Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending February 15, 2008Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 31.5% vs Last week: 27.5% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 43% vs Last week: 41% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73
DJIA Closed: 12,348.21 vs Last week: 12,182.13 +166.08 / Prior week: -561.06
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,343.17 vs Last week: 12,404.74 -61.57 / Prior week: -119.06
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -901 vs Last week -776 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08)
DJIA Trend: Rising 61% vs Last week: 52% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 23% vs Last week: 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.17% vs Last week: 0.83% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,562 vs Last week 12,636 -74 / Prior week: -114
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,775 vs Last week 12,839
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,127 vs Last week: 12,188 -61 / Prior week: -116
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,911 vs Last week: 11,971
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -5.62 vs Last week: -26.34 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising +32 vs Last week: +27 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -111 vs Last week: -182 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising +.0% vs Last week: -1.8% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Buy / Last week: BUY
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising -34 vs Last week: -82 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 69 vs Last week: 50 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 49 vs Last week: 52 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Unch 0.9 vs Last week: 0.9 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)
Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .04% vs Last week: .01% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)
Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 52% vs Last week: 23% (High 97% / Low 6%)
Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 48.77% vs Last week: 39.10 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)
Institutional Inventory Index: Rising 50.52% vs Last week: 39.61% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)
Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Rising +.02 vs Last week: -.12 (High .35 / -.41)
Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 111 vs Last week: 112 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)
Speculation Indicator Index: Rising +.180 vs Last week: -.458 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)
One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 3.49% vs Last week: 3.54% (5.27 / Low 3.49%)*****************************************************************************************************************
108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector AnalysisSymbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30DIA: -.03 vs Last week: -.27 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54+
SPDR-S&P 500SPY: -.05 vs Last week: -.38 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43+
SPDR- S&P 400 Mid-CapMDY: +.18 vs Last week: -.06 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 35+
Russell 2000 Small-CapIWM: +.05 vs Last week: -.04 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
Nasdaq 100 Large GrowthQQQQ: -.06 vs Last week: -.18 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
1.
BiotechBBH: -.21 vs Last week: -.36 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44/
2.
BroadbandBDH: -.10 vs Last week: -.11 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 41+
3.
Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)CEF: +.21 vs Last week: +.20 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
4.
CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGECME: -2.60 vs Last week: -4.20 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
5.
Deutsche Bank Commodity Index TrackingDBC: +.41 vs Last week: +.38 (High .61 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
6.
ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARESDDM: -.01 vs Last week: -.28 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
7.
UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)DUG: -.24 vs Last week: +.39 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 8-
8.
Dow Jones Select Dividend IndexDVY: +.22 vs Last week: +.20 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83+
9.
ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARESDXD: -.06 vs Last week: +.16 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 18-
10.
CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)EEB: +.15 vs Last week: -.29 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 55-
11.
Emerging MarketsEEM: +.22 vs Last week: -.75 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
12.
EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)EFA: +.09 vs Last week: -.32 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
13.
Pacific ex-JapanEPP: -.00 vs Last week: -.71 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63+
14.
AustraliaEWA: +.18 vs Last week: -.02 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85+
15.
Canada EWC: +.30 vs Last week: +.15 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
16.
SwedenEWD: -.03 vs Last week: -.26 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 68+
17.
GermanyEWG: +.03 vs Last week: -.23 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
18.
Hong KongEWH: +.01 vs Last week: -.20 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
19.
ItalyEWI: -.48 vs Last week: -.59 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
20.
JapanEWJ: +.23 vs Last week: +.17 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 82+
21.
Belgium EWK: -.03 vs Last week: -.24 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63+
22.
SwitzerlandEWL: -.11 vs Last week: -.19 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20+
23.
MalaysiaEWM: +.19 vs Last week: +.24 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
24.
NetherlandsEWN: +.03 vs Last week: -.20 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
25.
AustriaEWO: +.26 vs Last week: -.11 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
26.
SpainEWP: +.07 vs Last week: -.32 (High .75 / Low -.63*) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
27.
FranceEWQ: +.22 vs Last week: -.02 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
28.
SingaporeEWS: +.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
29.
TaiwanEWT: +.16 vs Last week: +.08 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
30.
United KingdomEWU: +.11 vs Last week: -.10 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80+
31.
MexicoEWW: +.38 vs Last week: +.17 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
32.
South KoreaEWY: +.11 vs Last week: -.25 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 65+
33.
BrazilEWZ: +.43 vs Last week: -.22 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
34.
FTSE/Xinhua China 25 IndexFXI: +.11 vs Last week: -1.56 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
31.
PROSHARES US FTSE/XIFXP: -.37 vs Last week: +1.30 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
35.
Street TRACKS Gold TrustGLD: +.17 vs Last week: +.23 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72-
36.
InternetHHH: +.20 vs Last week: +.01 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 21-
37.
Internet ArchitectureIAH: -.45 vs Last week: -.52 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
38.
U.S. Broker-DealersIAI: +.02 vs Last week: +.15 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
39.
Comex GoldIAU: +.28 vs Last week: +.34 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
40.
BiotechnologyIBB: -.25 vs Last week: -.25 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30+
41.
InterContinental Exchange, Inc.ICE: -.83 vs Last week: -1.76 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
42.
Cohen & Steers Realty MajorsICF: +.28 vs Last week: +.27 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64+
43.
