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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: February 2008

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Blog Down For A Few Days - So Sorry!

One of our three computers needs to be replaced and I'm too snowed in to make it to the computer store.

The Blog will be posted again later this week, provided by a fresh new computer.

Hang tight and we'll be posting this Blog again quite soon.

In the meantime, subscribe to www.MktMetrics.com to remain current on the Stock Market!

Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Thursday February 28

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/


The computer did not pick up the download and the program is re-reunning last nights information. Therefore, there is a delay in our work for this morning. MktMetrics will be up shortly to our subscribers. Thanks for your patience this morning.

Site under construction.

Nightly Analysis Update


DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: %
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 50%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)


DJIA Trend: Rising 52% vs. 45% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Tuesday 2-26-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 42% vs. 35% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 41% vs. 39% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 47.1% vs. 42.2% prior day
Personal Opinion:While the MktMetrics.com program is showing a change in the Dow Trend and Dow Outlook, I have also noticed that this is where the market turned down before. Wednesday will be the deciding factor as Investors should not go against the Trend/Outlook.


153 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 26 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)


The Stock Market has a high probability to go down Wednesday. Therefore, there are no "Higher" suggestions tonight.


*OFV: Opening Fair Value


18 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 27 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALFA OFV: 21.77 (0.08) -50/ASFI OFV: 17.09 (0.76) -5+CERN OFV: 45.71 (1.31) -7-CROX OFV: 24.98 (2.39) -2-DUG OFV: 37.10 (2.06) -4-DXD OFV: 54.64 (2.10) -28-FXP OFV: 88.79 (5.85) -26-HGSI OFV: 6.15 (0.30) -29-MATR OFV: 27.41 (1.90) -23-MZZ OFV: 58.62 (2.66) -23-QID OFV: 50.90 (2.49) -49-SIGM OFV: 32.39 (2.65) -4-SRS OFV: 104.10 (6.70) -35-USU OFV: 7.16 (0.58) -30-


*Opening Fair Value


Good luck and good trading!


*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $998,856.09 2-26-08 Change -$27,360.00
Account Value $1,026,406.09 2-25-08 Change -$17,872.25
Account Value $1,044,278.34 2-22-08 Change +$4,143.42
Account Value $1,040,134.92 2-21-08 Change +$8,519.73
Account Value $1,031,615.19 2-20-08 Change +$4,268.64
Account Value $1,027,346.55 2-19-08 Change -$391.54
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change +$10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71


Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."


Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short AIG
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG


Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday February 27 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/27/08
Last Updated: 02/26/08
02/26/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 125.33
(High) 127.33
(Low) 125.12
(Close) 126.87
(Range) 2.21

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 126.19
Today's Predicted High: 128.01
Today's Predicted Low: 125.73
Today's Proposed Range: 2.28
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Tuesday 2.14% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. 1.40% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook are Bearish, but rising now. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is rising as well. MktMetrics program said: "Buy" Tuesday. Today's trading will decide its path. Here's is the caveat: The Dow turned down from 12,750 on 2-1-08, will it again this time?

DIA Resistance: Mean 124.14 / Intermediate 126.93 / Breakout 129.72
DIA Support: Mean 123.92 / Intermediate 121.23 / Breakdown 118.55
DIA Closed: 2.20% above its rising 21 day moving average vs. +.53% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 62 Up from 50
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.80 Unch
Current Trend: Positive 36 Up from 18
Demand Factor: 81 Up from 75
Stock Volatility: 2.07 Down from 3.84

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/26/08 12:45 Close: 127.14
Upside Potential: 129.27
Downside Potential: 124.71

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 127.62
2. 127.84
3. 129.41
4. 129.88

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.78
2. 124.33
3. 122.82
4. 122.62

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.32
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.14
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.81
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.56
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.83
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.23
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.11
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.99

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday: 26%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Rising 62.2 / 61.5% / 60.7% / 65.4%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
DIA Trend: Rising Today Positive 36 Up from 18
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 2-26-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday: 62%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 52% vs. 45% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Tuesday 2-26-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short AIG
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday February 27 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 2-26-08 DJIA closed: 12,684.92 +114.70 vs. Prior day: 12,570.22 +189.20
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,419.33 +22.75 vs. Prior day: 12,396.58 +9.13
(DJIA closed 2.14% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. 1.40% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday February 27 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 62%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 26%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Rising 62.2 / 61.5% / 60.7% / 65.4%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 16 vs. Down 15 (+2 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 52% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Tuesday, 2-26-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 42% vs Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.43 vs Yesterday 1.70 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -789 vs Yesterday -863 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-789 -54.4% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,419 / Intermediate Term 12,636 / Breakout 12,854
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,396 / Intermediate Term 12,190 / Breakdown 11,984

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Tuesday 2.14% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. 1.40% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook are Bearish, but rising now. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is rising as well. MktMetrics program said: "Buy" Tuesday. Today's trading will decide its path. Here's is the caveat: The Dow turned down from 12,750 on 2-1-08, will it again this time?

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .10% vs Yesterday .04% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 61% vs Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 61.06% vs Yesterday 57.48% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 55.00% vs Yesterday 49.71% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .19% vs Yesterday .07% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 41% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 47.1% vs Yesterday 42.2% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 33% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 67% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 29% vs. Yesterday 20% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 69% vs. Yesterday 47% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 0% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -13% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 153 vs. Yesterday 136 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 15 vs. Yesterday 19 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Wednesday February 27

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 26%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 62%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 52% vs. 45% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Tuesday 2-26-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 42% vs. 35% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 41% vs. 39% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 47.1% vs. 42.2% prior day

Personal Opinion:
While the MktMetrics.com program is showing a change in the Dow Trend and Dow Outlook, I have also noticed that this is where the market turned down before. Wednesday will be the deciding factor as Investors should not go against the Trend/Outlook.

