MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis
Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending September 19, 2008 (Historic: Highs /Lows)
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 60.8% vs Last week: 53.5% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 29% vs Last week: 34% (Historic: High 89% / Low 8% 6-30-08)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10459.44 (9-18-08)= Range: 3,820.52
DJIA Closed: 11,388.44 vs Last week: 11,421.99 -33.55 / Prior week: 201.03
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 11,330.38 vs Last week: 11,450.71 -120.33- / Prior week: -59.88-
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 159+ vs Last week 206+ (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -2095 7-15-08)
DJIA Trend: Falling 29% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-27-08)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 42% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 6.33% vs Last week: 1.26% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 11,528 vs Last week 11,651 -123- / Prior week: -61-
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 11,727 vs Last week 11,851
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 11,132 vs Last week: 11,250 -118- / Prior week: -59-
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 10,933 vs Last week: 11,049
DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Resistance: Falling 11,975 vs Last week: 12,084 -109- / Prior week: -95-
DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Support: Falling 10,549 vs Last week: 10,636 -87- / Prior week: -59-
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -1.38 vs Last week: -5.28 (High +49.36 / Low -64.04)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -105 vs Last week: -81 (High +647 / Low -790)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -72 vs Last week: -106 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising +.51% vs Last week: -.25% (High 4.36% / Low -6.99%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(12,26): SELL / Last week: SELL
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising +32+ vs Last week: -19+ (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 39 vs Last week: 45 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Falling 52 vs Last week: 61 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Rising 47 vs Last week: 45 (High 97 / Low 11)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 2.1 vs Last week: 1.0 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)
"Let's take a deeper look into what the Smart Money is currently doing with their Inventory."
Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .12% vs Last week: .07% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.31% (6-27-08)
Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 54% vs Last week: 45% (High 97% 9-19&10-1-07 / Low 0% 6-25-08)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 43.80% vs Last week: 42.48% (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)
Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 43.38% vs Last week: 44.71% (High 81.1% / Low 14.58%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising .00 vs Last week: -.02 (High .38 / Low -.50 06-27-08)
Institutional Investor Sentiment Index: Rising 114 vs Last week: 111 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)
Speculation Indicator Index: Rising .344 vs Last week: -.242 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)
One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 4.07% vs Last week: 4.08% (5.27% / Low 2.86%) CD Rate information provided by BankRate CD Alert
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114 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis
Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.07 vs Last week: +.05 (High .95 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.08 vs Last week: -.01 (High .77 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.06 vs Last week: -.07 (High .89 / Low -1.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.16 vs Last week: -.10 (High .71 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.38 vs Last week: -.35 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.75 vs Last week: -.44 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98+
2. Broadband
BDH: -.27 vs Last week: -.28 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.03 vs Last week: -.26 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 36+
4. Chicago Mercantile Exchange
CME: +3.23 vs Last week: +.71 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
5. PowerShares DB Agriculture
DBA: -.26 vs Last week: -.25 (High .65 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
6. Deutsche Bank Commodity
DBC: -.23 vs Last week: -.13 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 49-
7. Ultra Dow 30 Power Shares
DDM: -.03 vs Last week: +.04 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
8. Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares
DIG: -.37 vs Last week: -.51 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
9. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares
DUG: +.01 vs Last week: +.18 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 73-
10. Dow Jones Select Dividend
DVY: +.69 vs Last week: +.41 (High .69 / Low -.74) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
11. Ultra Short Dow 30 Power Shares
DXD: -.16 vs Last week: -.11 (High .84 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
12. BRIC (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.12 vs Last week: -.21 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
13. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High 1.29 / Low -1.83) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100/
14. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.02 vs Last week: -.09 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
15. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.00 vs Last week: -.08 (High 1.36 / Low -1.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
16. Australia
EWA: -.04 vs Last week: -.20 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69+
17. Canada
EWC: -.03 vs Last week: -.03 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
18. Sweden
EWD: +.16 vs Last week: -.08 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38+
19. Germany
EWG: +.08 vs Last week: -.08 (High .61 / Low -.47) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 42+
20. Hong Kong
EWH: -.07 vs Last week: +.12 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69-
21. Italy
EWI: -.03 vs Last week: -.19 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55+
22. Japan
EWJ: +.28 vs Last week: +.12 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
23. Belgium
EWK: +.07 vs Last week: -.36 (High .60 / Low -.47) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 36+
24. Switzerland
EWL: +.11 vs Last week: -.15 (High .64 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 29+
25. Malaysia
