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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: May 2006

Wednesday, May 31, 2006

End Of Month Stock Market Rally Expected Today

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Tuesday 05-30-06: DJIA close 11,094.43 up -184.18 vs. Prior day: +67.56
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,341.76 -12.98 (up) vs. Prior day: -4.95
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday May 31 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 100%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 100% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged yesterday since topping out on May 10th and bottoming last week. Yesterdays romp was able to be detected by examining before the fact when the DJIA Volatility reach the lowest point in decades. Also, the Exchange Insiders' Inventory took a dip on Friday, which was not representative of enthusiasm on their part to see the Stock Market move higher. Still, Tuesday's major move down induced selling so the Exchange Insiders could rebalance their inventory from the 180+ point rally late last week prior to the holiday. This is so typical of their merchandising activity. Our firm, Gale Financial Market Econometrics believes the Stock Market can now move higher, at least to the declining DJIA 21-day moving average currently at 11,341.76. Interest rate competition will continue to hold back significant gains to the Stock Market as rates are now yielding 5.25%. Our objective of a decline for the DJIA is 10,800. However, the DJIA Trend may move off of the 11,000 level of current support and provided nice momentum to the upside for a while as we move into the first week of June. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 100% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 26% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 42% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.805% vs Yesterday 0.17% (High 2.11% / Low 0.17%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.07% vs Yesterday -.039% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 32.03% vs Yesterday 40.16% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 38.48% vs Yesterday 43.71% (High 71.45% / Low 33.48%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.144 vs. Yesterday -.073 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Unchanged Today 32% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 38.4% vs. Yesterday 53.7% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -19% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -37% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -55% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -36% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -27% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unchanged Today -43% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today -24% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -4% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -17% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Falling Today -15% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:34 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, May 30, 2006

Exchange Insiders' Inventory Fell On Friday

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Friday 05-26-06: DJIA close 11,278.61 up +67.56 vs. Prior day: +93.73
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,354.74 -4.95 (up) vs. Prior day: -6.83
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday May 30 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 26%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 26% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend rose for the second time since topping out on May 10th. The Stock Market has declined quickly in a short period of time, shaking out many Investors. Is the decline over for now? Are we going into a relief rally? The holiday effect may have something to do with this. Memorial Day is the second (Labor Day is first) for being the most consistently positive day of the eight major pre-holidays of the year. With this taken into consideration, more time is required before we declare a bottom has been officially made. Otherwise, with interest rate competition to the Stock Market now yielding 5.25%, the pre Memorial Holiday stock buying spree may only have been a pause in a declining market. Why was the volume so light compared to recent activity before the big Dow "Up" move Thursday and Friday? Our objective of a decline for the DJIA is 10,800. We are devoted Trend followers, so our objective may not be realized if the Trend that turned up Thursday and Friday follows through Monday and continues to move up. However, we need more proof of another day to confirm the worst is over. We did notice that the Exchange Insiders' Inventory took a dip on Friday(see below). Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 26% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 42% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.170% vs Yesterday 0.263% (High 2.11% / Low 0.17%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.039% vs Yesterday -.035% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 40.16% vs Yesterday 39.13% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 43.71% vs Yesterday 39.10% (High 71.45% / Low 33.48%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.073 vs. Yesterday -.075 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 32% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 53.7% vs. Yesterday 47.2% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -6% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -19% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -16% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Today -43% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today -15% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 4% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -7% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Falling Today -2% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:22 AM 0 comments

Saturday, May 27, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending May 26, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,278.61 vs Last week: 11,144.06 up +134.55 / Prior week: -236.94
21-day moving average: 11,354.74 vs Last week: 11,396.33 -41.59 / Prior week: +10.70
DJIA Trend: Rising 26% vs Last week: 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 42% vs Last week: 45% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.17% vs Last week: 1.323% (High 2.11% / Low 0.17%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 32% vs Last week: 45% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 11,553 vs Last week: 11,596
DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 11,752 vs Last week: 11,795
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 11,156 vs Last week: 11,197
DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 10,957 vs Last week: 10,998
DJIA Money Flow Index: Rising 35% vs Last week: 26% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: -5.0 vs Last week: -9.5 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: -110 vs Last week: -221 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -264 vs Last week: -281 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: -0.67% vs Last week: -2.21% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: SELL (-)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): -13 vs Last week: -160 (High +255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 30 vs Last week: 12 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 33 vs Last week: 40 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 0.8 vs Last week: 1.4 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 53.70% vs Last week: 40.90% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising -.039% vs Last week: -.047% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 40.16 vs Last week: 37.71 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising 43.71 vs Last week: 35.32 (High 71.45 / 35.32)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising -.073 vs Last week: -.092 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 88 vs Last week: 90 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Rising +.067 vs Last week: -.363 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.06 vs Last week: -.12 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.19 vs Last week: -.31 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.34 vs Last week: .54 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.16 vs Last week: -.40 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.25 vs Last week: -.33 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40+
1. Biotech
BBH: +.32 vs Last week: -.56 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
2. Broadband
BDH: -.24 vs Last week: +.04 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.00 vs Last week: -.05 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42+
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.19 vs Last week: +.03 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.42 vs Last week: -.45 (High .84 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
6. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: +.06 vs Last week: +.08 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
7. Canada
EWC: +.09 vs Last week: -.07 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
8. Sweden
EWD: +.02 vs Last week: -.11 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 91+
9. Germany
EWG: +.08 vs Last week: +.06 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
10. Hong Kong
EWH: +.01 vs Last week: -.01 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 88+
11. Japan
EWJ: -.06 vs Last week: -.09 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88+
12. Belgium
EWK: +.12 vs Last week: +.29 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
13. Malaysia
EWM: +.16 vs Last week: +.04 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
14. France
EWQ: +.01 vs Last week: +.09 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
15. Singapore
EWS: +.06 vs Last week: +.01 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82+
16. Taiwan
EWT: +.01 vs Last week: +.01 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
17. United Kingdom
EWU: +.11 vs Last week: +.03 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
18. South Korea
EWY: -.38 vs Last week: -.39 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30+
19. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.19 vs Last week: +.24 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
20. Internet
HHH: -.04 vs Last week: -.70 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 39+
21. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.02 vs Last week: -.24 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 28+
22. Comex Gold
IAU: +.18 vs Last week: +.23 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75+
23. Biotechnology
IBB: -.07 vs Last week: -.28 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100/
24. Utilities
IDU: +.04 vs Last week: -.10 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
25. Natural Resources
IGE: +.06 vs Last week: -.30 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72+
26. Networking
IGN: -.40 vs Last week: -.46 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 06+
27. Software
IGV: -.63 vs Last week: -.58 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
28. Semiconductor
IGW: -.63 vs Last week: -.62 (High .62 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 05+
29. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.13 vs Last week: -.12 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
30. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.24 vs Last week: -.30 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66-
31. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.25 vs Last week: -.52 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78+
32. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.12 vs Last week: -.24 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90-
33. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: -.23 vs Last week: -.17 (High .92 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96+
34. Global Financial
IXG: +.06 vs Last week: +.06 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90+
35. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.03 vs Last week: -.26 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
36. Energy
IYE: -.17 vs Last week: -.50 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13-
37. Healthcare
IYH: -.10 vs Last week: -.30 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44+
38. Industrial
IYJ: -.12 vs Last week: -.22 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64+
39. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.10 vs Last week: -.06 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 10+
40. Basic Materials
IYM: +.05 vs Last week: -.15 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 66+
41. Real Estate
IYR: -.07 vs Last week: -.25 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70+
42. Transportation
IYT: -.15 vs Last week: -.25 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72+
43. Technology
IYW: -.53 vs Last week: -.55 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 07+
44. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.06 vs Last week: +.01 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
45. Oil Services
OIH: -.22 vs Last week: -.70 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72-
46. Pharmaceutical
PPH: -.23 vs Last week: -.20 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
47. Regional Bank
RKH: -.37 vs Last week: -.13 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41-
48. Retail
RTH: -.23 vs Last week: -.29 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16/
49. Semiconductor
SMH: -.43 vs Last week: -.22 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 01-
50. Software
SWH: -.41 vs Last week: -.23 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
51. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.02 vs Last week: +.11 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 41-
52. Telecommunications
TTH: -.28 vs Last week: -.22 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
53. Utilities
UTH: +.26 vs Last week: +.05 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
54. Wireless
WMH: -.47 vs Last week: -.68 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 06-
55. S&P Energy Select
XLE: -.07 vs Last week: -.33 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58+
56. S&P Financial Select
XLF: -.02 vs Last week: +.06 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
57. Technology
XLK: -.38 vs Last week: -.39 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17+
58. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.01 vs Last week: +.03 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 25+
59. Healthcare Select
XLV: -.24 vs Last week: -.27 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 23-
60. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.07 vs Last week: +.08 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:29 AM 0 comments