153 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 26 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

The Stock Market has a high probability to go down Wednesday. Therefore, there are no "Higher" suggestions tonight.

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

18 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 27 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALFA OFV: 21.77 (0.08) -50/
ASFI OFV: 17.09 (0.76) -5+
CERN OFV: 45.71 (1.31) -7-
CROX OFV: 24.98 (2.39) -2-
DUG OFV: 37.10 (2.06) -4-
DXD OFV: 54.64 (2.10) -28-
FXP OFV: 88.79 (5.85) -26-
HGSI OFV: 6.15 (0.30) -29-
MATR OFV: 27.41 (1.90) -23-
MZZ OFV: 58.62 (2.66) -23-
QID OFV: 50.90 (2.49) -49-
SIGM OFV: 32.39 (2.65) -4-
SRS OFV: 104.10 (6.70) -35-
USU OFV: 7.16 (0.58) -30-
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $998,856.09 2-26-08 Change -$27,360.00
Account Value $1,026,406.09 2-25-08 Change -$17,872.25
Account Value $1,044,278.34 2-22-08 Change +$4,143.42
Account Value $1,040,134.92 2-21-08 Change +$8,519.73
Account Value $1,031,615.19 2-20-08 Change +$4,268.64
Account Value $1,027,346.55 2-19-08 Change -$391.54
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change +$10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short AIG
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday February 26 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 2-25-08 DJIA closed: 12,570.22 +189.20 vs. Prior day: 12,381.02 +96.72
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,396.58 +9.13 vs. Prior day: 12,387.45 -6.43
(DJIA closed 1.40% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.05% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday February 26 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 45%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 3%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 14 vs. Down 17 (-1 vs -0 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 45% vs Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-15-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 35% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.70 vs Yesterday 1.74 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -863 vs Yesterday -1346 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-863 -59.5% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,397 / Intermediate Term 12,614 / Breakout 12,831
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,387 / Intermediate Term 12,175 / Breakdown 11,963

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday 1.40% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.05% previously. The Dow Trend is Bearish and so is the Dow Outlook. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change did move higher Monday. Still, with the Trend and Outlook Bearish, suggest waiting for more evidence.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .03% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 48% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 57.48% vs Yesterday 50.74% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 49.71% vs Yesterday 46.48% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .07% vs Yesterday .05% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 42.2% vs Yesterday 35.1% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 49% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 20% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 47% vs. Yesterday 49% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 0% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -19% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 136 vs. Yesterday 69 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 19 vs. Yesterday 34 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, February 25, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Tuesday February 26

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 3%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Falling 45% vs. 48% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 35% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 39% vs. 40% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 42.2% vs. 36.8% prior day

136 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 26 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

The Stock Market has a high probability to go down Tuesday. Therefore, there are no "Higher" suggestions tonight.

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

18 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 26 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALFA OFV: 21.78 (0.08) +50-
ASFI OFV: 16.88 (0.58) -4+
DUG OFV: 38.40 (1.94) -8-
DXD OFV: 55.98 (1.64) -38-
FXP OFV: 90.63 (5.44) -32-
GRMN OFV: 63.25 (5.64) -6-
KLIC OFV: 5.28 (0.22) -11-
MALL OFV: 8.99 (0.76) -35-
MSFT OFV: 27.83 (0.50) -4+
MZZ OFV: 60.61 (2.22) -30-
ONXX OFV: 30.04 (3.33) -2-
PCG OFV: 39.34 (0.66) -10-
QID OFV: 51.34 (2.04) +53/
RESP OFV: 65.70 (0.19) +56+
SAFM OFV: 35.61 (1.20) -49-
SLE OFV: 13.06 (0.29) -3-
SRS OFV: 107.83 (5.72) -46-
WSFS OFV: 47.28 (1.73) -7-
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,026,406.09 2-25-08 Change -$17,872.25
Account Value $1,044,278.34 2-22-08 Change +$4,143.42
Account Value $1,040,134.92 2-21-08 Change +$8,519.73
Account Value $1,031,615.19 2-20-08 Change +$4,268.64
Account Value $1,027,346.55 2-19-08 Change -$391.54
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change +$10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short AIG
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday February 25 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/25/08
Last Updated: 02/22/08
02/22/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.21
(High) 124.05
(Low) 121.56
(Close) 123.80
(Range) 2.49

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.98
Today's Predicted High: 124.61
Today's Predicted Low: 123.00
Today's Proposed Range: 1.61
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday -.05% below its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.79% previously. The Dow Trend is Bearish and so is the Dow Outlook. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower and the Stock Market remains fragile. Suggest you let the Trend reverse before buying.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.81 / Intermediate 126.60 / Breakout 129.39
DIA Support: Mean 123.76 / Intermediate 121.00 / Breakdown 118.24
DIA Closed: -.66% below its rising 21 day moving average vs. +.53% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 47 Up from 47
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.73 Up
Current Trend: Positive 12 Down from 30
Demand Factor: 65 Up from 53
Stock Volatility: 4.25 Down from 4.52

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/22/08 12:45 Close: 121.85
Upside Potential: 126.40
Downside Potential: 123.00 (Expect this to be penetrated today)