UtilitiesIDU: -.31 vs Last week: -.61 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
44.
S&P Europe 350 IndexIEV: +.02 vs Last week: -.51 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
45.
Natural ResourcesIGE: +.63 vs Last week: -.29 (High .93 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
46.
NetworkingIGN: +.05 vs Last week: -.03 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12+
47.
SoftwareIGV: +.06 vs Last week: -.13 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
48.
SemiconductorIGW: -.06 vs Last week: +.03 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 5-
49.
MS India Investment FundIIF: +.02 vs Last week: -.34 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79/
50.
Internet InfrastructureIIH: +.02 vs Last week: +.21 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 19-
51.
Mid-Cap 400 BlendIJH: +.21 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 68+
52.
Mid-Cap 400 GrowthIJK: +.12 vs Last week: -.02 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 38-
53.
Small-Cap 600IJR: +.06 vs Last week: -.09 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 21+
54.
S&P Latin America 40 IndexILF: +1.13 vs Last week: -.34 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
55.
S&P 1500 IndexISI: -.22 vs Last week: -.38 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4-
56.
U.S. Aerospace & DefenseITA: -.20 vs Last week: -.29 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 9+
57.
S&P Latin America 40 IndexITF: +.21 vs Last week: -.27 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 89+
58.
Global FinancialIXG: -.04 vs Last week: -.16 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
59.
Consumer CyclicalIYC: +.31 vs Last week: -.04 (High .78 / Low -.70*) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 88+
60.
EnergyIYE: +.28 vs Last week: -.49 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
61.
Financial ServicesIYG: +.22 vs Last week: +.27 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 46-
62.
HealthcareIYH: -.04 vs Last week: -.17 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96-
63.
IndustrialIYJ: -.06 vs Last week: -.18 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 10+
64.
Consumer Non-CyclicalIYK: +.04 vs Last week: -.26 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 32-
65.
Basic MaterialsIYM: +.20 vs Last week: +.05 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 37-
66.
Real EstateIYR: +.32 vs Last week: +.24 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
67.
TransportationIYT: +.32 vs Last week: +.35 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 12+
68.
U.S. TechnologyIYW: -.02 vs Last week: -.13 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37-
69.
U.S. Total Market IndexIYY: -.12 vs Last week: -.23 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
70.
U.S. TelecommunicationsIYZ: +.11 vs Last week: +.04 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
71.
ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARESMZZ: -.21 vs Last week: -.01 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
72.
NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.NYX: -.47 vs Last week: -.60 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22-
73.
NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.NDAQ: +.05 vs Last week: -.20 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 67/
74.
Oil ServicesOIH: +.08 vs Last week: -1.18 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 58+
75.
PowerShares WilderHill Clean EnergyPBW: -.02 vs Last week: -.19 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28+
76.
PharmaceuticalsPPH: -.37 vs Last week: -.53 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
77.
PowerShares Dynamic OTCPWO: -.13 vs Last week: +.04 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 40-
78.
ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARESQID: +.13 vs Last week: +.38 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 24-
79.
ULTRA QQQ PROSHARESQLD: -.40 vs Last week: -.74 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-
80.
Regional BanksRKH: +.36 vs Last week: +.40 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
81.
MS Eastern Europe FundRNE: -.12 vs Last week: -.32 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7-
82.
RetailRTH: +.22 vs Last week: +.18 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75+
83.
DJ Wilshire REITRWR: +.17 vs Last week: +.19 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 74-
84.
ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power SharesSDS: +.03 vs Last week: +.28 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 41-
85.
ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProSharesSJH: -.34 vs Last week: -.26 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
86.
Silver TrustSLV: +.74 vs Last week: +.81 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
87.
SemiconductorSMH: -.00 vs Last week: -.07 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
88.
UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)SRS: -1.00 vs Last week: -1.05 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16/
89.
SoftwareSWH: -.30 vs Last week: -.19 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
90.
Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond FundTLT: -.23 vs Last week: -.13 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
91.
Telecommunications Holders TrustTTH: -.01 vs Last week: -.16 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 48+
92.
UtilitiesUTH: -.29 vs Last week: -.73 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
93.
WirelessWMH: -.05 vs Last week: -.26 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
94.
Homebuilders Select SectorXHB: +.06 vs Last week: +.15 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
95.
Materials Select SectorXLB: +.12 vs Last week: +.08 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44-
96.
Energy Select SectorXLE: +.23 vs Last week: -.30 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
97.
Financial Select SectorXLF: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
98.
Industrial Select SectorXLI: +.07 vs Last week: -.11 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 27+
99.
Technology Select SectorXLK: +.06 vs Last week: -.05 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 38+
100.
Consumer Staples Select SectorXLP: +.12 vs Last week: -.18 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 35+
101.
Healthcare Select SectorXLV: -.01 vs Last week: -.14 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 97+
102.
Industrial Select SectorXLY: +.34 vs Last week: +.28 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
103.
Mining & Metals Select SectorXME: +.55 vs Last week: +.33 (High .92 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 56/Sell 52(
52%) vs. Last week: Buy 35/Sell 73(
32%) vs. Prior week: Buy 64/Sell 44(
59%)
DJIA Past 5 Weeks: +166.08(2-15) -561.06(2-8) +536.02(2-1) -107.87(1-25) -507.00(1-18)
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