DJIA 11,000 next stop? Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 26% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.718% vs Yesterday 0.935% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .041% vs Yesterday .009% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 48.84% vs Yesterday 47.77% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 55.10% vs Yesterday 55.16% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .054% vs Yesterday -.017% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 63% vs. Yesterday 66% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 77.2% vs. Yesterday 70.4% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 19% vs. Yesterday 07% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 12% vs. Yesterday -07% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 01% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -16% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 33% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 08% vs. Yesterday 00% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 21% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 24% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Wednesdays Typically Are Good Market Days

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Tuesday 03-28-06: DJIA closed 11,154.54 down -95.57
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,135.24 up +2.71

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 28 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 100%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 100% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. Both the DJIA Trend and Momentum are unchanged today. The fact that Wednesdays are typically the best day of the week and MktMetrics posting 100% probability of being "Up" on the day, leads us to believe there could be some retracement of Tuesday's steep decline. So it will be noteworthy whether or not Tuesday's sell-off was the beginning of a major downside move or simply the Exchange Insiders reloading their inventory to satisfy demand for the end-of-the-quarter this Friday. We believe the Stock Market will continue to be weak and not settle down until the DJIA reaches at least 11,000. Should the Market give way during today's lunch hour, the result would be a continuation of more selling pressure, bringing down prices to a more wholesale level. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 100% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 65% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.935% vs Yesterday 0.132% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .009% vs Yesterday .036% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 47.77% vs Yesterday 55.19% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 55.16% vs Yesterday 61.58% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.017% vs Yesterday .041% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 66% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 70.4% vs. Yesterday 79.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 07% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 25% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 12% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -07% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -14% vs. Yesterday -07% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -27% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 21% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 00% vs. Yesterday 07% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 16% vs. Yesterday 09% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Stock Market May Give Way Sooner Than Later

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Monday 03-27-06: DJIA closed 11,250.11 down -29.86
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,132.53 up +8.97

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 28 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 74%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 74% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. Both the DJIA Trend and Volatility fell dramatically Monday, which could be a set-up for a big move today. Which way? Gale Financial Market Econometrics has determined that because there has been lack of participation of the Exchange Insiders at recent highs, extreme downside movement may be in the offing. This is contrary to Seasonality factors and that end-of-the-quarter is only four days away. Our gut felling and trading experience tells us the Stock Market could indeed see 3-days more of selling pressure, bringing down prices to a wholesale level. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 74% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.132% vs Yesterday 0.731% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .036% vs Yesterday .043% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 55.19% vs Yesterday 56.23% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 61.58% vs Yesterday 64.81% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .041% vs Yesterday .055% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 68% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 79.3% vs. Yesterday 80.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 18% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -01% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -07% vs. Yesterday -02% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -18% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 33% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 07% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 09% vs. Yesterday 04% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Unchanged Today 20% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Monday, March 27, 2006

Monday's Stock Market Needs Follow Through

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Friday 03-24-06: DJIA closed 11,279.97 up +9.68
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,123.56 up +10.03

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 27 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 42%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 42% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend rose Friday, thanks in part to the energy and drug sectors. However, this could reverse itself Monday as energy is lower in early morning trading. We believe the Stock Market will trend lower this week as volume remains pathetic. Friday of this week marks the end of the first quarter followed by corporate earnings commencing in early April. Last week, the DJIA Trend hit an 87% reading, which was very close to the 94% reading of a multi-year cycle. So this week should be interesting with so many factors coming in to play. MktMetrics 42% probability of an "Up" day dictates caution for Monday. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 42% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.731% vs Yesterday 0.804% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .043% vs Yesterday .026% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 56.23% vs Yesterday 55.81% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 64.81% vs Yesterday 64.45% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .055% vs Yesterday .023% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 72% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 80.3% vs. Yesterday 79.4% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

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10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 33% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 01% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -02% vs. Yesterday -07% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -19% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 36% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 13% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 04% vs. Yesterday 03% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Saturday, March 25, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range- High: 11,364.34 / Low: 9,961.52