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.99
2. 125.67
3. 126.28
4. 126.53

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 121.57
2. 121.32
3. 120.75
4. 119.13

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.89
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.81
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.86
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.97
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.17
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.34
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.27
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.06

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Monday: 13%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Unch 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9% / 50.0%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Positive 12 Down from 30
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Up/Close Down
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Friday 2-22-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday: 51%
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 48% vs. 48% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

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Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short AIG
Short CYMI
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.
(*Sunday's Blog: "Positive and Negative Opportunities" represent Monday's trading ideas)

Stock Market Forecast Monday February 25 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

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Friday 2-22-08 DJIA closed: 12,381.02 +96.72 vs. Prior day: 12,284.30 -142.96
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,387.45 -6.43 vs. Prior day: 12,382.17 +14.91
(DJIA closed -.05% below its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.79% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday February 25 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 51%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 13%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Unch 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9% / 50.0%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Unch Today Up 15 vs. Down 16 (-0 vs -2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 48% vs Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-15-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 29% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.74 vs Yesterday 1.82 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1346 vs Yesterday -1341 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-1346 -92.8% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,387 / Intermediate Term 12,604 / Breakout 12,821
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,382 / Intermediate Term 12,168 / Breakdown 11,954

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday -.05% below its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.79% previously. The Dow Trend is Bearish and so is the Dow Outlook. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower and the Stock Market remains fragile. Suggest you let the Trend reverse before buying.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .03% vs Yesterday .07% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Today 39% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 50.74% vs Yesterday 43.71% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 46.48% vs Yesterday 45.58% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .05% vs Yesterday .14% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Unch Today 40% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 35.1% vs Yesterday 29.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 49% vs. Yesterday 57% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -4% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 69 vs. Yesterday 10 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 34 vs. Yesterday 78 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, February 24, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 2-25-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 13%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 51%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (2-25 through 2-29)
