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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: March 2007

Saturday, March 31, 2007

MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 42%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 51%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 71% from 77% the previous day

(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

STRONG BUY
Our "Best" POSITIVE Stocks (strong accumulaton confirmed by upward trend)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) Statistics for 4-2-07 Monday's Open
1. AYE OFV: 49.10
2. CMTL OFV: 38.33
3. DNB OFV: 91.04
4. ED OFV: 50.96
5. FPIC OFV: 43.37
6. GIS OFV: 57.96
7. GLBL OFV: 18.05
8. IJH OFV: 84.48
9. IYH OFV: 66.63
10. IYK OFV: 60.28
11. KFT OFV: 31.46
12. KMB OFV: 68.48
13. KSS OFV: 76.53
14. LSI OFV: 10.26
15. MEDI OFV: 36.18
16. MFLO OFV: 15.01
17. MGAM OFV: 11.87
18. MTEX OFV: 15.91
19. MTSN OFV: 9.01
20. NLY OFV: 15.47
21. OKE OFV: 44.24
22. PETM OFV: 32.82
23. PRKR OFV: 13.05
24. RDK OFV: 29.99
25. RTRSY OFV: 55.03
26. SAFM OFV: 35.85
27. SCS OFV: 19.85
28. SPY OFV: 141.81
29. TESS OFV: 27.08
30. UNTD OFV: 14.00
31. URBN OFV: 26.22
32. USTR OFV: 59.60
33. VTIV OFV: 38.04


STRONG SELL
Our "Worst" NEGATIVE Stocks (unusual distribution confirmed by downward trend)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) Statistics for 4-2-07 Monday's Open
1. AMD OFV: 13.07
2. ANIK OFV: 12.50
3. AVCT OFV: 26.97
4. BDK OFV: 81.82
5. BHS OFV: 32.14
6. DXD OFV: 58.88
7. EK OFV: 22.71
8. FMT OFV: 7.15
9. IIH OFV: 5.14
10. JBLU OFV: 11.63
11. MRVL OFV: 16.92
12. MXIM OFV: 29.61
13. MZZ OFV: 56.70
14. NEM OFV: 42.34
15. NVDA OFV: 28.96
16. PTEN OFV: 22.57
17. QLGC OFV: 17.08
18. SMH OFV: 33.53
19. STU OFV: 186.37
20. TOL OFV: 27.57
21. TXN OFV: 30.30
22. WM OFV: 40.69
23. DJ OFV: 34.50
24. VRTX OFV: 28.18
25. WFC OFV: 34.47
26. XLNX OFV: 25.68


Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 30, 2007
Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) Intermediate Trading Range:
High 12,845.76 - Low 9,961.52 = Range: 2,884.24

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 69% vs Last week: 57% (High 88% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 12,354.35 vs Last week: 12,481.01 -126.66 / Prior week: +370.60
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,271.59 vs Last week: 12,276.31 -4.72 / Prior week: -87.58
DJIA Trend: Falling 74% vs Last week: 84% (High 94% / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 52% vs Last week: 74% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.27% vs Last week: 0.68% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,486 vs Last week 12,493 -7 vs Last week: -87
DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 12,701 vs Last week 12,706
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,057 vs Last week: 12,061 -4 / Last week: -86
DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 11,842 vs Last week: 12,847
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 48% vs Last week: 55% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising 5.7 vs Last week: -9.8 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising +207 vs Last week: +149 (High 647 / Low -455)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -81 vs Last week: -150 (High 188 / Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling +0.7% vs Last week: +1.7% (High 4.4% / Low -3.8%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Falling BUY- vs Last week: BUY+
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling +22 vs Last week: +152 (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 67 vs Last week: 64 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: Falling 52 vs Last week: 71 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume Today vs 50-Day Moving Average: Falling 0.9 vs Last week: 1.2 (High 1.6 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling 68.2% vs Last week: 75.8% (100.0% / Low 8.0%)

Institutional Stastistical Trends:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .05% vs Last week: .01% (High .19% / Low -.24%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 66.4 vs Last week: 65.2 (High 86.8 / Low 18.7)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 56.6 vs Last week: 62.4 (High 79.0 / 25.2)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising .04 vs Last week: -.04 (High .35/-.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 147 vs Last week: 142 (High 147 / Low 68)

Speculation Indicator Index: Rising -.208 vs Last week: -.274 (High +1.378 / Low -1.391)

1-Yr. H-Yield National CD Rate: Unch 5.13% vs Last week: 5.13% (5.61 / Low 2.19%)
Diamonds Trust Current Yield: Rising 2.69% vs Last week: 2.66% (2.74 / Low 1.31%)*****************************************************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis:
Symbol/Trend +/- (Historic High-Low)/Rating/Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.14 vs Last week: -.09 (High .70 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.11 vs Last week: -.15 (High .73 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.19 vs Last week: -.08 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100/
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.16 vs Last week: -.01 (High .71 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100/
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.04 vs Last week: -.13 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.15 vs Last week: -.46 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 46-
2. Broadband
BDH: +.23 vs Last week: +.19 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.09 vs Last week: -.09 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.32 vs Last week: +.14 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
5. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: +.09 vs Last week: -.21 (High .64 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 82+
6. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.17 vs Last week: -.00 (High .34 / Low -.17) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100/
7. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: -.13 vs Last week: +.09 (High .64 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
8. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF
EEB: -.08 vs Last week: +.13 (High .68 / Low -.24) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 93/
9. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.48 vs Last week: -.03 (High .84 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
10. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.24 vs Last week: +.03 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
11. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.54 vs Last week: +.24 (High .71 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97/
12. Australia
EWA: +.01 vs Last week: -.07 (High .34 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57-
13. Canada
EWC: -.04 vs Last week: -.14 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 15-
14. Sweden
EWD: +.36 vs Last week: +.13 (High .66 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
15. Germany
EWG: +.20 vs Last week: +.09 (High .61 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
16. Hong Kong
EWH: -.09 vs Last week: -.19 (High .43 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68+
17. Italy
EWI: +.13 vs Last week: -.14 (High .24 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
18. Japan
EWJ: +.05 vs Last week: +.11 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
19. Belgium
EWK: -.01 vs Last week: -.13 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72-
20. Switzerland
EWL: +.02 vs Last week: -.01 (High .64 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 73-
21. Malaysia
EWM: +.15 vs Last week: +.19 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
22. Netherlands
EWN: +.23 vs Last week: +.12 (High .61 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
23. Austria
EWO: +.38 vs Last week: +.21 (High .49 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
24. France
EWQ: +.16 vs Last week: +.05 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
25. Singapore
EWS: +.16 vs Last week: +.13 (High .38 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
26. Taiwan
EWT: +.07 vs Last week: -.06 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
27. United Kingdom
EWU: +.02 vs Last week: -.04 (High .69 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
28. Mexico
EWW: +.40 vs Last week: -.03 (High .50 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
29. South Korea
EWY: +.05 vs Last week: -.07 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 89+
30. Brazil
EWZ: +.43 vs Last week: +.19 (High .65 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
31. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: +.25 vs Last week: -.24 (High 1.26 / Low -.46) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 91-
32. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.16 vs Last week: -.32 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3+
33. Internet
HHH: +.13 vs Last week: -.08 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 84+
34. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.43 vs Last week: +.30 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
35. Comex Gold
IAU: -.01 vs Last week: -.18 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
36. Biotechnology
IBB: -.08 vs Last week: -.40 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34-
37. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -1.67 vs Last week: -2.00 (High 1.76/Low -2.00)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4-
38. Utilities
IDU: +.41 vs Last week: +.33 (High .78 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
39. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.35 vs Last week: -.09 (High .81 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
40. Natural Resources
IGE: +.33 vs Last week: +.08 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
41. Networking
IGN: +.28 vs Last week: +.02 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76/
42. Software
IGV: +.14 vs Last week: +.08 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50+
43. Semiconductor
IGW: -.22 vs Last week: -.11 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71-
44. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.35 vs Last week: -.14 (High .37 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
45. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.24 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
46. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.20 vs Last week: +.04 (High .66 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
47. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.14 vs Last week: -.00 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100/
48. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.87 vs Last week: +.04 (High 1.19 / Low -.60)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
49. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: +.08 vs Last week: -.23 (High .79 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 82+
50. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.12 vs Last week: +.08 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
51. Global Financial
IXG: +.28 vs Last week: +.11 (High .79 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
52. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.09 vs Last week: -.08 (High .78 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
53. Energy
IYE: +.39 vs Last week: +.20 (High .79 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 40-
54. Healthcare
IYH: +.12 vs Last week: +.03 (High .46 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
55. Industrial
IYJ: -.09 vs Last week: -.15 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
56. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.03 vs Last week: -.09 (High .58 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
57. Basic Materials
IYM: -.086 vs Last week: -.06 (High .69 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-
58. Real Estate
IYR: -.21 vs Last week: -.34 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38-
59. Transportation
IYT: -.03 vs Last week: -.06 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72-
60. U.S. Technology
IYW: +.09 vs Last week: -.14 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85-
61. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: +.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 94/
62. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.07 vs Last week: +.20 (High .43 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
63. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: -.21 vs Last week: +.01 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0/
64. NYSE Group, Inc.
NYX: +0.43 vs Last week: -0.49 (High 1.77 / Low -1.20 Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 11+
65. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -0.17 vs Last week: -0.31 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4+
66. Oil Services
OIH: +.56 vs Last week: +.39 (High 1.63/Low -1.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
67. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.16 vs Last week: +.09 (High .66 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
68. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: +.08 vs Last week: -.03 (High .49 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 91+
69. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.14 vs Last week: -.19 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75+
70. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: -.19 vs Last week: +.06 (High .56 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 3-
71. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: +.08 vs Last week: -.33 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
72. Regional Banks
RKH: -.22 vs Last week: -.40 (High .88 / Low -.66) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50-
73. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.00 vs Last week: -.03 (High .41 / Low -.39) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
74. Retail
RTH: -.01 vs Last week: -.09 (High .60 / Low -.58) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97/
75. ULTRA SHORT S&P500 Power Shares
SDS: -.10 vs Last week: +.11 (High .64 / Low: -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 4-
76. Silver Trust
SLV: -.06 vs Last week: -.54 (High 1.08 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90+
77. Semiconductor
SMH: -.22 vs Last week: -.21 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
78. Software
SWH: +.17 vs Last week: +.27 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
79. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.24 vs Last week: -.05 (High .53 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
80. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: +.12 vs Last week: +.14 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88+
81. Utilities
UTH: +.40 vs Last week: +.34 (High .75 / Low -.71) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75+
82. Wireless
WMH: +.07 vs Last week: -.08 (High .69 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92-
83. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.31 vs Last week: -.32 (High .69 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
84. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.02 vs Last week: +.13 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
85. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.03 vs Last week: -.03 (High .76 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41
86. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.07 vs Last week: -.07 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88
87. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.21 vs Last week: +.21 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100
88. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.09 vs Last week: +.09 (High .40 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99
89. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.24 vs Last week: +.24 (High .40 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 63-
90. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.10 vs Last week: +.12 (High .48 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
91. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.03 vs Last week: -.12 (High .52 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86/
92. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.21 vs Last week: +.14 (High .77 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"
MktMetrics does.

Advertised: TraderDaily.com and Institutional Investor Magazine
Total Number of Blogs Archived: 792 Since March 2005

Friday, March 30, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks To Avoid Friday

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Friday is 16%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Friday is 67%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 77% from 81% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Negative (on the day) because Fridays have lately been poor performers and the DJIA Trend turned down on Wednesday. The Stock Market remains overbought as well.

Today we focus on the stocks in our universe that have been under consistent distribution lately.

"Our Worst NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Friday 3-30-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Friday's Open
1. ALTR OFV: 20.25
2. AMD OFV: 13.22
3. AMN OFV: 64.73
4. ANIK OFV: 12.53
5. AVCT OFV: 26.94
6. BDK OFV: 81.72
7. BHS OFV: 32.33
8. BRCM OFV: 31.23
9. FMT OFV: 7.57
10. FRE OFV: 59.91
11. HOV OFV: 25.65
12. IBN OFV: 39.76
13. KBH OFV: 43.18
14. KMX OFV: 25.96
15. MAS OFV: 27.32
16. MCHP OFV: 35.56
17. MRVL OFV: 16.98
18. MXIM OFV: 30.11
19. NSM OFV: 23.93
20. NVDA OFV: 29.01
21. QLGC OFV: 17.08
22. RYL OFV: 43.15
23. SMH OFV: 33.66
24. TOL OFV: 27.80
25. USG OFV: 46.86
26. XHB OFV: 32.78
27. AGP OFV: 30.11
28. AMGN OFV: 55.80
29. IIH OFV: 5.13
30. LUV OFV: 14.63
31. NATI OFV: 26.02
32. PSB OFV: 70.20
33. SBUX OFV: 31.34
34. STU OFV: 186.35
35. WWY OFV: 50.88

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/30/07
Last Updated: 03/29/07
03/29/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.72
(High) 123.72
(Low) 122.56
(Close) 123.38
(Range) 1.16

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.24 vs. Prior day OFV: 123.04
Today's Predicted High: 123.80
Today's Predicted Low: 122.97
Today's Proposed Range: 0.83
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 68 Up from 64
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.90/0.88 Up
Current Trend: Positive 17 Unch
Demand Factor: 100 Up from 95
Stock Volatility: 1.82 Up from 1.00

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/29/07 12:45 Close: 123.09 vs. Prior day: 123.33
Upside Potential: 124.40 vs. Prior day: 123.94
Downside Potential: 122.74 vs. Prior day: 121.46

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 125.01
2. 125.85
3. 126.19
4. 126.19

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 121.25
2. 121.25
3. 120.91
4. 120.11

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.86
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.63
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.65
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.44
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.56
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.57
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.59
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.90

DIA probability "Up%" Friday= 16%
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday= 67%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 77% vs. 81% the previous day

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DJIA Trend Is Pointing Downward

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Thursday 3-29-07: DJIA closed 12,348.75 +48.39 vs. Prior day: 12,330.36 -66.93
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,265.88 +3.82 vs. Prior day: 12,262.06 +5.43
(the DJIA closed above its 21-day moving average, rising yet decreasing)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 30 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 16%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 67%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 16% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend decreased to 77% from 81% the previous day. The DJIA Trend has been rising non-stop since March 15th, but reversed its course on Wednesday. We stated in Thursday's Blog: "This is something to seriously take into consideration as Wednesday's posting of 87% was close to its decade old high of 94% and suddenly halted." MktMetrics posted a rating change on Wednesday to Buy from Sell for the DIA as the DJIA prior week gain of 371 points forced this ETF into higher ground. Today is Friday, which is typically the worst performing day of the week. To add to today's situation, the DJIA Trend is decreasing. We would like to add to the equation that this is a five-week Futures and Options Expiration cycle. So the Stock Market has witnessed powerful volatility during the first two weeks with three more to go. We expect the end of the first quarter with portfolio adjustments should provide increased volume and volatility. And, the beginning of a new month is next week and earnings season begins as well. A weatherman would liken this period to a hurricane with forces joining from all directions. But the key will always remain: What are the Exchange Insiders and Institutional Investors (Smart Money) doing with their inventory? See below and keep a sharp eye on the stats. Be sure to catch the Weekly Edition of MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis and Weekly Stocks in Review on Saturday. The Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell will be published on Sunday. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 67% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 77% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 52% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 61% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.85% vs Yesterday 0.61% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unch Today .07% vs Yesterday .07% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet neutral.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 64.35% vs Yesterday 62.00% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 56.45% vs Yesterday 56.90% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unch Today .05% vs Yesterday .05%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet neutral.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish, yet Unch Today 71% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 66.7% vs Yesterday 61.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unch Today 5.13% vs Yesterday 5.13% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics:
Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DIA: Unch Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -2 (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 49% vs. Yesterday 46% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 41% / Low -33%)

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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 29, 2007

Positive Trending Stocks for Thursday

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Thursday is 94%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Thursday is 58%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 81% from 87% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Positive (on the day) as even though the Stock Market is under distribution, today looks attractive represents a one-day (and potentially two days) short-term reversal. However, we must caution our viewers that the DJIA Trend has reversed itself and is now declining. The Stock Market remains overbought as well.

Today we focus on only the best stocks in our Directory. However, we are seeing that fewer stocks are performing poorly, which could indicate that the Stock Market is one-sided and should expect a correction sooner than later, if we are not already in a correction period now.

"Our Best POSITIVE Trending" Stocks for Thursday 3-29-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Thursday's Open
1. ADTN OFV: 24.06
2. CB OFV: 51.55
3. CMTL OFV: 38.05
4. HRH OFV: 48.62
5. IJH OFV: 84.37
6. JEF OFV: 28.81
7. KR OFV: 28.34
8. KRON OFV: 53.30
9. KSS OFV: 75.42
10. NLY OFV: 15.16
11. NUAN OFV: 15.47
12. PANL OFV: 14.49
13. PRGS OFV: 31.47
14. PRKR OFV: 13.24
15. RDK OFV: 29.89
16. RTRSY OFV: 54.26
17. RUBO OFV: 10.77
18. SBAC OFV: 29.23
19. SBGI OFV: 15.46
20. SCS OFV: 19.70
21. SVM OFV: 15.37
22. TDS OFV: 58.81
23. VTIV OFV: 37.68
24. WFR OFV: 61.05

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/29/07
Last Updated: 03/28/07
03/28/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.26
(High) 123.61
(Low) 122.45
(Close) 122.89
(Range) 1.16

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.04/Prior day OFV: 124.26
Today's Predicted High: 123.51
Today's Predicted Low: 122.27
Today's Proposed Range: 1.24
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy (up from sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 64 Down from 70
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.50/0.90 Up
Current Trend: Positive 17 Up from -8
Demand Factor: 95 Down from 99
Stock Volatility: 1.00 Up from -0.89

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/28/07 12:45 Close: 123.33 vs. Prior day: 123.93
Upside Potential: 123.94 vs. Prior day: 125.16
Downside Potential: 121.46 vs. Prior day: 122.56

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.90
2. 125.35
3. 125.73
4. 126.08

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 121.14
2. 120.79
3. 120.43
4. 120.00

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.71
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.59
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.78
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.47
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.61
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.58
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.52
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.83

DIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 94%
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 58%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 81% vs. 87% the previous day

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DJIA Has High Probability To Be "Up" Thursday

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 3-28-07: DJIA closed 12,330.36 -66.93 vs. Prior day: 12,397.29 -71.78
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,262.06 +5.43 vs. Prior day: 12,256.63 -11.19
(the DJIA closed above its rising 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 29 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 94%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 58%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 94% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend decreased to 81% from 87% the previous day. The DJIA Trend has been rising non-stop since March 15th and has now reversed its course. This is something to seriously take into consideration as Wednesday's posting of 87% was close to its decade old high and suddenly halted. MktMetrics posted a 94% probability to be up today after three consecutive down days, and has also rendered a change to Buy from Sell for the DIA. The end of the first quarter with portfolio adjustments should provide increased volume and volatility. The beginning of a new month is next week and earnings season begins as well. Should the DJIA approach the 12,600 level, we believe the Stock Market could turn ugly. Often, when the DJIA Trend changes direction as it now has, there is a meaningful one-day rally to suck in the uninformed. Today could be that day of short term contentment. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 58% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 81% vs. Yesterday 87% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.61% vs Yesterday 0.14% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .07% vs Yesterday .03% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 62.00% vs Yesterday 65.87% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 56.90% vs Yesterday 61.97% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .05% vs Yesterday -.03%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 69% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling Today 61.7% vs Yesterday 70.8% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unch Today 5.13% vs Yesterday 5.13% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 28% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -12 (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 46% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.MktMetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Wednesday To Avoid

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Wednesday is 81%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Wednesday is 65%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 87% from 84% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Neutral (on the day) as the Stock Market is under distribution, but today is Wednesday and represents the most postive day of the week for traders. We do not have a major Sell signal and the DJIA Trend remains Positive and rising.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working for the Bulls and should be avoided. We are seeing that fewer stocks are performing poorly, which could indicate that the Stock Market is one-sided and should expect a correction sooner than later, if we are not already in a pickle right now. We view the Stock Market as "overbought" that could rupture anytime.

"Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Wednesday 3-28-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Wednesday's Open
1. AMD OFV: 13.56
2. AMGN OFV: 56.78
3. AMN OFV: 65.74
4. BCRX OFV: 8.09
5. BHS OFV: 32.15
6. EK OFV: 23.10
7. FFIV OFV: 68.55
8. FMT OFV: 7.70
9. HYSL OFV: 51.63
10. IIH OFV: 5.22
11. JBLU OFV: 11.79
12. JNJ OFV: 60.09
13. MXIM OFV: 31.17
14. MXWL OFV: 13.21
15. NDAQ OFV: 29.50
16. OSIP OFV: 32.67
17. USG OFV: 48.45
18. VRTX OFV: 28.17
19. NSM OFV: 24.69
20. STU OFV: 186.54
21. WWY OFV: 50.94
22. BDK OFV: 83.03
23. PPD OFV: 50.05
24. WFC OFV: 34.62
25. ANIK OFV: 12.65
26. BRCM OFV: 32.23
27. DJ OFV: 34.32
28. OSI OFV: 39.55
29. QLGC OFV: 17.41
30. STN OFV: 86.45
31. RMBS OFV: 21.70
32. SMH OFV: 34.30
33. AZN OFV: 54.12
34. GLD OFV: 65.75
35. PLXS OFV: 16.88
36. TOL OFV: 28.31
37. ASVI OFV: 15.06

38. CAG OFV: 24.78
39. CTX OFV: 42.52
40. ERTS OFV: 51.36
41. LCBM OFV: 17.13
42. LUV OFV: 14.87
43. NEWP OFV: 16.41
44. NVDA OFV: 30.04
45. PHM OFV: 26.78
46. AVCT OFV: 27.41
47. CCU OFV: 35.27
48. MRK OFV: 43.77
49. TRC OFV: 47.44
50. PSB OFV: 70.47
51. SBUX OFV: 31.81
52. WEN OFV: 31.52
53. CYBE OFV: 13.91
54. DHI OFV: 22.35
55. IBN OFV: 40.08
56. XLNX OFV: 26.10

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/28/07
Last Updated: 03/27/07
03/27/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.21
(High) 124.23
(Low) 123.66
(Close) 123.89
(Range) 0.57

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.97/Prior day OFV: 124.26
Today's Predicted High: 124.54
Today's Predicted Low: 123.24
Today's Proposed Range: 1.30
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 70 Down from 71
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.78 Up
Current Trend: Negative -8 Down from -7
Demand Factor: 99 Down from 100
Stock Volatility: -0.89 Down from 0.90

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/27/07 12:45 Close: 123.93 vs. Prior day: 124.06
Upside Potential: 125.16 vs. Prior day: 125.85
Downside Potential: 122.56 vs. Prior day: 123.21

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 126.13
2. 126.37
3. 126.69
4. 126.71

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 121.75
2. 121.73
3. 121.41
4. 121.19

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.48
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.53
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.91
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.51
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.66
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.60
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.46
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.76

DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 81%
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 65%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 87% vs. 84% the previous day

Become a MktMetrics.com subscriber and receive this information daily for any stock or ETF within our Stock Directory today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Stock Market Should See Higher Prices Today

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 3-27-07: DJIA closed 12,397.29 -71.78 vs. Prior day: 12,469.07 -11.94
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,256.63 -11.19 s. Prior day: 12,267.82 -8.49
(the DJIA closed above its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 28 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 81%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 65%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 81% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend increased to 87% from 84% the previous day. The DJIA has recently been opening lower, but still shows that demand at the close is favorable. The end of the first quarter with portfolio adjustments should provide increased volume and volatility. Furthermore, the beginning of a new month is next week with earnings to be announced beginning with Alcoa. This is all quite favorable for a Bull Market. But are we in a Bull Market or a distribution phase? We think the latter is the situation. We believe that the push to the DJIA 12,800 from our original 12,400 prediction in February was froth. Should the DJIA approach the 12,600 level next week, we believe the froth will be over and the Stock Market will turn ultra ugly. We are turning negative because today the DJIA Trend is at 87% and the high recorded for the past decade is 94%. Plus, consider that 100% is the apex. The Exchange Insiders need to coordinate not only their inventory, but also their favored large institutions they represent. So with inflows and outflows, this is truly a grand design of inventory merchandising, just like retail department stores must perform. The process is nothing new and has been in place since 1792 when the Buttonwood Agreement was signed by 24 Brokers on the curb of Buttonwood Alley in NY. Today is Wednesday and is typically the best day of the week to raise prices. Monday and Tuesday's pull-back on low volume was necessary in order to raise prices today. We're not always right, but it just seems like the right thing for the Exchange Insiders to do at this stage of the game. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 65% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 87% vs. Yesterday 84% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 68% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.14% vs Yesterday 0.80% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unch Today .03% vs Yesterday .03% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet no increase.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 65.87% vs Yesterday 68.13% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 61.97% vs Yesterday 63.87% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.03% vs Yesterday -.02%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed at its Mean, negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 69% vs. Yesterday 65% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, yet Falling Today 70.8% vs Yesterday 75.2% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Rising Today 5.13% vs Yesterday 5.12% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish / Below 0% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Unch Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -8 (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 34% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.MktMetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Tuesday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Tuesday is 45%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Tuesday is 57%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 84% from 84% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Negative (on the day) as last week's rally met our objective of DJIA 12,500 Resistance. The U.S. Stock Market most likely will see selling today. We do not have a major Sell signal and the DJIA Trend has not changed from Positive to Negative, yet.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working for the Bulls and should be avoided. We are seeing that fewer stocks are performing poorly, which could indicate that the Stock Market is one-sided and could expect a correction sooner than later. We view the Stock Market as "overbought."

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Tuesday 3-27-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Tuesday's Open
1. AMD OFV: 13.56
2. AMLN OFV: 36.76
3. AMN OFV: 66.95
4. CTX OFV: 43.34
5. DHI OFV: 23.06
6. FMT OFV: 8.28
7. EK OFV: 23.43
8. HYSL OFV: 51.65
9. JBLU OFV: 11.93
10. JNJ OFV: 60.38
11. KBH OFV: 46.30
12. LEN OFV: 44.97
13. MXIM OFV: 31.31
14. MXWL OFV: 13.19
15. NDAQ OFV: 29.55
16. NYT OFV: 23.61
17. STU OFV: 188.14
18. TOL OFV: 29.03
19. HOV OFV: 27.05
20. PHM OFV: 27.21
21. WWY OFV: 51.48
22. XHB OFV: 34.29
23. LCBM OFV: 17.36
24. USG OFV: 49.46
25. ANIK OFV: 12.73
26. BDK OFV: 84.16
27. DJ OFV: 34.39
28. LI OFV: 34.34
29. QLGC OFV: 17.13
30. STN OFV: 86.37
31. NSM OFV: 24.48
32. MU OFV: 11.64
33. OSI OFV: 39.54
34. OSIP OFV: 32.82
35. PLXS OFV: 16.91
36. RMBS OFV: 21.58

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/27/07
Last Updated: 03/26/07
03/26/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.75
(High) 124.75
(Low) 123.57
(Close) 124.36
(Range) 1.16

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 124.26 vs. Prior day: 124.67
Today's Predicted High: 125.02
Today's Predicted Low: 123.70
Today's Proposed Range: 1.32
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 71 Unch
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.77 Up
Current Trend: Negative -7 Up from -9
Demand Factor: 100 Up from 99
Stock Volatility: 0.90 Up from -0.12

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/26/07 12:45 Close: 124.06 vs. Prior day: 124.73
Upside Potential: 125.85 vs. Prior day: 125.70
Downside Potential: 123.21 vs. Prior day: 123.66

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 126.04
2. 126.85
3. 127.25
4. 127.25

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 122.26
2. 122.26
3. 121.87
4. 121.10

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.22
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.65
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.96
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.54
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.70
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.61
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.39
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.68

DIA probability "Up%" Monday= 45%
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday= 57%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% vs. 84% the previous day

Become a MktMetrics.com subscriber and receive this information daily for any stock or ETF within our Stock Directory today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Stock Market Is Currently Overbought

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-26-07: DJIA closed 12,469.07 -11.94 vs. Prior day: 12,481.01 +19.87
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,267.82 -8.49 vs. Prior day: 12,276.31 -9.76
(the DJIA closed above its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 27 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 45%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 57%

(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 45% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged at 84% from 84% the previous day. The DJIA has recently been opening lower, but still shows that demand at the close as favorable. The end of the first quarter is at hand and window dressing will kick in with increased activity as the DJIA Volatility is moving higher. We also wish to point out that the first week in April commences the second quarter Earnings Season. Whether the 12,500 level fends back new buying activity or a rally carries the DJIA to the 12,600 level, overhead supply will be a deterrent as the Stock Market is currently overbought. We are nervous about the Stock Market at this juncture and suggest backing away and not adding new capital until there is a pull-back to a bonafide support level. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 57% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 84% vs. Yesterday 84% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 71% vs. Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 48% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.80% vs Yesterday 0.68% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .03% vs Yesterday .01% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 68.13% vs Yesterday 65.23% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 63.87% vs Yesterday 62.42% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.02% vs Yesterday -.04%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, negative but increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 65% vs. Yesterday 57% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, but Falling Today 75.2% vs Yesterday 75.8% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unchanged Today 5.12% vs Yesterday 5.12% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish / Below 0% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Unch Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Unch Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -13 (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 41% / Low -33%)

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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 26, 2007

Trend Changing Stocks for Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 48%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 25%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% from 81% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook still remains in a Positive Trend.

Today we focus on stocks that are attempting to work higher and are coming off of a distribution phase that appears to be over.

Our "Trend Changing" Stocks that may attempt to move higher this week.
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Monday's Open)
1. AA OFV: 33.84
2. ADM OFV: 35.51
3. APD OFV: 75.40
4. ATK OFV: 88.69
4. BNI OFV: 81.55
5. BVF OFV: 21.74
6. COHR OFV: 30.73
7. DIA OFV: 124.67
8. EPIQ OFV: 19.84
9. FDX OFV: 111.61
10. FMC OBV: 77.64
10. GAS OFV: 48.82
11. ITW OFV: 52.68
12. KEX OFV: 35.70
13. KOMG OFV: 33.73
14. LMT OFV: 98.59
13. MMM OFV: 77.78
14. PCLN OFV: 54.27
15. PDCO OFV: 33.16
16. PDX OFV: 56.37
17. PH OFV: 86.72
18. RHT OFV: 24.17
19. RNE OFV: 36.03
20. SKT OFV: 40.56
21. SNA OFV: 49.62
22. UNP OFV: 102.42
23. WTS OFV: 38.51
24. XLF OFV: 36.19
25. YUM OFV: 59.29

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/26/07
Last Updated: 03/23/07
03/23/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.50
(High) 125.01
(Low) 124.37
(Close) 124.69
(Range) 0.64

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 124.67
Today's Predicted High: 125.20
Today's Predicted Low: 124.18
Today's Proposed Range:1.02
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 71 Up from 65
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.60/0.77 Down
Current Trend: Negative -9 Up from -14
Demand Factor: 99 Down from 100
Stock Volatility: -0.12 Down from -0.08

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/23/07 12:45 Close: 124.73 vs. 124.54
Upside Potential: 125.70 vs. Prior day: 125.61
Downside Potential: 123.66 vs. Prior day: 123.55

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 126.86
2. 126.99
3. 127.18
4. 127.51

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 122.51
2. 122.20
3. 122.01
4. 121.88

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.88
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.75
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.01
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.58
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.71
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.61
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.32
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.61

DIA probability "Up%" Monday= 48%
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday= 25%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% vs. 81% the previous day

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DJIA Remains Just Below 12,500 Resistance Level

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Friday 3-23-07: DJIA closed 12,481.01 +19.87 vs. Prior day: 12,461.14 +13.62
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,276.31 -9.76 vs. Prior day: 12,286.07 -13.21
(the DJIA closed above its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 26 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 48%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 25%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 48% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend increased to 84% from 81% the previous day. The DJIA Trend surged last week and remains Positive. However, it is now in what we call nose bleed territory. When the DJIA Trend reaches these upper levels, the DJIA in particular and the Stock Market in general may put forth a final push higher, or, can begin to weaken and change direction. Since time has taught us to wait to let the Market show what it wants to do, we must therefore continue with the existing Positive DJIA Trend. Interest rates continue to move lower, which could affect the Bond Market this week. This could mean that the economy is beginning to do poorly and the Fed will ultimately have to lower rates to correct the weakness. Today we begin with the DJIA still at Resistance of a declining downtrend from the February 20, 2007 all-time high. The NYSE A/D Line set a new high last Wednesday, but flattened on Thursday and Friday with little change. Weakness could begin to set in as we have noticed that volume is lacking, which often precedes weaker prices. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 25% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% vs. Yesterday 81% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 74% vs. Yesterday 71% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.68% vs Yesterday 0.72% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .01% vs Yesterday -.01% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, and is confirmed Positive.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 65.23% vs Yesterday 65.29% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, Positive but is decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 62.42% vs Yesterday 59.13% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, but is Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.07%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative but is increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 57% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish, but Falling Today 75.8% vs Yesterday 76.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.12% vs Yesterday 5.13% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish / Below 0% Bearish (Historic High / Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 33% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Unch Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.MktMetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 25, 2007

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-26-07 is 48%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-26-07 is 25%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% from 81% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Nightly Analysis Update for Monday's Trading

Symbol/Signal/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
1. AA BUY+ 79+ 0.55 67U 0.03+
2. AIG SELL- 35- 1.11 49D -0.04+
3. AXP BUY- 97- 0.93 64U 0.09+
4. BA BUY+ 80+ 1.11 87U 0.01+
5. C SELL- 75- 0.87 59U -0.13+
6. CAT SELL 95- 1.08 84U -0.01+
7. DD SELL 99- 0.74 70D -0.03/
8. DIA SELL 99- 1.02 71U -0.09+
9. DIS BUY 98- 0.46 91U 0.09+
10. GE BUY+ 34+ 0.39 57U -0.07+
11. GM SELL 38+ 0.73 31U -0.26+
12. HD S/SELL 29- 0.47 34U -0.23+
13. HON BUY- 100/ 0.45 84U 0.14+
14. HPQ BUY 64+ 0.51 69U -0.02+
15. IBM SELL 100+ 1.11 61U -0.14+
16. INTC S/SELL 19/ 0.24 15U -0.28+
17. JNJ SELL 0- 0.59 9D -0.42+1
18. JPM BUY 65- 0.68 55U -0.25+
19. KO S/BUY 56- 0.49 75D 0.08+
20. MCD SELL 98+ 0.80 77U -0.06+
21. MMM BUY 49+ 0.84 77U 0.08+
22. MO S/BUY 72- 1.18 69D 0.16+
23. MRK BUY+ 16/ 0.64 52U 0.06+
24. MSFT S/SELL 28- 0.44 44U -0.09+
25. PFE SELL 73+ 0.34 68U -0.06+
26. PG BUY- 100/ 0.55 74U 0.00+
27. T S/BUY 53- 0.63 86D 0.26+
28. UTX BUY+ 76+ 0.69 67U 0.03+
29. VZ S/BUY+ 94- 0.53 81U 0.08+
30. WMT S/SELL 17- 0.82 43U -0.13+
31. XOM BUY 84- 1.13 65U -0.05/

*Internal Relative Strength

Subscribe to www.MktMetrics.com and receive this information and much, much more in advance of next day's trading by 11:00pmEST the night before!