Friday, May 26, 2006

DJIA Trend Reversed Course Thursday

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Thursday 05-25-06: DJIA close 11,211.05 up +93.73 vs. Prior day: +18.97
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,359.69 -6.83 (up) vs. Prior day: -7.90
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday May 26 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 10%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 10% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend rose for the first time since topping out on May 10th. The Stock Market has declined quickly in a short period of time, shaking out many Investors. Is the decline over for now? Are we going into a relief rally? The holiday effect may have something to do with this. Memorial Day is the second (Labor Day is first) for being the most consistently positive day of the eight major pre-holidays of the year. With this taken into consideration, more time is required before we declare a bottom has been officially made. Otherwise, with interest rate competition to the Stock Market now yielding 5.25%, this holiday season may be only a pause in a declining market. Why was the volume so light compared to recent activity on such a big Dow up move yesterday? Our objective of a decline for the DJIA is 10,800. We are devoted Trend followers, so our objective may not be realized if the Trend that turned up yesterday follows through and continues to move up. However, we need more proof of two or three days confirming the worst is over. Be sure to catch our MktMetrics Weekly Edition that comes our Saturday afternoons. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 10% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 42% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 29% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.263% vs Yesterday 1.199% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.035% vs Yesterday -.048% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 39.13% vs Yesterday 33.97% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 39.10% vs Yesterday 35.16% (High 71.45% / Low 33.48%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.075 vs. Yesterday -.084 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 31% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 47.2% vs. Yesterday 36.8% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -5% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -20% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -43% vs. Yesterday -62% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -26% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -19% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Today -32% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today -25% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 7% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -12% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Unchanged Today 4% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:49 AM 0 comments

Thursday, May 25, 2006

The Dow 30 Does Poorly On Thursdays

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Wednesday 05-24-06: DJIA close 11,117.32 up +18.97 vs. Prior day: -26.98
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,366.52 -7.90 (up) vs. Prior day: -11.34
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday May 25 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 42%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 42% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA declining Trend was unchanged again on Wednesday. During the past four days we have seen unusual volume come into the Stock Market. A famous analyst in the 60's and 70's by the name of Joseph Granville made a discovery that "Volume precedes Price." This may be the case here as the Exchange Insiders balance their inventory before they move prices higher. This may indicate that the end of the selling is near. Our objective of a decline for the DJIA is 10,800. Institutional Investors have risk management that dictates selling when the 50-day moving average is breached, as it was on 5-18-06 when the Dow dropped 214.28 points. Yesterday's low of DJIA 10,980 is very close to where Institutional Investors favor buying, which is at the 30 week moving average. So the immediate future looks promising. But not today as there is only a 42% probability of being "Up." Therefore, Investors should let Stock Market prove that it has indeed bottomed by allowing the DJIA Trend to reverse itself. Thursdays are often down because 11 of the Dow stocks perform poorly this particular day of the week. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 42% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.199% vs Yesterday 0.475% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.048% vs Yesterday -.063% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 33.97% vs Yesterday 32.81% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 35.16% vs Yesterday 33.48% (High 71.45% / Low 33.48%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.084 vs. Yesterday -.121 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 36.8% vs. Yesterday 23.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -10% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -62% vs. Yesterday -61% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -41% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -28% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Today -33% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today -32% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -4% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -35% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Rising Today 4% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:20 AM 0 comments

Wednesday, May 24, 2006

Stock Market Needs A Climatic Bottom

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Tuesday 05-23-06: DJIA close 11,098.35 down -26.98 vs. Prior day: -18.73
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,374.42 -11.34 (down) vs. Prior day: -10.57
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday May 24 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 61%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 61% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA declining Trend was unchanged again on Tuesday. We observed that during after-market trading, the Diamonds (Dow 30-ETF)plunged, indicative of a much lower opening for Wednesday. This may indicate that the end of the selling is near after a weak opening today. Our objective of a decline for the DJIA is 10,800. While the 11,000 level provides some support, we cannot be sure this index has put in a bottom until after today's performance has been analyzed. Even though an oversold condition is approaching and may yield an opportunity to make money, we suggest Investors wait until the Stock Market proves that it has indeed bottomed by allowing the DJIA Trend to reverse itself. Wednesdays are often the most positive day of the week. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 61% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.475% vs Yesterday 0.659% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.063% vs Yesterday -.027% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 32.81% vs Yesterday 38.03% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 33.48% vs Yesterday 34.81% (High 71.45% / Low 33.48%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.121 vs. Yesterday -.087 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 23.9% vs. Yesterday 33.5% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -22% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -47% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -61% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -46% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -35% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Today -32% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today -33% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -20% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -37% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Falling Today 1% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:10 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, May 23, 2006

