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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: August 2006

Thursday, August 31, 2006

Be In Cash, Not Stock Market For Holiday

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Wednesday 08-30-06: DJIA close 11,382.91 +12.97 vs. Prior day: 11,369.94 +17.93
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,257.73 +12.25 vs. Prior day: 11,245.48 +8.77
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday August 31 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 48%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 48% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend moved higher to 81% from 74% the previous day. Thursdays have moved lower lately during the first half of trading on the day. The day before the Labor Day Holiday is the most assured "Up" day of the trading year. However, our parent firm, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, has discovered that the day before a holiday can often be a good opportunity to do the opposite of the Trend. In this particular instance, the DJIA Trend has been trending higher to its upper range since July 26th, until now. So it would not surprise us in the least if the top of the current move has been made, or will be made tomorrow. MktMetrics will be closed on Thursday, Friday Saturday and Tuesday. Have a great holiday! Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 48% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 81% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 68% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.56% vs Yesterday 0.96% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unchanged Today .03% vs Yesterday .03% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 49.19% vs Yesterday 49.61% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 64.61% vs Yesterday 63.10% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .11% vs. Yesterday .09%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 70% vs. Yesterday 69% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 62.7% vs. Yesterday 60.6% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 35% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 25% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 35% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Unchanged Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Stock Market Looking Towards Holiday

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Tuesday 08-29-06: DJIA close 11,369.94 +17.93 vs. Prior day: 11,352.01 +67.96
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,245.48 +8.77 vs. Prior day: 11,236.71 +1.03
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday August 30 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 29%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 29% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend moved higher to 74% from 71% the previous day. Tuesday was certainly a surprise. Wednesday, as we move closer to the Labor Day Weekend is anyone's guess as most participants are long gone by now. By the way, the day before the Labor Day Holiday is the most assured "Up" day of the trading year. So perhaps today will be down. MktMetrics will not be available on Thursday, Friday Saturday or Tuesday. Have a great holiday! Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 29% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.96% vs Yesterday 0.97% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .03% vs Yesterday .01% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 49.61% vs Yesterday 45.19% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 63.10% vs Yesterday 60.81% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .09% vs. Yesterday .05%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 69% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 60.6% vs. Yesterday 54.3% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Unchanged Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 22% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Stock Market May Move Lower Tuesday

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Monday 08-28-06: DJIA close 11,352.01 +67.96 vs. Prior day: 11,284.05 -20.41
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,236.71 +1.03 vs. Prior day: 11,230.41 +8.75
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday August 29 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 19%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 19% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend was flat for the second day in a row to 71% from 71% the previous day. Tuesdays lately have moved lower, which is exactly what we believe will happen today. We did notice that the Diamonds (DIA) 8-day moving average has stopped going higher and closed flat on Monday. This could become meaningful going forward. Also, most of the 10-key ETF statistics have moved lower and there was flight to interest sensitive utility stocks at the close yesterday. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 19% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.97% vs Yesterday 0.48% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .02% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 45.19% vs Yesterday 42.52% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 60.81% vs Yesterday 57.71% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .05% vs. Yesterday .07%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 68% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 54.3% vs. Yesterday 50.3% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, August 28, 2006

Mundane Monday For Stock Market?

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Friday 08-25-06: DJIA close 11,284.05 -20.41 vs. Prior day: 11,304.46 +6.56
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,230.41 +8.75 vs. Prior day: 11,221.66 +9.62
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday August 28 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 55%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 55% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged to 71% from 71% the previous day. Mondays of late have moved higher at the opening. However, we notice that the futures are lower in pre-market trading. Today looks too tough to call for traders as MktMetrics has a probability of 55% to be "Up" and the DJIA Trend was reported flat. Volume on Friday was extremely light as many market participants are away. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 55% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 61% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.48% vs Yesterday 0.58% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .02% vs Yesterday -.009% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 42.52% vs Yesterday 42.58% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 57.71% vs Yesterday 59.06% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .07% vs. Yesterday .05%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish - Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 68% vs. Yesterday 69% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 50.3% vs. Yesterday 49.0% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 39% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, August 26, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistently accurate daily results. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating at wholesale and distributing at retail, their stock inventory for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending August 25, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:


DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged 68% vs Last week: 68% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 11,284.05 vs Last week: 11,381.47 -97.42 / Prior week: +293.44
21-day M/A: 11,230.41 vs Last week: 11,166.35 +64.06 / Prior week: +102.20
DJIA Trend: Falling 71% vs Last week: 90% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 61% vs Last week: 65% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.48% vs Last week: 0.66% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,427 vs Last week: 11,362
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,624 vs Last week: 11,557
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 11,034 vs Last week: 10,971
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,837 vs Last week: 10,776
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 61% vs Last week: 77% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: +8.8 vs Last week: +21.6 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
21-Day M/A Price A/D Line: +268 vs Last week: +409 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume A/D Line: -39 vs Last week: 7 (High 188/ Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 0.48% vs Last week: 1.93% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: BUY (+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): 25 vs Last week: 155 (High 255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: 68 vs Last week: 89 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 55 vs Last week: 64 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Today vs 50-Day M/A Volume: 0.7 vs Last week: 0.8 (High 1.4 / Low 0.4)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 50.3% vs Last week: 56.6% (93.9 / Low 8.0%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling .02% vs Last week: .05%(High .19%/Low -.24%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 42.5 vs Last week: 44.0 (High 58.3 / Low 18.7)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 57.7 vs Last week: 67.1 (High 71.5 / 31.3)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling .07 vs Last week: .16 (High .35 / -.41)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 91 vs Last week: 90 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Rising -.11 vs Last week: .10 (High +.78 / Low -.71)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.27 vs Last week: +.40 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.39 vs Last week: +.49 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.16 vs Last week: +.35 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 45-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.21 vs Last week: +.27 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 73-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: +.20 vs Last week: +.26 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 31-
1. Biotech
BBH: +.05 vs Last week: +.52 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.01 vs Last week: -.10 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 16+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.06 vs Last week: -.02 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.26 vs Last week: +.17 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99+
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.03 vs Last week: +.35 (High .84 / Low -.116) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 74-
6. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.12 vs Last week: +.34 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
7. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.11 vs Last week: +.26 (High .35 / Low -31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92-
8. Canada
EWC: +.09 vs Last week: +.04 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 65+
9. Sweden
EWD: +.25 vs Last week: +.34 (High .56 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 70-
10. Germany
EWG: +.24 vs Last week: +.37 (High .61 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
11. Hong Kong
EWH: -.18 vs Last week: -.10 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
12. Japan
EWJ: -.12 vs Last week: -.05 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26-
13. Belgium
EWK: +.31 vs Last week: +.49 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
14. Malaysia
EWM: -.03 vs Last week: +.01 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86-
15. Netherlands
EWN: +.18 vs Last week: +.31 (High .30 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
16. France
EWQ: -.19 vs Last week: -.05 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19-
17. Singapore
EWS: -.03 vs Last week: +.08 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 67-
18. Taiwan
EWT: -.19 vs Last week: -.08 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
19. United Kingdom
EWU: -.04 vs Last week: +.06 (High .42 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-
20. Mexico
EWW: +.20 vs Last week: +.32 (High .44 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
21. South Korea
EWY: -.31 vs Last week: -.04 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 51-
22. Brazil
EWZ: +.06 vs Last week: +.31 (High .41 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 96-
23. Xinhua China
FXI: +.02 vs Last week: +.27 (High .62 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97+
24. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.16 vs Last week: -.12 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52-
25. Internet
HHH: +.44 vs Last week: +.61 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 59-
26. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.03 vs Last week: -.00 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 05+
27. Comex Gold
IAU: -.22 vs Last week: -.12 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
28. Biotechnology
IBB: +.13 vs Last week: +.34 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 44/
29. Utilities
IDU: -.02 vs Last week: +.10 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77+
30. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.32 vs Last week: +.57 (High .54 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
31. Natural Resources
IGE: +.27 vs Last week: +.40 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
32. Networking
IGN: +.44 vs Last week: +.33 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 27+
33. Software
IGV: +.23 vs Last week: +.66 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 59-
34. Semiconductor
IGW: +.29 vs Last week: +.30 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 14-
35. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.16 vs Last week: -.13 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 78+
36. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.03 vs Last week: +.20 (High .42 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
37. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.13 vs Last week: +.26 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 55-
38. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.12 vs Last week: +.19 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89-
39. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.14 vs Last week: +.66 (High .98 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100/
40. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: +.20 vs Last week: +.27 (High .53 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 18-
41. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.47 vs Last week: +.64 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
42. Global Financial
IXG: +.26 vs Last week: +.29 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 68+
43. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.31 vs Last week: +.18 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 33-
44. Energy
IYE: +.14 vs Last week: +.24 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 46+
45. Healthcare
IYH: +.13 vs Last week: +.31 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87+
46. Industrial
IYJ: +.02 vs Last week: +.14 (High .41 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
47. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.07 vs Last week: +.20 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
48. Basic Materials
IYM: +.07 vs Last week: +.09 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72-
49. Real Estate
IYR: +.10 vs Last week: +.03 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75+
50. Transportation
IYT: -.16 vs Last week: -.02 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41-
51. Technology
IYW: +.32 vs Last week: +.30 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 21/
52. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.39 vs Last week: +.43 (High .30 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
53. Oil Services
OIH: -.09 vs Last week: +.31 (High 1.63/ Low -.129) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
54. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.03 vs Last week: -.00 (High .31 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83-
55. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.06 vs Last week: +.34 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
56. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: +.14 vs Last week: +.21 (High .22 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 47-
57. Regional Bank
RKH: +.14 vs Last week: +.26 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 31-
58. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.07 vs Last week: +.06 (High .35 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 10-
59. Retail
RTH: +.09 vs Last week: +.18 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 15-
60. Silver Trust
SLV: +.54 vs Last week: +.64 (High .91 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 26+
61. Semiconductor
SMH: +.17 vs Last week: +.16 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 15-
62. Software
SWH: +.10 vs Last week: +.30 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 04-
63. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.20 vs Last week: +.05 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
64. Telecommunications
TTH: +.39 vs Last week: +.49 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 60+
65. Utilities
UTH: -.15 vs Last week: -.07 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44/
66. Wireless
WMH: +.21 vs Last week: +.86 (High .55 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 46-
67. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.06 vs Last week: +.12 (High .34 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
68. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.08 vs Last week: +.21 (High .76 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 54-
69. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72-
70. Technology
XLK: +.15 vs Last week: +.25 (High .34 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 32-
71. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.05 vs Last week: -.00 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 54+
72. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.08 vs Last week: +.33 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64+
73. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.15 vs Last week: +.16 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-

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A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Friday, August 25, 2006

Stock Market Friday To Close Weak

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

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Thursday 08-24-06: DJIA close 11,304.46 +6.56 vs. Prior day: 11,297.90 -41.94
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,212.04 +9.24 vs. Prior day: 11,202.80 +13.75
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday August 25 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 42%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 42% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend moved lower to 71% from 74% the previous day. Friday looks like it will become weaker as the day progresses. Be sure to catch the MktMetrics Weekly Edition on Saturday. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 42% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 65% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.58% vs Yesterday 0.49% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.009% vs Yesterday -.003% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 42.58% vs Yesterday 43.10% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 59.06% vs Yesterday 60.13% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .05% vs. Yesterday .06%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 69% vs. Yesterday 69% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 49.0% vs. Yesterday 50.3% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 34% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 31% / Low -33%)

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Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, August 24, 2006

Volume Accelerating As Stocks Move Lower

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Wednesday 08-23-06: DJIA close 11,297.90 -41.94 vs. Prior day: 11,339.84 -5.21
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,212.04 +9.24 vs. Prior day: 11,202.80 +13.75
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday August 24 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 71%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 71% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend moved lower to 74% from 77% the previous day. Also, the Trend of the 10-key ETFs below are moving lower as well. Most likely it will become more evident that the Stock Market has entered its last leg of distribution to much lower levels. We have recently noticed that over the past several weeks the Transportation stocks (IYT) that were the leaders on the way up, are now giving way to distribution. This spells trouble for the Stock Market as growth follows transportation in the economy and is therefore a very relevant indicator. Since the DJIA produced internal numbers last week that were equal to its former all time high in May, we suggest Investors keep their powder dry the rest of August. Volume is now accelerating as stocks move lower. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 71% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 74% vs. Yesterday 77% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.49% vs Yesterday 0.38% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.003% vs Yesterday .02% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 43.10% vs Yesterday 43.13% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 60.13% vs Yesterday 63.39% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .06% vs. Yesterday .10%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 69% vs. Yesterday 70% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 50.3% vs. Yesterday 54.5% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 37% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -31% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Transports Will Bring Stock Market Down