Information provided by:http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 49 Unch 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9% / 50.0%

Tuesdays: Past 52 Rising 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6%

Wednesdays: Past 53 Rising 62.2 / 61.5% / 60.7% / 65.4%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 54 Falling 53.7% / 54.7% / 55.7% / 54.5%

Fridays: Past 54 Rising 57.4% / 56.6% / 57.6% / 58.1%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 262 Days Rising 55.7% / 55.4% / 55.3% / 57.1%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA S/BUY 98+ 1.02 90U 0.53+
AIG SELL 12+ 1.52 23U -0.47+
AXP S/SELL- 33+ 1.46 24U -0.13+
BA SELL 35+ 1.48 43D 0.45+
BAC BUY 89+ 1.14 61D 0.21+
C S/SELL- 14+ 0.80 13D -0.06+
CAT BUY 26+ 1.40 69U 0.27+
CVX S/BUY 100+ 1.41 85U 0.34+
DD S/SELL- 10+ 1.05 48D -0.03+
DIA SELL 65+ 1.61 47U 0.12+
DIS BUY 90+ 0.67 85U 0.28+
GE S/SELL- 19+ 0.63 18D -0.08+
GM SELL 23+ 0.83 18D -0.12+
HD S/SELL 53+ 0.93 24D -0.14+
HPQ S/BUY 36+ 1.17 75U 0.20+
IBM BUY 50+ 2.19 70U 0.17+
INTC SELL 8- 0.57 29D -0.08+
JNJ S/SELL 42+ 0.79 39U -0.17+
JPM S/SELL- 100+ 1.57 43U 0.00+
KO S/SELL 33+ 1.06 36U -0.13+
MCD BUY 100+ 0.80 78U 0.37+
MMM BUY+ 45+ 1.24 51U 0.25+
MRK S/SELL 88+ 1.27 40N -0.04+
MSFT S/SELL 0/ 0.58 2U -0.51+
PFE S/SELL- 16+ 0.39 24U -0.06+
PG S/SELL 8+ 0.91 39U -0.12+
T BUY 66+ 1.38 30U 0.02+
UTX SELL 37+ 1.21 43D 0.07+
VZ BUY 100+ 1.44 41U 0.08+
WMT SELL- 77+ 1.00 71D -0.02+
XOM BUY 100+ 1.34 82U 0.25+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top 52 Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 2-25-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ABI OFV: 32.09 (0.58) +74+
ACI OFV: 52.42 (2.70) +94+
AG OFV: 64.49 (2.76) +77/
ATLS OFV: 56.79 (1.28) +85-
BDX OFV: 89.32 (1.31) +83+
BJS OFV: 25.06 (0.77) +81+
CEF OFV: 13.13 (0.21) +99/
CENX OFV: 64.73 (4.09) +98+
CF OFV: 123.24 (5.79) +95+
CHK OFV: 44.09 (0.99) +96+
CVC OFV: 27.49 (1.24) +76+
CVX OFV: 84.87 (1.41) +85+
DBC OFV: 35.00 (0.50) +98+
DNB OFV: 90.90 (1.71) +78-
EEM OFV: 139.93 (2.87) +84+
EWT OFV: 14.93 (0.30) +86+
GPS OFV: 19.48 (0.75) +77+
GT OFV: 26.53 (1.40) +67+
ICON OFV: 21.68 (0.79) +91+
IEV OFV: 102.99 (1.28) +68+
IEX OFV: 30.97 (0.63) +68+
IGE OFV: 128.40 (2.60) +88-
IGT OFV: 47.16 (1.15) +95+
IYC OFV: 59.58 (0.99) +61+
LNC OFV: 53.22 (1.56) +61+
MCD OFV: 55.16 (0.80) +78+
MEE OFV: 39.69 (1.88) +90/
MKC OFV: 35.37 (0.80) +81+
MTL OFV: 124.25 (5.14) +99/
MWV OFV: 26.26 (0.81) +54+
NFLX OFV: 27.70 (1.12) +93/
NTES OFV: 20.64 (0.78) +82+
NUE OFV: 64.76 (2.00) +96+
PDX OFV: 67.25 (1.09) +75-
PHM OFV: 14.41 (0.89) +74+
PLL OFV: 39.20 (0.90) +85+
PNC OFV: 62.05 (2.30) +59-
RDC OFV: 39.07 (1.22) +92+
RIG OFV: 137.72 (3.58) +85/
SGR OFV: 62.97 (1.92) +86+
SIAL OFV: 54.72 (1.09) +96+
TEN OFV: 26.45 (0.94) +73-
TEVA OFV: 48.34 (0.70) +95+
TYC OFV: 39.87 (0.45) +72-
UNP OFV: 123.28 (3.31) +76+
USO OFV: 78.08 (1.46) +83+
VIA OFV: 40.80 (0.33) +86+
WDC OFV: 30.89 (1.37) +92-
WMS OFV: 39.03 (1.15) +82+
WWY OFV: 59.18 (1.24) +75+
XEC OFV: 49.28 (1.32) +97+
XOM OFV: 87.01 (1.34) +82+
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top 31 Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 2-25-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ALFA OFV: 21.79 (0.09) +52/
AMGN OFV: 46.80 (0.69) -31-
ASFI OFV: 17.05 (0.99) -3-
ATMI OFV: 28.07 (0.92) -38-
BRKS OFV: 10.42 (0.43) -9-
CEPH OFV: 59.34 (1.82) -17-
CMLS OFV: 5.61 (0.29) -15-
CRDN OFV: 45.48 (1.41) -27-
CT OFV: 27.83 (0.78) -25-
CYPB OFV: 8.07 (0.27) -5-
DGX OFV: 47.71 (0.90) -14-
DXD OFV: 57.52 (1.48) -40-
ENZ OFV: 9.13 (0.43) -11-
ETM OFV: 12.31 (0.63) -37-
FXP OFV: 91.17 (5.48) -34-
IKN OFV: 7.11 (0.33) -4+
KLIC OFV: 5.29 (0.17) -14-
LDK OFV: 31.71 (1.71) -17-
MCRS OFV: 32.88 (1.44) -13-
MNI OFV: 9.72 (0.37) -8-
MRCY OFV: 6.56 (0.27) -1/
MSFT OFV: 27.84 (0.58) -2/
MZZ OFV: 62.61 (1.96) -32-
ONXX OFV: 30.66 (2.36) -3-
PSEM OFV: 12.14 (0.71) -10-
RESP OFV: 65.63 (0.18) +54-
REXI OFV: 11.93 (0.64) -7/
RSTI OFV: 38.70 (1.50) -30-
SIGM OFV: 38.16 (2.42) -11-
SOLF OFV: 13.93 (1.27) -9-
ZOLT OFV: 24.07 (1.22) -2/
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, February 23, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending February 22, 2008