Stock Market Is Close To Oversold

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Monday 05-22-06: DJIA close 11,125.33 down -18.73 vs. Prior day: +15.77
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,385.76 -10.57 (down) vs. Prior day: -9.47
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday May 23 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 65%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 65% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Monday. Today, Investors may see the Stock Market make an attempt to retrace yesterdays upward move and make higher highs. However, the recent decline will not end until the DJIA Trend reverses its downward slide. Much damage has been done to the DJIA technicals, but an oversold condition is approaching and may yield an opportunity to make some money by going long the Stock Market. Tuesdays are often known for stabilizing Investor confidence. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 65% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.659% vs Yesterday 1.323% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.027% vs Yesterday -.047% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 38.03% vs Yesterday 37.71% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 34.81% vs Yesterday 35.32% (High 71.45% / Low 34.81%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.087 vs. Yesterday -.092 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 33.5% vs. Yesterday 40.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -11% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -37% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -53% vs. Yesterday -54% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Unchanged Today -40% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -27% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Today -21% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today -16% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today -5% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -40% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Unchanged Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 8:22 AM 0 comments

Monday, May 22, 2006

More Selling Expected For Stock Market

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Friday 05-19-06: DJIA close 11,144.06 up +15.77 vs. Prior day: -77.32
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,396.33 -9.47 (down) vs. Prior day: -7.17
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday May 22 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 35%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend plunged once again on Friday. The DJIA now has 25 of its 30 stocks declining. Today, Investors can expect more Stock Market decline. Friday, the Exchange Insiders were able to distribute stock taken in last week. The decline will not end until the DJIA Trend reverses its downward slide. Much damage has been done to the DJIA technicals and continued selling should be expected until Retail Investors lose confidence and sell stock wholesale to the Exchange Insiders. Investors can now expect the lows of last week to be broken. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.323% vs Yesterday 0.983% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.047% vs Yesterday -.045% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 37.71% vs Yesterday 35.94% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 35.32% vs Yesterday 37.61% (High 71.45% / Low 37.61%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.092 vs. Yesterday -.083 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 40.9% vs. Yesterday 27.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today -12% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today -31% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today -54% vs. Yesterday -57% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today -40% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -33% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Today -22% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today -25% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -10% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today -33% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Rising Today 6% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:05 AM 0 comments

Sunday, May 21, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending May 19, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,144.06 vs Last week: 11,380.99 down -236.94 / Prior week: -196.75
21-day moving average: 11,396.33 vs Last week: 11,385.63 +10.70 / Prior week: +97.67
DJIA Trend: Falling 16% vs Last week: 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 45% vs Last week: 55% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 1.323% vs Last week: 1.371% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 45% vs Last week: 71% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,596 vs Last week: 11,585
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,795 vs Last week: 11,784
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 11,197 vs Last week: 11,186
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,998 vs Last week: 10,987
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 26% vs Last week: 58% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: -9.5 vs Last week: 11.95 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: -221 vs Last week: -3 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -281 vs Last week: -77 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: -2.21% vs Last week: -0.04% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: SELL (-)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): -160 vs Last week: -29 (High +255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 12 vs Last week: 71 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 40 vs Last week: 53 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 1.4 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 40.90% vs Last week: 54.30% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.047% vs Last week: .024% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 37.71 vs Last week: 45.16 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 35.32 vs Last week: 55.29 (High 71.45 / 35.32)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling -.092 vs Last week: +.071 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 90 vs Last week: 93 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Falling -.363 vs Last week: -.040 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.12 vs Last week: +.24 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 56-
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.31 vs Last week: +.06 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.54 vs Last week: +.13 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.40 vs Last week: +.02 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.33 vs Last week: -.15 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17/
1. Biotech
BBH: -.56 vs Last week: -.54 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.04 vs Last week: +.12 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 30-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.05 vs Last week: +.05 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 31-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.03 vs Last week: +.25 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.45 vs Last week: +.24 (High .84 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 29-
6. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: +.08 vs Last week: +.45 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
7. Canada
EWC: -.07 vs Last week: +.09 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 41-
8. Sweden
EWD: -.11 vs Last week: +.30 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 62-
9. Germany
EWG: +.06 vs Last week: +.43 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
10. Hong Kong
EWH: -.01 vs Last week: +.04 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83+
11. Japan
EWJ: -.09 vs Last week: +.09 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84-
12. Belgium
EWK: +.29 vs Last week: +.53 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
13. Malaysia
EWM: +.04 vs Last week: -.07 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 56+
14. France
EWQ: +.09 vs Last week: +.54 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
15. Singapore
EWS: +.01 vs Last week: -.01 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 45+
16. Taiwan
EWT: +.01 vs Last week: +.03 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90+
17. United Kingdom
EWU: +.03 vs Last week: +.35 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
18. South Korea
EWY: -.39 vs Last week: +.06 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 22-
19. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.24 vs Last week: +.80 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 58-
20. Internet
HHH: -.70 vs Last week: -.40 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 08+
21. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.24 vs Last week: +.02 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 03-
22. Comex Gold
IAU: +.23 vs Last week: +.82 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 65-
23. Biotechnology
IBB: -.28 vs Last week: -.17 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
24. Utilities
IDU: -.10 vs Last week: +.26 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
25. Natural Resources
IGE: -.30 vs Last week: +.43 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
26. Networking
IGN: -.46 vs Last week: -.36 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 03+
27. Software
IGV: -.58 vs Last week: +.08 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 07-
28. Semiconductor
IGW: -.62 vs Last week: -.37 (High .62 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 03+
29. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.12 vs Last week: -.04 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33-
30. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.30 vs Last week: +.26 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71-
31. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.52 vs Last week: -.01 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 68-
32. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.24 vs Last week: +.07 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94+
33. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: -.17 vs Last week: +.18 (High .92 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90-
34. Global Financial
IXG: +.06 vs Last week: +.43 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71-
35. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.26 vs Last week: -.19 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 05+
36. Energy
IYE: -.50 vs Last week: +.18 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 52-
37. Healthcare
IYH: -.30 vs Last week: +.01 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35-
38. Industrial
IYJ: -.22 vs Last week: +.03 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 58-
39. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.06 vs Last week: -.02 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 01-
40. Basic Materials
IYM: -.15 vs Last week: +.27 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
41. Real Estate
IYR: -.25 vs Last week: -.04 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63-
42. Transportation
IYT: -.25 vs Last week: +.11 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71-
43. Technology
IYW: -.55 vs Last week: -.33 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-
44. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.01 vs Last week: +.06 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-
45. Oil Services
OIH: -.70 vs Last week: +.55 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 73-
46. Pharmaceutical
PPH: -.20 vs Last week: +.01 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 51-
47. Regional Bank
RKH: -.13 vs Last week: -.27 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44+
48. Retail
RTH: -.29 vs Last week: -.11 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16+
49. Semiconductor
SMH: -.22 vs Last week: +.02 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
50. Software
SWH: -.23 vs Last week: -.07 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 06-
51. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.11 vs Last week: -.17 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 68+
52. Telecommunications
TTH: -.22 vs Last week: -.27 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31-
53. Utilities
UTH: +.05 vs Last week: +.44 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80+
54. Wireless
WMH: -.68 vs Last week: -.44 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30+
55. S&P Energy Select
XLE: -.33 vs Last week: +.17 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 40-
56. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.06 vs Last week: +.26 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
57. Technology
XLK: -.39 vs Last week: -.32 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 06+
58. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.03 vs Last week: +.17 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 19-
59. Healthcare Select
XLV: -.27 vs Last week: +.01 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 30-
60. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.08 vs Last week: +.13 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90-