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Tuesday 08-22-06: DJIA close 11,339.84 -5.21 vs. Prior day: 11,345.05 -36.42
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,202.80 +13.75 vs. Prior day: 11,189.05 +22.70
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday August 23 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 58%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 58% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend moved lower to 77% from 81% the previous day. Also, the Trend of the 10-key ETFs below are moving lower as well. Most likely it will become more evident that the Stock Market has entered its last leg of distribution to much lower levels. We have recently noticed that over the past several weeks the Transportation stocks (IYT) that were the leaders on the way up, are now giving way to distribution. This spells trouble for the Stock Market as growth follows transportation in the economy and is therefore a very relevant indicator. Since the DJIA produced internal numbers last week that were equal to its former all time high in May, we suggest Investors keep their powder dry the rest of August. Many of the hedge fund traders are on vacation and the liquidity of the Stock Market appears to have been reduced dramatically. So caution is the best course of action. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 58% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 77% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.38% vs Yesterday 0.12% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .02% vs Yesterday .06% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 43.13% vs Yesterday 43.90% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 63.39% vs Yesterday 65.23% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .10% vs. Yesterday .17%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 70% vs. Yesterday 70% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 54.5% vs. Yesterday 54.6% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 33% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 42% vs. Yesterday 57% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Stock Market Volume Is Quite Light

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Monday 08-21-06: DJIA close 11,345.05 -36.42 vs. Prior day: 11,381.47 +46.51
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,189.05 +22.70 vs. Prior day: 11,166.35 +21.59
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday August 22 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 65%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 65% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend fell 9% to 81% from last week's high of 90% out of its maximum potential of 100%. Has the pull-back/slide commenced? Most likely as the Stock Market is truly overextended. Since the DJIA produced internal numbers last week that were equal to its former all time high in May, we suggest Investors keep their powder dry the rest of August. Many of the hedge fund traders are on vacation and the liquidity of the Stock Market appears to have been reduced dramatically. So caution is the best course of action. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 65% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 81% vs. Yesterday 90% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 74% vs. Yesterday 77% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.12% vs Yesterday 0.66% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .06% vs Yesterday .05% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 43.90% vs Yesterday 43.97% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 65.23% vs Yesterday 67.06% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .17% vs. Yesterday .16%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 70% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 54.6% vs. Yesterday 56.6% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 49% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 57% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 43% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 29% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, August 21, 2006

Caution Ahead For Stock Market

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Friday 08-18-06: DJIA close 11,381.47 +46.51 vs. Prior day: 11,334.96 +7.84
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,166.35 +21.59 vs. Prior day: 11,144.76 +15.44
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday August 21 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 29%
(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)


Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 29% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Friday and remains at 90% of its maximum potential of 100%. We often refer to this as the nose-bleed area that offers plenty of resistance going forward. August Futures and Options expired Friday and the Earnings announcements are about over. The DJIA jumped 445.76 in two weeks, which is unprecedented. August Stock Markets have historically been poor performers. We see no reason why history will not repeat itself for the Stock Market is truly overextended. Therefore, with only 29% DJIA probability of being up today, and the fact that the DJIA is now producing internal numbers that are equal to its former all time high in May, caution is the word of the day. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 29% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 90% vs. Yesterday 90% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 77% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.66% vs Yesterday 0.91% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .05% vs Yesterday .01% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 43.97% vs Yesterday 39.06% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 67.06% vs Yesterday 64.65% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .16% vs. Yesterday .08%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 63% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 56.6% vs. Yesterday 50.3% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 40% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 49% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 35% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, August 19, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistently accurate daily results. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating at wholesale and distributing at retail, their stock inventory for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending August 18, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:


DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 68% vs Last week: 58% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 11,381.47 vs Last week: 11,088.03 +293.44 / Prior week: -152.32
21-day M/A: 11,166.35 vs Last week: 11,064.15 +102.20 / Prior week: +23.48
DJIA Trend: Rising 90% vs Last week: 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 65% vs Last week: 42% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.66% vs Last week: 0.33% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,362 vs Last week: 11,258
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,557 vs Last week: 11,451
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 10,971 vs Last week: 10,870
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,776 vs Last week: 10,677
DJIA Money Flow Index: Rising 77% vs Last week: 52% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: +21.6 vs Last week: +11.5 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
21-Day M/A Price A/D Line: +409 vs Last week: +156 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume A/D Line: 7.1 vs Last week: -121 (High 188/ Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 1.93% vs Last week: 0.22% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): BUY(+) vs Last week: SELL (-)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): 155 vs Last week: -111 (High 255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 89 vs Last week: 61 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 64 vs Last week: 53 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Today vs 50-Day M/A Volume: 0.8 vs Last week: 0.8 (High 1.4 / Low 0.4)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 56.6% vs Last week: 29.2% (93.9 / Low 8.0%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .05% vs Last week: .03%(High .19%/Low -.24%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 44.0 vs Last week: 34.3 (High 58.3 / Low 18.7)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising 67.1 vs Last week: 51.2 (High 71.5 / 31.3)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising .16 vs Last week: .07 (High .35 / -.41)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 90 vs Last week: 85 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Rising .10 vs Last week: -.25 (High +.78 / Low -.71)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.40 vs Last week: +.31 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.49 vs Last week: +.27 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.35 vs Last week: -.02 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.27 vs Last week: +.02 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 76+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: +.26 vs Last week: +.01 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 34
1. Biotech
BBH: +.52 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 89
2. Broadband
BDH: -.10 vs Last week: -.09 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 05-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.02 vs Last week: -.01 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.17 vs Last week: +.10 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98-
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.35 vs Last week: +.43 (High .84 / Low -.116) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
6. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.34 vs Last week: +.27 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
7. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.26 vs Last week: +.09 (High .35 / Low -31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
8. Canada
EWC: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 58-
9. Sweden
EWD: +.34 vs Last week: +.10 (High .56 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78+
10. Germany
EWG: +.37 vs Last week: +.23 (High .61 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
11. Hong Kong
EWH: -.10 vs Last week: +.09 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 20-
12. Japan
EWJ: -.05 vs Last week: +.07 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 45-
13. Belgium
EWK: +.49 vs Last week: +.34 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
14. Malaysia
EWM: +.01 vs Last week: +.02 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91
15. Netherlands
EWN: +.31 vs Last week: +.19 (High .30 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
16. France
EWQ: -.05 vs Last week: -.20 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 36+
17. Singapore
EWS: +.08 vs Last week: +.09 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77+
18. Taiwan
EWT: -.08 vs Last week: -.14 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29+
19. United Kingdom
EWU: +.06 vs Last week: +.10 (High .42 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91/
20. Mexico
EWW: +.32 vs Last week: +.33 (High .44 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
21. South Korea
EWY: -.04 vs Last week: -.02 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64+
22. Brazil
EWZ: +.31 vs Last week: +.30 (High .41 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
23. Xinhua China
FXI: +.27 vs Last week: +.36 (High .62 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
24. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.12 vs Last week: -.28 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54-
25. Internet
HHH: +.61 vs Last week: -.32 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 75+
26. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.00 vs Last week: +.08 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 01-
27. Comex Gold
IAU: -.12 vs Last week: -.20 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35-
28. Biotechnology
IBB: +.34 vs Last week: -.09 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 44+
29. Utilities
IDU: +.10 vs Last week: +.25 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
30. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.57 vs Last week: +.35 (High .54 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
31. Natural Resources
IGE: +.40 vs Last week: +.31 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87
32. Networking
IGN: +.33 vs Last week: -.13 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 23+
33. Software
IGV: +.66 vs Last week: +.28 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
34. Semiconductor
IGW: +.30 vs Last week: -.03 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 17+
35. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.13 vs Last week: -.19 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77+
36. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.20 vs Last week: -.08 (High .42 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 73+
37. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.26 vs Last week: -.03 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 64+
38. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.19 vs Last week: -.01 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 91+
39. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.66 vs Last week: +.53 (High .98 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
40. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: +.27 vs Last week: +.04 (High .53 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 19+
41. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.64 vs Last week: +.30 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
42. Global Financial
IXG: +.29 vs Last week: +.17 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 51+
43. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.18 vs Last week: -.09 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 35+
44. Energy
IYE: +.24 vs Last week: +.09 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 41+
45. Healthcare
IYH: +.31 vs Last week: +.07 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79+
46. Industrial
IYJ: +.14 vs Last week: -.11 (High .41 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 81+
47. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.20 vs Last week: +.28 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
48. Basic Materials
IYM: +.09 vs Last week: +.01 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 76+
49. Real Estate
IYR: +.03 vs Last week: +.07 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 52+
50. Transportation
IYT: -.02 vs Last week: -.45 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61/
51. Technology
IYW: +.30 vs Last week: -.04 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 21+
52. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.43 vs Last week: +.37 (High .30 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
53. Oil Services
OIH: +.31 vs Last week: -.45 (High 1.63/ Low -.129) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 49+
54. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.00 vs Last week: -.05 (High .31 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87+
55. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.34 vs Last week: +.36 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
56. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: +.21 vs Last week: -.02 (High .22 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 55+
57. Regional Bank
RKH: +.26 vs Last week: +.43 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 38+
58. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: +.06 vs Last week: -.01 (High .35 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 16+
59. Retail
RTH: +.18 vs Last week: +.03 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 20+
60. Silver Trust
SLV: +.64 vs Last week: +.04 (High .91 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 23+
61. Semiconductor
SMH: +.16 vs Last week: -.12 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 17+
62. Software
SWH: +.30 vs Last week: +.16 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 23+
63. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.05 vs Last week: +.19 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
64. Telecommunications
TTH: +.49 vs Last week: +.51 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 59+
65. Utilities
UTH: -.07 vs Last week: +.05 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 44+
66. Wireless
WMH: +.86 vs Last week: +.34 (High .55 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
67. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.12 vs Last week: -.00 (High .34 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 68+
68. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.21 vs Last week: +.05 (High .76 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57+
69. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.03 vs Last week: +.12 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76+
70. Technology
XLK: +.25 vs Last week: +.14 (High .34 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 38+
71. Consumer Staples
XLP: -.00 vs Last week: +.07 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 26+
72. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.33 vs Last week: +.23 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
73. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.16 vs Last week: +.01 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Friday, August 18, 2006

Stock Options and Futures Expire Today!

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Thursday 08-17-06: DJIA close 11,334.96 +7.84 vs. Prior day: 11,327.12 +96.86
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,144.76 +25.14 vs. Prior day: 11,129.35 +25.14
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday August 18 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 39%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 39% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend jumped higher Thursday and is now 90% of its maximum potential of 100%. We often refer to this as the nose-bleed area that offers plenty of resistance going forward. August Futures and Options are due to expire today. This spells volatility for the Stock Market. Therefore, with only 39% DJIA probability of being up today, it would be best not to be overly optimistic to expect to make money as a buyer of stocks Friday. Be sure to catch the MktMetrics Weekly Edition on Saturday. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 39% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 90% vs. Yesterday 84% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 65% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.91% vs Yesterday 0.58% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .04% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 39.06% vs Yesterday 38.13% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 64.65% vs Yesterday 61.16% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .08% vs. Yesterday .15%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 63% vs. Yesterday 60% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 50.3% vs. Yesterday 48.0% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 29% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, August 17, 2006

Stock Market Looks Vulnerable Here

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Wednesday 08-16-06: DJIA close 11,327.12 +96.86 vs. Prior day: 11,230.26 +132.39
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,129.35 +25.14 vs. Prior day: 11,104.21 +22.99
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday August 17 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 19%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 19% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend jumped higher Wednesday and is now 84% of its maximum potential of 100%. We often refer to this as the nose-bleed area that offers plenty of resistance going forward. August Futures and Options are due to expire in just two days, which spells volatility for the Stock Market. Therefore, with only 19% DJIA probability of being up today, it would be best not to be overly optimistic to expect to make money as a buyer of stocks Thursday. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 19% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.58% vs Yesterday 0.21% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .04% vs Yesterday .05% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 38.13% vs Yesterday 35.23% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 61.16% vs Yesterday 55.97% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unchanged Today .15 vs. Yesterday .15 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 60% vs. Yesterday 60% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 48.0% vs. Yesterday 39.2% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 41% vs. Yesterday 44% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 41% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 22% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, August 16, 2006

GFME Blog 08-16-06 will Post late in day

GFME Blog 08-16-06 will Post late in day

Tuesday, August 15, 2006

August Futures & Options Expire This Week

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Monday 08-14-06: DJIA close 11,097.87 +9.84 vs. Prior day: 11,088.03 -36.34
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,081.22 +17.07 vs. Prior day: 11,064.15 +11.52
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday August 15 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 45%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 45% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend closed unchanged on Monday, after having declined three days in a row. Important economic numbers are due out this morning. When the DJIA Trend is unchanged as it is today, further evidence is required to pass judgment on the direction of the Stock Market. The August Futures and Option cycle will be expiring the end of this week. Typically, this brings much volatility to the trading environment. Therefore, even though Gale Financial Market Econometrics is cautious on the Stock Market, we are at this time letting the Market dictate its direction. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 45% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 68% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 42% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.86% vs Yesterday 0.33% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .02% vs Yesterday .03% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 30.48% vs Yesterday 34.03% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 51.81% vs Yesterday 51.19% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .10 vs. Yesterday .07 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 58% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 28.9% vs. Yesterday 29.2% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -39% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Unchanged Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, August 14, 2006