DJIA- Week Ending March 24, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,279.97 vs Last week: 11,279.65 up +0.32 / Prior week: up +203.00
21-day moving average: 11,123.56 vs Last week: 11,082.31 +41.25 / Prior week: +56.56
DJIA Trend: Falling 74% vs Last week: 84% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 61% vs Last week: 65% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.731% vs Last week: 0.298% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 71% vs Last week: 67% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,320 vs Intermediate Term 11,520
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 10,930 vs Intermediate Term 10,735
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 61% vs Last week: 77% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: 10.3 vs Last week: 10.5 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: 146 vs Last week: 260 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -48 vs Last week: -12 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 1.41% vs Last week: 1.78% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): BUY(-) vs Last week: BUY(+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): +63 vs Last week: +161 (High +240 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 84 vs Last week: 86 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 78 vs Last week: 64 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 0.9 vs Last week: 1.2 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 80.30% vs Last week: 84.80% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: .043% vs Last week: .067% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: 56.23 vs Last week: 58.32 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: 64.81 vs Last week: 68.29 (High 70.12 / 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: .055 vs Last week: .081 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Unchanged 92 vs Last week: 92 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: +.047 vs Last week: +.169 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.23 vs Last week: +.20 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 70-
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.33 vs Last week: +.43 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.20 vs Last week: +.36 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.01 vs Last week: +.00 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.02 vs Last week: -.04 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
1. Biotech
BBH: +.03 vs Last week: +.47 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.45 vs Last week: -.42 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 21-
3. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.31 vs Last week: +.36 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
4. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.14 vs Last week: -.03 (High .84 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 19-
5. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: +.13 vs Last week: +.27 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
6. Canada
EWC: +.20 vs Last week: +.20 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 52+
7. Sweden
EWD: +.31 vs Last week: +.41 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
8. Germany
EWG: +.30 vs Last week: +.28 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
9. Hong Kong
EWH: +.24 vs Last week: +.20 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
10. Japan
EWJ: +.22 vs Last week: +.33 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
11. Belgium
EWK: +.14 vs Last week: +.21 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
12. Malaysia
EWM: -.01 vs Last week: +.17 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89-
13. France
EWQ: +.74 vs Last week: +.76 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
14. Singapore
EWS: -.10 vs Last week: -.07 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 43-
15. Taiwan
EWT: +.12 vs Last week: +.10 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:64-
16. United Kingdom
EWU: +.12 vs Last week: +.26 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
17. South Korea
EWY: -.04 vs Last week: +.14 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 93+
18. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.26 vs Last week: +.29 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
19. Internet
HHH: -.31 vs Last week: -.30 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-
20. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.53 vs Last week: -.31 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 00
21. Comex Gold
IAU: +.33 vs Last week: +.32 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
22. Biotechnology
IBB: +.22 vs Last week: +.39 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
23. Utilities
IDU: +.13 vs Last week: +.32 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
24. Natural Resources
IGE: +.18 vs Last week: +.31 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 73-
25. Networking
IGN: -.05 vs Last week: -.07 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 06+
26. Software
IGV: +.03 vs Last week: -.02 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 66-
27. Semiconductor
IGW: -.19 vs Last week: -.27 (High .62 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 48-
28. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.00 vs Last week: +.10 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
29. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.15 vs Last week: -.08 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72+
30. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.15 vs Last week: +.13 (High .38 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
31. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.17 vs Last week: +.17 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
32. Global Financial
IXG: +.00 vs Last week: +.18 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 41-
33. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.09 vs Last week: +.12 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 48+
34. Energy
IYE: +.09 vs Last week: +.25 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
35. Healthcare
IYH: +.04 vs Last week: +.11 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
36. Industrial
IYJ: +.27 vs Last week: +.35 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
37. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.09 vs Last week: +.12 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 03-
38. Basic Materials
IYM: +.02 vs Last week: -.06 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 58+
39. Real Estate
IYR: +.24 vs Last week: +.62 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
40. Transportation Average
IYT: +.36 vs Last week: +.41 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
41. Technology
IYW: -.06 vs Last week: -.13 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:51-
42. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.12 vs Last week: +.10 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
43. Oil Services
OIH: +.27 vs Last week: +.49 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
44. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.09 vs Last week: +.30 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
45. Regional Bank
RKH: +.06 vs Last week: +.36 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
46. Retail
RTH: +.27 vs Last week: +.14 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
47. Semiconductor
SMH: -.19 vs Last week: -.35 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26+
48. Software
SWH: -.08 vs Last week: -.03 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 68-
49. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.11 vs Last week: +.02 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 87-
50. Telecommunications
TTH: +.30 vs Last week: +.23 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
51. Utilities
UTH: +.18 vs Last week: +.43 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
52. Wireless
WMH: +.11 vs Last week: +.09 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
53. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.04 vs Last week: +.16 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 26-
54. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.20 vs Last week: +.25 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
55. Technology
XLK: +.03 vs Last week: -.01 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 77+
56. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.03 vs Last week: +.16 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 62-
57. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.11 vs Last week: +.16 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
58. Industrial Sector Index
XLY: +.23 vs Last week: +.15 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

Friday, March 24, 2006

Any Stock Market Gains Today Will Be Subdued

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Thursday 03-23-06: DJIA closed 11,270.29 down -47.14
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,113.53 up +6.34

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 24 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 74%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 74% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend fell Thursday, confirming the tide has now turned. We believe the Stock Market may retrace some of the decline from yesterday, but with the Market now pulling back, any gains could give way to a weak close. Most all of the ETFs, Exchange Insiders and Institutional Investor indicators and statistics are now trending down. Once again, caution is advised because of this down trending bias. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 74% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.804% vs Yesterday 1.083% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .026% vs Yesterday .046% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 55.81% vs Yesterday 57.32% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 64.45% vs Yesterday 67.19% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .023% vs Yesterday .062% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 72% vs. Yesterday 73% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 79.4% vs. Yesterday 80.5% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 17% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Unchanged Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -04% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -07% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -30% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 28% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 03% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, March 23, 2006

The Tide Has Turned For The Dow Jones Industrials

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Wednesday 03-22-06: DJIA closed 11,317.43 down +81.96
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,107.19 up +11.83

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 23 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 19%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 19% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend fell Wednesday, indicating the tide has now turned. Recently, Thursdays have opened lower and closed lower, which we calculate an 82% expectation for today. Although many of the ETFs turned up yesterday, they all remain vulnerable. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 19% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 81% vs. Yesterday 87% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.083% vs Yesterday 0.920% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .046% vs Yesterday .010% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 57.32% vs Yesterday 54.48% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 67.19% vs Yesterday 66.45% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .062% vs Yesterday .005% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 73% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 80.5% vs. Yesterday 75.4% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 06% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 37% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 16% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -06% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -04% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -28% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 49% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -10% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

Wednesdays Recently Have Been Up Market Days

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Tuesday 03-21-06: DJIA closed 11,235.47 down -39.06
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,095.36 up +5.72

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 22 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 68%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 68% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Tuesday. Recently, Wednesdays have been the most positive Market day of the week. Please notice below that most all indicators and statistics are showing weakness. This indicates erosion of Market sentiment and Institutional sponsorship. The energy and financial sectors continue to be weak, which both sectors account for 2/3 of the S+P 500 Index. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 68% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 87% vs. Yesterday 87% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.920% vs Yesterday 0.544% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .010% vs Yesterday .037% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 54.48% vs Yesterday 57.90% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 66.45% vs Yesterday 68.77% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .005% vs Yesterday .041% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 70% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 75.4% vs. Yesterday 83.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 06% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -14% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -12% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -39% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 41% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 10% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -05% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 20% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Stock Market Lacks Volume At New Highs

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Monday 03-20-06: DJIA closed 11,274.53 down -5.12
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,089.64 up +7.33

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 21 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 61%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 61% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend moved up again Monday and is approaching a historic high. However, if you look below, you will notice that most of the key ETFs, Exchange Insiders and Institutional Investor Statistics collectively point to a weakening upside move. Both the NASDAQ Composite and NASDAQ 100 Growth Indexes are loosing steam. We have witnessed the Exchange Insiders lack of major financial commitment as the DJIA has set new record highs. The NYSE Composite volume has been soft. All of this is a message that a top has been forming and the Stock Market is being set up for extreme disappointment. Our favorite indicator "DJIA Trend" has been strong lately, but even this indicator has a historic level. Tuesdays have recently been up, which is contrary to Tuesdays historically being down. The energy and financial sectors continue to be weak, which both sectors account for 2/3 of the S+P 500 Index. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 61% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 87% vs. Yesterday 84% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 65% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 77% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.544% vs Yesterday 0.298% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .037% vs Yesterday .067% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 57.90% vs Yesterday 58.32% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 68.77% vs Yesterday 68.29% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .041% vs Yesterday .081% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 70% vs. Yesterday 67% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 83.3% vs. Yesterday 84.8% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 12% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 34% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 20% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -06% vs. Yesterday 00% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -10% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 49% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 21% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 24% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Monday, March 20, 2006