Saturday, March 24, 2007

MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 48%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 25%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 84% from 81% the previous day

(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

STRONG BUY
Our "Best" POSITIVE Stocks (strong accumulaton confirmed by upward trend)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) Statistics for 3-26-07 Monday's Open
1. ADP OFV: 50.63
2. ASFI OFV: 42.19
3. BAX OFV: 52.53
4. BJ OFV: 33.76
5. CB OFV: 51.34
6. CEG OFV: 87.17
7. CELG OFV: 54.79
8. CSK OFV: 15.80
9. CSX OFV: 39.86
10. CVS OFV: 34.43
11. CYN OFV: 74.28
12. CYTC OFV: 33.82
13. DLTR OFV: 38.04
14. ETR OFV: 104.06
15. EWG OFV: 28.64
16. FCX OFV: 61.87
17. FDC OFV: 25.66
18. FPL OFV: 61.34
19. GAP OFV: 33.36
20. GAS OFV: 48.82
21. GCO OFV: 43.18
22. GLBL OFV: 17.76
23. HAE OFV: 47.26
24. HRH OFV: 49.22
25. IART OFV: 45.78
26. IDU OFV: 96.70
27. JEF OFV: 28.77
28. JKHY OFV: 23.61
29. JOSB OFV: 35.10
30. LNC OFV: 68.68
31. MAPS OFV: 20.11
32. MGAM OFV: 11.91
33. MHP OFV: 65.68
34. NKE OFV: 107.36
35. NOC OFV: 75.02
36. OMM OFV: 26.44
37. PAA OFV: 58.25
38. PANL OFV: 14,42
39. PCH OFV: 47.21
40. PEO OFV: 34.59
41. PFGC OFV: 30.29
42. PPG OFV: 71.95
43. PRGO OFV: 17.34
44. PRGS OFV: 30.71
45. PRKR OFV: 13.08
46. RIG OFV: 82.06
47. RTRSY OFV: 55.03
48. SCS OFV: 20.33
49. SNX OFV: 21.95
50. TNP OFV: 51.73
51. VAW OFV: 78.20
52. VLO OFV: 63.38
53. VTIV OFV: 37.88
54. WAG OFV: 47.47
55. WB OFV: 56.85
56. WEBX OFV: 56.85
57. WFR OFV: 62.16
58. XLI OFV: 36.14



STRONG SELL
Our "Worst" NEGATIVE Stocks (unusual distribution confirmed by downward trend)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) Statistics for 3-26-07 Monday's Open
1. DGX OFV: 49.08
2. DHI OFV: 23.59
3. MXIM OFV: 31.41
4. MXWL OFV: 13.40
5. NDAQ OFV: 29.55
6. NEWP OFV: 16.38
7. OSI OFV: 39.55
8. OSIP OFV: 33.09
9. AMD OFV: 13.47
10. AMLN OFV: 37.13
11. BCRX OFV: 9.63
12. ERTS OFV: 50.40
13. QLGC OFV: 17.28
14. STU OFV: 191.28
15. JBLU OFV: 11.69
16. ANIK OFV: 12.70
17. BRCM OFV: 32.34
18. DELL OFV: 22.91
19. PLXS OFV: 16.83
20. HGSI OFV: 10.68
21. MU OFV: 11.60
22. PTEN OFV: 23.15
23. NYX OFV: 87.91
24. SMH OFV: 34.42
25. TXN OFV: 31.33
26. BDK OFV: 84.59
27. EBAY OFV: 32.13
28. EK OFV: 23.64
29. FRC OFV: 53.50

30. NBR OFV: 30.67
31. NVDA OFV: 30.46
32. ISCA OFV: 52.61
33. OVTI OFV: 12.79
34. SGY OFV: 29.06
35. XLNX OFV: 26.54

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis
Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 23, 2007
Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) Intermediate Trading Range:
High 12,845.76 - Low 9,961.52 = Range: 2,884.24


DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 57% vs Last week: 31% (High 88% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 12,481.01 vs Last week: 12,110.41 +370.60 / Prior week: -165.91
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,276.31 vs Last week: 12,363.89 -87.58 / Prior week: -112.84
DJIA Trend: Rising 84% vs Last week: 19% (High 94% / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 74% vs Last week: 48% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.68% vs Last week: 0.65% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,493 vs Last week 12,580 -87 / Last week: -115
DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 12,706 vs Last week 12,796
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,061 vs Last week: 12,147 -86 / Last week: -111
DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 11,847 vs Last week: 12,931
DJIA Money Flow Index: Rising 55% vs Last week: 19% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -9.8 vs Last week: -30.1 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising +149 vs Last week: -87 (High 647 / Low -455)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -150 vs Last week: -276 (High 188 / Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising +1.7% vs Last week: -2.1% (High 4.4% / Low -3.8%)
DJIA MACD: Rising BUY+ vs Last week: SELL+
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising +152 vs Last week: -64 (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 64 vs Last week: 23 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: Rising 71 vs Last week: 31 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume Today vs 50-Day Moving Average: Falling 0.9 vs Last week: 1.2 (High 1.6 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 75.8% vs Last week: 50.3% (100.0% / Low 8.0%)

Institutional Stastistical Trends:
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .01% vs Last week: -.06% (High .19% / Low -.24%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 65.2 vs Last week: 40.0 (High 86.8 / Low 18.7)

Institutional Inventory Index: Rising 62.4 vs Last week: 36.2 (High 79.0 / 25.2)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising -.04 vs Last week: -.19 (High .35/-.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 142 vs Last week: 141 (High 143 / Low 68)

Speculation Indicator Index: Falling -.274 vs Last week: -.321 (High +1.378 / Low -1.391)

One-Year National CD Rate: Falling 5.13% vs Last week: 5.14% (5.61 / Low 2.19%)
Diamonds Trust Current Yield: Falling 2.66% vs Last week: 2.74% (2.74 / Low 1.31%)*****************************************************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis:
Symbol/Trend +/- (Historic High-Low)/Rating/Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.09 vs Last week: -.36 (High .70 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.15 vs Last week: -.41 (High .73 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 93+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.08 vs Last week: -.25 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.01 vs Last week: -.06 (High .71 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100/
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.13 vs Last week: -.12 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
1. Biotech
BBH: -.46 vs Last week: -.84 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.19 vs Last week: +.37 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.09 vs Last week: +.08 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.14 vs Last week: +.19 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
5. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.21 vs Last week: -.50 (High .64 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66+
6. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: -.00 vs Last week: -.17 (High .34 / Low -.17) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
7. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.09 vs Last week: +.34 (High .64 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 3
8. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF
EEB: +.13 vs Last week: +.24 (High .68 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
9. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.03 vs Last week: -.37 (High .84 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 98+
10. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.03 vs Last week: -.16 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
11. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.24 vs Last week: -.00 (High .71 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97-
12. Australia
EWA: -.07 vs Last week: -.02 (High .34 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73+
13. Canada
EWC: -.14 vs Last week: -.17 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 21-
14. Sweden
EWD: +.13 vs Last week: -.04 (High .66 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
15. Germany
EWG: +.09 vs Last week: +.07 (High .61 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
16. Hong Kong
EWH: -.19 vs Last week: -.24 (High .43 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 62+
17. Italy
EWI: -.14 vs Last week: -.11 (High .24 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93+
18. Japan
EWJ: +.11 vs Last week: +.14 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
19. Belgium
EWK: -.13 vs Last week: -.19 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
20. Switzerland
EWL: -.01 vs Last week: +.01 (High .64 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 93+
21. Malaysia
EWM: +.19 vs Last week: +.14 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
22. Netherlands
EWN: +.12 vs Last week: +.03 (High .61 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
23. Austria
EWO: +.21 vs Last week: +.09 (High .49 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
24. France
EWQ: +.05 vs Last week: -.03 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
25. Singapore
EWS: +.13 vs Last week: +.15 (High .38 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
26. Taiwan
EWT: -.06 vs Last week: -.06 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
27. United Kingdom
EWU: -.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .69 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93+
28. Mexico
EWW: -.03 vs Last week: -.31 (High .50 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97+
29. South Korea
EWY: -.07 vs Last week: -.00 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88-
30. Brazil
EWZ: +.19 vs Last week: +.01 (High .65 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
31. Xinhua China
FXI: -.24 vs Last week: -.46 (High 1.26 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99+
32. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.32 vs Last week: -.22 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
33. Internet
HHH: -.08 vs Last week: -.21 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
34. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.30 vs Last week: +.27 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
35. Comex Gold
IAU: -.18 vs Last week: -.07 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
36. Biotechnology
IBB: -.40 vs Last week: -.55 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44+
37. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -2.00 vs Last week: -1.33 (High 1.76/Low -2.00)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19-
38. Utilities
IDU: +.33 vs Last week: -.10 (High .78 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
39. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.09 vs Last week: -.34 (High .81 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85+
40. Natural Resources
IGE: +.08 vs Last week: -.06 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
41. Networking
IGN: +.02 vs Last week: +.12 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76-
42. Software
IGV: +.08 vs Last week: +.01 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 47+
43. Semiconductor
IGW: -.11 vs Last week: +.14 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84-
44. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.14 vs Last week: -.21 (High .37 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
45. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.06 vs Last week: -.01 (High .78 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
46. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.04 vs Last week: -.07 (High .66 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
47. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.00 vs Last week: -.06 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
48. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.04 vs Last week: -.56 (High 1.19 / Low -.60)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
49. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.23 vs Last week: -.28 (High .79 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
50. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.08 vs Last week: -.21 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
51. Global Financial
IXG: +.11 vs Last week: -.12 (High .79 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
52. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.08 vs Last week: -.09 (High .78 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83+
53. Energy
IYE: +.20 vs Last week: -.18 (High .79 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
54. Healthcare
IYH: +.03 vs Last week: -.11 (High .46 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
55. Industrial
IYJ: -.15 vs Last week: -.24 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44+
56. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.09 vs Last week: -.11 (High .58 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97/
57. Basic Materials
IYM: -.06 vs Last week: -.09 (High .69 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58+
58. Real Estate
IYR: -.34 vs Last week: -.44 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 59+
59. Transportation
IYT: -.06 vs Last week: -.30 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
60. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.14 vs Last week: -.15 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86+
61. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.12 vs Last week: -.06 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
62. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.20 vs Last week: +.12 (High .43 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
63. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.01 vs Last week: +.23 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 0-
64. NYSE Group, Inc.
NYX: -0.49 vs Last week: -0.59 (High 1.77 / Low -1.20 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7+
65. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -0.31 vs Last week: -0.21 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
66. Oil Services
OIH: +.39 vs Last week: +.03 (High 1.63/Low -1.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81+
67. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.09 vs Last week: +.20 (High .66 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
68. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.03 vs Last week: -.29 (High .49 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88+
69. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.19 vs Last week: -.07 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
70. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.06 vs Last week: +.11 (High .56 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 10+
71. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.33 vs Last week: -.38 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 83+
72. Regional Banks
RKH: -.40 vs Last week: -.66 (High .88 / Low -.66) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 54+
73. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.03 vs Last week: -.19 (High .41 / Low -.39) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 51+
74. Retail
RTH: -.09 vs Last week: -.27 (High .60 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 97+
75. ULTRA SHORT S&P500 Power Shares
SDS: +.11 vs Last week: +.39 (High .64 / Low: -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 19-
76. Silver Trust
SLV: -.54 vs Last week: -.43 (High 1.08 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 62+
77. Semiconductor
SMH: -.21 vs Last week: -.06 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7-
78. Software
SWH: +.27 vs Last week: +.05 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
79. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.05 vs Last week: +.09 (High .53 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 16-
80. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: +.14 vs Last week: -.12 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
81. Utilities
UTH: +.34 vs Last week: -.03 (High .75 / Low -.71) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 71+
82. Wireless
WMH: -.08 vs Last week: -.11 (High .69 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93+
83. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.32 vs Last week: -.26 (High .69 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
84. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.13 vs Last week: -.00 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
85. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.03 vs Last week: -.23 (High .76 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41+
86. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.07 vs Last week: -.22 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 88+
87. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.21 vs Last week: +.05 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
88. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.09 vs Last week: +.16 (High .40 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
89. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.24 vs Last week: +.02 (High .40 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
90. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.12 vs Last week: -.07 (High .48 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
91. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: -.12 vs Last week: -.21 (High .52 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 86+
92. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.14 vs Last week: +.20 (High .77 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+

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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"
MktMetrics does.

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Friday, March 23, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Friday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Friday is 52%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Friday is 36%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 81% from 45% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Negative (on the day) as this week's rally has met our objective. The U.S. Stock Market most likely will see selling today. We do not have a major Sell signal and the DJIA Trend has not change from Positive to Negative.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working for the Bulls and should be avoided. We are seeing that fewer stocks are performing poorly, which could indicate that the Stock Market is not one-sided and could expect a correction sooner than later.

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Friday 3-23-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Friday's Open
1. AMD OFV: 13.53
2. CVTX OFV: 8.98
3. DJ OFV: 34.38
4. KBH OFV: 48.17
5. KOMG OFV: 33.25
6. LI OFV: 34.30
7. MXIM OFV: 31.83
8. MXWL OFV: 13.54
9. NSM OFV: 24.62
10. PPD OFV: 49.45
11. WWY OFV: 51.91
12. OSI OFV: 39.54
13. STN OFV: 86.36
14. USG OFV: 49.34
15. XHB OFV: 35.08
16. CTX OFV: 44.76
17. DHI OFV: 23.74
18. NYT OFV: 23.20
19. HOV OFV: 27.75
20. PHM OFV: 27.73

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/23/07
Last Updated: 03/22/07
03/22/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.29
(High) 124.64
(Low) 123.98
(Close) 124.51
(Range) 0.66

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 124.33
Today's Predicted High: 125.03
Today's Predicted Low: 124.00
Today's Proposed Range: 1.03
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (down from buy)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 65 Up from 58
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.80 Down
Current Trend: Negative -14 Up from -17
Demand Factor: 100 Up from 97
Stock Volatility: -0.08 Down from 4.22

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/22/07 12:45 Close: 124.54 vs. Prior day: 122.69
Upside Potential: 125.61 vs. Prior day: 126.60
Downside Potential: 123.55 vs. Prior day: 123.53

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 126.46
2. 126.78
3. 127.00
4. 127.13

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 122.15
2. 122.02
3. 121.80
4. 121.50

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.43
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.85
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.08
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.60
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.71
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.60
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.25
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.53

DIA probability "Up%" Friday= 52%
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday= 36%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 81% vs. 45% the previous day

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DJIA At Declining Resistance Today

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Thursday 3-22-07: DJIA closed 12,461.14 +13.62 vs. Prior day: 12,447.55 +159.45
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,286.07 -13.21 vs. Prior day: 12,299.28 -16.12
(the DJIA closed above its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 23 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 52%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 36%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 52% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend jumped to 81% from 45% the previous day. The DJIA Trend changed course Monday and has surged almost 351 points higher since then. This is unusual strength. It could mean that the economy is beginning to do poorly and the Fed will ultimately have to lower rates to correct the weakness. Or, another scenario could mean that the Exchange Insiders are raising prices to create a climatic event that will generate an unconfirmed new high before dropping prices to the DJIA 11,400 level. Today we begin with the DJIA at Resistance of a declining downtrend from the February 20, 2007 all-time high. Also, Fridays are typically not good Stock Market performers. The NYSE A/D Line set a new high on Wednesday, but flattened on Thursday. Today would not surprise me if something sets off a decline of magnitude to balance out the surge of the last four days. Be sure to catch the Weekly Edition of MktMetrics.com on Saturday and the Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell on Sunday. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 36% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 81% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 71% vs. Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Unch Today 45% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.72% vs Yesterday 1.75% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.01% vs Yesterday -.02% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 65.29% vs Yesterday 64.06% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, positive.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 59.13% vs Yesterday 54.97% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, positive.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.07% vs Yesterday -.09%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 76.3% vs Yesterday 76.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.13% vs Yesterday 5.14% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Unch Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Unch Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 29% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 22, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Thursday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Thursday is 0%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Thursday is 52%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 45% from 26% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Neutral as Wednesday's rally has met our objective. The U.S. Stock Market most likely will see selling today. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working for the Bulls and should be avoided.

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Thursday 3-22-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Thursday's Open
1. AMD OFV: 13.66
2. BCRX OFV: 9.16
3. NYT OFV: 23.42
4. OSI OFV: 39.54
5. MATK OFV: 20.23
6. LI OFV: 34.25
7. MXWL OFV: 13.40
8. MYL OFV: 19.58
9. RMBS OFV: 21.03
10. STN OFV: 86.46
11. MU OFV: 11.50
12. NEWP OFV: 16.52
13. USG OFV: 49.12
14. ANIK OFV: 12.63
15. NBR OFV: 30.00
16. OSIP OFV: 32.40
17. OVTI OFV: 12.24
18. PTEN OFV: 22.42
19. SGY OFV: 28.48
20. SHLM OFV: 21.71

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/22/07
Last Updated: 03/21/07
03/21/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.80
(High) 124.74
(Low) 122.32
(Close) 124.29
(Range) 2.42

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.53
Today's Predicted High: 125.05
Today's Predicted Low: 123.53
Today's Proposed Range:1.52
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy (up from sell)


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 58 Up from 45
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.00/1.10 Down
Current Trend: Negative -17 Up from -24
Demand Factor: 97 Up from 91
Stock Volatility: 4.22 Up from -1.01

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/21/07 12:45 Close: 122.69 vs. Prior day: 122.66
Upside Potential: 126.60 vs. Prior day: 124.73
Downside Potential: 123.53 vs. Prior day: 121.29

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.77
2. 125.26
3. 126.78
4. 127.23

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 122.25
2. 121.80
3. 120.34
4. 119.87

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.26
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.99
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.15
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.60
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.70
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.59
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.17
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.46

DIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 0%
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 52%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 45% vs. 26% the previous day

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Might There Be A Re-Test Of Recent DJIA Low?

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Wednesday 3-21-07: DJIA closed 12,447.55 +159.45 vs. Prior day: 12,288.10 +61.90
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,299.28 -16.12 vs. Prior day: 12,315.40 -22.83
(the DJIA closed above its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 22 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 0%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 52%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 0% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend jumped to 45% from 26% the previous day. The DJIA Trend changed course Monday. After advancing 337 points on the Dow in three days, I'm sure you will agree that it's time for some profit taking. Yesterday's MktMetrics' DIA Upside Potential was posted to be 124.73 before the Stock Market opened. Sure enough, the DIA high for Wednesday's session was 124.74. Even though we predict negative results today, Wednesday's gap up in the DJIA Trend means that it can absorb a 1/3 to 1/2 retracement and still have a positive Trend in tact. The NYSE A/D Line has set a new high, but the 21-day moving average is still declining, which we hope can work itself higher next week. Yesterday, we revised our rally projection to 12,400 from 12,600. The Close above 12,400 by 47 points will still need follow-through for us to revert back to the original forecast of 12,600. The DIA weak "Up" probability postings of 6% on Tuesday, 13% on Wednesday and 0% for today, is pretty abnormal for a raging Bull Market. Might this mean something that has not been considered, such as a potential retest of the March 14 DJIA 11,950 low? Let's see what happens. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 52% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 68% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.75% vs Yesterday -0.11% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.02% vs Yesterday -.04% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed at its Mean, neutral.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 64.06% vs Yesterday 55.58% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, positive.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 54.97% vs Yesterday 44.90% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, positive.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.09% vs Yesterday -.14%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 76.7% vs Yesterday 64.1% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unchanged Today 5.14% vs Yesterday 5.14% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 0% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 25% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/21/07
Last Updated: 03/20/07
03/20/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.04
(High) 122.82
(Low) 122.01
(Close) 122.82
(Range) 0.81

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.42
Today's Predicted High: 123.68
Today's Predicted Low: 121.96
Today's Proposed Range: 1.72
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 45 Up from 39
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.80/1.18 Down
Current Trend: Negative -24 Up from -29
Demand Factor: 91 Up from 84
Stock Volatility: -1.01 Up from -1.87

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/20/07 12:45 Close: 122.66 vs. Prior day: 122.10
Upside Potential: 124.73 vs. Prior day: 124.32
Downside Potential: 121.29 vs. Prior day: 120.26

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.45
2. 124.48
3. 125.28
4. 125.28

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.36
2. 120.36
3. 119.60
4. 119.57

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.09
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.15
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.23
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.63
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.70
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.58
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.08
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.40

DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 13%
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 51%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 26% vs. 23% the previous day

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Stock Market May Experience Mild Set-Back

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 3-20-07: DJIA closed 12,288.10 +61.90 vs. Prior day: 12,226.17 +115.76
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,315.40 -22.83 vs. Prior day: 12,338.23 -25.66
(the DJIA closed below its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 21 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 13%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 51%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 13% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend increased to 26% from 23% the previous day. The DJIA Trend changed course Monday and was reported via email alert to our subscribers before Monday's opening and included an outlook change to Bullish from Bearish. The DJIA has produced a rally from its recent lows to the declining 21-day moving average (see above) as predicted. We have revised our rally projection to 12,400 from 12,600. Today is Wednesday and we are expecting a mild pull-back from profit taking since we did not get that from yesterday's trading. We respect the weak posting of 6% on Tuesday and only 13% today from the DIA results and conclude that we need to see a mild set-back before advancing further. However, we remain Bullish and believe that the MktMetrics Buy/Sell rating on the DIA will change to Buy from its current Sell status soon, so long as the DJIA Trend remains positive. We do not suggest shorting stocks or indexes against a rising Trend on weakness. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 51% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 58% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today -0.11% vs Yesterday -0.14% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 55.58% vs Yesterday 51.71% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed above its Mean, a positive.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 44.90% vs Yesterday 40.61% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.16%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 33% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 64.1% vs Yesterday 57.5% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Rising Today 5.14% vs Yesterday 5.13% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 0% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Tuesday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Tuesday is 6%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Tuesday is 51%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 29% from 19% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Neutral. The U.S. Stock Market may see selling today, but appears it may be a one-day event. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working for the Bulls and should be avoided.