Stock Market Trend Remains Negative

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Friday 08-11-06: DJIA close 11,088.03 -36.34 vs. Prior day: 11,124.37 +48.19
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,064.15 +11.52 vs. Prior day: 11,052.63 +5.29
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday August 14 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 68%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 68% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend closed lower Friday for the third day in a row. Consecutive lower DJIA Trend days are typical of the beginning of a slide downward to lower levels. While the Stock Market was briefly oversold on Wednesday and had a snap-back reaction on Thursday, we expect many more down days before a selling climax occurs. We strongly advise Investors not to attempt to make money on any upside movement as the DJIA up-Trend has been broken and there are now more sellers than buyers. While Mondays have recently been up in the morning and today has a good chance of closing positive, the path of the overall Trend remains down. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 68% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 68% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.33% vs Yesterday 0.69% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .03% vs Yesterday -.00% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 34.03% vs Yesterday 32.35% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 51.19% vs Yesterday 52.29% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .07 vs. Yesterday -.01 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 58% vs. Yesterday 60% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 29.2% vs. Yesterday 30.4% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 31% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -45% vs. Yesterday -58% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 25% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, August 12, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistently accurate daily results. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating at wholesale and distributing at retail, their stock inventory for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending August 11, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:


DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 58% vs Last week: 56% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 11,088.03 vs Last week: 11,240.35 -152.32 / Prior week: +20.65
21-day M/A: 11,064.15 vs Last week: 11,040.67 +23.48 / Prior week: +2.30
DJIA Trend: Falling 68% vs Last week: 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 42% vs Last week: 39% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.33% vs Last week: 1.17% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,258 vs Last week: 11,234
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,451 vs Last week: 11,427
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 10,870 vs Last week: 10,847
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,677 vs Last week: 10,652
DJIA Money Flow Index: Rising 52% vs Last week: 45% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: +11.5 vs Last week: +0.7 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
21-Day M/A Price A/D Line: +156 vs Last week: +155 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume A/D Line: -121 vs Last week: -157 (High 188/ Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 0.22% vs Last week: 1.81% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: BUY (+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): -111 vs Last week: +112 (High 255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 61 vs Last week: 85 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 53 vs Last week: 75 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Today vs 50-Day M/A Volume: 0.8 vs Last week: 1.0 (High 1.4 / Low 0.4)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 29.2% vs Last week: 38.9% (93.9 / Low 8.0%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .03% vs Last week: .00%(High .19%/Low -.24%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 34.3 vs Last week: 37.7 (High 58.3 / Low 18.7)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 51.2 vs Last week: 59.1 (High 71.5 / 31.3)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising .07 vs Last week: -.02 (High .35 / -.41)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 85 vs Last week: 82 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Falling -.25 vs Last week: -.15 (High +.78 / Low -.71)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.31 vs Last week: +.05 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.27 vs Last week: +.09 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 67+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.02 vs Last week: -.17 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.02 vs Last week: -.10 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: +.01 vs Last week: -.15 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.00 vs Last week: -.14 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.09 vs Last week: -.42 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.01 vs Last week: +.08 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.10 vs Last week: +.17 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.43 vs Last week: +.13 (High .84 / Low -.116) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
6. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.27 vs Last week: +.19 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
7. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.09 vs Last week: -.02 (High .35 / Low -31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 87-
8. Canada
EWC: +.03 vs Last week: -.04 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 59-
9. Sweden
EWD: +.10 vs Last week: -.06 (High .56 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 72+
10. Germany
EWG: +.23 vs Last week: +.02 (High .61 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
11. Hong Kong
EWH: +.09 vs Last week: +.15 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 45-
12. Japan
EWJ: +.07 vs Last week: +.05 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 67-
13. Belgium
EWK: +.34 vs Last week: +.36 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
14. Malaysia
EWM: +.02 vs Last week: -.03 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
15. Netherlands
EWN: +.19 vs Last week: +.21 (High .30 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
16. France
EWQ: -.20 vs Last week: -.13 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 29-
17. Singapore
EWS: +.09 vs Last week: -.10 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 68-
18. Taiwan
EWT: -.14 vs Last week: -.06 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 08-
19. United Kingdom
EWU: +.10 vs Last week: +.02 (High .42 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91+
20. Mexico
EWW: +.33 vs Last week: +.09 (High .44 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94/
21. South Korea
EWY: -.02 vs Last week: +.01 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 62-
22. Brazil
EWZ: +.30 vs Last week: +.18 (High .41 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
23. Xinhua China
FXI: +.36 vs Last week: -.04 (High .62 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 91+
24. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.28 vs Last week: +.16 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 63-
25. Internet
HHH: -.32 vs Last week: -.49 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10+
26. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.08 vs Last week: -.07 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
27. Comex Gold
IAU: -.20 vs Last week: +.19 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 49-
28. Biotechnology
IBB: -.09 vs Last week: -.13 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19-
29. Utilities
IDU: +.25 vs Last week: +.34 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
30. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.35 vs Last week: +.14 (High .54 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
31. Natural Resources
IGE: +.31 vs Last week: +.16 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77/
32. Networking
IGN: -.13 vs Last week: -.33 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 02-
33. Software
IGV: +.28 vs Last week: +.09 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50/
34. Semiconductor
IGW: -.03 vs Last week: -.17 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 08-
35. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.19 vs Last week: -.12 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72-
36. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.08 vs Last week: -.08 (High .42 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66-
37. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.03 vs Last week: -.11 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54-
38. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.01 vs Last week: -.05 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 82-
39. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.53 vs Last week: +.16 (High .98 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
40. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: +.04 vs Last week: -.11 (High .53 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 05+
41. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.30 vs Last week: +.10 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
42. Global Financial
IXG: +.17 vs Last week: +.21 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 37-
43. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.09 vs Last week: -.38 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
44. Energy
IYE: +.09 vs Last week: -.00 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 29-
45. Healthcare
IYH: +.07 vs Last week: +.02 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 63+
46. Industrial
IYJ: -.11 vs Last week: -.19 (High .41 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68-
47. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.28 vs Last week: +.11 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
48. Basic Materials
IYM: +.01 vs Last week: -.16 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75-
49. Real Estate
IYR: +.07 vs Last week: +.33 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 49-
50. Transportation
IYT: -.45 vs Last week: -.44 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31-
51. Technology
IYW: -.04 vs Last week: -.21 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 02/
52. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.37 vs Last week: +.23 (High .30 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
53. Oil Services
OIH: -.45 vs Last week: -.44 (High 1.63/ Low -.129) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
54. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.05 vs Last week: -.11 (High .31 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
55. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.36 vs Last week: +.38 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77-
56. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.02 vs Last week: -.18 (High .22 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43/
57. Regional Bank
RKH: +.43 vs Last week: +.50 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 24-
58. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.01 vs Last week: -.14 (High .35 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
59. Retail
RTH: +.03 vs Last week: -.11 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17+
60. Silver Trust
SLV: +.04 vs Last week: +.40 (High .91 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 22-
61. Semiconductor
SMH: -.12 vs Last week: -.18 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-
62. Software
SWH: +.16 vs Last week: -.15 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 14+
63. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.19 vs Last week: +.34 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
64. Telecommunications
TTH: +.51 vs Last week: +.42 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 54-
65. Utilities
UTH: +.05 vs Last week: +.21 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 40-
66. Wireless
WMH: +.34 vs Last week: -.21 (High .55 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14/
67. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.00 vs Last week: -.00 (High .34 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41-
68. S&P Energy Select
XLE: +.05 vs Last week: -.02 (High .76 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 33-
69. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.12 vs Last week: +.11 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 66-
70. Technology
XLK: +.14 vs Last week: +.09 (High .34 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
71. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.07 vs Last week: +.09 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 36-
72. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.23 vs Last week: +.24 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 48-
73. Industrial Sector
XLY: +.01 vs Last week: -.08 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 41+