Even Stock Markets Have Exit Doors

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Friday 03-17-06: DJIA closed 11,279.65 up +26.41
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,082.31 up +10.51

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 20 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 42%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 42% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend moved up to nose bleeding levels on Friday. However, if you look below, you will notice that all of the key ETFs, Exchange Insiders and Institutional Statistics collectively point to a weakening upside move. Remember: Growth follows Transportation, Transportation doesn't follow Growth. So when you here about all of the Growth in the Economy and the Transportation Sector is starting to loose steam, as it now appears, look for the exit doors. Furthermore, both the NASDAQ Composite and NASDAQ 100 Growth Indexes are loosing steam as well, pointing to lack of conviction that the growth in the economy will continue. The froth last week was from Investors jumping in so as to not miss out on a big move up. Futures and Options expired without much fanfare. We have not seen the Exchange Insiders participate with major financial commitment as the DJIA has set new record highs. The NYSE Composite volume has been rather soft compared to most expiration cycles. All of this is a message that a top has been forming and the Stock Market is being set up for extreme disappointment. Our favorite indicator "DJIA Trend" has been strong lately, but even this indicator has a historic level. Watch for the exit doors as perhaps one day soon the Markets will drop and force you to sell at prices not acceptable. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 42% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 77% vs. Yesterday 77% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.298% vs Yesterday 0.503% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .067% vs Yesterday .080% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 58.32% vs Yesterday 57.42% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 68.29% vs Yesterday 66.84% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .081% vs Yesterday .102% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 67% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 84.8% vs. Yesterday 84.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 20% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 43% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 36% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 00% vs. Yesterday 06% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Unchanged Today -35% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 41% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 25% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Saturday, March 18, 2006

The Weekly MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range- High: 11,335.52 / Low: 9,961.52

DJIA- Week Ending March 17, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,279.50 vs Last week: 11,076.50 up +203.00 / Prior week: up +54.91
21-day moving average: 11,082.31 vs Last week: 11,025.75 +56.56 / Prior week: +44.79
DJIA Trend: Rising 84% vs Last week: 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 65% vs Last week: 55% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.298% vs Last week: 0.788% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 67% vs Last week: 59% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,275 vs Intermediate Term 11,470
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 10,885 vs Intermediate Term 10,695
DJIA Money Flow Index: Rising 77% vs Last week: 65% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: 10.5 vs Last week: 10.4 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: 260 vs Last week: 112 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -12 vs Last week: -93 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 1.78% vs Last week: 0.46% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): BUY(+) vs Last week: SELL(+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): +161 vs Last week: +25 (High +240 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 86 vs Last week: 59 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 64 vs Last week: 47 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 1.2 vs Last week: 0.9 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 84.80% vs Last week: 74.40% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: .067% vs Last week: .063% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: 58.32 vs Last week: 51.77 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: 68.29 vs Last week: 56.35 (High 70.12 / 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: .081 vs Last week: .097 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Unchanged 92 vs Last week: 92 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: +.169 vs Last week: +.043 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.20 vs Last week: +.22 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.43 vs Last week: +.42 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.36 vs Last week: +.21 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.00 vs Last week: -.01 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 72+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.04 vs Last week: -.05 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 74+
1. Biotech
BBH: +.47 vs Last week: +.14 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
2. Broadband
BDH: -.42 vs Last week: -.23 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 25-
3. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.03 vs Last week: -.27 (High .84 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 37-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.36 vs Last week: +.13 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
5. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: +.27 vs Last week: -.06 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
6. Canada
EWC: +.20 vs Last week: -.10 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 44+
7. Sweden
EWD: +.41 vs Last week: +.18 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
8. Germany
EWG: +.28 vs Last week: +.13 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
9. Hong Kong
EWH: +.20 vs Last week: +.07 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:99+
10. Japan
EWJ: +.33 vs Last week: +.18 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
11. Belgium
EWK: +.21 vs Last week: +.13 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
12. Malaysia
EWM: +.17 vs Last week: +.32 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
13. France
EWQ: +.76 vs Last week: +.59 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
14. Singapore
EWS: -.07 vs Last week: -.13 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 58+
15. Taiwan
EWT: +.10 vs Last week: +.16 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:74+
16. United Kingdom
EWU: +.26 vs Last week: +.18 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
17. South Korea
EWY: +.14 vs Last week: +.13 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91+
18. Internet
HHH: -.30 vs Last week: -.22 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
19. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.29 vs Last week: +.11 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
20. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.31 vs Last week: -.04 (High .65 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 00-
21. Comex Gold
IAU: +.32 vs Last week: +.13 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
22. Biotechnology
IBB: +.39 vs Last week: +.48 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
23. Utilities
IDU: +.32 vs Last week: +.20 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
24. Natural Resources
IGE: +.31 vs Last week: -.18 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 87+
25. Networking
IGN: -.07 vs Last week: -.01 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 00-
26. Software
IGV: -.02 vs Last week: -.08 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
27. Semiconductor
IGW: -.27 vs Last week: -.33 (High .62 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
28. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.10 vs Last week: +.13 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
29. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.08 vs Last week: -.12 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL DemandFactor: 69-
30. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.13 vs Last week: -.02 (High .38 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
31. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.17 vs Last week: +.22 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
32. Global Financials
IXG: +.18 vs Last week: -.03 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 51+
33. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.12 vs Last week: +.07 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 24+
34. Energy
IYE: +.25 vs Last week: -.32 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 81+
35. Healthcare
IYH: +.11 vs Last week: +.10 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
36. Industrial
IYJ: +.35 vs Last week: +.40 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY DemandFactor: 94
37. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.12 vs Last week: +.24 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 07-
38. Basic Materials
IYM: -.06 vs Last week: -.05 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57
39. Real Estate
IYR: +.62 vs Last week: +.52 (High .52 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY DemandFactor: 100
40. Transportation Average
IYT: +.41 vs Last week: +.54 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
41. Technology
IYW: -.13 vs Last week: -.12 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:54+
42. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.10 vs Last week: +.31 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
43. Oil Services
OIH: +.49 vs Last week: -.61 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 94+
44. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.30 vs Last week: +.13 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
45. Regional Bank
RKH: +.36 vs Last week: +.44 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95
46. Retail
RTH: +.14 vs Last week: +.27 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
47. Semiconductor
SMH: -.35 vs Last week: -.29 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 04-
48. Software
SWH: -.03 vs Last week: -.04 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
49. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.02 vs Last week: -.08 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
50. Telecommunications
TTH: +.23 vs Last week: +.24 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
51. Utilities
UTH: +.43 vs Last week: +.30 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:99+
52. Wireless
WMH: +.09 vs Last week: +.24 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
53. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.16 vs Last week: -.27 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 46+
54. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.25 vs Last week: +.27 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
55. Technology
XLK: -.01 vs Last week: +.05 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 75-
56. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.16 vs Last week: +.22 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78+
57. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.16 vs Last week: +.15 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
58. Industrial Sector Index
XLY: +.19 vs Last week: +.15 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