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Tuesday 3-20-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Tuesday's Open
1. ANIK OFV: 12.73
2. ASVI OFV: 14.91
3. BCRX OFV: 9.40
4. BPOP OFV: 15.90
5. BXG OFV: 11.29
6. CAG OFV: 24.44
7. CC OFV: 17.79
8. CLX OFV: 62.58
9. CVTX OFV: 9.23
10. DHI OFV: 23.03
11. ERTS OFV: 48.99
12. FRE OFV: 60.04
13. GCI OFV: 56.14
14. GM OFV: 29.17
15. GPS OFV: 17.48
16. HOV OFV: 26.77
17. LI OFV: 34.13
18. LNCR OFV: 37.20
19. MU OFV: 11.38
20. MXWL OFV: 12.80
21. NSM OFV: 24.82
22. NVDA OFV: 28.63
23. NYT OFV: 24.13
24. OMG OFV: 40.67
25. OSI OFV: 39.48
26. PHM OFV: 26.56
27. RYL OFV: 44.98
28. SAFT OFV: 38.10
29. SGY OFV: 27.69
30. TRB OFV: 29.18
31. USG OFV: 48.92
32. WFC OFV: 34.25
33. WWY OFV: 51.50

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/20/07
Last Updated: 03/19/07
03/19/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 121.76
(High) 122.23
(Low) 121.50
(Close) 122.16
(Range) 0.73

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.89
Today's Predicted High: 123.18
Today's Predicted Low: 121.15
Today's Proposed Range: 2.03
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 39 Up from 34
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.70/1.17 Down
Current Trend: Negative -29 Up from -36
Demand Factor: 84 Up from 80
Stock Volatility: -1.87 Down from 1.31

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/19/07 12:45 Close: 122.10 vs. Prior day: 121.91
Upside Potential: 124.32 vs. Prior day: 122.94
Downside Potential: 120.26 vs. Prior day: 120.54

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 123.93
2. 124.20
3. 124.60
4. 124.67

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 119.79
2. 119.72
3. 119.32
4. 119.07

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.08
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.37
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.35
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.69
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.71
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.58
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 121.00
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.35

DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday= 6%
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday= 51%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 29% vs. 19% the previous day

Become a MktMetrics.com subscriber and receive this information daily for any stock or ETF within our Stock Directory today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Stock Market Expects Little From Trading Today

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-19-07: DJIA closed 12,226.17 +115.76 vs. Prior day: 12,110.41 -49.27
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,338.23 -25.66 vs. Prior day: 12,363.89 -30.07
(the DJIA closed below its declining 21-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 20 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 6%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 51%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 6% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend jumped to 29% from 19% the previous day. The DJIA Trend changed course Monday and was reported via email alert to our subscribers before Monday's opening. The alert also included the fact that our Market Opinion was changed to Bullish from Bearish. We now expect the Stock Market to rally to at least the declining 21-day moving average (see above). However, it could stretch beyond that to 12,600. Today is Tuesday and we are expecting a mild pull-back from profit taking after yesterday's DJIA 115 rise. But it will be simply that as the Trend is now Positive. We advise not to short against a rising Trend. Don't expect much from the Stock Market today. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 51% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -0.14% vs Yesterday 0.65% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.05% vs Yesterday -.06% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 51.71% vs Yesterday 48.00% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 40.61% vs Yesterday 36.16% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.16% vs Yesterday -.19%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 32% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 57.5% vs Yesterday 56.4% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unch Today 5.13% vs Yesterday 5.13% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -29% vs. Yesterday -36% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -31% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 19, 2007

Google Glitch

Since Google Blogspot.com switched from Beta to HTML, I have had nothing but daily problems posting this Blog.
I am hoping the problem will be addressed and fixed by Google later today, at which time I will post again if possible.
Thanks for your patience.
MktMetrics.com is functioning properly for our subscribers.

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-19-07 is 65%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-19-07 is 58%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 19% from 16% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Nightly Analysis Update for Monday's Trading:
Dow 30 + DIA BUY/SELL
Symbol/Signal/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
1. AA BUY+ 49- 0.87 56U -0.04+
2. AIG SELL 3- 1.19 24D -0.16+
3. AXP SELL- 96- 1.33 38U -0.08+
4. BA BUY 66- 1.82 79D -0.03+
5. C SELL 66- 0.95 32D -0.35+
6. CAT S/SELL- 85+ 1.17 43U -0.08+
7. DD SELL- 84- 1.10 51D -0.05+
8. DIA SELL 80- 1.64 34D -0.36+
9. DIS S/BUY 84- 0.57 55D 0.05+
10. GE SELL 4- 0.47 14D -0.41+
11. GM SELL 0- 1.02 3D -0.67+
12. HD SELL 15- 0.74 18U -0.29/
13. HON S/BUY 100/ 0.68 68D 0.12+
14. HPQ SELL+ 60- 0.84 46U -0.22+
15. IBM S/SELL 87- 1.41 44D -0.32+
16. INTC S/SELL 17+ 0.43 13U -0.27+
17. JNJ SELL 0/ 0.81 4U -0.53+
18. JPM SELL 66- 1.04 34D -0.27+
19. KO SELL 37+ 0.65 48U -0.08+
20. MCD BUY 86+ 0.91 55U -0.05+
21. MMM SELL 4- 0.77 42D -0.18+
22. MO SELL 22/ 1.45 44D -0.09+
23. MRK S/SELL 0- 0.79 18D -0.16+
24. MSFT S/SELL- 10- 0.49 18U -0.11/
25. PFE SELL+ 46- 0.34 28D -0.25+
26. PG SELL 82- 0.70 35D -0.22+
27. T BUY 31- 0.82 67D 0.06+
28. UTX S/SELL 63+ 0.91 35U -0.24+
29. VZ S/SELL 88- 0.62 42D -0.10+
30. WMT SELL 4- 0.88 13U -0.15+
31. XOM SELL 53- 1.33 20D -0.39+
*Internal Relative Strength

Subscribe to www.MktMetrics.com and receive this information and much, much more in advance of next day's trading by 11:00pmEST the night before!

Saturday, March 17, 2007

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 16, 2007
Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) Intermediate Trading Range:
High 12,845.76 - Low 9,961.52 = Range: 2,884.24

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising 31% vs Last week: 28% (High 88% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 12,110.41 vs Last week: 12,276.32 -165.91- / Prior week: +162.22+
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,363.89 vs Last week: 12,476.73 -112.84- / Prior week:-111.17-
DJIA Trend: Falling 19% vs Last week: 23% (High 94% / Low 0%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 48% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.65% vs Last week: 0.38% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,580 vs Last week 12,695 -115- / Last week: -113-
DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 12,796 vs Last week 12,913
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,147 vs Last week: 12,258 -111- / Last week: -110-
DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 12,931 vs Last week: 12,040
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 19% vs Last week: 26% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -30.1 vs Last week: -18.6 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -87- vs Last week: -18- (High 647 / Low -455)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -276- vs Last week: -220- (High 188 / Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -2.1%- vs Last week: -1.6%- (High 4.4% / Low -3.8%)
DJIA MACD: Rising SELL+ vs Last week: SELL-
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling -64- vs Last week: -25+ (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 23- vs Last week: 31+ (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: Rising 31 vs Last week: 28 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume Today vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 1.2 vs Last week: 0.9 (High 1.6 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 50.3%- vs Last week: 51.9%+ (100.0% / Low 8.0%)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.06%- vs Last week: -.05%- (High .19% / Low -.24%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 40.0- vs Last week: 50.2- (High 86.8 / Low 18.7)

Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 36.2- vs Last week: 40.7+ (High 79.0 / 25.2)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling-.19/vs Last week:-.13/(High .35/-.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Unch 141/ vs Last week: 141- (High 143 / Low 68)

Speculation Indicator: Falling -3.21- vs Last week: -0.93- (High +1.378 / Low -1.391)
One-Year National CD Rate: Falling 5.14%/ vs Last week: 5.16%+ (5.61 / Low 2.19%)
Diamonds Trust Current Yield: Rising 2.74%+ vs Last week: 2.24%+ (2.54 / Low 0.31%)*****************************************************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis:
Symbol/Trend +/- (Historic High-Low)/Rating/Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.36 vs Last week: -.27 (High .70 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.41 vs Last week: -.27 (High .73 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.25 vs Last week: -.09 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.06 vs Last week: -.10 (High .71 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.12 vs Last week: -.14 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57+
1. Biotech
BBH: -.84 vs Last week: -.94 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.37 vs Last week: +.18 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.08 vs Last week: +.06 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90+
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.19 vs Last week: +.24 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94-
5. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.50 vs Last week: -.36 (High .64 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
6. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: -.17 vs Last week: -.06 (High .34 / Low -.17) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 88+
7. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.34 vs Last week: +.25 (High .64 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 31-
8. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF
EEB: +.24 vs Last week: +.29 (High .68 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91+
9. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.37 vs Last week: -.18 (High .84 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85/
10. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.16 vs Last week: -.06 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89+
11. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.00 vs Last week: +.13 (High .71 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 98+
12. Australia
EWA: -.02 vs Last week: -.06 (High .34 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67-
13. Canada
EWC: -.17 vs Last week: +.06 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 47-
14. Sweden
EWD: -.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High .66 / Low -.26) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 95+
15. Germany
EWG: +.07 vs Last week: +.09 (High .61 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
16. Hong Kong
EWH: -.24 vs Last week: -.12 (High .43 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54-
17. Italy
EWI: -.11 vs Last week: -.07 (High .24 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-
18. Japan
EWJ: +.14 vs Last week: +.17 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
19. Belgium
EWK: -.19 vs Last week: -.17 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60/
20. Switzerland
EWL: +.01 vs Last week: -.01 (High .64 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85+
21. Malaysia
EWM: +.14 vs Last week: +.14 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
22. Netherlands
EWN: +.03 vs Last week: +.07 (High .61 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
23. Austria
EWO: +.09 vs Last week: +.14 (High .49 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
24. France
EWQ: -.03 vs Last week: +.09 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 99+
25. Singapore
EWS: +.15 vs Last week: +.17 (High .38 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
26. Taiwan
EWT: -.06 vs Last week: +.01 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
27. United Kingdom
EWU: -.12 vs Last week: -.00 (High .69 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83/
28. Mexico
EWW: -.31 vs Last week: -.15 (High .50 / Low -.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
29. South Korea
EWY: -.00 vs Last week: +.18 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94/
30. Brazil
EWZ: +.01 vs Last week: +.16 (High .65 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
31. Xinhua China
FXI: -.46 vs Last week: -.36 (High 1.26 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-
32. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.22 vs Last week: -.10 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
33. Internet
HHH: -.21 vs Last week: -.24 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 23-
34. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.27 vs Last week: -.24 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 76+
35. Comex Gold
IAU: -.07 vs Last week: +.01 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 88+
36. Biotechnology
IBB: -.55 vs Last week: -.46 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
37. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -1.33 vs Last week: -.93 (High 1.76/Low -1.33)Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43-
38. Utilities
IDU: -.10 vs Last week: -.03 (High .78 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72-
39. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.34 vs Last week: -.24 (High .81 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76-
40. Natural Resources
IGE: -.06 vs Last week: +.22 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 91-
41. Networking
IGN: +.12 vs Last week: -.25 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
42. Software
IGV: +.01 vs Last week: -.11 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21+
43. Semiconductor
IGW: +.14 vs Last week: +.11 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85+
44. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.21 vs Last week: -.25 (High .37 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26-
45. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.01 vs Last week: +.11 (High .78 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94+
46. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.07 vs Last week: +.09 (High .66 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90+
47. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.06 vs Last week: +.02 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 92+
48. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.56 vs Last week: -.18 (High 1.19 / Low -.60)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 98-
49. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.28 vs Last week: -.27 (High .79 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
50. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: -.21 vs Last week: +.16 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
51. Global Financial
IXG: -.12 vs Last week: -.03 (High .79 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 99-
52. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.09 vs Last week: -.13 (High .78 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79+
53. Energy
IYE: -.18 vs Last week: -.09 (High .79 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
54. Healthcare
IYH: -.11 vs Last week: -.07 (High .46 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96+
55. Industrial
IYJ: -.24 vs Last week: -.14 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 9-
56. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.11 vs Last week: -.05 (High .58 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97/
57. Basic Materials
IYM: -.09 vs Last week: +.01 (High .69 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 50/
58. Real Estate
IYR: -.44 vs Last week: -.54 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36/
59. Transportation
IYT: -.30 vs Last week: -.09 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83+
60. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.15 vs Last week: -.16 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
61. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.06 vs Last week: +.11 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
62. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.12 vs Last week: +.14 (High .43 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
63. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.23 vs Last week: +.14 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 22-
64. NYSE Group, Inc.
NYX: -0.59 vs Last week: -0.85 (High 1.77 / Low -1.20 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3+
65. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -0.21 vs Last week: -0.49 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
66. Oil Services
OIH: +.03 vs Last week: +.18 (High 1.63/Low -1.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 55-
67. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.20 vs Last week: +.23 (High .66 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
68. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.29 vs Last week: -.19 (High .49 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79-
69. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.07 vs Last week: -.02 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11/
70. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.11 vs Last week: +.12 (High .56 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 0-
71. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.38 vs Last week: -.42 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45+
72. Regional Banks
RKH: -.66 vs Last week: -.36 (High .88 / Low -.66) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32-
73. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.19 vs Last week: -.33 (High .41 / Low -.39) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27+
74. Retail
RTH: -.27 vs Last week: -.22 (High .60 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
75. ULTRA SHORT S&P500 Power Shares
SDS: +.39 vs Last week: +.40 (High .64 / Low: -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
76. Silver Trust
SLV: -.43 vs Last week: -.32 (High 1.08 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
77. Semiconductor
SMH: -.06 vs Last week: -.10 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
78. Software
SWH: +.05 vs Last week: -.02 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57+
79. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.09 vs Last week: +.10 (High .53 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 62-
80. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.12 vs Last week: -.16 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72+
81. Utilities
UTH: -.03 vs Last week: +.02 (High .75 / Low -.71) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30+
82. Wireless
WMH: -.11 vs Last week: -.17 (High .69 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-
83. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.26 vs Last week: -.24 (High .69 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
84. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.00 vs Last week: +.22 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
85. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.23 vs Last week: -.11 (High .76 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
86. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.22 vs Last week: -.18 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56-
87. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.05 vs Last week: +.13 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
88. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.16 vs Last week: +.10 (High .40 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
89. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.02 vs Last week: -.06 (High .40 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69-
90. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.07 vs Last week: -.04 (High .48 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90+
91. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: -.21 vs Last week: -.14 (High .52 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67/
92. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.20 vs Last week: +.28 (High .77 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-

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Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

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Friday, March 16, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Friday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Friday is 42%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Friday is 51%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 16% from 19% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Neutral (Just for today). The U.S. Stock Market may see selling today, but appears it may be a one-day event. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working the Bulls and should be avoided.