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

posted by Douglas Gale at 8:38 AM 0 comments

Friday, May 19, 2006

Stock Market Expects Snap-Back Rally Today

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Thursday 05-18-06: DJIA close 11,128.29 down -77.32 vs. Prior day: -214.28
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,405.80 -7.17 (down) vs. Prior day: -3.00
(the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday May 19 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 81%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 81% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend declined once again on Thursday. The DJIA has 22 of its 30 stocks declining. We can now expect a Stock Market rally of a day or two because the Exchange Insiders took in considerable stock the past two days and will need to run prices a bit higher to distribute inventory. Therefore, Investors should enjoy a positive day today. While this is good news for the short term, the decline will not end until the DJIA Trend reverses its downward slide. Too much damage has been done to this financial complex and has much overhead supply. Any snap-back rally here will be greeted next week with renewed selling. Certificates of Deposits are now over 5.20% and will continue to climb, placing a ceiling on the stock indexes. Be sure to catch our MktMetrics Weekly Edition Saturday afternoon. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 81% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.983% vs Yesterday 1.817% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.045% vs Yesterday -.012% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 35.94% vs Yesterday 44.74% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 37.61% vs Yesterday 45.32% (High 71.45% / Low 37.61%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.083 vs. Yesterday -.024 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 59% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 27.6% vs. Yesterday 40.2% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today -15% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -40% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -57% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -53% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -43% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Today -27% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today -31% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today -6% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 62% / Low -41%)
XLF: Falling Today 5% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:22 AM 0 comments

Thursday, May 18, 2006

Stock Market May Rally For A Day Or Two

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Wednesday 05-17-06: DJIA close 11,205.61 down -214.28 vs. Prior day: -8.88
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,412.97 -3.00 (down) vs. Prior day: +16.48
(the DJIA is now trading below its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday May 18 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 94%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 94% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend plummeted once again on Wednesday. For Subscribers and Viewers of MktMetrics, plummeted means that the DJIA Trend fell dramatically and is illustrative of continued distribution. The DJIA has 19 of its 30 stocks declining. However, the DJIA Trend has plummeted four days in a row, which is unprecedented. We can now expect a Stock Market rally of a day or two because the Exchange Insiders took in too much stock Wednesday and will run prices a bit higher to distribute inventory. Therefore, Investors should enjoy a positive day today. While this is good news for the short term, the decline is not over. A major trend has been firmly established and will not come to an end soon. Too much damage has been done to this financial complex and there is too much overhead supply to allow any meaningful and sustainable rally. Certificates of Deposits are now over 5.20% and will continue to climb, placing a ceiling on the stock indexes. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 94% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.817% vs Yesterday 0.875% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.012% vs Yesterday +.054% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 44.74% vs Yesterday 49.61% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 45.32% vs Yesterday 51.55% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.024 vs. Yesterday +.123 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 59% vs. Yesterday 64% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 40.2% vs. Yesterday 51.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 3% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today -20% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today -30% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -30% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -33% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -11% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today -21% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 4% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -24% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:17 AM 0 comments

Wednesday, May 17, 2006

Stock Market Will Attempt To Stabilize Today

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Tuesday 05-16-06: DJIA close 11,419.89 down -8.88 vs. Prior day: +47.78
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,415.97 +16.48 (up) vs. Prior day: +13.86

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday May 17 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 48%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 48% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. This mid-range reading signifies that the DJIA should attempt to stabilize today. The DJIA Trend plummeted once again on Tuesday. For Subscribers and Viewers of MktMetrics, plummeted means that the DJIA Trend fell dramatically and is illustrative of continued distribution. The DJIA has 16 of its 30 stocks declining. Wednesday's are historically positive days for the Stock Market. However, anything could happen as (a) there are only three days left in this Futures and Options cycle, and, (b) the DJIA has been under heavy distribution after reaching its zenith last week. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 48% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.875% vs Yesterday 1.368% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today +.054% vs Yesterday +.045% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 49.61% vs Yesterday 49.42% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 51.55% vs Yesterday 53.03% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.123 vs. Yesterday +.096 (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 64% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 51.9% vs. Yesterday 54.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 34% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 10% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 5% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -7% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -16% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 7% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 14% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today -3% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:58 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, May 16, 2006

Stock Market Expected To Move Lower Tuesday

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Monday 05-15-06: DJIA close 11,428.77 up +47.78 vs. Prior day: -119.66
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,399.49 +13.86 (up) vs. Prior day: +11.95

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday May 16 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 29%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 29% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. This low reading signifies that Monday's trading was simply a reflex reaction in a down trending Stock Market. The DJIA Trend plummeted once again on Monday. For Subscribers and Viewers of MktMetrics, plummeted means that the DJIA Trend fell dramatically. This also means that the next day can be a large move either way, up or down. So we should see another volatile session of an unusual high-low range today. With only four days left in this Futures and Options cycle, this is to be expected. Also, Tuesdays can be very negative. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 29% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.368% vs Yesterday 1.371% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today +.045% vs Yesterday +.024% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 49.42% vs Yesterday 45.16% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 53.03% vs Yesterday 55.29% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.096% vs Yesterday +.071% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 68% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 54.9% vs. Yesterday 54.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 11% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today -5% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -14% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today -2% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 4% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Unchanged Today 26% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:28 AM 0 comments

Monday, May 15, 2006

Sell First Friday In May And Return After Labor Day

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Friday 05-12-06: DJIA close 11,380.99 down -119.66 vs. Prior day: -142.88
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,385.63 +11.95 (down) vs. Prior day: +19.58

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday May 15 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 87%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 87% probability to be "Up" Monday. This high reading may not be reflected in today's Market action as it is the result of Thursday's and Friday's heavy selling. The DJIA Trend plummeted on Friday. For Subscribers and Viewers of MktMetrics, plummeted means that the DJIA Trend fell dramatically. This also means that the next day will be a large move either way, up or down. So we could see an unusual high-low range today. We believe the Stock Market made its top for 2006, and end of a multi-year cyclical move. Going forward, stocks will meet stiff competition from interest sensitive investments. A decline to 10,800 for the DJIA should not be ruled out this Summer. Stock Market adage: "Sell first Friday in May and return after Labor Day." Good luck and good trading.