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 35.1% vs Last week: 31.5% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 40% vs Last week: 43% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 12,381.02 vs Last week: 12,348.21 +32.81 / Prior week: +166.08
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,387.45 vs Last week: 12,343.17 +44.28 / Prior week: -61.57
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -1346 vs Last week -901 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08)
DJIA Trend: Falling 48% vs Last week: 61% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 29% vs Last week: 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 1.74% vs Last week: 0.17% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Rising Near Term 12,604 vs Last week 12,562 +42 / Prior week: -74
DJIA Breakout: Rising Intermediate Term 12,821 vs Last week 12,775
DJIA Support: Rising Near Term 12,168 vs Last week: 12,127 +41 / Prior week: -61
DJIA Breakdown: Rising Intermediate Term 11,954 vs Last week: 11,911
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -6.43 vs Last week: -5.62 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising +153 vs Last week: +32 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -23 vs Last week: -111 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -.05% vs Last week: +.0% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Buy / Last week: BUY
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising -20 vs Last week: -34 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 52 vs Last week: 69 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Falling 48 vs Last week: 65 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 38 vs Last week: 49 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Unch 0.9 vs Last week: 0.9 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling .03% vs Last week: .04% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 39% vs Last week: 52% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 50.74% vs Last week: 48.77 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 46.48% vs Last week: 50.52% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Rising +.05 vs Last week: +.02 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Unch 111 vs Last week: 111 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Falling +.082 vs Last week: +.180 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 3.43% vs Last week: 3.49% (5.27% / Low 3.43%)***************************************************************************************************************** 108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.12 vs Last week: -.03 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.11 vs Last week: -.05 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43/
SPDR- S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.36 vs Last week: +.18 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 43+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.03 vs Last week: +.05 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: +.01 vs Last week: -.06 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 49+
1. Biotech
BBH: -.00 vs Last week: -.21 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.01 vs Last week: -.10 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 26-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.34 vs Last week: +.21 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -4.33 vs Last week: -2.60 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12+
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.68 vs Last week: +.41 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: +.12 vs Last week: -.01 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 72+
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: -.57 vs Last week: -.24 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3-
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.06 vs Last week: +.22 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 81-
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: -.22 vs Last week: -.06 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: +.28 vs Last week: +.15 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 45-
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.50 vs Last week: +.22 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.24 vs Last week: +.09 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 87+
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.22 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56-
14. Australia
EWA: +.19 vs Last week: +.18 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
15. Canada
EWC: +.23 vs Last week: +.30 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 74-
16. Sweden
EWD: -.00 vs Last week: -.03 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77+
17. Germany
EWG: +.12 vs Last week: +.03 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 75+
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.12 vs Last week: +.01 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
19. Italy
EWI: -.35 vs Last week: -.48 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7+
20. Japan
EWJ: +.20 vs Last week: +.23 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
21. Belgium
EWK: -.07 vs Last week: -.03 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-
22. Switzerland
EWL: -.15 vs Last week: -.11 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29+
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.12 vs Last week: +.19 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
24. Netherlands
EWN: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55-
25. Austria
EWO: +.12 vs Last week: +.26 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
26. Spain
EWP: +.23 vs Last week: +.07 (High .75 / Low -.63*) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 81/
27. France
EWQ: +.31 vs Last week: +.22 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
28. Singapore
EWS: -.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.20 vs Last week: +.16 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
30. United Kingdom
EWU: +.08 vs Last week: +.11 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 86+
31. Mexico
EWW: +.30 vs Last week: +.38 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
32. South Korea
EWY: +.09 vs Last week: +.11 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
33. Brazil
EWZ: +.80 vs Last week: +.43 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.07 vs Last week: +.11 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98-
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.32 vs Last week: -.37 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.29 vs Last week: +.17 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76+
36. Internet
HHH: +.19 vs Last week: +.20 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 13-
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.13 vs Last week: -.45 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.07 vs Last week: +.02 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79/
39. Comex Gold
IAU: +.36 vs Last week: +.28 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82+
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.17 vs Last week: -.25 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31+
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.52 vs Last week: -.83 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: -.10 vs Last week: +.28 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71+
43. Utilities
IDU: -.02 vs Last week: -.31 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25+
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.32 vs Last week: +.02 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
45. Natural Resources
IGE: +1.25 vs Last week: +.63 (High 1.25 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
46. Networking
IGN: +.28 vs Last week: +.05 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
47. Software
IGV: +.07 vs Last week: +.06 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 31-
48. Semiconductor
IGW: -.08 vs Last week: -.06 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 9+
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.14 vs Last week: +.02 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70-
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.04 vs Last week: +.02 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 16-
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.21 vs Last week: +.21 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.20 vs Last week: +.12 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 56+
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.02 vs Last week: +.06 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 35+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +1.94 vs Last week: +1.13 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.13 vs Last week: -.22 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.08 vs Last week: -.20 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: +.33 vs Last week: +.21 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.05 vs Last week: -.04 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38-
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.34 vs Last week: +.31 (High .78 / Low -.70*) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
60. Energy
IYE: +.70 vs Last week: +.28 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
61. Financial Services
IYG: +.02 vs Last week: +.22 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
62. Healthcare
IYH: +.02 vs Last week: -.04 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
63. Industrial
IYJ: +.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 30-
65. Basic Materials
IYM: +.44 vs Last week: +.20 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
66. Real Estate
IYR: -.01 vs Last week: +.32 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
67. Transportation
IYT: +.10 vs Last week: +.32 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 25+
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.01 vs Last week: -.02 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40+
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.06 vs Last week: -.12 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57+
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.16 vs Last week: +.11 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: -.37 vs Last week: -.21 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.46 vs Last week: -.47 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12-
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -.08 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
74. Oil Services
OIH: +.66 vs Last week: +.08 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.01 vs Last week: -.02 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.00 vs Last week: -.37 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.22 vs Last week: -.13 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 54+
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: -.12 vs Last week: +.13 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 3-
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.09 vs Last week: -.40 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53+
80. Regional Banks
RKH: +.10 vs Last week: +.36 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: +.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 15+
82. Retail
RTH: -.15 vs Last week: +.22 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: -.11 vs Last week: +.17 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: -.23 vs Last week: +.03 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27-
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.08 vs Last week: -.34 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
86. Silver Trust
SLV: +1.11 vs Last week: +.74 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.05 vs Last week: -.00 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7-
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: +.12 vs Last week: -1.00 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 9-
89. Software
SWH: -.34 vs Last week: -.30 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1+
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.25 vs Last week: -.23 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36-
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: +.07 vs Last week: -.01 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54+
92. Utilities
UTH: -.01 vs Last week: -.29 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
93. Wireless
WMH: +.07 vs Last week: -.05 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 4-
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.19 vs Last week: +.06 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4+
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.15 vs Last week: +.12 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44/
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: +.49 vs Last week: +.23 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92/
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.12 vs Last week: +.07 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 38+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.08 vs Last week: +.06 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 52+
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.02 vs Last week: +.12 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 33-
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.19 vs Last week: -.01 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.24 vs Last week: +.34 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.98 vs Last week: +.55 (High .98 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 43/Sell 65(40%) vs. Last week: Buy 56/Sell 52(52%) vs. Prior week: Buy 35/Sell 73(32%)