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Friday 3-16-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) Statistics for Friday's Open
1. ANIK OFV: 12.60
2. BCRX OFV: 9.21
3. CCU OFV: 35.23
4. JNJ OFV: 60.59
5. KTO OFV: 11.40
6. LI OFV: 34.19
7. MATK OFV: 20.83
8. NDAQ OFV: 27.90
9. NYX OFV: 83.04
10. OMG OFV: 40.57
11. OSI OFV: 39.45
12. PGR OFV: 21.13
13. PTEN OFV: 21.60
14. STN OFV: 85.97
15. TRB OFV: 29.82

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/16/07
Last Updated: 03/15/07
03/15/07 Final Numbers vs. Thursday's Forecast
(Open) 121.44 vs. Opening Fair Value: 120.78
(High) 122.04 vs. Proposed High: 122.09
(Low) 121.21 vs. Proposed Low: 121.24
(Close) 121.75
(Range) 0.83 vs. Proposed Range: 0.85

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.62
Today's Predicted High: 122.35
Today's Predicted Low: 121.15
Today's Proposed Range: 1.20
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 36 Down from 36
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.80/1.22 Down
Current Trend: Negative -27 Down from -23
Demand Factor: 81 Up from 79
Stock Volatility: 0.09 Down from 4.87

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/15/07 12:45 Close: 121.91 vs. Prior day: 120.02
Upside Potential: 122.94 vs. Prior day: 123.42
Downside Potential: 120.54 vs. Prior day: 121.24

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 123.63
2. 123.87
3. 124.19
4. 124.48

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 119.60
2. 119.32
3. 119.01
4. 118.79

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.18
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.94
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.69
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.89
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.83
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.63
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.86
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.25

DIA probability "Up%" Friday= 42%
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday= 51%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 16% vs. 19% the previous day

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DJIA Trend And Institutional Statistics Bearish

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Thursday 3-15-07: DJIA closed 12,159.68 +26.28 vs. Prior day: 12,133.40 +57.44
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,393.96 -23.78 vs. Prior day: 12,417.54 -19.96
(the DJIA closed well below its 21-day moving average, but above its 149-day moving average at 12,070)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 16 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 42%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 51%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 42% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend decreased to 16% from 19% the previous day. The DJIA Trend has been trending lower unabated. The 21-day moving average has pierced the 50 & 65-day moving averages and this is not good either. The Bollinger Bands are inverted, also a true negative. Today is Quarterly Futures and Options Expiration and the Volatility has now subsided for a while. While there is strong support at the 11,990 level and the DJIA did close above its 149-day moving average currently at 12,070 two days in a row, we must remember that Fridays have recently been quite negative. However, we must believe that what is happening is the development of a rising support, signaling that the worst may be over. We suggest at this juncture for Investors to wait for two objectives to occur: 1. The DJIA Trend to change its descent and turn positive, and, 2. The Institutional Statistics to turn Bullish, which will happen when the Mean turns positive. Be sure to catch Saturday's Weekend Edition of MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis and Weekly Stocks In Review, plus, the Dow 30+DIA Buy/Sell on Sunday. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 51% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.58% vs Yesterday 1.94% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.03% vs Yesterday -.02% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 51.42% vs Yesterday 49.94% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 36.77% vs Yesterday 37.29% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.12%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, a negative.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 31% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 56.4% vs Yesterday 53.0% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unch Today 5.14% vs Yesterday 5.14% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Unch Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 15, 2007

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/15/07
Last Updated: 03/14/07
03/14/07 Final Numbers vs. Wednesday's Forecast
(Open) 121.03 vs. Opening Fair Value: 121.89
(High) 121.69 vs. Predicted High: 121.49
(Low) 119.50 vs. Predicted Low: 120.55
(Close) 121.66
(Range) 2.19 vs. Proposed Range: 0.94

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 120.78
Today's Predicted High: 122.09
Today's Predicted Low: 121.24
Today's Proposed Range: 0.85
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (up from strong Sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 36 Up from 31
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.50/1.22 Up
Current Trend: Negative -23 Up from -39
Demand Factor: 79 Up from 62
Stock Volatility: 4.87 Up from 4.51

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/14/07 12:45 Close: 120.02 vs. Prior day: 122.19
Upside Potential: 123.42 vs. Prior day: 121.49
Downside Potential: 121.24 vs. Prior day: 119.39

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 121.89
2. 123.45
3. 124.09
4. 124.12

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 119.26
2. 119.23
3. 118.61
4. 117.11

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.00
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.17
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.84
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.98
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.88
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.65
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.79
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.20

DIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 26%
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 66%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. 26% the previous day

Become a MktMetrics.com subscriber and receive this information daily for any stock or ETF within our Stock Directory today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Stock Market Statistics Remain Weak

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Wednesday 3-14-07: DJIA closed 12,133.40 +57.44 vs. Prior day: 12,075.96 -242.66
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,417.54 -19.96 vs. Prior day: 12,437.50 -24.04
(the DJIA closed well below its 21-day moving average, but above its 149-day moving average at 12,070)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 15 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 26%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 66%

(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 26% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend decreased to 19% from 26% the previous day. The DJIA Trend has been trending lower and this is not good for the Bulls. Friday is Quarterly Futures and Options Expiration, and Volatility is a key factor to today's trading. There is strong support at the 11,990 level and if the DJIA closes above its 149-day moving average currently at 12,070, that would be very positive for the Stock Market, a second day in a row. The Institutional Statistics remain dismal. As disciples of the DJIA Trend, we are hesitant to be positive towards the Stock Market until there is harmony in the Dow. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 66% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.94% vs Yesterday 1.84% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.02% vs Yesterday -.07% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02% Closed below its Mean.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 49.94% vs Yesterday 41.84% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75% Closed below its Mean.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 37.29% vs Yesterday 36.13% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12% Closed below its Mean.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.12% vs Yesterday -.18%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Unch Today 32% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 53.0% vs Yesterday 39.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unch Today 5.14% vs Yesterday 5.14% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -21% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Unch Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Stock Market Is At The Crossroads

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 3-13-07: DJIA closed 12,075.96 -242.66 vs. Prior day: 12,318.62 +42.30
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,437.50 -24.04 vs. Prior day: 12,461.54 -15.19
(the DJIA closed well below its 65-day moving average at 12,480, but at its 149-day moving average at 12,070)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 14 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 97%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 56%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 97% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend decreased to 26% from 29% the previous day. The DJIA Trend closed lower and this is not good. Friday is Quarterly Futures and Options Expiration and now anything could happen while inventories are being adjusted from the recent rout. But there is strong support at the 11,990 level and if the DJIA closes above its 149-day moving average currently at 12,070, that would be very positive for the Stock Market. In other words, the Stock Market is at the crossroads. Let's see what happens. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 56% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.84% vs Yesterday 0.72% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.07% vs Yesterday -.04% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 41.84% vs Yesterday 52.26% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 36.13% vs Yesterday 44.00% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.18% vs Yesterday -.11%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Unch Today 32% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 39.3% vs Yesterday 55.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.14% vs Yesterday 5.16% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -39% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -40% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/14/07
Last Updated: 03/13/07
03/13/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.52
(High) 122.99
(Low) 120.86
(Close) 121.02
(Range) 2.13

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.89
Today's Predicted High: 121.49
Today's Predicted Low: 120.55
Today's Proposed Range: 0.94
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell (down from sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 31 Down from 43
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.50/0.97 Up
Current Trend: Negative -39 Down from -28
Demand Factor: 62 Down from 72
Stock Volatility: 4.51 Up from 2.90

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/13/07 12:45 Close: 122.19 vs. Prior day: 122.96
Upside Potential: 121.49 vs. Prior day: 124.40
Downside Potential: 119.39 vs. Prior day: 121.96

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 123.28
2. 123.44
3. 124.97
4. 125.45

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.53
2. 120.07
3. 118.60
4. 118.44

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.91
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.36
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.95
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.06
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.95
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.67
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.73
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.15

DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 97%
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 56%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 26% vs. 29% the previous day

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Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Tuesday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Tuesday is 35%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Tuesday is 55%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today to 29% from 23% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Negative on the day, Positive on the Trend.
The U.S. Stock Market may see selling today, but appears to be a one-day event. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working for the Bulls and should be avoided.

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Tuesday 3-13-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Tuesday's Open)
1. ARA OFV: 53.39
2. BCRX OFV: 9.68
3. BMET OFV: 42.16
4. CCU OFV: 35.12
5. CLX OFV: 63.04
6. CTX OFV: 45.64
7. DHI OFV: 23.70
8. EBAY OFV: 30.97
9. HD OFV: 38.40
10. HOV OFV: 28.40
11. IGT OFV: 39.28
12. JNJ OFV: 61.91
13. KOMG OFV: 31.99
14. LEN OFV: 46.98
15. LI OFV: 34.22
16. LNCR OFV: 37.13
17. NDAQ OFV: 28.47
18. NVDA OFV: 30.39
19. NYX OFV: 84.67
20. OSI OFV: 39.76
21. PHM OFV: 27.91
22. PMTI OFV: 38.01
23. RSG OFV: 41.10
24. RYL OFV: 45.92
25. SBUX OFV: 30.19
26. SGY OFV: 28.00
27. SLNK OFV: 11.73
28. STN OFV: 86.32
29. TOL OFV: 28.30
30. WMT OFV: 47.36
31. ULBI OFV: 8.39
32. XHB OFV: 34.34
33. AZN OFV: 56.60
34. ELOS OFV: 26.06
35. IGN OFV: 32.22
36. MATK OFV: 21.94
37. QLGC OFV: 16.85
38. SAFT OFV: 39.63
39. SMH OFV: 34.72
40. SUNW OFV: 6.34
41. VICR OFV: 9.83

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/13/07
Last Updated: 03/12/07
03/12/07 Final Numbers vs. Monday's Forecast
(Open) 122.73 vs. Opening Fair Value: 122.91
(High) 124.30 vs. vs. Predicted High: 123.71
(Low) 122.52 vs. Predicted Low: 122.28
(Close) 123.18
(Range) 1.78 vs. Proposed Range: 1.43

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.30
Today's Predicted High: 123.79
Today's Predicted Low: 122.57
Today's Proposed Range: 1.22
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 43 Up from 39
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.70/1.02 Down
Current Trend: Negative -28 Down from -27
Demand Factor: 72 Down from 74
Stock Volatility: 2.90 Up from 0.20

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/12/07 12:45 Close: 122.96 vs. Prior day: 122.79
Upside Potential: 124.40 vs. Prior day: 124.55
Downside Potential: 121.96 vs. Prior day: 121.69

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.97
2. 125.18
3. 125.64
4. 126.79

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 121.81
2. 120.72
3. 120.28
4. 120.07

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.08
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.59
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.08
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.14
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.02
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.71
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.67
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.10

DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday= 35%
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday= 55%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 29% vs. 23% the previous day

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DJIA May Experience Pull-Back to 12,250 Today

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Monday 3-12-07: DJIA closed 12,318.62 +42.30 vs. Prior day: 12,276.32 +15.62
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,476.73 -18.60 vs. Prior day: 12,495.33 -19.31
(the DJIA closed well below its 65-day moving average at 12,480, but above its 149-day moving average at 12,070)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 13 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 35%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 55%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 35% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend increased to 29% from 23% the previous day. The DJIA Trend bottomed 6 days ago. This was timely and well orchestrated by the Exchange Insiders as this coming Friday is Quarterly Futures and Options Expiration. Monday brought Investors back into the Stock Market. Tuesday can be a wild card. In a rising Stock Market, we like to see Tuesday be weak and Wednesday to be positive strong. In a falling Market environment, we like to see Tuesday as positive. I bring this up because today is Tuesday and should there be a little profit taking, that would conform with a positive trending Stock Market, which we believe is temporarily the situation. We are impressed that the DJIA made it past the first level of resistance at 12,250 closing at 12,318 yesterday. Perhaps profit taking today would be in order to retreat to that level intraday, before closing comfortably above the 12,250 mark. Let's see what happens. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 55% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 55% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.72% vs Yesterday 0.38% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 52.26% vs Yesterday 50.16% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 44.00% vs Yesterday 40.68% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.11% vs Yesterday -.13%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 32% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 55.7% vs Yesterday 51.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unchanged Today 5.16% vs Yesterday 5.16% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Unch Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 12, 2007

Trend Changing Stocks for Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 55%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 50%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today to 23% from 16% the previous day

(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Positive as Investors are coming off of a DJIA 162 point rise for the week and even though Friday's lows may be tested early, the Stock Market should see higher prices for a while. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on stocks that are attempting to work higher and are coming off of a distribution phase that appears to be over for them.

Our "Trend Changing" Stocks that may attempt to move higher this week.
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Monday's Open)
1. ADSK OFV: 38.43
2. ALL OFV: 60.04
3. APH OFV: 64.20

4. BNI OFV: 79.01
4. BSX OFV: 15.63
5. BVF OFV: 20.64
6. CL OFV: 66.43
7. DDS OFV: 32.81
8. EEM OFV: 112.00
9. IPG OFV: 12.39

JBX OBV: 69.65
10. KGC OFV: 13.14
11. LXK OFV: 59.15

MTSN OFV: 8.89
NSM OFV: 26.47
12. ROH OFV: 51.84
13. SINA OFV: 33.64
14. USO OFV: 50.66

15. WLT OFV: 24.95
Note: The Home Builders appear to have bottomed. The steel and energy stocks are attractive.

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/12/07Last Updated: 03/09/07
03/09/07 Final Numbers vs Friday's Forecast
(Open) 123.23 vs. Opening Fair Value: 122.70
(High) 123.35 vs. Predicted High: 123.78
(Low) 122.33 vs. Predicted Low: 121.83
(Close) 122.99
(Range) 1.02 vs. Proposed Range: 1.95

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.91
Today's Predicted High: 123.71
Today's Predicted Low: 122.28
Today's Proposed Range: 1.43
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 39 Up from 17
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.00/1.23 Down
Current Trend: Negative -27 Up from -46
Demand Factor: 74 Up from 45
Stock Volatility: 0.20 Up from -1.50

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/09/07 12:45 Close: 122.79 vs. Prior day: 122.88
Upside Potential: 124.55 vs. Prior day: 124.77
Downside Potential: 121.69 vs. Prior day: 120.87

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.78
2. 125.45
3. 125.69
4. 125.82
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.88
2. 120.77
3. 120.53
4. 119.88

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.02
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.75
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.14
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.16
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.04
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.70
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.60
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 118.04

DIA probability "Up%" Monday= 55%
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday= 50%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% vs. 16% the previous day

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Stock Market: Worst Is Over, For Now

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

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Friday 3-9-07: DJIA closed 12,276.32 +15.62 vs. Prior day: 12,260.70 +68.25
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,476.73 -18.60 vs. Prior day: 12,495.33 -19.31
(the DJIA closed well below its 65-day moving average at 12,470, but above its 149-day moving average at 12,070)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 12 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 55%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 50%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 55% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend increased to 23% from 16% the previous day. The DJIA Trend bottomed 5 days ago. This was timely and well orchestrated by the Exchange Insiders as this coming Friday is Quarterly Futures and Options Expiration. Today should be bring both Institutional and Retail Investors back into the Stock Market to participate in a more favorable reporting environment, now that the fear has been assuaged. We have seen a great deal of inventory shuffling occurring. The 8 months of Stock Market rally from June through most of February, lulled Investors into believing that the gains would never end. The shock and wow came for a couple of weeks and now the waters are calm once again. Investors will regain confidence as prices move higher. Soon we will look to close back above the 50 and 21-day moving averages and hope that any rally from there will not stop at those levels of resistance. But what carnage happened during the last couple of weeks may have been the first wave of seismic proportions forthcoming. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 50% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.38% vs Yesterday -0.13% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.05% vs Yesterday -.04% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 50.16% vs Yesterday 50.32% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 40.68% vs Yesterday 39.64% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.13% vs Yesterday -.14%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 28% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 51.9% vs Yesterday 47.8% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unchanged Today 5.16% vs Yesterday 5.16% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Unch Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Unch Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Unch Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 11, 2007

Dow 30 Industrials Buy/Sell Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-12-07 is 55%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-5-07 is 50%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% from 16% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Nightly Analysis Update for Monday's Trading:
Dow 30 + DIA BUY/SELL
Symbol/Signal/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
1. AA S/SELL- 57+ 0.77 44U -0.01+
2. AIG BUY- 53- 1.17 68D -0.01+
3. AXP SELL- 87- 1.15 43U 0.00+
4. BA SELL 62- 1.43 68U -0.01+
5. C SELL 68- 1.34 31D -0.40+
6. CAT SELL 47/ 1.21 42U 0.02+
7. DD BUY- 92- 1.14 64U 0.13+
8. DIA SELL 74+ 1.43 39U -0.27+
9. DIS BUY 96- 0.62 72D 0.11+
10. GE SELL 0/ 0.40 4D -0.45+
11. GM SELL 20+ 1.15 14D -0.35+
12. HD SELL 8- 0.54 17D -0.21+
13. HON S/BUY 93- 0.91 69U 0.21+
14. HPQ SELL 67+ 0.91 49U -0.17/
15. IBM BUY 90- 1.73 51D -0.29+
16. INTC SELL 5- 0.40 8D -0.33+
17. JNJ SELL 1+ 0.82 8U -0.45+
18. JPM SELL 83- 1.04 45U -0.07+
19. KO SELL 23+ 0.86 48U -0.23+
20. MCD S/BUY+ 87- 0.89 58U 0.02+
21. MMM SELL 2- 0.78 25U -0.04+
22. MO S/BUY 57+ 1.69 82U 0.18+
23. MRK BUY 21- 0.94 58U -0.10+
24. MSFT S/SELL 12+ 0.40 11D -0.23+
25. PFE SELL 51- 0.45 42U -0.22+
26. PG SELL 89- 0.86 38D -0.11/
27. T S/SELL 12- 0.78 44U -0.06+
28. UTX S/SELL- 50- 0.80 30D -0.33+
29. VZ SELL 79- 0.72 39D -0.06+
30. WMT SELL 0- 0.66 14D -0.15+
31. XOM SELL 69- 1.53 36D -0.20+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 55%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 50%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% from 16% the previous day

(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Our "Best" POSITIVE Stocks (strong accumulaton and powerful price action)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for 3-12-07 Monday's Open)
1. ABT OFV: 54.12
2. CEG OFV: 80.33
3. CERN OFV: 53.44
4. CTSH OFV: 91.67
5. CY OFV: 19.33
6. CYTC OFV: 32.15
7. DBD OFV: 46.85
8. DISH OFV: 43.55
9. DLTR OFV: 35.49
10. EWM OFV: 10.10
11. EWZ OFV: 46.41
12. FAF OFV: 51.79
13. FDP OFV: 19.80
14. HAE OFV: 44.69
15. GPC OFV: 48.70
16. HON OFV: 47.46
17. IART OFV: 42.77
18. KRON OFV: 41.16
19. LIFC OFV: 23.92
20. MEDI OFV: 31.66
21. NX OFV: 41.91
22. OSG OFV: 60.83
23. PLCM OFV: 32.95
24. SDS OFV: 59.70 (Excellent hedging stock)
25. SNE OFV: 52.19
26. STLD OFV: 38.56
27. TCB OFV: 27.06
28. AG OFV: 37.24


Our "Worst" NEGATIVE Stocks (unusual distribution and poor price action)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for 3-12-07 Monday's Open)
1. AZN OFV: 56.77
2. BCRX OFV: 9.74
3. BHI OFV: 65.08
4. BMET OFV: 42.20
5. CTXS OFV: 31.84
6. CNET OFV: 8.21
7. EBAY OFV: 31.03
8. ELOS OFV: 26.20
9. FE OFV: 62.43
10. IGN OFV: 32.19
11. JBLU OFV: 11.78
12. LEN OFV: 48.39
13. NBR OFV: 29.73
14. NDAQ OFV: 28.85
15. NFLX OFV: 21.21
16. NVDA OFV: 30.88
17. NYX OFV: 84.80
18. ORCL OFV: 16.75
19. OSI OFV: 39.82
20. PLXS OFV: 16.15
21. QLGC OFV: 17.01
22. PMTI OFV: 38.19
23. SHLM OFV: 20.74
24. STN OFV: 86.36
25. TRB OFV: 30.12
26. UNFI OFV: 28.88
27. UTEK OFV: 12.89
28. YDNT OFV: 24.99

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, March 10, 2007

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 9, 2007
Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) Intermediate Trading Range:
High 12,845.76 - Low 9,961.52 = Range: 2,884.24