DOW STOCKS THAT HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN MOVE UP, AND MOST LIKELY TO LEAD MOVE DOWN
1. AIG
2. HPQ
3. IBM
4. INTC
5. MSFT
6. PG
7. VZ

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 87% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 74% vs. Yesterday 84% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.371% vs Yesterday 1.482% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today +.024% vs Yesterday +.059% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 45.16% vs Yesterday 51.16% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 55.29% vs Yesterday 63.97% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today +.071% vs Yesterday +.136% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 73% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 54.3% vs. Yesterday 66.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 24% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 6% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 2% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -15% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 2% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 17% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:28 AM 0 comments

Saturday, May 13, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending May 12, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,380.99 vs Last week: 11,577.74 down -196.75 / Prior week: up +210.60
21-day moving average: 11,385.63 vs Last week: 11,287.96 +97.67 / Prior week: +63.25
DJIA Trend: Falling 74% vs Last week: 77% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 55% vs Last week: 58% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.371% vs Last week: 0.566% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 71% vs Last week: 63% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,585 vs Last week: 11,485
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,784 vs Last week: 11,683(achieved 5-9)
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 11,186 vs Last week: 11,090
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,987 vs Last week: 10,893
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 58% vs Last week: 65% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: 11.95 vs Last week: 16.11 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: -3 vs Last week: -9 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -77 vs Last week: -49 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: -0.04% vs Last week: 2.57% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: BUY (+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): -29 vs Last week: 255 (High +255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 71 vs Last week: 88 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 53 vs Last week: 84 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 1.1 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 54.30% vs Last week: 84.60% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .024% vs Last week: .014% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 45.16 vs Last week: 52.94 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 55.29 vs Last week: 65.97 (High 71.45 / 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling +.071 vs Last week: +.085 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 93 vs Last week: 91 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Falling -.040 vs Last week: .048 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.24 vs Last week: +.31 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72-
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.06 vs Last week: +.13 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.13 vs Last week: +.29 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.02 vs Last week: +.19 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 79-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.15 vs Last week: -.05 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.54 vs Last week: -.68 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83-
2. Broadband
BDH: +.12 vs Last week: +.28 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 33-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.05 vs Last week: +.22 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: Buy Demand Factor: 52-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.25 vs Last week: +.34 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96/
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.24 vs Last week: +.41 (High .84 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 37-
6. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: +.45 vs Last week: +.43 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
7. Canada
EWC: +.09 vs Last week: +.04 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 51+
8. Sweden
EWD: +.30 vs Last week: +.33 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
9. Germany
EWG: +.43 vs Last week: +.43 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
10. Hong Kong
EWH: +.04 vs Last week: +.19 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
11. Japan
EWJ: +.09 vs Last week: +.20 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
12. Belgium
EWK: +.53 vs Last week: +.63 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
13. Malaysia
EWM: -.07 vs Last week: +.03 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 27-
14. France
EWQ: +.54 vs Last week: +.60 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
15. Singapore
EWS: -.01 vs Last week: +.13 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 06-
16. Taiwan
EWT: +.03 vs Last week: +.13 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 52-
17. United Kingdom
EWU: +.35 vs Last week: +.13 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
18. South Korea
EWY: +.06 vs Last week: +.04 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 67-
19. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.80 vs Last week: +.75 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
20. Internet
HHH: -.40 vs Last week: -.24 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00/
21. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.02 vs Last week: +.15 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 08-
22. Comex Gold
IAU: +.82 vs Last week: +.71 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
23. Biotechnology
IBB: -.17 vs Last week: -.15 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
24. Utilities
IDU: +.26 vs Last week: +.17 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
25. Natural Resources
IGE: +.43 vs Last week: +.52 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
26. Networking
IGN: -.36 vs Last week: -.24 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-
27. Software
IGV: +.08 vs Last week: +.43 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 51-
28. Semiconductor
IGW: -.37 vs Last week: +.08 (High .62 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 00-
29. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 39+
30. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.26 vs Last week: +.36 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
31. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.01 vs Last week: +.11 (High .38 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
32. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.07 vs Last week: +.24 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
33. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.18 vs Last week: +.38 (High .92 / Low -.34) Rating: Buy Demand Factor: 94-
34. Global Financial
IXG: +.43 vs Last week: +.44 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
35. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.19 vs Last week: -.14 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 00-
36. Energy
IYE: +.18 vs Last week: +.18 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69-
37. Healthcare
IYH: +.01 vs Last week: +.02 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39-
38. Industrial
IYJ: +.03 vs Last week: +.13 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76-
39. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.02 vs Last week: -.02 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 03
40. Basic Materials
IYM: +.27 vs Last week: +.30 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 70-
41. Real Estate
IYR: -.04 vs Last week: -.16 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
42. Transportation Average
IYT: +.11 vs Last week: +.21 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
43. Technology
IYW: -.33 vs Last week: -.16 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 08-
44. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.06 vs Last week: -.08 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 94+
45. Oil Services
OIH: +.55 vs Last week: +.71 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
46. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.01 vs Last week: +.12 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 54-
47. Regional Bank
RKH: -.27 vs Last week: +.53 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 07-
48. Retail
RTH: -.11 vs Last week: -.11 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 07-
49. Semiconductor
SMH: +.02 vs Last week: +.11 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 18-
50. Software
SWH: -.07 vs Last week: +.18 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
51. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.17 vs Last week: -.25 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 01/
52. Telecommunications
TTH: -.27 vs Last week: -.35 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
53. Utilities
UTH: +.44 vs Last week: +.30 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44-
54. Wireless
WMH: -.44 vs Last week: -.26 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29-
55. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.17 vs Last week: +.19 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 73+
56. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.26 vs Last week: +.14 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
57. Technology
XLK: -.32 vs Last week: -.23 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-
58. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.17 vs Last week: +.04 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 32-
59. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.01 vs Last week: +.13 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 43-
60. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.13 vs Last week: +.11 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

posted by Douglas Gale at 4:10 PM 0 comments

Friday, May 12, 2006

Stock Market Made Its High For 2006 This Week

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Thursday 05-11-06: DJIA close 11,500.65 down -142.88 vs. Prior day: +2.88
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,373.68 +19.58 (down) vs. Prior day: +23.87

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday May 12 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 97%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 97% probability to be "Up" Friday. This high reading will not be reflected in today's Market action as it is the result of the heavy selling pressure from Thursday's trading. The DJIA Trend moved down Thursday from the high of this year. We believe the Stock Market is at the top of a multi-year cyclical move. Going forward, stocks will meet stiff competition from interest sensitive investments. A decline to 10,800 for the DJIA should not be ruled out this Summer. There is now more risk than reward at these lofty levels. May Futures and Options that have rich Call premiums, expire in ten days. Truly, the Stock Market has made its high for 2006. Be sure to catch our MktMetrics Weekly Edition. Good luck and good trading.