EWM: -.19 vs Last week: -.12 (High .39 / Low -.22) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
26. Netherlands
EWN: +.18 vs Last week: -.37 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 50+
27. Austria
EWO: +.06 vs Last week: +.03 (High .54 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84+
28. Spain
EWP: +.13 vs Last week: -.20 (High .75 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 46+
29. France
EWQ: +.06 vs Last week: -.04 (High .56 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
30. Singapore
EWS: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
31. Taiwan
EWT: -.07 vs Last week: -.05 (High .40 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78-
32. United Kingdom
EWU: +.03 vs Last week: -.09 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
33. Mexico
EWW: -.32 vs Last week: -.14 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
34. South Korea
EWY: -.22 vs Last week: -.26 (High .68 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27-
35. Brazil
EWZ: -.48 vs Last week: -.42 (High 1.00 / Low -1.07) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26-
36. South Africa
EZA: -.05 vs Last week: -.07 (High 1.72 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
37. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.02 vs Last week: -.14 (High 2.91 / Low -2.27) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
38. ProShares US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.11 vs Last week: +.56 (High 1.30 / Low -1.93) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 20-
39. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.21 vs Last week: -.45 (High .77 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 40+
40. Internet
HHH: +.05 vs Last week: -.47 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 70+
41. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.37 vs Last week: -.45 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6+
42. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.05 vs Last week: -.03 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85+
43. Comex Gold
IAU: +.27 vs Last week: -.46 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 42+
44. Biotechnology
IBB: -.01 vs Last week: -.22 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
45. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: +.19 vs Last week: +.58 (High 1.82 /Low -2.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
46. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.58 vs Last week: +.42 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
47. Utilities
IDU: -.18 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 46-
48. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.11 vs Last week: -.15 (High .84 / Low -2.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
49. Natural Resources
IGE: -.27 vs Last week: -.31 (High 1.35 / Low -4.09) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32/
50. Networking
IGN: -.24 vs Last week: -.17 (High .67 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+
51. Software
IGV: -.14 vs Last week: -.16 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71-
52. Semiconductor
IGW: -.36 vs Last week: -.53 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75+
53. India Investment Fund
IIF: +.05 vs Last week: -.22 (High .88 / Low -1.11) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
54. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.07 vs Last week: -.14 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
55. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.05 vs Last week: -.13 (High .74 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94-
56. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.14 vs Last week: -.04 (High .83 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 60-
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.14 vs Last week: -.14 (High 2.68 / Low -9.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
58. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.00 vs Last week: +.11 (High .81 / Low -1.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77-
59. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.08 vs Last week: -.18 (High .46 / Low -.84) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
60. S&P TOPIX150
ITF: +.20 vs Last week: -.23 (High .92 / Low -2.00) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 62+
61. Global Financial
IXG: -.01 vs Last week: +.01 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 7-
62. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.06 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
63. Energy
IYE: +.04 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.29 / Low -1.86) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
64. Financial Services
IYG: +.52 vs Last week: +.33 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
65. Healthcare
IYH: -.33 vs Last week: -.19 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
66. Industrial
IYJ: -.01 vs Last week: -.01 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 90-
67. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
68. Basic Materials
IYM: -.08 vs Last week: -.08 (High .84 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97-
69. Real Estate
IYR: +.47 vs Last week: +.35 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
70. Transportation
IYT: +.32 vs Last week: +.05 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
71. Technology
IYW: -.48 vs Last week: -.43 (High .54 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
72. Total Market Index
IYY: -.16 vs Last week: -.06 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
73. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.19 vs Last week: -.18 (High .43 / Low -.51 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7/
74. Market Vectors Global Agribusiness
MOO: -.26 vs Last week: -.32 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
75. Ultra Short Mid-Cap 400 Power Shares
MZZ: -.17 vs Last week: -.11 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
76. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: +.47 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
77. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: +.51 vs Last week: +.12 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
78. Oil Services
OIH: -1.01 vs Last week: -1.07 (High 2.43 /Low -1.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31+
79. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.08 vs Last week: -.23 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39+
80. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.25 vs Last week: -.05 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
81. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.59 vs Last week: -.63 (High .57 / Low -.77) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
82. Ultra Short QQQ Power Shares
QID: +.45 vs Last week: +.42 (High .84 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 30-
83. Ultra QQQ ProShares
QLD: -.83 vs Last week: -.80 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