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 28% vs Last week: 38% (High 88% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 12,276.32 vs Last week: 12,114.10 +162.22+ / Prior week: -533.38-
DJIA 21-day Moving Average:12,476.73 vs Last week:12,587.90 -111.17-/Prior week:-55.23-
DJIA Trend: Rising 23% vs Last week: 6% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 48% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 0.38% vs Last week: 0.25% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,695 vs Last week 12,808 -113- / Last week: -56-
DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 12,913 vs Last week 13,029
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,258 vs Last week: 12,368 -110- / Last week: -54-
DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 12,040 vs Last week: 12,147
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 26% vs Last week: 35% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -18.6 vs Last week: -24.0 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising -18- vs Last week: 22- (High 647 / Low -455)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -220- vs Last week: -202- (High 188 / Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -1.6%- vs Last week: -3.8%- (High 4.4% / Low -3.8%)
DJIA MACD: Rising SELL+ vs Last week: SELL-
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising -25+ vs Last week: -132- (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 31+ vs Last week: 26- (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: Falling 28 vs Last week: 29 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume Today vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 0.9 vs Last week: 1.2 (High 1.6 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 51.9%+ vs Last week: 51.2%- (100.0% / Low 8.0%)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.05%- vs Last week: -.02%- (High .19% / Low -.24%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 50.2- vs Last week: 54.0- (High 86.8 / Low 18.7)

Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising 40.7+ vs Last week: 34.9- (High 79.0 / 25.2)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unch -.13/vs Last week: -.13-
(High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 141- vs Last week: 142- (High 143 / Low 68)

Speculation Indicator: Falling -2.75- vs Last week: -2.75- (High +2.78 / Low -2.91)

One-Year National CD Rate: Falling 5.16%/ vs Last week: 5.19%+ (5.62 / Low 2.1%)
Diamonds Trust Current Yield: Falling 2.24%- vs Last week: 2.28%+ (2.54 / Low 0.31%)*****************************************************************************************************************Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis:
Symbol/Trend +/- (Historic High-Low)/Rating/Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.27 vs Last week: -.42 (High .70 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.27 vs Last week: -.14 (High .73 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.09 vs Last week: +.12 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.10 vs Last week: +.07 (High .71 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.14 vs Last week: -.06 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.94 vs Last week: -.83 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24-
2. Broadband
BDH: +.18 vs Last week: +.28 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 75-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.06 vs Last week: +.08 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 87-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.24 vs Last week: +.07 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97+
5. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.36 vs Last week: -.37 (High .64 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
6. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: -.06 vs Last week: +.15 (High .84 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
7. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.25 vs Last week: +.26 (High .64 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 46+
8. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF
EEB: +.29 vs Last week: +.40 (High .68 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
9. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.18 vs Last week: +.24 (High .84 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85+
10. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.06 vs Last week: +.02 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
11. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.13 vs Last week: +.11 (High .71 / Low -31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
12. Canada
EWC: +.06 vs Last week: -.02 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 66-
13. Sweden
EWD: -.06 vs Last week: +.05 (High .66 / Low -.26) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 91-
14. Germany
EWG: +.09 vs Last week: +.28 (High .61 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
15. Hong Kong
EWH: -.12 vs Last week: -.09 (High .43 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-
16. Japan
EWJ: +.17 vs Last week: +.13 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
17. Belgium
EWK: -.17 vs Last week: +.01 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 60-
18. Switzerland
EWL: -.01 vs Last week: -.00 (High .64 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 75+
19. Malaysia
EWM: +.14 vs Last week: +.12 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99-
20. Netherlands
EWN: +.07 vs Last week: +.36 (High .61 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
21. Austria
EWO: +.14 vs Last week: +.08 (High .49 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
22. France
EWQ: +.09 vs Last week: +.14 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94/
23. Singapore
EWS: +.17 vs Last week: +.13 (High .38 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
24. Taiwan
EWT: +.01 vs Last week: +.10 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61-
25. United Kingdom
EWU: -.00 vs Last week: +.25 (High .69 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
26. Mexico
EWW: -.15 vs Last week: -.21 (High .50 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70
27. South Korea
EWY: +.18 vs Last week: +.28 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
28. Brazil
EWZ: +.16 vs Last week: +.02 (High .65 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
29. Xinhua China
FXI: -.36 vs Last week: -.33 (High 1.26 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90-
30. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.10 vs Last week: -.13 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24-
31. Internet
HHH: -.24 vs Last week: +.02 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 25-
32. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.24 vs Last week: -.33 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2/
33. Comex Gold
IAU: +.01 vs Last week: -.04 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
34. Biotechnology
IBB: -.46 vs Last week: -.32 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29-
35. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.93 vs Last week: +.52 (High 1.76/Low -.93)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 51-
36. Utilities
IDU: -.03 vs Last week: +.32 (High .78 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 81-
37. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.24 vs Last week: -.16 (High .81 / Low -.48) Rating: BUY- Demand Factor: 78-
38. Natural Resources
IGE: +.22 vs Last week: +.15 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
39. Networking
IGN: -.25 vs Last week: -.06 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
40. Software
IGV: -.11 vs Last week: -.13 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
41. Semiconductor
IGW: +.11 vs Last week: +.21 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79-
42. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.25 vs Last week: +.06 (High .37 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 34-
43. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.11 vs Last week: +.30 (High .78 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
44. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.09 vs Last week: +.33 (High .66 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
45. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.02 vs Last week: +.27 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
46. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.18 vs Last week: -.44 (High 1.19 / Low -.60)Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
47. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.27 vs Last week: -.18 (High .79 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-
48. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.16 vs Last week: +.23 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
49. Global Financial
IXG: -.03 vs Last week: -.04 (High .79 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
50. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.13 vs Last week: -.13 (High .78 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73/
51. Energy
IYE: -.09 vs Last week: -.26 (High .79 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3+
52. Healthcare
IYH: -.07 vs Last week: +.05 (High .46 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92-
53. Industrial
IYJ: -.14 vs Last week: -.02 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19-
54. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.05 vs Last week: +.04 (High .58 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
55. Basic Materials
IYM: +.01 vs Last week: +.09 (High .69 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50-
56. Real Estate
IYR: -.54 vs Last week: -.26 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36-
57. Transportation
IYT: -.09 vs Last week: -.03 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 72+
58. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.16 vs Last week: -.24 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78+
59. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: +.11 vs Last week: +.22 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86-
60. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.14 vs Last week: +.21 (High .43 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 66+
61. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.14 vs Last week: -.05 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 31+
62. NYSE Group, Inc.
NYX: -0.85 vs Last week: -1.11 (High 1.77 / Low -1.20 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
63. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -0.49 vs Last week: -0.45 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
64. Oil Services
OIH: +.18 vs Last week: -.07 (High 1.63/Low -1.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 57+
65. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.23 vs Last week: +.34 (High .66 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
66. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.19 vs Last week: -.20 (High .49 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
67. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.02 vs Last week: +.19 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 11-
68. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.12 vs Last week: +.05 (High .56 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 34+
69. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.42 vs Last week: -.29 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6-
70. Regional Banks
RKH: -.36 vs Last week: -.15 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61-
71. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.33 vs Last week: -.32 (High .41 / Low -.39) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
72. Retail
RTH: -.22 vs Last week: -.05 (High .60 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61-
73. ULTRA SHORT S&P500 Power Shares
SDS: +.40 vs Last week: +.09 (High .64 / Low: -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
74. Silver Trust
SLV: -.32 vs Last week: -.25 (High 1.08 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55-
75. Semiconductor
SMH: -.10 vs Last week: -.02 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
76. Software
SWH: -.02 vs Last week: +.05 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 44-
77. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.10 vs Last week: +.17 (High .53 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79+
78. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.16 vs Last week: -.10 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70-
79. Utilities
UTH: +.02 vs Last week: +.28 (High .75 / Low -.71) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 29-
80. Wireless
WMH: -.17 vs Last week: -.11 (High .69 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88/
81. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.24 vs Last week: -.20 (High .69 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14+
82. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.22 vs Last week: +.26 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
83. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.11 vs Last week: -.17 (High .76 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-
84. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.18 vs Last week: -.03 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57-
85. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.13 vs Last week: +.21 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
86. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.10 vs Last week: +.15 (High .40 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
87. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.06 vs Last week: -.02 (High .40 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 73-
88. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .48 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
89. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: -.14 vs Last week: -.00 (High .52 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67-
90. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.28 vs Last week: +.41 (High .77 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-

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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.
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Friday, March 09, 2007

Negative Trending Stocks for Friday To Avoid

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Friday is 23%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Friday is 63%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today to 16% from 6% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Neutral (Just for today). The U.S. Stock Market may see selling today, but appears it may be a one-day event. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are not working the Bulls and should be avoided.

Our "NEGATIVE Trending" Stocks for Friday 3-9-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Friday's Open)
1. AMLN OFV: 36.63
2. ARA OFV: 52.37
3. AVY OFV: 64.18
4. BBOX OFV: 36.19
5. BCRX OFV: 9.66
6. BEAS OFV: 11.25
7. BHI OFV: 65.09
8. CCU OFV: 35.55
9. CNET OFV: 8.36
10. CTXS OFV: 31.79
11. DHI OFV: 24.77
12. DPTR OFV: 18.41
13. EBAY OFV: 31.26
14. ELOS OFV: 26.30
15. FE OFV: 62.15
16. FRC OFV: 53.54
17. GE OFV: 34.50
18. GENZ OFV: 59.76
19. GOOG OFV: 459.09
20. HOV OFV: 30.74
21. IGN OFV: 32.24
22. INTU OFV: 28.14
23. JBLU OFV: 11.89
24. JNJ OFV: 61.93
25. KOMG OFV: 32.17
26. LEN OFV: 48.84
27. LI OFV: 34.27
28. LNCR OFV: 37.29
29. LOW OFV: 32.79
30. MATK OFV: 22.00
31. MBI OFV: 66.91
32. MU OFV: 11.44
33. NBR OFV: 29.86
34. NEM OFV: 42.97
35. NFLX OFV: 21.37
36. NITE OFV: 15.99
37. NYX OFV: 84.77
38. OMG OFV: 41.26
39. ORCL OFV: 16.75
40. OSI OFV: 39.80
41. PHM OFV: 28.99
42. PLXS OFV: 16.18
43. PMTI OFV: 38.38
44. QLGC OFV: 17.08
45. REXI OFV: 24.66
46. RYL OFV: 47.84
47. SAFT OFV: 39.71
48. SBUX OFV: 30.98
49. SGY OFV: 29.21
50. SHLM OFV: 29.21
51. SMH OFV: 34.11
52. SLNK OFV: 11.72
53. STU OFV: 185.56
54. TOL OFV: 29.51
55. TRB OFV: 30.12
56. UNFI OFV: 28.94
57. UTEK OFV: 12.91
58. VICR OFV: 9.83
59. WEN OFV: 30.87
60. WFC OFV: 34.60
61. XLNX OFV: 25.27
62. YNDT OFV: 25.05

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/09/07Last Updated: 03/08/07
03/08/07 Final Numbers vs. Thursday's Forecast
(Open) 122.73 vs. Opening Fair Value: 122.16
(High) 123.08 vs. Predicted High: 123.05
(Low) 122.28 vs. Predicted Low: 120.99
(Close) 122.80
(Range) 0.80 vs. Proposed Range: 2.06

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.70
Today's Predicted High: 123.78
Today's Predicted Low: 121.83
Today's Proposed Range: 1.95
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 17 Up from 16
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.80/1.57 Down
Current Trend: Negative -46 Up from -50
Demand Factor: 45 Unch
Stock Volatility: -1.50 Up from -1.93

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/08/07 12:45 Close: 122.88 vs. Prior day: 122.22
Upside Potential: 124.77 vs. Prior day: 123.94
Downside Potential: 120.87 vs. Prior day: 119.82


Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.73
2. 125.18
3. 125.26
4. 125.54

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.62
2. 120.34
3. 120.28
4. 119.83

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.84
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.93
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.20
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.19
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.04
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.69
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.53
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.98

DIA probability "Up%" Friday= 23%
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday= 63%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 16% vs. 6% the previous day

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Fridays Often Yield To Profit Taking

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Wednesday 3-7-07: DJIA closed 12,260.7 +68.25 vs. Prior day: 12,192.45 -15.14
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,495.33 -19.31 vs. Prior day: 12,514.64 -22.35
(the DJIA closed well below its 65-day moving average at 12,470, but above its 149-day moving average at 12,060)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 9 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 23%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 63%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 23% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend increased to 16% from 6% the previous day. Wednesday's Stock Market performance was contrary to what had been the recent scenario of being up on Wednesday. Same happened Thursday where it should have been down instead of up. So we see a great deal of shuffling occurring. Also, a rally off of the 4% lows was expected to bring the DJIA at the very least up to where it traded Thursday. It other words, there could be some profit taking today and potentially enough to test the 149 day moving average currently at 12,060. That would be significant and scare the last remaining hold-outs of the recent decline. But should this happen, it would simply be a one-day shake-out and the Stock Market would move higher Monday. But the DJIA Trend has moved higher and can handle a down day because of the positive momentum created for the week. Fridays have recently been poor performers. We observe today that both the DIA and DJIA are once again a dichotomy for the probability for an "Up" and taking all factors into consideration, we must lean towards a down Friday. Let's see what happens today. Be sure to catch The Weekly Edition of MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis and Stocks in Review on Saturday, plus, the Dow 30 Buy/Sell on Sunday. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 63% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 16% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -0.13% vs Yesterday 0.01% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.03% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 50.32% vs Yesterday 51.42% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 39.64% vs Yesterday 34.94% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.15%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Unchanged Today 26% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 47.8% vs Yesterday 44.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unchanged Today 5.16% vs Yesterday 5.16% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -46% vs. Yesterday -50% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 41% / Low -33%)

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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 08, 2007

Positive Trending Stocks for Thursday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Thursday is 58%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Thursday is 56%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today at 6% from 6% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Positive (at least for a day, maybe two). The U.S. Stock Market may see further selling, but appears to want to move higher from here. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus once again on stocks that are working for the Bulls.

Our "Positive Trending" Stocks for Thursday 3-8-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Thursday's Open)
1. CERN OFV: 51.76
2. CTSH OFV: 89.26
3. DBC OFV: 24.87
4. DIS OFV: 34.43
5. DISH OFV: 43.43
6. ESRX OFV: 74.25
7. EWJ OFV: 14.53
8. EWM OFV: 9.68
9. EWO OFV: 35.83
10. FAF OFV: 50.24
11. FDP OFV: 19.25
12. GLBL OFV: 15.85
13. GR OFV: 49.47
14. HON OFV: 46.51
15. HPC OFV: 20.15
16. IDXX OFV: 84.97
17. INSP OFV: 24.53
18. KND OFV: 32.21
19. KRON OFV: 40.34
20. MAT OFV: 26.89
21. MEE OFV: 23.16
22. MFLO OFV: 13.96
23. NX OFV: 40.84
24. OO OFV: 20.25
25. PAYX OFV: 39.69
26. PEO OFV: 32.89
27. PCP OFV: 92.66
28. PKOH OFV: 17.45
29. PLCM OFV: 31.90
30. PLLL OFV: 22.20
31. SDS OFV: 60.76 (Good hedging ETF)
32. SKT OFV: 38.77
33. SPLS OFV: 25.42
34. SYK OFV: 61.76
35. TEX OFV: 65.17
36. THX OFV: 52.42
37. TRA OFV: 17.84
38. TRP OFV: 32.31
39. TUP OFV: 23.42
40. WY OFV: 84.07

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/08/07
Last Updated: 03/07/07
03/07/07 Final Numbers vs. Wednesday's Forecast
(Open) 121.87 vs. Opening Fair Value: 121.68
(High) 122.60 vs. Predicted High 123.92
(Low) 121.87 vs. Predicted Low: 120.34
(Close) 122.02
(Range) 0.73 vs. Proposed Range: 3.58

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.16
Today's Predicted High: 123.05
Today's Predicted Low: 120.99
Today's Proposed Range: 2.06
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 16 Down from 19
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.80/1.85 Down
Current Trend: Negative -50 Down from -44
Demand Factor: 45 Down from 50
Stock Volatility: -1.93 Up from -3.23

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/07/07 12:45 Close: 122.22 vs. Prior day: 121.48
Upside Potential: 123.94 vs. Prior day: 126.09
Downside Potential: 119.82 vs. Prior day: 118.93

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 124.31
2. 124.31
3. 124.46
4. 125.05

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.15
2. 119.58
3. 119.43
4. 119.43


DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY
MOVING AVERAGE = 122.29
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.11
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.31
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.21
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.07
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.68
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.45
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.92

DIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 58%
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 56%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 6% vs. 6% the previous day

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Higher Prices For Stock Market Ahead

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Wednesday 3-7-07: DJIA closed 12,192.45 -15.14 vs. Prior day: 12,207.59 +157.18
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,514.64 -22.35 vs. Prior day: 12,536.99 -21.23
(the DJIA closed well below its 65-day moving average at 12,470, but bounced off of its 149-day moving average at 12,070)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 8 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 58%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 56%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 58 probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged for the third day at 6% from 6% the previous day. The DJIA has recently been opening down and closing down, but that should be expected to change shortly. Wednesday's Stock Market performance was contrary to what has been the recent scenario of being up on Wednesday. But the good news is that it appears that the selling has abated, at least for now. Still, as Trend followers we want the Trend to start moving higher for us to get real excited about higher prices, which could be in the offing today. Should the Stock Market move higher today and tomorrow, it would also be contrary to what has been the recent scenario during the run-up as Thursdays and Fridays have recently been poor performers. But the Stock Market is always subject to change without notice. We observe today that both the DIA and DJIA are working in concert and the probability for an "Up" day looks more favorable today. Still, the landscape has changed and the Dow specifically and the Stock Market in general needs to prove that it intends to move higher from the basement with more participation than just a few groups of stocks. Some of the numbers have begun to turn up and we are cautiously optimistic that the worst of the selling is over. We believe the DJIA is poised to move up to the declining 21-day moving average over the next 7 days when futures and options expire. In other words, the 4% Stock Market decline was most likely a buying opportunity and higher prices are to be expected, at least for the short-term. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 56% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 32% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.01% vs Yesterday -1.09% (High 6.00% / Low -1.09%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.03% vs Yesterday -.02% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 51.42% vs Yesterday 53.97% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 34.94% vs Yesterday 34.65% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.15% vs Yesterday -.11%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 44.7% vs Yesterday 50.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unchanged Today 5.16% vs Yesterday 5.16% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -50% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -32% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
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MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
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Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Positive Trending Stocks for Wednesday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Wednesday is 0%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Wednesday is 64%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today at 6% from 6% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Positive (at least for a day). The U.S. Stock Market may see further selling, but is seeking support today at the opening. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are working for the Bulls.