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Friday, August 11, 2006

Stock Market Expected To Move Lower

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Thursday 08-10-06: DJIA close 11,124.37 +48.19 vs. Prior day: 11,076.18 -97.41
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,052.63 -2.79 vs. Prior day: 11,047.34 -2.79
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday August 11 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 23%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 23% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend closed lower Thursday and Momentum moved higher as noted below. We view this as the beginning of the slide we have been expecting since last month. While the Stock Market was briefly oversold on Wednesday and had a snap-back reaction on Thursday, we expect many more down days before a selling climax occurs. We strongly advise Investors not to attempt to make money on any upside movement as the DJIA up-Trend has been broken and there are now more sellers than buyers. Be sure to catch our MktMetrics Weekly Analysis on Saturday. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 23% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.69% vs Yesterday 1.56% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.00% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 32.35% vs Yesterday 27.61% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 52.29% vs Yesterday 51.16% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.01 vs. Yesterday -.07 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Unchanged Today 60% vs. Yesterday 60% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 30.4% vs. Yesterday 24.3% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -58% vs. Yesterday -72% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, August 10, 2006

Stock Market Heading Lower

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Wednesday 08-9-06: DJIA close 11,076.18 -97.41 vs. Prior day: 11,173.59 -45.79
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,047.34 -2.79 vs. Prior day: 11,050.13 +3.34
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday August 10 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 81%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 81% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend moved down off of its recent ascent after having been flat for two days. We view this as the beginning of the slide we have been patiently waiting for to arrive. The "Nightly Analysis Update" performed for subscribers by MktMetrics illustrates that the Market wants to move lower over the coming weeks. While the Stock Market is briefly oversold, we expect many more down days before a selling climax occurs. We strongly advise Investors not to attempt to make money on any upside movement as the DJIA up-Trend has been broken and there are now more sellers than buyers. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 81% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 74% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.56% vs Yesterday 1.04% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.05% vs Yesterday .01% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 27.61% vs Yesterday 35.35% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 51.16% vs Yesterday 56.55% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.07 vs. Yesterday .01 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 60% vs. Yesterday 61% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 24.3% vs. Yesterday 31.1% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -33% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -72% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Stock Market Has More Sellers Than Buyers

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Tuesday 08-8-06: DJIA close 11,173.59 -45.79 vs. Prior day: 11,219.38 -20.97
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,050.13 +3.34 vs. Prior day: 11,046.79 +6.12
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday August 9 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 61%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 61% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged once again Tuesday. Even if the Stock Market moves up today, the Nightly Analysis Update performed for subscribers by MktMetrics illustrates that the Market wants to move lower over the coming weeks. Therefore, with less resistance to the downside, we strongly advise Investors not to get caught up in any upside movement that may occur today. Volume returned to the Market yesterday as there are now more sellers than buyers. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 61% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 81% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.04% vs Yesterday 0.59% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .02% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 35.35% vs Yesterday 39.00% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 56.55% vs Yesterday 58.97% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .01 vs. Yesterday .02 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 61% vs. Yesterday 59% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 31.1% vs. Yesterday 36.9% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -53% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 80% / Low -55%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, August 08, 2006

FOMC Meets RE: Interest Rate Decision

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Monday 08-7-06: DJIA close 11,219.38 -20.97 vs. Prior day: 11,240.35 -2.24
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,046.79 +6.12 vs. Prior day: 11,040.67 +0.72
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday August 8 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 58%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 58% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Monday and remains within 13% of its long term Trend, Range high. This we refer to as nose-bleed territory as often this area has a great deal of resistance for the DJIA moving forward. Today the Federal Open Market Committee meets and nothing much should happen until after the interest rate decision at 2:15PM EST. Then volatility sets in. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 58% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 81% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.59% vs Yesterday 1.26% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .02% vs Yesterday .00% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 39.00% vs Yesterday 37.68% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 58.97% vs Yesterday 59.06% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .02 vs. Yesterday -.02 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 59% vs. Yesterday 56% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 36.9% vs. Yesterday 38.9% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unchanged Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -47% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 80% / Low -55%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, August 07, 2006