Friday, March 17, 2006

Investors Should Back Away From The Stock Market

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Thursday 03-16-06: DJIA closed 11,253.24 up +43.47
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,071.80 up +10.70

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 17 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 35%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend moved up from Thursday, created by climatic buying. However, if you look below, you will notice that many of the key ETFs, Exchange Insiders and Institutional Statistics collectively point to a weakening upside move. Remember: People lie, Numbers don't lie as they are unbiased and unemotional. The froth this week has been Investors jumping in so as to not miss out on a big move. Futures and Options expire today. We have not seen the Exchange Insiders participate with major financial commitment as the DJIA has set new record highs. The NYSE Composite volume has been rather soft compared to most expiration cycles, which may very well portend the Stock Market is being set up for extreme disappointment. Our indicators are flashing caution here as yesterday's DJIA close met a significant rising resistance level. Investors should back away from the Stock Market at this time, for the risk is greater than the return. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 68% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 77% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.503% vs Yesterday 0.595% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .080% vs Yesterday .107% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 57.42% vs Yesterday 57.77% (High 57.77% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 66.84% vs Yesterday 64.26% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .102% vs Yesterday .147% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 62% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 84.3% vs. Yesterday 87.0% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 62% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 57% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 06% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -01% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -35% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 67% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 33% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 18% vs. Yesterday 06% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 28% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, March 16, 2006

Stock Market Presents Greater Risk Than Reward

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Wednesday 03-15-06: DJIA closed 11,209.77 up +58.43
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,061.10 up +15.12

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 16 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 23%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 23% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Wednesday, after having moved sideways the past two days, which is typical of a potential sea change in the Stock Market. Today, Investors are one day away from Futures and Options expiration which often leads to extreme volatility. Our DJIA Volatility reading points out that volatility has been rising. We continue to observe that the Exchange Insiders have not been participating with major financial commitment as the DJIA continues to set records. The NYSE Composite volume has been quite weak in the run-up which could very well portend the Stock Market may being setting up for extreme disappointment. Our firm has been looking for a significant rally to test the previous highs at 11,198.73 that occurred on February 22, 2006 and predicted that the DJIA 11,230 level poses strong resistance, which was struck yesterday. Investors should back away from the Stock Market at this time. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 23% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 68% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 81% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.595% vs Yesterday 0.619% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .107% vs Yesterday .083% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 57.77% vs Yesterday 54.35% (High 57.77% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 64.26% vs Yesterday 61.90% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .147% vs Yesterday .108% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 62% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 87.0% vs. Yesterday 82.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 34% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 62% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 57% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 17% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 11% vs. Yesterday 02% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -15% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 67% vs. Yesterday 50% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 30% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 06% vs. Yesterday -03% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Stock Market Approaches Zenith Proportions

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Tuesday 03-14-06: DJIA closed 11,151.34 up +75.32
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,045.98 up +11.06

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 15 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 13%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 13% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend moved up Tuesday, after having moved down Monday, which is typical of a potential sea change of the Stock Market. Today, Investors are just a couple of days prior to Futures and Options expiration which often leads to extreme volatility. Our DJIA Volatility reading points out that volatility is rising at this time. We continue to observe that the Exchange Insiders have not been participating with major financial commitment as the DJIA continues to set records. The NYSE Composite volume has been quite weak in the run-up which could very well portend the Stock Market may being setting up for extreme disappointment. Perhaps Investors should ask themselves: "What could go wrong?" Our firm, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc. has been looking for a significant rally to test the previous highs at 11,198.73 that occurred on February 22, 2006. We have also stated that the DJIA 11,230 level poses strong resistance. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 13% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.619% vs Yesterday 0.307% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .083% vs Yesterday .081% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 54.35 vs Yesterday 50.90 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 61.90 vs Yesterday 56.58 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .108% vs Yesterday .098% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 59% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 82.6% vs. Yesterday 75.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 40% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 10% vs. Yesterday 03% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 02% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today -23% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 50% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -03% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

DJIA Trend Ticked Down Yesterday

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Monday 03-13-06: DJIA closed 11,076.02 down -0.32
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,034.92 up +9.18

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 14 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 55%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 55 probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend moved down illustrating a sea change. Last week, Tuesday was up. We point this out because Tuesday have consistently been down for many weeks. With an "Up" probability forecasted today, perhaps a test of yesterdays lows would be realistic for Traders to expect. We have been looking for a significant rally to test the previous highs at 11,198.73 that occurred on February 22, 2006. We have also stated that the DJIA 11,230 level poses strong resistance. Now, with the Trend change that occurred from yesterday's trading, extreme caution should be taken at this juncture. Commodities and Stock Futures are down in early trading. Options and Futures expire in a few days. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 55% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 65% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.307% vs Yesterday 0.788% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .081% vs Yesterday .063% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 50.90 vs Yesterday 51.77 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 56.58 vs Yesterday 56.35 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .098% vs Yesterday .097% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 59% vs. Yesterday 59% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 75.9% vs. Yesterday 74.4% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 25% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 49% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 03% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -01% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -31% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 54% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 22% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -10% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Monday, March 13, 2006

Monday's Trading Should See Follow Through

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Friday 03-10-06: DJIA closed 11,076.50 up +104.22
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,025.75 up +10.37