84. Regional Banks
RKH: +1.33 vs Last week: +.84 (High 1.04 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
85. Eastern Europe
RNE: -.29 vs Last week: -.52 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
86. Retail
RTH: +.17 vs Last week: +.33 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
87. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.43 vs Last week: +.37 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
88. UltraShort S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: -.02 vs Last week: -.05 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45+
89. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.73 vs Last week: +.02 (High 1.99 / Low -1.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 31-
90. Silver Trust
SLV: -.08 vs Last week: -.42 (High 2.31 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
91. Semiconductor
SMH: -.19 vs Last week: -.36 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45+
92. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares
SRS: -1.33 vs Last week: -.51 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0
93. Software
SWH: -.14 vs Last week: -.28 (High .61 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66/
94. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.05 vs Last week: +.33 (High .53 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 30-
95. Telecommunications
TTH: +.12 vs Last week: +.20 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
96. U. S. Natural Gas
UNG: -.21 vs Last week: -.32 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
97. U.S. Oil
USO: -.52 vs Last week: -.58 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
98. Utilities
UTH: -.70 vs Last week: -.32 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6-
99. Wireless
WMH: -.19 vs Last week: -.26 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 50+
100. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: +.42 vs Last week: +.31 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
101. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.05 vs Last week: -.08 (High .45 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 92+
102. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.15 vs Last week: -.21 (High .80 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
103. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.24 vs Last week: +.18 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
104. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.03 vs Last week: +.06 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
105. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.10 vs Last week: -.28 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79+
106. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.16 vs Last week: +.18 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 50-
107. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.01 vs Last week: +.03 (High .57 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93/
108. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.12 vs Last week: +.14 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 65-
109. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.48 vs Last week: -.55 (High .98 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68+
114 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 47/Sell 67(41%) vs. Last week: Buy 34/Sell 80(29%) vs. Prior week: Buy 25/Sell 89(22%)
114 ETFs showed another positive trend this week. A 38% increase vs 31% increase the prior week.
DJIA 6 weeks: -33.55(9-19) 201.03(9-12) -322.59(9-5) -84.51(8-29) -31.84(8-22) -74.42(8-15)
Options & Futures Expiration occurred: 9-19(5-week cycle) / Next Expiration: 10-17(4-week cycle)
Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.
www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (First daily information available)
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8:00amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor statistics
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Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com to learn what the Exchange Insiders (NYSE Specialists and NASDAQ Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory for any stock or ETF that you trade. Make better investment decisions with the latest Pattern Recognition Algorithm Trading technology created especially for Portfolio Mangers, Hedge Fund Operators and Professional Day Traders.
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Total number of Blogs archived: 2,025 since April 2005
Stock Market Outlook: Bullish Rising 60.8% vs Last week: 53.5% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 29% vs Last week: 34% (Historic: High 89% / Low 8% 6-30-08)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10459.44 (9-18-08)= Range: 3,820.52
DJIA Closed: 11,388.44 vs Last week: 11,421.99 -33.55 / Prior week: 201.03
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 11,330.38 vs Last week: 11,450.71 -120.33- / Prior week: -59.88-
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling 159+ vs Last week 206+ (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -2095 7-15-08)
DJIA Trend: Falling 29% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-27-08)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 42% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 6.33% vs Last week: 1.26% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 11,528 vs Last week 11,651 -123- / Prior week: -61-
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 11,727 vs Last week 11,851
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 11,132 vs Last week: 11,250 -118- / Prior week: -59-
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 10,933 vs Last week: 11,049
DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Resistance: Falling 11,975 vs Last week: 12,084 -109- / Prior week: -95-
DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Support: Falling 10,549 vs Last week: 10,636 -87- / Prior week: -59-
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -1.38 vs Last week: -5.28 (High +49.36 / Low -64.04)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -105 vs Last week: -81 (High +647 / Low -790)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -72 vs Last week: -106 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising +.51% vs Last week: -.25% (High 4.36% / Low -6.99%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(12,26): SELL / Last week: SELL
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising +32+ vs Last week: -19+ (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 39 vs Last week: 45 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Falling 52 vs Last week: 61 (High 100 / Low 0)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Rising 47 vs Last week: 45 (High 97 / Low 11)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 2.1 vs Last week: 1.0 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)
"Let's take a deeper look into what the Smart Money is currently doing with their Inventory."
Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)
Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .12% vs Last week: .07% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.31% (6-27-08)
Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 54% vs Last week: 45% (High 97% 9-19&10-1-07 / Low 0% 6-25-08)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 43.80% vs Last week: 42.48% (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)
Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 43.38% vs Last week: 44.71% (High 81.1% / Low 14.58%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising .00 vs Last week: -.02 (High .38 / Low -.50 06-27-08)
Institutional Investor Sentiment Index: Rising 114 vs Last week: 111 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)
Speculation Indicator Index: Rising .344 vs Last week: -.242 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)
One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 4.07% vs Last week: 4.08% (5.27% / Low 2.86%) CD Rate information provided by BankRate CD Alert
*************************************************************************************
Follow the money worldwide daily with your own subscription to: www.MktMetrics.com
114 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis
Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.07 vs Last week: +.05 (High .95 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.08 vs Last week: -.01 (High .77 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.06 vs Last week: -.07 (High .89 / Low -1.38) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.16 vs Last week: -.10 (High .71 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.38 vs Last week: -.35 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.75 vs Last week: -.44 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98+
2. Broadband
BDH: -.27 vs Last week: -.28 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.03 vs Last week: -.26 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 36+
4. Chicago Mercantile Exchange
CME: +3.23 vs Last week: +.71 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
5. PowerShares DB Agriculture
DBA: -.26 vs Last week: -.25 (High .65 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
6. Deutsche Bank Commodity
DBC: -.23 vs Last week: -.13 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 49-
7. Ultra Dow 30 Power Shares
DDM: -.03 vs Last week: +.04 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
8. Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares
DIG: -.37 vs Last week: -.51 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
9. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares
DUG: +.01 vs Last week: +.18 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 73-
10. Dow Jones Select Dividend
DVY: +.69 vs Last week: +.41 (High .69 / Low -.74) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
11. Ultra Short Dow 30 Power Shares
DXD: -.16 vs Last week: -.11 (High .84 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
12. BRIC (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.12 vs Last week: -.21 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
13. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High 1.29 / Low -1.83) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100/
14. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.02 vs Last week: -.09 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
15. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.00 vs Last week: -.08 (High 1.36 / Low -1.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
16. Australia
EWA: -.04 vs Last week: -.20 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69+
17. Canada
EWC: -.03 vs Last week: -.03 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
18. Sweden
EWD: +.16 vs Last week: -.08 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38+
19. Germany
EWG: +.08 vs Last week: -.08 (High .61 / Low -.47) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 42+
20. Hong Kong
EWH: -.07 vs Last week: +.12 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69-
21. Italy
EWI: -.03 vs Last week: -.19 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55+
22. Japan
EWJ: +.28 vs Last week: +.12 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94+
23. Belgium
EWK: +.07 vs Last week: -.36 (High .60 / Low -.47) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 36+
24. Switzerland
EWL: +.11 vs Last week: -.15 (High .64 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 29+
25. Malaysia
EWM: -.19 vs Last week: -.12 (High .39 / Low -.22) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
26. Netherlands
EWN: +.18 vs Last week: -.37 (High .64 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 50+
27. Austria
EWO: +.06 vs Last week: +.03 (High .54 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84+
28. Spain
EWP: +.13 vs Last week: -.20 (High .75 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 46+
29. France
EWQ: +.06 vs Last week: -.04 (High .56 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
30. Singapore
EWS: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
31. Taiwan
EWT: -.07 vs Last week: -.05 (High .40 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 78-
32. United Kingdom
EWU: +.03 vs Last week: -.09 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
33. Mexico
EWW: -.32 vs Last week: -.14 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
34. South Korea
EWY: -.22 vs Last week: -.26 (High .68 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27-
35. Brazil
EWZ: -.48 vs Last week: -.42 (High 1.00 / Low -1.07) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26-
36. South Africa
EZA: -.05 vs Last week: -.07 (High 1.72 / Low -1.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
37. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.02 vs Last week: -.14 (High 2.91 / Low -2.27) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
38. ProShares US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.11 vs Last week: +.56 (High 1.30 / Low -1.93) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 20-
39. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.21 vs Last week: -.45 (High .77 / Low -.64) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 40+
40. Internet
HHH: +.05 vs Last week: -.47 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 70+
41. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.37 vs Last week: -.45 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6+
42. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.05 vs Last week: -.03 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85+
43. Comex Gold
IAU: +.27 vs Last week: -.46 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 42+
44. Biotechnology
IBB: -.01 vs Last week: -.22 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
45. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: +.19 vs Last week: +.58 (High 1.82 /Low -2.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
46. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.58 vs Last week: +.42 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
47. Utilities
IDU: -.18 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 46-
48. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.11 vs Last week: -.15 (High .84 / Low -2.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
49. Natural Resources
IGE: -.27 vs Last week: -.31 (High 1.35 / Low -4.09) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32/
50. Networking
IGN: -.24 vs Last week: -.17 (High .67 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+
51. Software
IGV: -.14 vs Last week: -.16 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71-
52. Semiconductor
IGW: -.36 vs Last week: -.53 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75+
53. India Investment Fund