DOW STOCKS THAT HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN MOVE UP, AND MOST LIKELY TO LEAD MOVE DOWN
1. HPQ
2. INTC
3. MSFT
4. PG
5. VZ

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 97% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 84% vs. Yesterday 90% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.482% vs Yesterday 0.764% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today +.059% vs Yesterday +.071% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 51.16% vs Yesterday 57.16% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 63.97% vs Yesterday 70.61% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today +.136% vs Yesterday +.166% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 73% vs. Yesterday 73% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 66.6% vs. Yesterday 81.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 41% vs. Yesterday 46% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 21% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 43% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -9% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 8% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 32% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 36% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:30 AM 0 comments

Thursday, May 11, 2006

Stock Market Is Flashing Caution

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Wednesday 05-10-06: DJIA close 11,642.65 up +2.88 vs. Prior day: +55.23
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,354.10 +23.87 (down) vs. Prior day: +24.75

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday May 11 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 55%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 55% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Thursday. Two days ago the RSI 14-day moving average, A/D Line, McClellan Oscillator, CCI overbought/oversold Indicator, all had double tops, which, created non-confirmations of the DJIA new highs. The internal indicators are beaming caution here as the DJIA is ahead of itself. We believe the Stock Market is at the top of a multi-year cyclical move. Going forward, stocks will meet stiff competition from interest sensitive investments. A decline to 10,800 for the DJIA should not be ruled out this Summer. The DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's unchanged reading of 90%. There are 27 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher. However, there is now more risk than reward at these lofty levels. May Futures and Options that have abundant Call premiums, expire in two weeks. The Stock Market is the grand design of merchandising, buy wholesale and sell retail. In other works, what the Exchange Insiders were buying wholesale last November, has been distributed this week to Retail Investors at retail prices. Good luck and good trading.

DOW STOCKS THAT HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN MOVE UP, AND MOST LIKELY TO LEAD MOVE DOWN
1. MSFT
2. PG
3. VZ

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 55% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 90% vs. Yesterday 90% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.764% vs Yesterday 0.654% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today +.071% vs Yesterday +.059% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 57.16% vs Yesterday 55.26% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 70.61% vs Yesterday 71.45% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.166% vs Yesterday +.156% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 73% vs. Yesterday 70% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 81.3% vs. Yesterday 84.7% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 46% vs. Yesterday 44% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Unchanged Today 24% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 25% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -3% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 34% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Unchanged Today 32% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:21 AM 0 comments

Wednesday, May 10, 2006

Stock Market Offers Greater Risk Than Reward

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Tuesday 05-09-06: DJIA close 11,639.77 up +55.23 vs. Prior day: +6.80
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,330.23 +24.75 (up) vs. Prior day: +17.52

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday May 10 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 39%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 39% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend moved up Tuesday and is now in nose-bleed territory. The DJIA typically tops out early in the year by late January. The fact that the DJIA has pushed to new highs in May is significant. We believe the Stock Market is at the top of a multi-year cyclical move. Going forward, stocks will meet stiff competition from interest sensitive investments. Investors may see a decline of magnitude very soon. The FOMC meeting today could provide a catalyst for such a move down. A decline to 10,800 for the DJIA should not be ruled out this Summer. The DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 90%. There are 27 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher. However, there is now more risk than reward at these lofty levels. Good luck and good trading.

DOW STOCKS THAT HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN MOVE UP, AND MOST LIKELY TO LEAD MOVE DOWN
1. MSFT
2. PG
3. VZ

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 39% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 90% vs. Yesterday 87% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.654% vs Yesterday 0.667% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today +.059% vs Yesterday +.013% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 55.26% vs Yesterday 52.48% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 71.45% vs Yesterday 68.26% (High 71.45% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.156% vs Yesterday +.088% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 70% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 84.7% vs. Yesterday 85.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 44% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 24% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 37% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today 1% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 27% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 32% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 24% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:15 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Stock Market Is Now Like A Filled Bath Tub

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Monday 05-08-06: DJIA close 11,584.54 up +6.80 vs. Prior day: +138.88
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,305.48 +17.52 (up) vs. Prior day: +16.11

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday May 9 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 52%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 52% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend jumped up Monday. The DJIA typically tops out early in the year by late January. The fact that the DJIA has pushed to new highs in May is significant. In the 1960's an analyst that worked for E.F. Hutton by the name of Joseph Granville probably would now comment that the Dow stocks as a group appear similar to a bath tub full of water that is about to overflow and come crashing down. We are now extremely cautious on the Stock Market as the vast majority of the Dow 30 have made their moves up during the past year and are poised to retreat from here. The fact that the IYT, QQQQ, SMH, MDY and IWM did not participate with the DJIA new high is a big negative. This type of trading cannot continue and is indicative to an over extended move that could result in a major sell-off. Investors may see a decline of magnitude soon. The FOMC meeting today could provide a catalyst for such a move down. A decline to 10,800 for the DJIA should not be ruled out. The DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 87%. There are 26 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. Good luck and good trading.

DOW STOCKS THAT HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN MOVE UP, AND MOST LIKELY TO LEAD MOVE DOWN
1. HD
2. MSFT
3. PG
4. VZ

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 52% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 87% vs. Yesterday 77% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 65% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.667% vs Yesterday 0.566% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today +.013% vs Yesterday +.014% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 52.48% vs Yesterday 52.94% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 68.26% vs Yesterday 65.97% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.088% vs Yesterday +.085% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 63% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 85.3% vs. Yesterday 84.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 30% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 10% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 15% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -6% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 7% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 12% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 20% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Unchanged Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:26 AM 0 comments

Monday, May 08, 2006

New DJIA High Unconfirmed By Internal Indicators

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Friday 05-05-06: DJIA close 11,577.74 up +138.88 vs. Prior day: +38.58
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,271.85 +16.11 (up) vs. Prior day: +11.19

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday May 8 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 6%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 6% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend and Momentum moved up Friday. The DJIA closed 2.57% above the 21-day average and was unconfirmed by several key indicators. The fact that the IYT, QQQQ, SMH, MDY and IWM did not participate with the DJIA new high is a big negative. This type of trading cannot continue and is indicative to an over extended move that results in major sell-offs. Investors will see a decline of magnitude soon. The FOMC meeting on Tuesday May 9th could provide a catalyst for such a move down. A decline to 10,800 for the DJIA should not be ruled out. The DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 77%. There are 23 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. Good luck and good trading.