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 13 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 6%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 6% probability to be "Up" Monday. Our favorite indicator "DJIA Trend" moved up again yesterday pointing to continued strength and is expected to see follow through today. We have been looking for a significant rally to test the previous highs at 11.198.73 that occurred on February 22, 2006. We believe the DJIA 11,230 level to will pose strong resistance. The overseas markets are higher this morning. Commodities and Stock Futures are up in early trading. Options and Futures expire in 4 days. Even though MktMetrics has stated a low "Up" probability for Monday, we believe today will see higher prices. Stock Market weakness should reappear on Tuesday or Wednesday at the latest. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 6% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.788 vs Yesterday 0.719 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .063% vs Yesterday .074% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 51.77 vs Yesterday 46.52 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 56.35 vs Yesterday 52.10 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .097% vs Yesterday .107% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 59% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 74.4% vs. Yesterday 66.8% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Unchanged Today 22% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 21% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -01% vs. Yesterday -05% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -05% vs. Yesterday 00% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -29% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 54% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -27% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Saturday, March 11, 2006

The Weekly MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range- High: 11,198.73 / Low: 9,961.52

DJIA- Week Ending March 10, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,076.50 vs Last week: 11,021.59 up +54.91 / Prior week: down -40.26
21-day moving average: 11,025.75 vs Last week: 10,980.96 +44.79 / Prior week: +36.01
DJIA Trend: Rising 68% vs Last week: 58% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 55% vs Last week: 58% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.788% vs Last week: 0.990% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 59% vs Last week: 63% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,220 vs Intermediate Term 11,410
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 10,835 vs Intermediate Term 10,640
DJIA Money Flow Index: Rising 65% vs Last week: 45% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: 10.4 vs Last week: 3.2 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: 112 vs Last week: 103 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -93 vs Last week: -122 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 0.46% vs Last week: 0.37% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): SELL(+) vs Last week: SELL(-)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): +25 vs Last week: -60 (High +240 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 59 vs Last week: 67 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 47 vs Last week: 58 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 0.9 vs Last week: 1.0 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 74.40% vs Last week: 77.50% (88.9 / Low 14%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: .063% vs Last week: .016% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: 51.77 vs Last week: 50.16 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: 56.35 vs Last week: 56.00 (High 70.12 / 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: .097 vs Last week: .026 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Unchanged 92 vs Last week: 92 (High 128 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: +.043 vs Last week: -.087 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.22 vs Last week: +.01 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 46+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.42 vs Last week: -.03 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.21 vs Last week: +.07 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.01 vs Last week: +.09 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.05 vs Last week: -.04 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
1. Biotech
BBH: +.14 vs Last week: -.11 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.23 vs Last week: +.19 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 70-
3. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.27 vs Last week: -.36 (High .84 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 40-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.13 vs Last week: -.09 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
5. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: -.06 vs Last week: -.08 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
6. Canada
EWC: -.10 vs Last week: -.11 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
7. Sweden
EWD: +.18 vs Last week: +.15 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88+
8. Germany
EWG: +.13 vs Last week: +.08 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
9. Hong Kong
EWH: +.07 vs Last week: +.14 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:89-
10. Japan
EWJ: +.18 vs Last week: +.15 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:97-
11. Belgium
EWK: +.13 vs Last week: +.31 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
12. Malaysia
EWM: +.32 vs Last week: +.23 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:100+
13. France
EWQ: +.59 vs Last week: +.33 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
14. Singapore
EWS: -.13 vs Last week: +.00 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:42-
15. Taiwan
EWT: +.16 vs Last week: +.03 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:67-
16. United Kingdom
EWU: +.18 vs Last week: +.13 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
17. South Korea
EWY: +.13 vs Last week: +.16 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:85-
18. Internet
HHH: -.22 vs Last week: -.24 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 02-
19. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.11 vs Last week: -.04 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
20. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.04 vs Last week: -.11 (High .65 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 19-
21. Comex Gold
IAU: +.13 vs Last week: -.01 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
22. Biotechnology
IBB: +.48 vs Last week: +.43 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
23. Utilities
IDU: +.20 vs Last week: +.08 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:97+
24. Natural Resources
IGE: -.18 vs Last week: -.18 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:67-
25. Networking
IGN: -.01 vs Last week: -.02 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 41-
26. Software
IGV: -.08 vs Last week: -.10 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:66-
27. Semiconductor
IGW: -.33 vs Last week: -.08 (High .62 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:65-
28. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.13 vs Last week: +.06 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:96+
29. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.12 vs Last week: -.12 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- DemandFactor:76-
30. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.02 vs Last week: -.02 (High .38 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:97+
31. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.22 vs Last week: +.18 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
32. Global Financials
IXG: -.03 vs Last week: -.08 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:38
33. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.07 vs Last week: +.11 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:19+
34. Energy
IYE: -.32 vs Last week: -.23 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:70-
35. Healthcare
IYH: +.10 vs Last week: -.02 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:95+
36. Industrial
IYJ: +.40 vs Last week: +.37 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY DemandFactor:94+
37. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.24 vs Last week: -.25 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 08+
38. Basic Materials
IYM: -.05 vs Last week: -.14 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 57-
39. Real Estate
IYR: +.52 vs Last week: +.29 (High .52 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY DemandFactor:100
40. Transportation Average
IYT: +.54 vs Last week: +.45 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
41. Technology
IYW: -.12 vs Last week: -.09 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:53-
42. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.31 vs Last week: +.32 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: Buy Demand Factor: 96+
43. Oil Services
OIH: -.61 vs Last week: -.34 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:71-
44. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.13 vs Last week: +.09 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:64+
45. Regional Bank
RKH: +.44 vs Last week: +.35 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
46. Retail
RTH: +.27 vs Last week: +.23 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:78+
47. Semiconductor
SMH: -.29 vs Last week: +.01 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:10-
48. Software
SWH: -.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:96+
49. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.08 vs Last week: +.05 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:94
50. Telecommunications
TTH: +.24 vs Last week: +.26 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
51. Utilities
UTH: +.30 vs Last week: +.28 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:98+
52. Wireless
WMH: +.24 vs Last week: +.15 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
53. S&P Energy Select
XLE: -.27 vs Last week: -.19 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 07-
54. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.27 vs Last week: +.15 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:90+
55. Technology
XLK: +.05 vs Last week: +.03 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:74-
56. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.22 vs Last week: +.12 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:60+
57. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.15 vs Last week: +.14 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:87-
58. Industrial Sector Index
XLY: +.15 vs Last week: +.18 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:93-