DJIA 6 weeks: +32.81(2-22) +166.08(2-15) -561.06(2-8) +536.02(2-1) -107.87(1-25) -507.00(1-18)

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with Tiger Investment Software
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"
MktMetrics does.

As Advertised on:
TraderDaily.com, Institutional Investor Magazine and TigerSoft.com

An Internet video webcast called MktMetrics Morning appears late morning on YouTube and Yahoo Video, that can be searched under: "MktMetrics"

www.galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (Always first information available)
The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day's trading
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating a portion of our program

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com to see what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory for any stock or ETF that you trade.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,553 since April 2005

Friday, February 22, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday February 22 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/22/08
Last Updated: 02/21/08
02/21/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.65
(High) 124.98
(Low) 122.48
(Close) 122.93
(Range) 2.50

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.75
Today's Predicted High: 123.68
Today's Predicted Low: 122.19
Today's Proposed Range: 1.49
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (down from buy)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday -.79% below its rising 21-day moving average vs. .49% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Friday, 2-15. The Dow Outlook has moved lower this week, and so has the DJIA 50-Day Net Change. Fridays have recently not done well. The Stock Market remains fragile. Let the Trend reverse before buying.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.75 / Intermediate 126.53 / Breakout 129.32
DIA Support: Mean 123.57 / Intermediate 120.88 / Breakdown 118.18
DIA Closed: -.66% below its rising 21 day moving average vs. +.53% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 47 Down from 54
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.72 Up
Current Trend: Positive 30 Down from 37
Demand Factor: 53 Down from 62
Stock Volatility: 4.52 Up from 3.46

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/21/08 12:45 Close: 123.51
Upside Potential: 123.97
Downside Potential: 120.99

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.93
2. 125.39
3. 127.14
4. 127.48

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 122.48
2. 122.16
3. 120.47
4. 120.03

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.67
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.75
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.96
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.18
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.43
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.46
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.38
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.10

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Friday: 90%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 56.6% / 57.6% / 58.1% / 57.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
DIA Trend: Falling Today Positive 30 Down from 37
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday: 67%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 48% vs. 53% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.
(*None were posted last night)

Stock Market Forecast Friday February 22 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 2-21-08 DJIA closed: 12,284.30 -142.96 vs. Prior day: 12,427.26 +90.04
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,382.17 +14.91 vs. Prior day: 12,367.26 +15.61
(DJIA closed -.79% below its rising 21-day moving average vs. .49% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday February 22 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 67%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 90%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 56.6% / 57.6% / 58.1% / 57.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 15 vs. Down 16 (-2 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 48% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-15-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 23% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.82 vs Yesterday 1.68 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1341 vs Yesterday -1192 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-1341 -92.5% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,382 / Intermediate Term 12,598 / Breakout 12,815
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,367 / Intermediate Term 12,158 / Breakdown 11,948

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday -.79% below its rising 21-day moving average vs. .49% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Friday, 2-15. The Dow Outlook has moved lower this week, and so has the DJIA 50-Day Net Change. Fridays have recently not done well. The Stock Market remains fragile. Let the Trend reverse before buying.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .07% vs Yesterday .12% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 43.71% vs Yesterday 50.55% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 45.58% vs Yesterday 50.32% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .14% vs Yesterday .19% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 40% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 29.9% vs Yesterday 36.8% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 55% vs. Yesterday 70% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 57% vs. Yesterday 63% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 17% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 47% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 13% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 10 vs. Yesterday 82 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 78 vs. Yesterday 29 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, February 21, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday February 21 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/21/08
Last Updated: 02/20/08
02/20/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.66
(High) 124.57
(Low) 122.23
(Close) 124.24
(Range) 2.34

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.41
Today's Predicted High: 125.13
Today's Predicted Low: 123.35
Today's Proposed Range: 1.78
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday .49% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.12% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Friday, 2-15. The Dow Outlook has moved lower this week, and so has the DJIA 50-Day Net Change. Thursdays have recently not done well. The Stock Market remains fragile. Let the Trend reverse before buying.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.58 / Intermediate 126.36 / Breakout 129.14
DIA Support: Mean 123.40 / Intermediate 120.71 / Breakdown 118.02
DIA Closed: .53% above its rising 21 day moving average vs. .01% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 54 Up from 51
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.90/0.77 Up
Current Trend: Positive 37 Up from 9
Demand Factor: 62 Up from 53
Stock Volatility: 3.46 Up from 2.47

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/20/08 12:45 Close: 123.41
Upside Potential: 126.58
Downside Potential: 123.02

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.67
2. 125.11
3. 126.72
4. 127.06

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 122.08
2. 121.76
3. 120.21
4. 119.79

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.55
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.58
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.06
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.41
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.70
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.59
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.49
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.16

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 19%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Falling 54.7% / 55.7% / 54.5% / 53.7%
DIA Trend: Rising Today Positive 37 Up from 9
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 53%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 53% vs. 55% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday February 21 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 2-20-08 DJIA closed: 12,427.26 +90.04 vs. Prior day: 12,337.22 -10.99
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,367.26 +15.61 vs. Prior day: 12,351.65 +8.48
(DJIA closed .49% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.12% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday February 21 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 53%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 19%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Falling 54.7% / 55.7% / 54.5% / 53.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 17 vs. Down 14 (-1 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 55% vs Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-15-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 19% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.68 vs Yesterday 1.15 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1192 vs Yesterday -1108 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-1192 -82.2% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,367 / Intermediate Term 12,583 / Breakout 12,800
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,351 / Intermediate Term 12,143 / Breakdown 11,934