Mondays Can Be Tough For Stock Market

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Friday 08-4-06: DJIA close 11,240.35 -2.24 vs. Prior day: 11,242.59 +42.66
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,040.67 +0.72 vs. Prior day: 11,039.95 +4.32
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday August 7 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 48%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 48% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend rose Friday and is now within 13% of its long term Trend, Range high. This we refer to as nose-bleed territory as often this area has a great deal of resistance for the DJIA moving forward. As we turn on our computers this morning we note that there has been a spike in oil prices, London stocks are down, and U.S. equity futures are down. Mondays should be a day of reflection to allow the Stock Market to point the direction for the next move. We are very negative in our thinking about any August upside movement. The pick up in volume last week was evidence of the Exchange Insiders initiating short positions to capitalize on the decline this month. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 48% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 81% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.26% vs Yesterday 1.27% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .00% vs Yesterday .02% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 37.68% vs Yesterday 39.45% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 59.06% vs Yesterday 57.84% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.02 vs. Yesterday .01 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 56% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 38.9% vs. Yesterday 44.5% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -44% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 80% / Low -55%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 34% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, August 05, 2006

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Saturday, August 5, 2006
Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistently accurate daily results. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating at wholesale and distributing at retail, their stock inventory for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57

DJIA- Week Ending August 4, 2006
MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:


DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 56% vs Last week: 46% (High 84% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 11,240.35 vs Last week: 11,219.70 +20.65 / Prior week: +351.32
21-day M/A: 11,040.67 vs Last week: 11,038.37 +2.30 / Prior week: +29.79
DJIA Trend: Rising 81% vs Last week: 65% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 39% vs Last week: 42% (High 88% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.17% vs Last week: 0.17% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 11,234 vs Last week: 11,232
DJIA Resistance: Rising Intermediate Term 11,427 vs Last week: 11,425
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 10,847 vs Last week: 10,845
DJIA Support: Rising Intermediate Term 10,654 vs Last week: 10,652
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 45% vs Last week: 48% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: +0.7 vs Last week: +11.7 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
21-Day M/A Price A/D Line: +155 vs Last week: +287 (High 647 / Low -455)
21-Day M/A Volume A/D Line: -157 vs Last week: -85 (High 188/ Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: 1.81% vs Last week: 1.64% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): BUY(+) vs Last week: BUY (+)
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): +112 vs Last week: +131 (High 255 / Low -202)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 85 vs Last week: 75 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 75 vs Last week: 55 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Today vs 50-Day M/A Volume: 1.0 vs Last week: 1.0 (High 1.4 / Low 0.4)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising 38.9% vs Last week: 34.7% (93.9 / Low 8.0%)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling .00% vs Last week: .02%(High .19%/Low -.24%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 37.7 vs Last week: 34.8 (High 58.3 / Low 18.7)
Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising 59.1 vs Last week: 55.3 (High 71.5 / 31.3)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling -.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .35 / -.41)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 82 vs Last week: 79 (High 124 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Falling -.15 vs Last week: +.01 (High +.78 / Low -.71)
*********************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.05 vs Last week: +.13 (High .62 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 70+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.09 vs Last week: +.20 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 62+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.17 vs Last week: +.02 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.10 vs Last week: +.11 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 63+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.15 vs Last week: -.11 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.14 vs Last week: +.38 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85+
2. Broadband
BDH: -.42 vs Last week: -.41 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.08 vs Last week: +.01 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 74+
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF
DBC: +.17 vs Last week: +.30 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
5. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.13 vs Last week: +.58 (High .84 / Low -.116) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
6. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.19 vs Last week: +.43 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
7. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.02 vs Last week: +.39 (High .35 / Low -31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94+
8. Canada
EWC: -.04 vs Last week: +.02 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66+
9. Sweden
EWD: -.06 vs Last week: +.13 (High .56 / Low -.26) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 68-
10. Germany
EWG: +.02 vs Last week: +.27 (High .61 / Low -.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
11. Hong Kong
EWH: +.15 vs Last week: +.34 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71-
12. Japan
EWJ: +.05 vs Last week: +.09 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
13. Belgium
EWK: +.36 vs Last week: +.34 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
14. Malaysia
EWM: -.03 vs Last week: +.12 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
15. Netherlands
EWN: +.21 vs Last week: +.22 (High .30 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
16. France
EWQ: -.13 vs Last week: -.01 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
17. Singapore
EWS: -.10 vs Last week: -.01 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75-
18. Taiwan
EWT: -.06 vs Last week: +.07 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77-
19. United Kingdom
EWU: +.02 vs Last week: +.40 (High .42 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
20. Mexico
EWW: +.09 vs Last week: +.48 (High .44 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
21. South Korea
EWY: +.01 vs Last week: +.32 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
22. Brazil
EWZ: +.18 vs Last week: +.33 (High .41 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
23. Xinhua China
FXI: -.04 vs Last week: +.40 (High .62 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89-
24.Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.16 vs Last week: +.48 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79+
25. Internet
HHH: -.49 vs Last week: -.55 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 09+
26. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.07 vs Last week: -.14 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21+
27. Comex Gold
IAU: +.19 vs Last week: +.52 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 62-
28. Biotechnology
IBB: -.13 vs Last week: +.12 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 43-
29. Utilities
IDU: +.34 vs Last week: +.43 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
30. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.14 vs Last week: +.53 (High .54 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
31. Natural Resources
IGE: +.16 vs Last week: +.37 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77+
32. Networking
IGN: -.33 vs Last week: -.35 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 04+
33. Software
IGV: +.09 vs Last week: +.02 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50+
34. Semiconductor
IGW: -.17 vs Last week: -.18 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
35. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.12 vs Last week: +.04 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
36. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.08 vs Last week: +.03 (High .42 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84+
37. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.11 vs Last week: -.17 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
38. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.05 vs Last week: +.24 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87+
39. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.16 vs Last week: +.78 (High .98 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 16-
40. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.11 vs Last week: +.15 (High .53 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 03-
41. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.10 vs Last week: +.43 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
42. Global Financial
IXG: +.21 vs Last week: +.38 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
43. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.38 vs Last week: -.12 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
44. Energy
IYE: -.00 vs Last week: +.33 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 36/
45. Healthcare
IYH: +.02 vs Last week: +.19 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 62-
46. Industrial
IYJ: -.19 vs Last week: -.04 (High .41 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 82+
47. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.11 vs Last week: +.36 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
48. Basic Materials
IYM: -.16 vs Last week: +.06 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81-
49. Real Estate
IYR: +.33 vs Last week: +.43 (High .62 / Low -.38) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89+
50. Transportation
IYT: -.44 vs Last week: -.19 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76-
51. Technology
IYW: -.21 vs Last week: -.04 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 02-
52. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.23 vs Last week: +.19 (High .30 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
53. Oil Services
OIH: -.44 vs Last week: -.03 (High 1.63/ Low -.129) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-
54. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.11 vs Last week: +.03 (High .31 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 95+
55. Pharmaceutical
PPH: +.38 vs Last week: +.68 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
56. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.18 vs Last week: -.00 (High .22 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43-
57. Regional Bank
RKH: +.50 vs Last week: +.54 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 42+
58. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.14 vs Last week: -.01 (High .35 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12-
59. Retail
RTH: -.11 vs Last week: -.20 (High .58 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10+
60. Silver Trust
SLV: +.40 vs Last week: +.73 (High .91 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 32+
61. Semiconductor
SMH: -.18 vs Last week: -.16 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 05-
62. Software
SWH: -.15 vs Last week: -.13 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10+
63. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.34 vs Last week: +.37 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
64. Telecommunications
TTH: +.42 vs Last week: +.17 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 55+
65. Utilities
UTH: +.21 vs Last week: +.58 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 49-
66. Wireless
WMH: -.21 vs Last week: -.19 (High .55 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14+
67. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.00 vs Last week: +.09 (High .34 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
68. S&P Energy Select
XLE: -.02 vs Last week: +.19 (High .76 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 46-
69. S&P Financial Select
XLF: +.11 vs Last week: +.21 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
70. Technology
XLK: +.09 vs Last week: +.12 (High .34 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19-
71. Consumer Staples
XLP: +.09 vs Last week: +.07 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 55+
72. Healthcare Select
XLV: +.24 vs Last week: +.39 (High .37 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 56-
73. Industrial Sector
XLY: -.08 vs Last week: +.02 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 20-