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

Friday, March 10, 2006

Stock Market Expected Higher Today

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Thursday 03-09-06: DJIA closed 10,972.28 down -33.46
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,015.38 up +10.60

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 10 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 68%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 68% probability to be "Up" Friday. Fridays have recently seen up in the morning and then fade in the final hour. Our favorite indicator "DJIA Trend" moved up again yesterday pointing to continued strength for the venerable average. We cannot rule out a significant rally to test the previous highs at 11,232 as the DJIA and its 21-day moving average continue to hover around the 11,000 area after testing a very strong support level of 10,900 on Wednesday. Commodities and Stock Futures are up in early trading. Options and Futures expire in 5 days. The DJIA could have a run here for the next few days. Now would be the time for the Exchange Insiders to rally the Market higher to capture derivative premiums. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 68% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.719 vs Yesterday 0.886 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .074% vs Yesterday .073% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 46.52 vs Yesterday 50.97 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 52.10 vs Yesterday 53.39 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .107% vs Yesterday .103% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 66.8% vs. Yesterday 74.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 22% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 40% vs. Yesterday 38% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 08% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -05% vs. Yesterday -09% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today 00% vs. Yesterday 04% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -20% vs. Yesterday -06% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -25% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Unchanged Today 28% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, March 09, 2006

Now Would Be A Good Time For The Market To Rally

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Wednesday 03-08-06: DJIA closed 11,005.74 up +25.05
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,004.78 up +9.88

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 9 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 35%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Thursday, which is the same reading as Wednesday. Wednesday we felt the Stock Market would stabilize and provide an up day, as has recently been the case. Virtually all of our indicators moved up yesterday, which is quite Bullish going into today. We cannot rule out a significant rally to test the previous highs at 11,232 as the DJIA and its 21-day moving average closed above 11,000 Wednesday after testing a very strong support level of 10,900. Options and Futures expire in 6 days and our Volatility reading is increasing. Stronger volume has returned to the Stock Market which means Exchange Insiders are now participating. The DJIA could have a run here for the next few days. Now would be the time for the Exchange Insiders to rally the Market higher to capture derivative premiums. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.886 vs Yesterday 0.685 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .073% vs Yesterday .057% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 50.97 vs Yesterday 50.42 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 53.39 vs Yesterday 52.58 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .103% vs Yesterday .085% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 59% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 74.6% vs. Yesterday 69.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 19% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 38% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 08% vs. Yesterday 05% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Unchanged Today -09% vs. Yesterday -09% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 04% vs. Yesterday 03% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -06% vs. Yesterday 00% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 49% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 11% vs. Yesterday 00% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -35% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Unchanged Today 28% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, March 08, 2006

Options And Futures Expire in 7 Days

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Tuesday 03-07-06: DJIA closed 10,980.69 up +22.10
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 10,994.90 up +8.91

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 8 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 35%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. Tuesday we felt the Stock Market would stabilize and provide an up day. Recently, Tuesdays have been down days, so it was truly a contra move. Lately, Wednesdays have been up days, which could happen today. The DJIA Trend moved lower yesterday and the MktMetrics forecast today is not optimistic for stocks. Still, with Options and Futures expiring in 7 days and the OPEC meeting behind us, now would be the time for the Exchange Insiders to rally the Market higher to capture derivative premiums. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.685 vs Yesterday 1.044 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .057% vs Yesterday .031% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 50.42 vs Yesterday 46.94 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 52.58 vs Yesterday 52.48 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .085% vs Yesterday .044% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 59% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 69.6% vs. Yesterday 72.4% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 17% vs. Yesterday 08% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 03% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 05% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -09% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 03% vs. Yesterday -01% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 00% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 46% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 0% vs. Yesterday 02% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -30% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Tuesday, March 07, 2006

The Stock Market Wants To Move Higher Today

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Monday 03-06-06: DJIA closed 10,958.59 down -63.00
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 10,985.99 up +5.03

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 7 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 77%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 77% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. "Monday, we were expecting a compact range with a higher close led by commodity stocks." In the final hour, the market plummeted with the commodity stocks leading the way as OPEC Ministers are meeting today. We feel the Stock Market will stabilize today and provide an up day. Options and Futures expire in 8 days. The DJIA Trend and Momentum is unchanged, but the Flow of Funds reading fell. Tuesday will be an important day as the DJIA will make an attempt to move higher. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 77% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.044 vs Yesterday .990 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .031% vs Yesterday .016% (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 46.94 vs Yesterday 50.16 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 52.48 vs Yesterday 56.00 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .044% vs Yesterday .026% (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 63% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 72.4% vs. Yesterday 77.5% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 08% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 03% vs. Yesterday -03% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 14% vs. Yesterday 07% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 09% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -01% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Unchanged Today 01% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 46% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 02% vs. Yesterday 08% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -29% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Monday, March 06, 2006

Stock Market To Trade Higher In A Narrow Range

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell stocks. No credit card required!
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Friday 03-03-06: DJIA closed 11,021.59 down -3.92
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 10,980.96 up +3.22

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 6 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 58%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 58% probability to be "Up" Monday. Although we have been negative on the Stock Market, no market is straight down. We are expecting a compact range with a higher close today, led by commodity stocks. Options and Futures expire in 9 days. The DJIA Trend moved up a notch as the commodity stocks performed well on Friday. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 61% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today .990 vs Yesterday .532 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)

Institutional Investor Statistics:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .016% vs Yesterday .048 (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 50.16 vs Yesterday 51.23 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 56.00 vs Yesterday 56.06 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .026 vs Yesterday .081 (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 63% vs. Yesterday 64% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 77.5% vs. Yesterday 83.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 01% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -03% vs. Yesterday 09% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 07% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 09% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 06% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 01% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 08% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -19% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 15% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Saturday, March 04, 2006

The Weekly MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range- High: 11,198.73 / Low: 9,961.52