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday .49% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.12% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Friday, 2-15. The Dow Outlook has moved lower this week, and so has the DJIA 50-Day Net Change. Thursdays have recently not done well. The Stock Market remains fragile. Let the Trend reverse before buying.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .12% vs Yesterday .07% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positve and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Today 55% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 50.55% vs Yesterday 42.23% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 50.32% vs Yesterday 47.68% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet flat.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.19% vs Yesterday +.06% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Unch Today 41% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 36.8% vs Yesterday 32.6% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 37% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 70% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 31% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 43% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 63% vs. Yesterday 57% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 47% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 11% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 82 vs. Yesterday 25 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 29 vs. Yesterday 92 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Thursday February 21

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 19%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 53%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Falling 55% vs. 58% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08
DJIA Momentum: Falling 19% vs. 23% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Unch 41% vs. 41% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 36.8% vs. 32.4% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thurday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 21 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AA
ACI
ACS
BDX
CEF
CENX
CF
CHK
CVX
DBC
DNB
EWZ
FCX
GPS
HP
IGE
IYE
KND
MCD
MEE
MKC
MOS
MTL
NFLX
NUE
PCLN
PTEN
RDC
RDK
RRC
RSG
SIAL
STT
TEN
VIA
WDC
XEC
XOM
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thurday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 21 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALXN
CEPH
CLX
CMLS
CYPB
DAKT
DLB
DUG
EEFT
ENZ
EXAR
FOSL
FXP
GAS
GBCI
GSIC
HLTH
IRF
LDK
MYGN
MZZ
NTAP
ONXX
PSEM
QSII
RSTI
SLE
SOLF
TNH
JRJC
LIZ
MATR
MNI
MRCY
USTR
UTEK
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*WEDNESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,031,615.19 2-20-08 Change +$4,268.64
Account Value $1,027,346.55 2-19-08 Change -$391.54
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change +$10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday February 19 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/19/08
Last Updated: 02/15/08
02/15/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.19
(High) 123.57
(Low) 122.67
(Close) 123.30
(Range) 0.90

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.15
Today's Predicted High: 124.20
Today's Predicted Low: 122.40
Today's Proposed Range: 1.80
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday .04% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .23% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Friday, 2-15. The Dow Outlook has moved higher, and so has the DJIA 50-Day Net Change. Tuesdays have recently done just okay. However, the "Up" probabilities for the DIA and DJIA show that Tuesday may be down. This would coincide with the weak and down stock market at the close on Friday.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.38 / Intermediate 126.12 / Breakout 128.86
DIA Support: Mean 123.31 / Intermediate 120.53 / Breakdown 117.76
DIA Closed: -0.01% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. 1.66% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 52 Down from 53
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.60/0.78 Down
Current Trend: Negative -3 Up from -8
Demand Factor: 54 Up from 50
Stock Volatility: -0.90 Down from 1.98

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/15/08 12:45 Close: 122.86
Upside Potential: 125.31
Downside Potential: 121.71

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 125.12
2. 125.65
3. 125.77
4. 126.04

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 121.10
2. 120.83
3. 120.73
4. 120.22

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.17
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.31
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.34
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.80
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.16
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.87
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.70
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.24

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 58%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7%
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -3 Up from -8
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 46%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 61% vs. 68% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Monday, February 18, 2008

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday February 19 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Friday 2-15-08 DJIA closed: 12,348.21 -28.77 vs. Prior day: 12,376.98 -175.26
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,343.17 -5.62 vs. Prior day: 12,348.79 -5.91
(DJIA closed .04% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .23% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday February 19 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 46%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 58%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 19 vs. Down 12 (-2 vs +0 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 61% vs Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-15-08 (hold stocks)
DJIA MACD: Unch Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 23% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.17 vs Yesterday 0.89 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -900 vs Yesterday -938 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-900 -62.0% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,348 / Intermediate Term 12,561 / Breakout 12,775
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,343 / Intermediate Term 12,127 / Breakdown 11,911

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday .04% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .23% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Friday, 2-15. The Dow Outlook has moved higher, and so has the DJIA 50-Day Net Change. Tuesdays have recently done just okay. However, the "Up" probabilities for the DIA and DJIA show that Tuesday may be down. This potential result does not surprise me as the market was weak and down at the close on Friday.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .02% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positve and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 52% vs Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 48.77% vs Yesterday 43.03% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 50.52% vs Yesterday 48.90% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today +.02% vs Yesterday -.02% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 43% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 31.5% vs Yesterday 32.6% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Unch Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 0% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 23% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Unch Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Unch Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 44 vs. Yesterday 10 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 41 vs. Yesterday 54 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Stock Trading Ideas For Tuesday February 19