IIF: +.05 vs Last week: -.22 (High .88 / Low -1.11) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
54. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.07 vs Last week: -.14 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 49+
55. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.05 vs Last week: -.13 (High .74 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94-
56. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.14 vs Last week: -.04 (High .83 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 60-
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.14 vs Last week: -.14 (High 2.68 / Low -9.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
58. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.00 vs Last week: +.11 (High .81 / Low -1.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77-
59. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.08 vs Last week: -.18 (High .46 / Low -.84) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
60. S&P TOPIX150
ITF: +.20 vs Last week: -.23 (High .92 / Low -2.00) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 62+
61. Global Financial
IXG: -.01 vs Last week: +.01 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 7-
62. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.06 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
63. Energy
IYE: +.04 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.29 / Low -1.86) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
64. Financial Services
IYG: +.52 vs Last week: +.33 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
65. Healthcare
IYH: -.33 vs Last week: -.19 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
66. Industrial
IYJ: -.01 vs Last week: -.01 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 90-
67. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
68. Basic Materials
IYM: -.08 vs Last week: -.08 (High .84 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97-
69. Real Estate
IYR: +.47 vs Last week: +.35 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
70. Transportation
IYT: +.32 vs Last week: +.05 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
71. Technology
IYW: -.48 vs Last week: -.43 (High .54 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
72. Total Market Index
IYY: -.16 vs Last week: -.06 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
73. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.19 vs Last week: -.18 (High .43 / Low -.51 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7/
74. Market Vectors Global Agribusiness
MOO: -.26 vs Last week: -.32 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
75. Ultra Short Mid-Cap 400 Power Shares
MZZ: -.17 vs Last week: -.11 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
76. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: +.47 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
77. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: +.51 vs Last week: +.12 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
78. Oil Services
OIH: -1.01 vs Last week: -1.07 (High 2.43 /Low -1.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31+
79. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.08 vs Last week: -.23 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39+
80. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.25 vs Last week: -.05 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
81. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.59 vs Last week: -.63 (High .57 / Low -.77) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
82. Ultra Short QQQ Power Shares
QID: +.45 vs Last week: +.42 (High .84 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 30-
83. Ultra QQQ ProShares
QLD: -.83 vs Last week: -.80 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
84. Regional Banks
RKH: +1.33 vs Last week: +.84 (High 1.04 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
85. Eastern Europe
RNE: -.29 vs Last week: -.52 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
86. Retail
RTH: +.17 vs Last week: +.33 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
87. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.43 vs Last week: +.37 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
88. UltraShort S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: -.02 vs Last week: -.05 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45+
89. Ultra Short Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.73 vs Last week: +.02 (High 1.99 / Low -1.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 31-
90. Silver Trust
SLV: -.08 vs Last week: -.42 (High 2.31 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
91. Semiconductor
SMH: -.19 vs Last week: -.36 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45+
92. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares
SRS: -1.33 vs Last week: -.51 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0
93. Software
SWH: -.14 vs Last week: -.28 (High .61 / Low -.55) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66/
94. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.05 vs Last week: +.33 (High .53 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 30-
95. Telecommunications
TTH: +.12 vs Last week: +.20 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
96. U. S. Natural Gas
UNG: -.21 vs Last week: -.32 (High .61 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
97. U.S. Oil
USO: -.52 vs Last week: -.58 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
98. Utilities
UTH: -.70 vs Last week: -.32 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6-
99. Wireless
WMH: -.19 vs Last week: -.26 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 50+
100. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: +.42 vs Last week: +.31 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
101. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.05 vs Last week: -.08 (High .45 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 92+
102. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.15 vs Last week: -.21 (High .80 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
103. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.24 vs Last week: +.18 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
104. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.03 vs Last week: +.06 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
105. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.10 vs Last week: -.28 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79+
106. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.16 vs Last week: +.18 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 50-
107. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.01 vs Last week: +.03 (High .57 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93/
108. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.12 vs Last week: +.14 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 65-
109. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.48 vs Last week: -.55 (High .98 / Low -.91) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68+
114 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 47/Sell 67(41%) vs. Last week: Buy 34/Sell 80(29%) vs. Prior week: Buy 25/Sell 89(22%)
114 ETFs showed another positive trend this week. A 38% increase vs 31% increase the prior week.
DJIA 6 weeks: -33.55(9-19) 201.03(9-12) -322.59(9-5) -84.51(8-29) -31.84(8-22) -74.42(8-15)
Options & Futures Expiration occurred: 9-19(5-week cycle) / Next Expiration: 10-17(4-week cycle)
Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com
Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.
www.GaleFinancialMarketEconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (First daily information available)
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posted by Douglas Gale at 11:44 AM
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