DOW STOCKS THAT HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN MOVE UP, AND MOST LIKELY TO LEAD MOVE DOWN
1. HD
2. INTC
3. MRK
4. MSFT
5. PG
6. T
7. VZ

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 6% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 77% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.566% vs Yesterday 0.067% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today +.014% vs Yesterday +.001% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 52.94% vs Yesterday 48.03% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 65.97% vs Yesterday 60.74% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.085% vs Yesterday +.045% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 63% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 84.6% vs. Yesterday 79.7% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 13% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Unchanged Today 29% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -5% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 11% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Unchanged Today 21% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 17% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 62% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 14% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:13 AM 0 comments

Saturday, May 06, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,616.16 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,654.64

DJIA- Week Ending May 5, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:

DJIA Close: 11,577.74 vs Last week: 11,367.14 up +210.60 / Prior week: up +19.69
21-day moving average: 11,287.96 vs Last week: 11,224.71 +63.25 / Prior week: +26.34
DJIA Trend: Rising 77% vs Last week: 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 58% vs Last week: 55% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falliing 0.566% vs Last week: 0.717% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 63% vs Last week: 52% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,485 vs Last week: 11,421
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,683 vs Last week: 11,618 (achieved)
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 11,090 vs Last week: 11,028
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,893 vs Last week: 10,832
DJIA Money Flow Index: Unchanged 65% vs Last week: 65% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Current Directional Indicator: 16.11 vs Last week: 7.21 (High 35.4 / Low -28.4)
21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: -9 vs Last week: -86 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -49 vs Last week: -70 (High 188/ Low -367)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 2.57% vs Last week: 1.27% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): BUY(+) vs Last week: BUY (+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): 255 vs Last week: 79 (High +255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 88 vs Last week: 78 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 84 vs Last week: 69 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 1.1 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 84.60% vs Last week: 80.60% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .014% vs Last week: -.049% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 52.94 vs Last week: 48.94 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising 65.97 vs Last week: 58.32 (High 70.12 / 39.29)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising +.085 vs Last week: -.012 (High .349 / -.414)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 91 vs Last week: 88 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Rising .048 vs Last week: -.003 (High +.590 / Low -1.023)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.31 vs Last week: +.16 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.13 vs Last week: +.09 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.29 vs Last week: +.30 (High .85 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.19 vs Last week: +.15 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.05 vs Last week: -.02 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55+
1. Biotech
BBH: -.68 vs Last week: -.88 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.28 vs Last week: +.07 (High .57 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 48+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.22 vs Last week: +.06 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: Buy Demand Factor: 96+
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.34 vs Last week: +.36 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.41 vs Last week: +.42 (High .84 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 66+
6. EAFE Global Equities
EFA: +.43 vs Last week: +.35 (High .56 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
7. Canada
EWC: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50+
8. Sweden
EWD: +.33 vs Last week: +.34 (High .56 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
9. Germany
EWG: +.43 vs Last week: +.42 (High .61 / Low -.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
10. Hong Kong
EWH: +.19 vs Last week: +.12 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
11. Japan
EWJ: +.20 vs Last week: +.24 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
12. Belgium
EWK: +.63 vs Last week: +.60 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
13. Malaysia
EWM: +.03 vs Last week: -.17 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 61+
14. France
EWQ: +.60 vs Last week: +.68 (High .56 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
15. Singapore
EWS: +.13 vs Last week: +.06 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
16. Taiwan
EWT: +.13 vs Last week: +.01 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
17. United Kingdom
EWU: +.13 vs Last week: +.10 (High .42 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
18. South Korea
EWY: +.04 vs Last week: +.14 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
19. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.75 vs Last week: +.59 (High .54 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
20. Internet
HHH: -.24 vs Last week: -.21 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-
21. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.15 vs Last week: +.19 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 16-
22. Comex Gold
IAU: +.71 vs Last week: +.60 (High .81 / Low -.55) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
23. Biotechnology
IBB: -.15 vs Last week: -.16 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99/
24. Utilities
IDU: +.17 vs Last week: +.01 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
25. Natural Resources
IGE: +.52 vs Last week: +.14 (High .88 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
26. Networking
IGN: -.24 vs Last week: -.46 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10
27. Software
IGV: +.43 vs Last week: +.48 (High .33 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 95+
28. Semiconductor
IGW: +.08 vs Last week: +.03 (High .62 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 32+
29. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 27
30. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.36 vs Last week: +.26 (High .42 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
31. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.11 vs Last week: +.15 (High .38 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98
32. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.24 vs Last week: +.12 (High .83 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
33. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.38 vs Last week: +.41 (High .92 / Low -.34) Rating: Buy Demand Factor: 100+
34. Global Financial
IXG: +.44 vs Last week: +.17 (High .52 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
35. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.14 vs Last week: -.37 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 10
36. Energy
IYE: +.18 vs Last week: +.11 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
37. Healthcare
IYH: +.02 vs Last week: -.13 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 59-
38. Industrial
IYJ: +.13 vs Last week: +.03 (High .41 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
39. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.02 vs Last week: -.15 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 04+
40. Basic Materials
IYM: +.30 vs Last week: +.09 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
41. Real Estate
IYR: -.16 vs Last week: -.30 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
42. Transportation Average
IYT: +.21 vs Last week: +.08 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
43. Technology
IYW: -.16 vs Last week: -.15 (High .42 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29-
44. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.08 vs Last week: -.09 (High .28 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
45. Oil Services
OIH: +.71 vs Last week: +.51 (High 1.63/ Low -.98) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
46. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.12 vs Last week: +.08 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
47. Regional Bank
RKH: +.53 vs Last week: +.56 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
48. Retail
RTH: -.11 vs Last week: -.27 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 44-
49. Semiconductor
SMH: +.11 vs Last week: +.07 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44+
50. Software
SWH: +.18 vs Last week: +.28 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 74-
51. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.25 vs Last week: -.20 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 01-
52. Telecommunications
TTH: -.35 vs Last week: -.37 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47-
53. Utilities
UTH: +.30 vs Last week: +.01 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
54. Wireless
WMH: -.26 vs Last week: -.17 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 45-
55. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.19 vs Last week: +.14 (High .76 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
56. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.14 vs Last week: +.08 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
57. Technology
XLK: -.23 vs Last week: -.13 (High .34 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
58. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.04 vs Last week: -.08 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 48+
59. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.13 vs Last week: +.12 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77-
60. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.11 vs Last week: +.04 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"

posted by Douglas Gale at 12:26 PM 0 comments

Friday, May 05, 2006

Still Looking For A Stock Market Decline

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Thursday 05-04-06: DJIA close 11,438.86 up +38.58 vs. Prior day: -16.17
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,271.85 +11.19 (down) vs. Prior day: +12.16