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Friday, August 04, 2006

Stock Market To Commence Selling Scenario

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does!

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Thursday 08-3-06: DJIA close 11,242.59 +42.66 vs. Prior day: 11,199.93 +74.20
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,039.95 +4.32 vs. Prior day: 11,035.63 -1.33
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday August 4 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 35%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend declined Wednesday, but turned up on Thursday. We stated that "The DJIA Trend topped out and is expected to descend over the balance of August as predicted by Gale Financial Market Econometrics" yesterday. The news of a peaceful conclusion to the Mid-East crisis as reported by the White House yesterday fueled a rally. Our opinion is that this event and increased volume allowed the Exchange Insiders to initiate short positions for the coming decline, which, we feel will begin today. It is common practice for the Exchange Insiders and their preferred customers to exit their significant long holdings first, and then shift their inventory to short positions to profit from a decline. So the stage has been set for the Stock Market to give way to significant losses for those that own stock and are not short the Market. It is important not to add any new capital to the Stock Market until the end of August. This calamity will not subside until Friday, September 1 prior to the traditional Labor Day holiday. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.27% vs Yesterday 0.40% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .02% vs Yesterday -.01% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 39.45% vs Yesterday 35.71% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 57.84% vs Yesterday 55.71% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .01 vs. Yesterday -.03 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 44.5% vs. Yesterday 37.1% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -38% vs. Yesterday -55% (High 80% / Low -55%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, August 03, 2006

Stock Market: Time For Summer Vacation

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does!

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.
Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Wednesday 08-2-06: DJIA close 11,199.93 +74.20 vs. Prior day: 11,125.73 -59.95
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,035.63 -1.33 vs. Prior day: 11,036.96 -1.17
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday August 3 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 35%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend declined Wednesday. The DJIA Trend has now "topped out" and is expected to descend over the balance of August as predicted by Gale Financial Market Econometrics. Yesterday's rally set the stage for the Stock Market to give way to significant losses for those that own stock and are not short the Market. We reported this to our viewers last month when the Exchange Insiders had positioned themselves for this event. So it is important not to add any new capital to the Stock Market until the end of August. There is a very high probabiliy there will be a significant rise on Friday, September 1 for the traditional Labor Day holiday. Now would be a good time to go on vacation and forget about investing. The Transportation Index has made a new Trend low as noted below. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 35% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 35% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.40% vs Yesterday 0.32% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.01% vs Yesterday .01% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 35.71% vs Yesterday 33.61% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 55.71% vs Yesterday 54.81% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.03 vs. Yesterday -.04 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 51% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 37.1% vs. Yesterday 31.2% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Unchanged Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Unchanged Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -55% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 80% / Low -55%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 31% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, August 02, 2006

Transports May Rally Stock Market Today

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does!

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

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Tuesday 08-1-06: DJIA close 11,125.73 -34.02 vs. Prior day: 11,185.68 -34.02
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,036.96 -1.17 vs. Prior day: 11,038.13 -0.24
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday August 2 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 77%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 77% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend rose Tuesday. The DJIA Trend has risen the past two trading days while the DJIA has gone down. This we view is positive going into Wednesday. Also, Wednesdays are typically the most positive trading day of the week. So our forecast of a down August may be stalled once again by a day. The Transportation Index has made a new Trend low as noted below. This bell weather index may have a snap-back rally of some sort today. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 77% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.32% vs Yesterday -0.22% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .01% vs Yesterday -.03% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 33.61% vs Yesterday 33.58% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 54.81% vs Yesterday 55.71% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.04 vs. Yesterday -.06 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 51% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 31.2% vs. Yesterday 35.5% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Unchanged Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -53% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 80% / Low -53%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 41% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, August 01, 2006

Weak Transports Negative For Stock Market

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does!

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage

Monday 07-31-06: DJIA close 11,185.68 -34.02 vs. Prior day: 11,219.70 +119.27
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,038.13 -0.24 vs. Prior day: 11,038.37 +11.72
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday August 1 Stock Market Forecast
*DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 65%

(*Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 65% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend rose Monday. Today, marks the first day of a new month of trading. Often, the first day of the month is positive. Whether or not today will be positive, we are negative on the Stock Market for the month of August. We now expect to see selling pressure to set in over the coming weeks to bring prices much lower in order for the Exchange Insiders to accumulate stocks at wholesale levels. The recent weakness of the Transportation Index confirms our thinking. Good luck and Good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 65% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 87% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -0.22% vs Yesterday 0.17% (High 2.35% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.03% vs Yesterday .02% (High .19% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.03
Institutional Demand: Falling Today 33.58% vs Yesterday 34.77% (High 58.32% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 38.49
Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 55.71% vs Yesterday 55.32% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 48.34
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.06 vs. Yesterday .03 (High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 49% vs. Yesterday 46% (High 86% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 35.5% vs. Yesterday 34.7% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

******************************************************************************
10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 62% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 62% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 85% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -41% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 80% / Low -51%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 34% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 61% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 62% / Low -45%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 31% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
Subscription discounts available for Corporate Accounts and Trading Rooms

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
We're not always right, just very seldom wrong.