DJIA- Week Ending March 3, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,021.59 vs Last week: 11,061.85 down -40.26 / Prior week: down -53.47
21-day moving average: 10,980.96 vs Last week: 10,944.95 +36.01 / Prior week: +74.24
DJIA Trend: Falling 58% vs Last week: 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 58% vs Last week: 65% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.990% vs Last week: 0.634 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 63% vs Last week: 71% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Current- 11,175 vs Intermediate- 11,365
DJIA Support: Current- 10,790 vs Intermediate- 10,600
DJIA Money Flow Index: 45% vs Last week: 58% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: 3.2 vs Last week: 16.3 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: 102.7 vs Last week:242.5 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line:-121.6 vs Last week:-45.3(High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 0.37% vs Last week: 1.07% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: BUY(-)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): -60 vs Last week: 44 (High +240 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: 67 vs Last week: 80 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 58 vs Last week: 70 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 1.0 vs Last week: 0.8 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 77.50% vs Last week: 83.80% (88.9 / Low 14%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: .016% vs Last week: .066% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: 50.16 vs Last week: 54.32 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: 56.00 vs Last week: 62.52 (High 70.12 / 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: .026 vs Last week: .145 (High .349 / -.414)
Speculation Indicator: -.087 vs Last week: -.010 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
Investor Sentiment Index: 92 vs Last week: 89 (High 128 / Low 68)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.01 vs Last week: +.26 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 34-
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.03 vs Last week: +.15 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 49-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.07 vs Last week: +.24 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.09 vs Last week: +.25 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.04 vs Last week: +.09 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.11 vs Last week: +.13 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 88+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.19 vs Last week: +.39 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99
3. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.36 vs Last week: +.01 (High .84 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 53-
4. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: -.08 vs Last week: +.08 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
5. Canada
EWC: -.11 vs Last week: -.07 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38+
6. Sweden
EWD: +.15 vs Last week: +.02 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
7. Germany
EWG: +.08 vs Last week: +.21 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
8. Hong Kong
EWH: +.14 vs Last week: +.18 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:91-
9. Japan
EWJ: +.15 vs Last week: +.24 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:99-
10. Belgium
EWK: +.31 vs Last week: +.15 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
11. Malaysia
EWM: +.23 vs Last week: +.31 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:96-
12. France
EWQ: +.33 vs Last week: +.05 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
13. Singapore
EWS: +.00 vs Last week: -.07 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:88+
14. Taiwan
EWT: +.03 vs Last week: +.01 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:68+
15. United Kingdom
EWU: +.13 vs Last week: +.06 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
16. South Korea
EWY: +.16 vs Last week: +.25 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:100
17. Internet
HHH: -.24 vs Last week: -.06 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17-
18. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.11 vs Last week: -.26 (High .65 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 25+
19. Comex Gold
IAU: -.01 vs Last week: +.02 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 98+
20. Biotechnology
IBB: +.43 vs Last week: +.54 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
21. Utilities
IDU: +.08 vs Last week: -.01 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:96+
22. Natural Resources
IGE: -.18 vs Last week: -.27 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:75+
23. Networking
IGN: -.02 vs Last week: -.02 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 46+
24. Software
IGV: -.10 vs Last week: -.05 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:79+
25. Semiconductor
IGW: -.08 vs Last week: +.02 (High .62 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:76-
26. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.06 vs Last week: +.12 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:92-
27. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.12 vs Last week: +.21 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY DemandFactor:81-
28. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.02 vs Last week: +.15 (High .38 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:96-
29. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.18 vs Last week: +.34 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
30. Global Financials
IXG: -.08 vs Last week: +.13 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:38-
31. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.11 vs Last week: -.05 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:19+
32. Energy
IYE: -.23 vs Last week: -.22 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:76+
33. Healthcare
IYH: -.02 vs Last week: +.20 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:85-
34. Industrial
IYJ: +.37 vs Last week: +.42 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY DemandFactor:99+
35. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.25 vs Last week: -.16 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:06
36. Basic Materials
IYM: -.14 vs Last week: +.01 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66
37. Real Estate
IYR: +.29 vs Last week: +.40 (High .52 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY DemandFactor:100+
38. Transportation Average
IYT: +.45 vs Last week: +.46 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
39. Technology
IYW: -.09 vs Last week: -.15 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:56-
40. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.32 vs Last week: +.37 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: Buy Demand Factor: 94+
41. Oil Services
OIH: -.34 vs Last week: -.46 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor:79+
42. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.09 vs Last week: +.25 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:58+
43. Regional Bank
RKH: +.35 vs Last week: +.66 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
44. Retail
RTH: +.23 vs Last week: +.20 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:75+
45. Semiconductor
SMH: +.01 vs Last week: -.04 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:69+
46. Software
SWH: -.12 vs Last week: +.06 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:93+
47. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.05 vs Last week: +.18 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:94-
48. Telecommunications
TTH: +.26 vs Last week: +.31 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
49. Utilities
UTH: +.28 vs Last week: -.05 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor:95+
50. Wireless
WMH: +.15 vs Last week: +.30 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
51. S&P Energy Select
XLE: -.19 vs Last week: -.19 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor:35+
52. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.15 vs Last week: +.15 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:67-
53. Technology
XLK: +.03 vs Last week: +.06 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:89+
54. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.12 vs Last week: +.19 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:42-
55. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.14 vs Last week: +.23 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:92-
56. Industrial Sector Index
XLY: +.18 vs Last week: +.12 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor:99+

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

Friday, March 03, 2006

Stock Market To Show Continued Weakness

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell stocks. No credit card required!
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Thursday 03-02-06: DJIA closed 11,025.51 down -28.02
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 10,977.74 up +7.65

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 3 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 61%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 61% probability to be "Up" Friday. We are negative on the Stock Market. We are expecting a lower close today. Options and Futures expire in 10 days. Aggressive accounts should be shorting selected stocks as the DJIA Trend is declining. The Stock Market is expected to continue its move down today. Be sure to catch our "MktMetrics Weekly Edition Saturday." Good luck and good trading.