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday May 5 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 35%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Wednesday for the fifth day in a row and is unprecedented. This represents churning at a broadening top. The DJIA is Trend is hugging the 10-day moving average, which is ascending upward. If the 10-day moving average and 21-day moving average at 11,272 are broken, Investors will see a decline of magnitude. The next FOMC meeting on Tuesday May 9th could provide a catalyst for a move down. A potential move to the downside of 10,800 should not be ruled out. However, the DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 71%. There are 21 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. Most of the DOW stocks have reported their earnings for the first quarter, economic news has abated and the FOMC meeting is next week. Friday trading is typically down. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.067% vs Yesterday 0.343% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today +.001% vs Yesterday +.013% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 48.03% vs Yesterday 48.48% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 60.74% vs Yesterday 58.84% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today +.045% vs Yesterday +.054% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 60% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 79.7% vs. Yesterday 74.7% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 8% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -4% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 17% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 21% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 8% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 24% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 8% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 8:01 AM 0 comments

Thursday, May 04, 2006

Stock Market May Be Topping Out

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Wednesday 05-03-06: DJIA close 11,400.28 down -16.17 vs. Prior day: +73.16
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,260.66 +12.16 (down) vs. Prior day: +14.62

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday May 4 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 52%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 52% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Wednesday for the fourth day in a row. This represents churning at a broadening top. The DJIA is Trend is hugging the 10-day moving average, which is ascending upward. If the 10-day moving average and 21-day moving average at 11,260 are broken, Investors will see a decline of magnitude. The next FOMC meeting on Tuesday May 9th could provide a catalyst for a move down. A potential move to the downside of 10,800 should not be ruled out. However, the DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 71%. There are 21 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. Most of the DOW stocks have reported their earnings for the first quarter, economic news has abated and the FOMC meeting is next week. Thursday trading is typically down. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 52% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.343% vs Yesterday 0.500% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today +.013% vs Yesterday -.020% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 48.48% vs Yesterday 47.32% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 58.84% vs Yesterday 58.77% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.054% vs Yesterday +.04% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 60% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 74.7% vs. Yesterday 77.8% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 31% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Unchanged Today 12% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 18% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -3% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 13% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 13% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 15% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 13% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:27 AM 0 comments

Wednesday, May 03, 2006

Stock Market May Disgorge Tuesday's Gains Today

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Tuesday 05-02-06: DJIA close 11,416.45 up +73.16 vs. Prior day: -23.85
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,248.50 up +14.62 vs. Prior day: +9.17

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday May 3 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 23%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 23% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Tuesday for the third day in a row. This represents churning at a broadening top. The DJIA is Trend is hugging the 10-day moving average, which is ascending upward. If the 10-day moving average and 21-day moving average at 11,248 are broken, Investors will see a decline of magnitude. The next FOMC meeting on Tuesday May 9th could provide a catalyst for a move down. A potential move to the downside of 10,800 should not be ruled out. However, the DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 71%. There are 21 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. Most of the DOW stocks have reported their earnings for the first quarter, economic news has abated and the FOMC meeting isn't until next week. Wednesdays are typically up. However, since Tuesday was a big move up in an unusual contra move, most likely yesterday's gains will be Wednesday's losses. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 23% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.500% vs Yesterday 0.768% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.020% vs Yesterday -.058% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 47.32% vs Yesterday 44.68% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 58.77% vs Yesterday 57.10% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.04% vs Yesterday -.012% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 56% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 77.8% vs. Yesterday 70.3% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Today 12% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Rising Today 10% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Rising Today -7% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Rising Today 6% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 15% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 17% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 8% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:40 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, May 02, 2006

Stock Market Trading On Tuesdays Are Weak

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Monday 05-01-06: DJIA close 11,343.29 down -23.85 vs. Prior day: -15.37
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,233.88 up +9.17 vs. Prior day: +7.21

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday May 2 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 65%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 65% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Monday. The DJIA is Trend is hugging the 10-day moving average, which is ascending upward. If the 10-day moving average and 21-day moving average at 11,234 are broken, Investors will see a decline of magnitude. The next FOMC meeting on Tuesday May 9th could provide a catalyst for a move down. A potential move to the downside of 10,800 should not be ruled out. However, the DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 71%. There are 21 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. This week should be interesting as most of the DOW stocks have reported their earnings for the first quarter, economic news has abated and the FOMC meeting isn't until next week. Tuesdays are typically down, both the open and the close. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 65% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.768% vs Yesterday 0.717% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.058% vs Yesterday -.049% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 44.68% vs Yesterday 48.94% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 57.10% vs Yesterday 58.32% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unchanged Today -.012% vs Yesterday -.012% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 56% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 70.3% vs. Yesterday 80.6% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Unchanged Today 16% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 5% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 21% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 6% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -9% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 1% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Rising Today 11% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Rising Today 4% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Today 21% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Falling Today 4% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 7:21 AM 0 comments

Monday, May 01, 2006

Stock Market Earnings and Economic News Abates

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Friday 04-28-06: DJIA close 11,367.14 down -15.37 vs. Prior day: +28.02
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,224.71 up +7.21 vs. Prior day: +10.86

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday May 1 Stock Market Forecast
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 55%

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 55% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend jumped up Thursday, and, jumped up Friday. We use the vernacular "jumped" when this indicator moves up more than usual. The DJIA made a 6 1/2 year high last week, which, was not confirmed by the NYSE Advance/Decline Line or the DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator. Thus, last week was not a positive outcome, technically speaking. The next FOMC meeting on Tuesday May 9th could provide a catalyst for a move down. A potential move to the downside of 10,800 should not be ruled out. However, the DJIA Trend has been moving up since it bottomed on Wednesday April 4th at a reading of 23% versus today's reading of 71%. There are now 21 of the Dow 30 stocks trending higher and the DJIA Outlook is in Bullish territory. So this week should be interesting as most of the DOW stocks have reported their earnings for the first quarter, economic news is abating and the FOMC meeting isn't until next week. Good luck and good trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 55% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.717% vs Yesterday 1.630% (High 2.11% / Low 0.19%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.049% vs Yesterday -.046% (High .187% / Low -.241%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 48.94% vs Yesterday 48.45% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 58.32% vs Yesterday 55.90% (High 70.12% / Low 39.29%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.012% vs Yesterday +.012% (High .349% / -.414)%

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 80.6% vs. Yesterday 80.2% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Today 9% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Today 30% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 85% / Low -64%)
IWM: Falling Today 15% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 71% / Low -42%)
QQQQ: Falling Today -2% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 54% / Low -35%)
SMH: Falling Today 7% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 45% / Low -52%)
IYT: Falling Today 8% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Today 1% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Today 14% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 63% / Low -40%)
XLF: Rising Today 8% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"

posted by Douglas Gale at 6:59 AM 0 comments