Our "Positive Trending" Stocks for Wednesday 3-7-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Wednesday's Open)
1. BRO OFV: 28.08
2. CERN OFV: 51.80
3. CRXL OFV: 24.37
4. DBC OFV: 24.62
5. DBD OFV: 46.10
6. DEO OFV: 76.94
7. DIS OFV: 34.14
8. EPP OFV: 125.02
9. EWJ OFV: 14.54
10. EWM OFV: 9.53
11. EWO OFV: 35.41
12. EWS OFV: 11.54
13. EWZ OFV: 44.70
14. FAF OFV: 48.02
15. FDP OFV: 19.00
16. GLBL OFV: 15.35
17. GR OFV: 49.00
18. GT OFV: 28.00
19. HAS OFV: 29.02
20. HSII OFV: 46.10
21. HIG OFV: 94.83
22. INSP OFV: 24.13
23. LIFC OFV: 23.65
24. MAT OFV: 26.79
25. MFLO OFV: 13.97
26. MHP OFV: 63.86
27. PAS OFV: 21.31
28. PHO OFV: 18.09
29. PLLL OFV: 21.44
30. RSTI OFV: 56.38
31. SBGI OFV: 14.61
32. SFNT OFV: 28.46
33. SLE OFV: 16.46
34. SYK OFV: 61.22
35. TKR OFV: 28.36
36. TRA OFV: 17.18
37. TRP OFV: 32.28
38. TYL OFV: 13.19
39. VSH OFV: 13.91
40. WAG OFV: 44.24
41. WY OFV: 85.82
42. XLP OFV: 25.97
43. ZMH OFV: 83.45


Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/07/07
Last Updated: 03/06/07
03/06/07 Final Numbers vs. Tuesday's Forecast
(Open) 121.53 vs. Opening Fair Value: 120.91
(High) 122.29 vs. Predicted High: 121.77
(Low) 120.98 vs. Predicted Low: 118.84
(Close) 122.13
(Range) 1.31 vs. Proposed Range: 2.93

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.68
Today's Predicted High: 123.92
Today's Predicted Low: 120.34
Today's Proposed Range: 3.58
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 19 Up from 13
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.00/2.43 Down
Current Trend: Negative -44 Up from -59
Demand Factor: 50 Up from 46
Stock Volatility: -3.23 Down from -0.97

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/06/07 12:45 Close: 121.48 vs. Prior day: 121.03
Upside Potential: 126.09 vs. Prior day: 122.73
Downside Potential: 118.93 vs. Prior day: 116.87

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 123.40
2. 123.96
3. 124.57
4. 124.74

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 119.84
2. 119.69
3. 119.10
4. 118.56

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.84
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.34
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.42
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.28
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.12
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.68
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.39
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.87

DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 0%
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday= 64%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 6% vs. 6% the previous day

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Wednesday May Return Some Of Tuesday Gains

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Tuesday 3-6-07: DJIA closed 12,207.59 +157.18 vs. Prior day: 12,050.41 -63.69
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,536.99 -21.23 vs. Prior day: 12,558.22 -29.68
(the DJIA closed well below its 65-day moving average at 12,470, but bounced off of its 149-day moving average at 12,050)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Wednesday March 7 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 0%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 64%

(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 0% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged for the second day at 6% from 6% the previous day. The Dow 30 has recently been opening down and closing down. It appears that could happen again today. Yesterday's surge did not move the DJIA Trend from its current position of 6%. If the DJIA reverses and gives back what was earned on Tuesday, the Stock Market will be in for more drubbing. In recent times, Wednesday has been a positive day especially if followed by a positive Tuesday. However, the recent Bull run has been washed out and Tuesday's afternoon surge may have been an opportunity for short-sellers to profit by a move down today. We notice today there is a dichotomy between the DIA and DJIA probability for an "Up" day today. We have noticed in the past that when this happens, there can be a delay of one day for a negative day, which would push a decline into Thursday's Market instead of today. Still, the landscape has changed and what has been true-to-form in recent times may not dictate what will happen going forward. The numbers did turn up, but today will let us know if that was a one-day wonder and a re-test could be expected, or has that already happened? We believe the later is the case and the DJIA could see a move up to the declining 21-day moving average over the next 8 days when futures and options expire. In other words, the 4% Stock Market decline was most likely a buying opportunity. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 64% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -1.09% vs Yesterday -0.03% (High 6.00% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.02% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 53.97% vs Yesterday 48.77% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 34.65% vs Yesterday 30.81% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.11% vs Yesterday -.20%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 28% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 50.3% vs Yesterday 38.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.16% vs Yesterday 5.17% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -44% vs. Yesterday -59% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Positive Trending Stocks for Tuesday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Tuesday is 74%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Tuesday is 58%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today at 6% from 6% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Positive (at least for a day or two). The U.S. Stock Market may see further selling, but is seeking support today at the opening. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today we focus on what stocks are working for the Bulls.

Our "Positive Trending" Stocks for Tuesday 3-6-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Tuesday's Open)
1. FAF OFV: 47.60
2. FBN OFV: 17.52
3. FD OFV: 44.06
4. GLBL OFV: 14.86
5. HAS OFV: 28.64
6. IVAC OFV: 26.92
7. SDS OFV: 62.19 (Excellent hedging stock)
8. SFNT OFV: 28.00
9. STTX OFV: 29.45
10. SVM OFV: 13.20
11. SYK OFV: 59.94
12. GT OFV: 27.31
13. HSII OFV: 45.16
14. MFLO OFV: 14.04
15. PAS OFV: 21.10
16. TNOX OFV: 19.36
17. EEB OFV: 28.26
18. MAT OFV: 26.20
19. LDG OFV: 48.98
20. NUAN OFV: 13.63


Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/06/07
Last Updated: 03/05/07
03/05/07 Final Numbers vs. Monday's Forecast
(Open) 120.40 vs. Opening Fair Value: 121.73
(High) 121.91 vs. Predicted High: 122.32/Prior day 12:45 Close: 121.91
(Low) 120.28 vs. Predicted Low: 119.88
(Close) 120.30
(Range) 1.63 vs. Proposed Range: 2.44

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 120.91
Today's Predicted High: 121.77
Today's Predicted Low: 118.84
Today's Proposed Range: 2.93
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 13 Down from 20
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.80/2.43 Down
Current Trend: Negative -59 Down from -42
Demand Factor: 46 Down from 57
Stock Volatility: -0.97 Down from -0.77

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/05/07 12:45 Close: 121.03 vs. Prior day: 121.91
Upside Potential: 122.73 vs. Prior day: 123.04
Downside Potential: 116.87 vs. Prior day: 118.16

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 122.69
2. 122.71
3. 122.81
4. 124.35

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 119.47
2. 117.99
3. 117.89
4. 117.87

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.43
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.55
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.51
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.33
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.16
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.67
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.32
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.82

DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday= 74%
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday= 58%
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 6% vs. 6% the previous day

Become a MktMetrics.com subscriber and receive this information daily for any stock or ETF within our Stock Directory today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

DJIA 11,950 Level Has Prevented Deeper Decline

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Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-5-07: DJIA closed 12,050.41 -63.69 vs. Prior day: 12,114.10 -120.24
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,558.22 -29.68 vs. Prior day: 12,587.90 -24.17
(the DJIA closed below its 65-day moving average at 12,450, but bounced off of its 149-day moving average at 12,025)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Tuesday March 3 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 74%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 58%
(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 74% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged at 6% from 6% the previous day. The Dow 30 has recently been opening down and closing down. We are hoping for improvement today our theorectical projected lows for this decline was 12,950 and it has came close enough last Thursday at 11,996 and again on Monday at 11,973. Therefore, Tuesday could see a positive bounce and perhaps Wednesday will provide follow-through to a potential bounce today. The Stock Market should begin to rebuild confidence as the day rolls along. The DJIA could even see a move to the declining moving average over the next 9 days when futures and options expire and the Exchange Insiders profit by wiping out the fat Put Premiums that currently exist from the 4% Stock Market decline. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 58% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 23% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -0.03% vs Yesterday 0.25% (High 6.00% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.05% vs Yesterday -.02% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 48.77% vs Yesterday 54.00% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 30.81% vs Yesterday 34.94% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.20% vs Yesterday -.13%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 38% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 38.9% vs Yesterday 51.2% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.17% vs Yesterday 5.18% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -59% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 70% / Low -59%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -39% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 05, 2007

Positive Trending Stocks for Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 94%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 66%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today at 6% from 0% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Positive (at least for one day) and after a potential morning sell-off. The U.S. Stock Market may see further selling, but is seeking support today at the opening. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would represent an iminent Recession.

Today starts a new week and we wish to point out positive stocks that appear to be showing a desire to do better this week versus Friday. Call it a potential break out from their scrimmage line. We will deliver this list at the beginning of each week.

Our "Strenghtening Trend" Stocks for Monday 3-5-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Monday's Open)
1. ALL OFV: 59.60
2. CME OFV: 541.86
3. DXD OFV: 60.65 (excellent for hedging long positions)
4. SDS OFV: 60.87 (excellent for hedging long positions)
5. TESS OFV: 27.51
The above stocks and the positive trending stocks mentioned in the MktMetrics Weekly Stocks in Review on Sunday (scroll down for list) should be considered for today's accumulation as they appear to not to be affected by the sell-off.

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/05/07
Last Updated: 03/02/07
03/02/07 Final Numbers vs. Friday's Forecast
(Open) 122.05 vs. Opening Fair Value: 121.54
(High) 122.47 vs. Predicted Block Trading Activity: 122.45
(Low) 121.10 vs. Predicted Downside Potential: 121.91
(Close) 121.10
(Range) 1.37 vs. Proposed Range: 0.85

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.73
Today's Predicted High: 122.32
Today's Predicted Low: 119.88
Today's Proposed Range: 2.44
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (down from buy)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 20 Down from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.00/2.27 Down
Current Trend: Negative -42 Down from 2
Demand Factor: 57 Down from 95
Stock Volatility: -0.77 Down from 6.87

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/02/07 12:45 Close: 121.91 vs Prior day: 122.48
Upside Potential: 123.04 vs. Prior day: 123.59
Downside Potential: 118.16 vs. Prior day: 121.91

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 123.52
2. 123.52
3. 124.49
4. 124.92

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.02
2. 119.61
3. 118.68
4. 118.68

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.33
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.86
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.69
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.44
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.24
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.69
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.26
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.79

DIA probability "Up%" Monday= 94%
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday= 66%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 6% vs. 0% the previous day

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DJIA 11,950 Support To Be Tested Today

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Friday 3-1-07: DJIA closed 12,114.10 -120.24 vs. Prior day: 12,234.34 -34.29
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,587.90 -24.17 vs. Prior day: 12,612.07 -13.76
(the DJIA closed below its 65-day moving average at 12,480, but bounced off of its 149-day moving average at 12,035)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Monday March 2 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 94%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 66%

(Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 94% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend rose to 6% from 0% the previous day. The Dow 30 now has 2 stocks trending higher and 28 stocks trending lower. Those two stocks are AIG and MRK. However, perhaps MRK may not perform as well today and PG will do better instead. Monday could be a climatic day as the Stock Market seeks to put in a temporary trading bottom. Our price objective as mentioned last week had be met for the DJIA at 11,950 on a theoretical basis on Thursday and should provide a cushion today. But should the Stock Market do poorly today, it would actually help in washing out the froth of the past 8 months that appeared quite unrealistic to us. As far as today goes, perhaps a climatic bottom will happen at the inception of today's trading and then the Stock Market should begin to rebuild confidence after the first hour of margin calls have been filled at those lower levels. The bad news is that these sorts of statistics are a sign of deep distribution that won't go away over night. But there will be money to be made on the Volatility as it is now the highest it has been in decades! Keep in mind that futures and options expire in 10 days and it is in the best interest of the Exchange Insiders to gradually move big cap stocks higher and wipe out the fat Put Premiums that currently exist from last week's 4% Stock Market decline. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 66% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 2% vs. Yesterday 0% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 35% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.25% vs Yesterday 3.15% (High 6.00% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory:
Falling Today -.02% vs Yesterday .04% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 54.00% vs Yesterday 60.87% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 34.94% vs Yesterday 38.81% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.13% vs Yesterday -.04%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 38% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 51.2% vs Yesterday 65.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.18% vs Yesterday 5.19% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Falling Trend Today -42% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 70% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 41% / Low -33%)

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Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 04, 2007

Dow 30 Industrials Buy/Sell Monday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-5-07 is 94%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday 3-5-07 is 66%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 2% from 0% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Nightly Analysis Update for Monday's Trading:
Dow 30 + DIA BUY/SELL
Symbol/Signal/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
1. AA SELL- 69- 1.26 47D -0.03+
2. AIG S/BUY+ 82+ 1.48 63U 0.17+
3. AXP SELL- 82- 1.48 33D -0.08+
4. BA BUY- 62- 2.16 51D -0.11+
5. C SELL 82- 1.87 31D -0.37+
6. CAT BUY 48- 1.32 29D 0.07+
7. DD S/BUY 97- 2.27 60D 0.19+
8. DIA SELL- 57- 2.44 20D -0.42+
9. DIS S/BUY 98- 0.98 64U 0.10+
10. GE SELL 0/ 0.87 18U -0.30+
11. GM SELL 26- 1.24 11D -0.29+
12. HD SELL- 35- 0.78 27D -0.02+
13. HON S/BUY 93- 1.14 53D 0.28+
14. HPQ SELL 63- 0.86 27D -0.39+
15. IBM SELL 88- 1.90 37D -0.37+
16. INTC SELL 19- 0.44 13D -0.21+
17. JNJ SELL 0- 0.87 4D -0.48+
18. JPM BUY- 92- 1.63 44D 0.03+
19. KO SELL 12- 1.14 22D -0.39+
20. MCD S/BUY 91- 0.84 51D 0.07+
21. MMM SELL 5- 1.48 7D -0.14+
22. MO SELL 11- 2.13 42D -0.19+
23. MRK BUY+ 35+ 1.24 51U -0.10+
24. MSFT SELL 21- 0.62 16D -0.34+
25. PFE SELL 66- 0.65 25D -0.12+
26. PG BUY 97+ 1.54 59U -0.06+
27. T SELL- 23- 1.16 52D -0.06+
28. UTX SELL+ 58- 1.35 29D -0.27+
29. VZ BUY- 95- 1.19 53D -0.05+
30. WMT SELL- 0- 0.93 22D -0.05+
31. XOM SELL 67- 1.75 22D -0.19+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be “Up” Monday is 94%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday is 66%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 2% from 0% the previous day

(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Our "Best" Positive Stocks (strong accumulaton and powerful price action)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for 3-5-07 Monday's Open)
1. CTB OFV: 17.74
2. CYN OFV: 72.37
3. EWM OFV: 9.64
4. FAF OFV: 47.59
5. FBN OFV: 16.73
6. FD OFV: 44.22
7. GBL OFV: 39.09
8. GT OFV: 26.89
9. PAA OFV: 55.88
10. MFLO OFV: 13.99
11. PKOH OFV: 17.35
12. PLLL OFV: 20.88
13. SNE OFV: 49.33
14. STTX OFV: 29.46
15. TCB OFV: 26.36
16. TNOX OFV: 19.39
17. TXI OFV: 75.61
18. TYL OFV: 13.31
19. WMS OFV: 38.19
20. WY OFV: 86.00
21. FDP OFV: 18.53
22. HAS OFV: 28.82
23. JCI OFV: 95.48


Our "Worst" Negative Stocks (unusual distribution and poor price action)
Symbol OFV(Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for 3-5-07 Monday's Open)
1. AMD OFV: 14.43
2. AMGN OFV: 61.92
3. ANIK OFV: 12.81
4. APC OFV: 39.67
5. AVY OFV: 65.39
6. BBOX OFV: 37.73
7. BCRX OFV: 9.56
8. BMET OFV: 42.29
9. BRCM OFV: 33.21
10. CAG OFV: 24.75
11. CC OFV: 18.03
12. CCU OFV: 36.09
13. CDWC OFV: 59.99
14. CINF OFV: 43.09
15. CRA OFV: 13.56
16. CSCO OFV: 25.55
17. CVTX OFV: 12.72
18. DOW OFV: 42.72
19. DPTR OFV: 19.22
20. EPEX OFV: 12.25
21. ERTS OFV: 49.44
22. FRC OFV: 53.63
23. GE OFV: 34.92
24. GNW OFV: 35.13
25. GOOG OFV: 443.24
26. IGN OFV: 32.25
27. JNJ OFV: 62.10
28. LH OFV: 69.07
29. LOW OFV: 32.17
30. MATK OFV: 21.94
31. MU OFV: 11.91
32. MYL OFV: 19.60
33. NBR OFV: 29.34
34. NVDA OFV: 30.18
35. NYX OFV: 83.32
36. OSI OFV: 40.36
37. OSIP OFV: 33.31
38. SBUX OFV: 30.06
39. SGY OFV: 30.02
40. SHLM OFV: 21.12
41. SLNK OFV: 11.70
42. SYMC OFV: 16.96
43. TKLC OFV: 12.56

44. UNFI OFV: 29.17
45. VRTX OFV: 29.71
46. WMT OFV: 47.97
47. XLNX OFV: 25.55
48. HOV OFV: 31.22
49. IYE OFV: 97.39
50. NEM OFV: 43.61
51. SAFT OFV: 42.18
52. TSU OFV: 31.98
53. YDNT OFV: 25.51
54. AZN OFV: 54.22
55. DHI OFV: 25.51
55. FMT OFV: 8.91
56. IAH OFV: 40.77
57. MMM OFV: 73.33
58. PHM OFV: 29.73
59. RYL OFV: 48.05
60. SBAC OFV: 26.55
61. TOL OFV: 29.76

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, March 03, 2007

The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 2, 2007
Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) Intermediate Trading Range:
High 12,845.76 - Low 9,961.52 = Range: 2,884.24

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 38% vs Last week: 73% (High 88% / Low 12%)
DJIA Closed: 12,114.10 vs Last week: 12,647.48 -533.38- / Prior week: -120.09-
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,587.90 vs Last week: 12,643.13 -55.23-/Prior week: 31.42-DJIA Trend: Falling 6% vs Last week: 61% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 39% vs Last week: 68% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.25% vs Last week: 0.57% (High 6.00% / Low -0.22%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,808 vs Last week 12,864 -56- / Last week: 32-
DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 13,029 vs Last week 13,085
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,368 vs Last week: 12,422 -54- / Last week: 36+
DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 12,147 vs Last week: 12,201
DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 35% vs Last week: 55% (High 97% / Low 08%)
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -24.0 vs Last week: 1.2 (High 35.4 / Low -35.8)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling 22- vs Last week: 290- (High 647 / Low -455)
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -202- vs Last week: -8- (High 188/ Low -439)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -3.76%- vs Last week: .03%- (High 4.36% / Low -3.76%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Falling SELL- vs Last week: SELL-
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling -132- vs Last week: -39- (High 255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 26- vs Last week: 66- (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: Falling 29 vs Last week: 49 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume Today vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 1.2 vs Last week: 0.9 (High 1.6 / Low 0.3)

Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling 51.2%+ vs Last week: 92.9%- (100.0% / Low 8.0%)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.02%- vs Last week: .02%- (High .19% / Low -.24%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 54.0- vs Last week: 64.6- (High 86.8 / Low 18.7)

Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 34.9- vs Last week: 57.7- (High 79.0 / 25.2)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling -.13- vs Last week: .01- (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 142- vs Last week: 143/ (High 143 / Low 68)
Speculation Indicator: Falling -2.75- vs Last week: -.08- (High +.78 / Low -2.75)

One-Year National CD Rate: Unchanged 5.19%/ vs Last week: 5.19%+ (5.62 / Low 2.1%)Diamonds Trust Current Yield: Rising 2.28%+ vs Last week: 2.18%+ (2.54 / Low 0.31%)*****************************************************************************************************************
Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis:
Symbol/Trend +/- (Historic High-Low)/Rating/Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -42 vs Last week: +.20 (High .70 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.14 vs Last week: +.39 (High .73 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.12 vs Last week: +.83 (High .85 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.07 vs Last week: +.52 (High .71 / Low -.42) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.06 vs Last week: +.18 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 73-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.83 vs Last week: -.47 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52-
2. Broadband
BDH: +.28 vs Last week: +.41 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.08 vs Last week: +.27 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
4. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.07 vs Last week: +.18 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
5. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.37 vs Last week: +.25 (High .64 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
6. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.15 vs Last week: +.44 (High .84 / Low -.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
7. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.26 vs Last week: -.22 (High .64 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 34+
8. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF
EEB: +.40 vs Last week: +.52 (High .68 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
9. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.24 vs Last week: +.27 (High .84 / Low -.16) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80-
10. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.02 vs Last week: +.46 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
11. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.11 vs Last week: +.50 (High .71 / Low -31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98/
12. Canada
EWC: -.02 vs Last week: +.04 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
13. Sweden
EWD: +.05 vs Last week: +.29 (High .66 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
14. Germany
EWG: +.28 vs Last week: +.59 (High .61 / Low -.26) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
15. Hong Kong
EWH: -.09 vs Last week: +.07 (High .43 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
16. Japan
EWJ: +.13 vs Last week: +.23 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
17. Belgium
EWK: +.01 vs Last week: +.43 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76-
18. Switzerland
EWL: -.00 vs Last week: +.50 (High .64 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 74-
19. Malaysia
EWM: +.12 vs Last week: +.08 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
20. Netherlands
EWN: +.36 vs Last week: +.61 (High .61 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
21. Austria
EWO: +.08 vs Last week: +.08 (High .49 / Low -.14) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 89-
22. France
EWQ: +.14 vs Last week: +.53 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
23. Singapore
EWS: +.13 vs Last week: +.20 (High .38 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
24. Taiwan
EWT: +.10 vs Last week: +.18 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79-
25. United Kingdom
EWU: +.25 vs Last week: +.40 (High .69 / Low -.20) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
26. Mexico
EWW: -.21 vs Last week: +.18 (High .50 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 61-
27. South Korea
EWY: +.28 vs Last week: +.42 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
28. Brazil
EWZ: +.02 vs Last week: +.23 (High .65 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92/
29. Xinhua China
FXI: -.33 vs Last week: -.13 (High 1.26 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93-
30. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.13 vs Last week: +.24 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 51-
31. Internet
HHH: +.02 vs Last week: +.23 (High .50 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
32. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.33 vs Last week: -.06 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
33. Comex Gold
IAU: -.04 vs Last week: +.26 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
34. Biotechnology
IBB: -.32 vs Last week: +.07 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 60-
35. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: +.52 vs Last week: +1.43 (High 1.76/Low -.51)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
36. Utilities
IDU: +.32 vs Last week: +.73 (High .78 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
37. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.16 vs Last week: +.60 (High .81 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
38. Natural Resources
IGE: +.15 vs Last week: +.53 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97-
39. Networking
IGN: -.06 vs Last week: +.25 (High .38 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
40. Software
IGV: -.13 vs Last week: +.02 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 23
41. Semiconductor
IGW: +.21 vs Last week: +.47 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
42. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.06 vs Last week: +.13 (High .37 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 50-
43. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.30 vs Last week: +.72 (High .78 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
44. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.33 vs Last week: +.62 (High .66 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
45. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.27 vs Last week: +.67 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
46. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.44 vs Last week: +.54 (High 1.19 / Low -.60)Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94-
47. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.18 vs Last week: +.39 (High .79 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 79-
48. S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index
ITF: +.23 vs Last week: +.58 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
49. Global Financial
IXG: -.04 vs Last week: +.44 (High .79 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97-
50. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.13 vs Last week: +.09 (High .78 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 73-
51. Energy
IYE: -.26 vs Last week: +.02 (High .79 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 1-
52. Healthcare
IYH: +.05 vs Last week: +.36 (High .46 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98/
53. Industrial
IYJ: -.02 vs Last week: +.40 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 50-
54. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.04 vs Last week: +.19 (High .58 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
55. Basic Materials
IYM: +.9 vs Last week: +.64 (High .69 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
56. Real Estate
IYR: -.26 vs Last week: +.25 (High .62 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 59-
57. Transportation
IYT: -.03 vs Last week: +.62 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
58. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.24 vs Last week: +.15 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 72-
59. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: +.22 vs Last week: +.56 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
60. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.21 vs Last week: +.32 (High .43 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 53+
61. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: -.05 vs Last week: +.32 (High .43 / Low -.34) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 22-
62. NYSE Group, Inc.
NYX: -1.11 vs Last week: -.66 (High 1.77/ Low -1.20) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
63. Oil Services
OIH: -.07 vs Last week: +.21 (High 1.63/Low -1.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 54-
64. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.34 vs Last week: +.66 (High .66 / Low -.24) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
65. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.20 vs Last week: -.10 (High .49 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
66. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: +.19 vs Last week: +.41 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 15-
67. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.05 vs Last week: -.43 (High .66 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 19+
68. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.29 vs Last week: +.37 (High .66 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 42-
69. Regional Banks
RKH: -.15 vs Last week: +.32 (High .88 / Low -.48) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84-
70. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.32 vs Last week: -.23 (High .41 / Low -.39) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35-
71. Retail
RTH: -.05 vs Last week: +.18 (High .60 / Low -.58) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86-
72. ULTRA SHORT S&P500 Power Shares
SDS: +.09 vs Last week: -.26 (High .64 / Low: -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85+
73. Silver Trust
SLV: -.25 vs Last week: +.69 (High 1.08 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
74. Semiconductor
SMH: -.02 vs Last week: +.12 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 7-
75. Software
SWH: +.05 vs Last week: -.02 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 63+
76. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.17 vs Last week: +.14 (High .53 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72-
77. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.10 vs Last week: +.07 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76+
78. Utilities
UTH: +.28 vs Last week: +.75 (High .75 / Low -.71) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 42-
79. Wireless
WMH: -.11 vs Last week: +.75 (High .69 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 88-
80. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.20 vs Last week: -.13 (High .69 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 5-
81. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.26 vs Last week: +.35 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
82. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.17 vs Last week: +.16 (High .76 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
83. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.03 vs Last week: +.12 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 74-
84. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.21 vs Last week: +.42 (High .46 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92-
85. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.15 vs Last week: +.30 (High .40 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
86. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.02 vs Last week: -.05 (High .40 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
87. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.04 vs Last week: +.16 (High .48 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86-
88. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: -.00 vs Last week: +.31 (High .52 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80-
89. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.41 vs Last week: +.68 (High .77 / Low -.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-

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Friday, March 02, 2007

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/02/07
Last Updated: 03/01/07
03/01/07 Final Numbers vs. Thursday's Forecast
(Open) 121.41 vs. Opening Fair Value: 122.53
(High) 122.90 vs. Predicted High: 123.03
(Low) 120.05 vs. Predicted Low: 122.29
(Close) 122.44
(Range) 2.85 vs. 0.74
Caveat: Yesterday's Range was skewed due to the gap open of 200+ points. Today is a more normal trading environment we observe.

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.54
Today's Predicted High: 122.86
Today's Predicted Low: 122.02
Today's Proposed Range:0.84
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy (up from sell)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Down from 46
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 3.00/2.10 Up
Current Trend: Positive 2 Up from -1
Demand Factor: 95 Up from 85
Stock Volatility: 6.87 Up from 4.43

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
03/01/07 12:45 Close: 122.48
Upside Potential: 123.59 vs. Prior day: 123.34
Downside Potential: 121.91 vs. Prior day: 121.86

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 122.45
2. 123.42
3. 124.89
4. 125.36

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 120.44
2. 119.99
3. 118.58
4. 117.65

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.16
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.11
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.84
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.53
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.31
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.71
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.19
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.76

DIA probability "Up%" Friday= 65%
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday= 57%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 0% vs. 19% the previous day

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Thursday 3-1-07: DJIA closed 12,234.34 -34.34 vs. Prior day: 12,268.63 +52.39
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,612.07 -13.76 vs. Prior day: 12,625.83 -10.58
(the DJIA closed below its 65-day moving average, but bounced off of its 149-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Friday March 2 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 65%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 57%
Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 65% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend fell to 0% from 19% the previous day. The Dow 30 now has no up trending stocks to report. In other words, all Sells and no Buys. The good news is that this seldom happens. The bad news is that these sorts of statistics are a sign of deep distribution that won't go away over night. But there will be money to be made on the Volatility as it is now the highest it has been in decades! We stated that an imminent decline to test the 12,000 level and be penetrated intraday to perhaps 11,950 or lower. That has now happened and the likely hood of a rally today or Monday is likely, also. But base building will need to take place before a move to test the old highs to be possible. Be sure to catch the Weekly Edition of MktMetrics Stock Market Analysis on Saturday and the Dow 30 BUY/SELL on Sunday. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 57% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 0% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 45% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 48% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 3.15% vs Yesterday 2.91% (High 6.00% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .02% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 60.87% vs Yesterday 57.45% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 38.81% vs Yesterday 41.65% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.03%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 88% / Low 18%)Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 65.7% vs Yesterday 70.0% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Falling Today 5.19% vs Yesterday 5.20% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 70% / Low -48%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today 52% vs. Yesterday 51% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 41% / Low -33%)

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Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Trending Stocks for Friday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Friday is 65%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Friday is 57%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 0% from 19% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Negative due to the existing declining DJIA Trend. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would signal a recession, but do have a short-term trading SELL that was posted on Thursday 2-22-07.

Today we look at stocks that did not participate in the recent move up and have been under steady distribution. These stocks are not suggested to be held or bought at this time.

Our "Declining Trend" Stocks for Friday 3-2-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Friday's Open)
1. AMGN OFV: 62.12
2. ANIK OFV: 13.02
3. DOW OFV: 43.30
4. EPEX OFV: 12.43
5. FRC OFV: 53.63
6. GE OFV: 35.40
7. LH OFV: 72.36
8. MATK OFV: 22.38
9. OSI OFV: 39.95
10. OSIP OFV: 34.02
11. VRTX OFV: 30.08
12. YDNT OFV: 25.59
13. APC OFV: 39.92
14. BMET OFV: 42.34
15. CCU OFV: 36.13
16. GNW OFV: 35.15
17. NVDA OFV: 30.53
18. SBUX OFV: 30.39
19. SHLM OFV: 20.93
20. SLNK OFV: 11.70
21. SYMC OFV: 17.00
22. ERTS OFV: 49.59
23. MU OFV: 11.82
24. UNFI OFV: 29.32
25. JNJ OFV: 62.35
26. CAG OFV: 25.02
27. CYBE OFV: 13.56
28. LOW OFV: 32.16
29. NBR OFV: 29.59
30. TSU OFV: 31.53
31. CSCO OFV: 25.65
32. PHM OFV: 29.57
33. AMD OFV: 14.86
34. AVY OFV: 66.21
35. SGY OFV: 30.13
36. XLNX OFV: 25.31
37. DPTR OFV: 19.96
38. STU OFV: 189.45
39. TRB OFV: 29.96
40. GOOG OFV: 446.00
41. TKLC OFV: 12.46
42. AZN OFV: 54.95
43. BBY OFV: 46.15
44. CRYP OFV: 22.63
45. PTEN OFV: 22.08
46. ADM OFV: 34.11
47. DELL OFV: 22.79
48. NFLX OFV: 22.59
49. TTI OFV: 21.97
50. BBOX OFV: 37.77

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 01, 2007

Trending Stocks for Thursday

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

DIA Probability to be "Up" Thursday is 19%
DJIA Probability to be “Up” Thursday is 64%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% from 29% the previous day
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Today's Outlook is Negative due to the existing declining DJIA Trend. We do not have a major Sell signal present that would signal a recession, but do have a short-term trading SELL that was posted on Thursday 2-22-07.

Today we look at stocks that did not participate in the recent move up and have been under steady distribution. These stocks are not suggested to be held or bought at this time.

Our "Declining Trend" Stocks for Thursday 3-1-07
Symbol (OFV: Opening Fair Value) (Statistics for Thursday's Open)
1. AMGN OFV: 64.60
2. APC OFV: 40.34
3. BBY OFV: 46.75
4. BCRX OFV: 10.14
5. CCU OFV: 36.41
6. CINF OFV: 36.41
7. CR OFV: 38.31
8. CSCO OFV: 25.97
9. CTX OFV: 46.98
10. DHI OFV: 25.47
11. DTV OFV: 23.54
12. EPEX OFV: 12.67
13. HOV OFV: 31.55
14. LOW OFV: 32.82
15. MU OFV: 11.88
16. NVDA OFV: 31.16
17. PHM OFV: 29.76
18. RYL OFV: 48.47
19. SGY OFV: 30.94
20. SHLM OFV: 21.23
21. TOL OFV: 30.09
22. TSU OFV: 31.77
23. TTI OFV: 22.91
24. UNFI OFV: 30.11
25. VRTX OFV: 30.97
26. WMT OFV: 48.32
27. XHB OFV: 35.85
28. XLNX OFV: 25.92
29. YDNT OFV: 25.69
Runner-ups of Negative Trending Stocks:
30. ANIK OFV: 13.44
31. ARA OFV: 53.63
32. ERTS OFV: 50.62
33. MATK OFV: 22.77
34. BMET OFV: 42.30
35. CAG OFV: 25.18
36. FRC OFV: 53.66
37. GOOG OFV: 448.86
38. IYE OFV: 99.20
39. ORCL OFV: 16.53
40. PTEN OFV: 22.50
41. SBUX OFV: 30.82
42. DPTR OFV: 20.27
43. GNW OFV: 35.36
44. IAH OFV: 41.19
45. STU OFV: 191.31
46. SYMC OFV: 16.98
47. TRB OFV: 29.96
48. GE OFV: 34.85
49. CRYP OFV: 22.88
50. CVTX OFV: 12.72

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"We’re not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/01/07
Last Updated: 02/28/07
02/28/07 Final Numbers vs. Wednesday's Forecast
(Open) 122.64 vs. Opening Fair Value: 123.47
(High) 123.47 vs. Predicted High: 122.05
(Low) 121.50 vs. Predicted Low: 121.15
(Close) 122.66
(Range) 1.97 vs. Proposed Range: 0.90

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.53

Today's Predicted High: 123.03
Today's Predicted Low: 122.29
Today's Proposed Range: 0.74
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 46 Down from 46
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.50/1.72 Up
Current Trend: Negative -1 Up from -9
Demand Factor: 85 Up from 84
Stock Volatility: 4.43 Down from 16.02

Predict Today's Upside & Downside Potential
02/28/07 12:45 Close: 123.01

Upside Potential: 123.34 vs. Prior day: 122.05
Downside Potential: 121.86 vs. Prior day: 119.10

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 123.93
2. 125.09
3. 125.11
4. 125.94

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 121.00
2. 120.21
3. 120.19
4. 119.07

DIA Key Moving Averages
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.80
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.24
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.95
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.58
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.34
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.72
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 120.11
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.72

DIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 39%
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday= 64%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. 29% the previous day


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Wednesday 2-28-07: DJIA closed 12,268.63 +52.39 vs. Prior day: 12,216.24 -416.02
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,625.83 -10.58 vs. Prior day: 12,636.41 -12.89
(the DJIA closed below its 65-day moving average)

Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening
Thursday March 1 Stock Market Forecast
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 39%
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 64%

Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish)(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Market Comment: The MktMetrics DIA forecast has posted 39% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend fell to 19% from 29% the previous day. The Dow 30 now has only 6 stocks trending up and 24 stocks trending down. This sort of plurality is quite Bearish and will need time to correct itself. We foresee an imminent decline to test the 12,000 level and be penetrated intraday to perhaps 11,950 or lower. Wednesdays have been "Up" days 82% of the time recently and yesterday was no exception. But Thursdays and Fridays can be real downers in a declining Stock Market. We cautioned Investors that distribution was taking place last Thursday. The DJIA has broken the 8/10/21/65 day moving averages and a SELL signal was rendered by the DJIA MACD last Thursday confirming what we had been publishing. To reinforce how bad the momentum is, the DJIA Demand Factor that indicates how powerful the recent 8-month rally had never moved lower than 89 during said time frame. That benchmark was shattered as a result of the 416 point decline on Tuesday and closed at 84. Should this continue to decline from these levels it will show distribution has a firm grip on the venerable DJIA index. Investors should not buy on dips and should wait until the DJIA Trend corrects itself. Good luck and good trading!

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 64% (High 100% / Low 0%)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 94% / Low 10%)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 45% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 13%)
DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 6%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 2.91% vs Yesterday 6.00% (High 6.00% / Low -0.22%)

Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .02% vs Yesterday .00% (High .21% / Low -.24%)Mean= -.02%
Institutional Demand: Rising Today 57.45% vs Yesterday 57.16% (High 86.84% / Low 18.65%)Mean= 52.75%
Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 41.65% vs Yesterday 43.00% (High 79.00% / Low 25.23%)Mean= 52.12%
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.03% vs Yesterday -.06%(High .35% / -.41%)Mean= -.03%

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish / Below 50% Bearish
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Falling Today 55% vs. Yesterday 63% (High 88% / Low 18%)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 70.0% vs Yesterday 66.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)

One-Year National High Yield CD Rate: Unch Today 5.20% vs Yesterday 5.20% (High 5.62% / Low 2.1%)****************************************************************************************************************
10 Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish
DIA: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 70% / Low -48%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 73% / Low -54%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 91% / Low -80%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 71% / Low -53%)
QQQQ: Unch Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 45% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 25% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 80% / Low -72%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today 51% vs. Yesterday 56% (High 78% / Low -64%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 62% / Low -55%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 41% / Low -33%)

Information provided by http://www.MktMetrics.com
A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader
MktMetrics now available to Schwab CyberTraders "FREE"
Stop by and see Offer details on the MktMetrics.com Home Page

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"We're not always right, just very seldom wrong."