DJIA and Institutional Investor Statistics:
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 61% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 61% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today .532 vs Yesterday .639 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .048% vs Yesterday .028 (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 51.23 vs Yesterday 50.52 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 56.06 vs Yesterday 58.23 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .081 vs Yesterday .056 (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 64% vs. Yesterday 67% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 83.3% vs. Yesterday 83.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 09% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 09% vs. Yesterday -03% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 21% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 24% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 06% vs. Yesterday 04% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 10% vs. Yesterday 02% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 44% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 10% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -32% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 18% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Thursday, March 02, 2006

The Stock Market To Continue Its Move Down

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Wednesday 03-01-06: DJIA closed 11,053.53 up +60.12
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 10,970.09 up +7.31

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 2 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 16%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 16% probability to be "Up" Thursday. We are negative on the Stock Market. Wednesday's DJIA 60 point rally coincided with MktMetrics 90% "Up" probability and was a reflex reaction to Tuesday big move down, moving one full point above its 21-day moving average in a short squeeze. Now the move down will meet with less resistance. We have witnessed many non-confirmations at the recent DJIA 4 1/2 year highs and view this as a false move into higher territory. The DJIA was met with major resistance at 11,200. The S&P resembles a double top. The NASDAQ Composite a declining top. The lower NYSE volume recently illustrates that the Specialists and Market Makers have not been participating in this late stage rally. In other words, distribution has occurred and a retracement is most likely. Aggressive accounts should start shorting selected stocks as the DJIA Trend is now declining. The Stock Market is expected to continue its move down today. Good luck and good trading.

DJIA Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 16% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 61% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today .639 vs Yesterday .778 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .028% vs Yesterday .011 (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 50.52 vs Yesterday 49.65 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 58.23 vs Yesterday 57.23 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .056 vs Yesterday .031 (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 67% vs. Yesterday 69% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 83.6% vs. Yesterday 77.5% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 09% vs. Yesterday 01% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -03% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 17% vs. Yesterday -04% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 06% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 04% vs. Yesterday -02% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 02% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 44% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 11% vs. Yesterday 04% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -40% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 57% / Low -24%)
XLF: Rising Today 12% vs. Yesterday 05% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Narrow Trading Range For Stock Market Today

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell stocks. No credit card required!
Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Tuesday 02-28-06: DJIA closed 10,993.41 down -104.14
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 10,962.78 up +4.11

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 1 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 90%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 90% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Flow of Funds, MACD and Trend have all moved lower. We are now negative on the Stock Market. We have witnessed many non-confirmations at the recent DJIA 4 1/2 year highs and view this as a false move into higher territory. The DJIA has major resistance at 11,200. The S&P resembles a double top. The NASDAQ Composite a declining top. The lower NYSE volume recently has illustrated that the Specialists and Market Makers have not been participating in this late stage rally. In other words, distribution has occurred and a retracement is most likely. Aggressive accounts should start shorting selected stocks as the DJIA Trend is now declining. Today should have a narrow trading range with limited upside. Good luck and good trading.

DJIA Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 90% (High 100% / Low 0%)
Trend: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
Momentum: Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 87% / Low 13%)
Flow of Funds: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 10%)
Today's Volatility: Today .778 vs Yesterday .373 (High 2.11 / Low 0.19)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Today .011% vs Yesterday .048 (High .187 / Low -.241)
Institutional Demand Factor: Today 49.65 vs Yesterday 54.06 (High 57.55 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Today 57.23 vs Yesterday 61.90 (High 70.12 / Low 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Today .031 vs Yesterday .124 (High .349 / -.414)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling 69% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 77.5% vs. Yesterday 86.2% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 01% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -12% vs. Yesterday 08% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -04% vs. Yesterday 07% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 06% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -02% vs. Yesterday 09% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -12% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 37% vs. Yesterday 46% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 04% vs. Yesterday 08% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -37% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 57% / Low -24%)
XLF: Falling Today 05% vs. Yesterday 09% (High 28% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

: Name: Douglas Gale; Location: Creston, North Carolina, United States

Aquarius, 57. Raised in N. Hollywood. Spouse of 20 years a retired San Diego City school teacher. Have married sister in CA and daughter in NY. Mom was a school teacher, Dad in the Radio and TV biz. After Vietnam War, went to college. 1975 hired by Blyth Eastman Dillon (now: UBS Paine Weber.) Additionally, employed by Morgan Stanley, and west coast superregional firms: Bateman Eichler, Hill Richards (now: Wachovia)and Rauscher Pierce (now: RBC Dain Rauscher) before entering Day Trading business in 1997. Formerly lived in La Jolla Shores, CA, now living in the High Country of North Carolina overlooking 400 acre Christmas Tree and Vineyard family farm. Spent four years back-testing formulas created from 30 years experience trading NYSE member firms capital and family trust funds. Publish 3 daily blogs and offer a Free Look to our premium pre-market data service: www.MktMetrics.com. Subscribers enjoy content of Stock Market Forecast and detailed individual stock trading information required for successful securities trading.

View my complete profile

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions

Friday, March 31, 2006

DJIA Trend Slammed, More Selling Friday

Thursday, March 30, 2006

Stock Market May See Three Day Decline

Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Wednesdays Typically Are Good Market Days

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Stock Market May Give Way Sooner Than Later

Monday, March 27, 2006

Monday's Stock Market Needs Follow Through

Saturday, March 25, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Friday, March 24, 2006

Any Stock Market Gains Today Will Be Subdued

Thursday, March 23, 2006

The Tide Has Turned For The Dow Jones Industrials

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

Wednesdays Recently Have Been Up Market Days

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Stock Market Lacks Volume At New Highs

Monday, March 20, 2006

Even Stock Markets Have Exit Doors

Saturday, March 18, 2006

The Weekly MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis

Friday, March 17, 2006

Investors Should Back Away From The Stock Market

Thursday, March 16, 2006

Stock Market Presents Greater Risk Than Reward

Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Stock Market Approaches Zenith Proportions

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

DJIA Trend Ticked Down Yesterday

Monday, March 13, 2006

Monday's Trading Should See Follow Through

Saturday, March 11, 2006

The Weekly MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis

Friday, March 10, 2006

Stock Market Expected Higher Today

Thursday, March 09, 2006

Now Would Be A Good Time For The Market To Rally

Wednesday, March 08, 2006

Options And Futures Expire in 7 Days

Tuesday, March 07, 2006

The Stock Market Wants To Move Higher Today

Monday, March 06, 2006

Stock Market To Trade Higher In A Narrow Range

Saturday, March 04, 2006

The Weekly MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis

Friday, March 03, 2006

Stock Market To Show Continued Weakness

Thursday, March 02, 2006

The Stock Market To Continue Its Move Down

Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Narrow Trading Range For Stock Market Today

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