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 58%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 46%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DJIA Trend: Falling 61% vs. 68% prior day (hold)
(DJIA Trend Change: "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-15-08)
DJIA Momentum: Unch 23% vs. 23% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 43% vs. 42% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 31.5% vs. 32.6% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 19 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ACI OFV: 48.84 (3.72) 83-
ACL OFV: 148.03 (5.19) 77+
ACS OFV: 50.06 (1.46) 89-
ATK OFV: 105.34 (2.06)
CENX OFV: 60.71 (3.08) 97+
CF OFV: 116.03 (7.17) 96+
CHK OFV: 43.03 (1.76) 98+
CI OFV: 47.14 (1.14) 31+
CLB OFV: 117.19 (4.57) 75+
CVC OFV: 27.12 (0.63) 78+
CVX OFV: 82.83 (1.65) 69+
DB OFV: 109.43 (2.54) 42+
DNB OFV: 88.72 (1.99) 74+
DRE OFV: 23.27 (0.69) 52+
EWT OFV: 14.29 (0.34) 73+
FCX OFV: 92.47 (3.79) 84+
FXI OFV: 148.20 (4.00) 49+
GPC OFV: 44.76 (0.95) 85+
GPS OFV: 19.45 (0.67) 84+
GT OFV: 26.64 (1.00) 70+
HXM OFV: 55.04 (1.64) 78+
IEV OFV: 101.25 (1.60) 57+
IEX OFV: 30.85 (0.77) 63+
ILF OFV: 242.73 (6.84) 86-
LNC OFV: 52.76 (2.19) 57+
MEE OFV: 39.22 (2.16) 92-
MKC OFV: 34.81 (0.66) 64+
MTL OFV: 108.31 (8.67) 93+
NFLX OFV: 26.45 (0.68) 87-
NUE OFV: 61.62 (2.84) 93/
OXY OFV: 71.56 (2.65) 74+
PCLN OFV: 117.50 (4.10) 90+
PDX OFV: 67.03 (1.62) 79/
PNC OFV: 62.78 (1.73) 70+
R OFV: 58.44 (1.75) 90-
SAFT OFV: 38.22 (1.08) 69+
SIAL OFV: 52.41 (1.53) 85+
STI OFV: 62.72 (1.93) 56-
TEN OFV: 27.20 (1.26) 84-
UNH OFV: 47.09 (1.00) 34+
XEC OFV: 44.79 (1.43) 95-
XME OFV: 68.93 (2.59) 82-
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 19 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
A OFV: 31.03 (0.48) 7-
ADTN OFV: 19.32 (0.54) 17-
ALFA OFV: 21.74 (0.05) 53-
ALTR OFV: 17.28 (0.60) 6-
AMWD OFV: 19.95 (1.56) 40-
ASFI OFV: 17.70 (1.41) 7-
BRCM OFV: 20.34 (1.13) 9-
CMLS OFV: 5.80 (0.28) 26-
CT OFV: 27.48 (1.19) 32-
DAKT OFV: 17.18 (0.73) 9-
DFS OFV: 14.47 (0.73) 31-
DIOD OFV: 23.87 (0.84) 34-
EPIQ OFV: 12.54 (0.53) 2-
FFIV OFV: 22.50 (1.16) 32-
FXP OFV: 89.56 (5.55) 37-
GAS OFV: 38.20 (0.64) 10-
HLTH OFV: 10.40 (0.43) 11-
IAH OFV: 43.63 (0.60) 34-
IRF OFV: 25.23 (1.19) 9-
JRJC OFV: 15.24 (1.04) 38-
KLAC OFV: 41.15 (1.11) 19-
LDK OFV: 34.28 (2.69) 36-
LIZ OFV: 17.88 (0.76) 27-
MRCY OFV: 7.33 (0.43) 0-
MSFT OFV: 28.44 (0.68) 6/
MYGN OFV: 37.94 (1.20) 3-
NEM OFV: 48.41 (2.28) 14-
NSM OFV: 17.40 (0.43) 13-
NTAP OFV: 21.46 (0.96) 31-
NVEC OFV: 28.48 (1.52) 56/
ONXX OFV: 45.07 (1.45) 20-
PCAR OFV: 42.80 (1.50) 26-
REXI OFV: 12.31 (0.58) 23-
SAFM OFV: 33.44 (1.12) 41-
SLE OFV: 13.39 (0.27) 3-
SNDK OFV: 25.73 (0.93) 21-
STRA OFV: 168.57 (4.45) 26-
SWH OFV: 39.14 (0.67) 43-
UTEK OFV: 9.91 (0.36) 23-
WSFS OFV: 46.80 (1.70) 25-
XHB OFV: 19.86 (1.20) 40-
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*FRIDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change +$10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Tuesday 2-19-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Tuesday: 58%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Tuesday: 46%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (2-19 through 2-22)
Information provided by:
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Tuesdays: Past 51 Rising 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7%

Wednesdays: Past 52 Rising 61.5% / 60.7% / 65.4% / 66.6%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 53 Falling 54.7% / 55.7% / 54.5% / 53.7%

Fridays: Past 53 Falling 56.6% / 57.6% / 58.1% / 57.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 258 Days Rising 55.4% / 55.3% / 57.1% / 56.7%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA S/BUY
89+ 1.26 88U 0.37+
AIG SELL 12+ 2.91 10U -0.76+
AXP S/SELL- 31- 1.50 37D -0.02+
BA BUY 38+ 2.31 60U 0.40+
BAC BUY 79+ 1.35 67U 0.32+
C S/SELL 13- 0.89 27D -0.04+
CAT BUY 23+ 1.53 66D 0.26+
CVX S/BUY+ 100+ 1.65 69U 0.04+
DD BUY 7- 1.50 52D 0.02+
DIA SELL 54+ 1.80 52D -0.03+
DIS S/BUY 92+ 0.71 86U 0.23+
GE S/SELL 23+ 0.61 36D -0.02+
GM BUY 34+ 1.37 43N 0.29+
HD SELL 43+ 1.01 37D 0.12+
HPQ S/BUY+ 37+ 1.14 50U 0.06+
IBM BUY 49+ 2.31 67U 0.29+
INTC S/SELL 29- 0.49 47D -0.03+
JNJ S/SELL 41+ 1.06 26U -0.41+
JPM SELL 71+ 1.53 48U 0.18+
KO SELL 28+ 0.82 38U -0.28+
MCD BUY 98+ 1.22 76D 0.39+
MMM BUY 45- 1.44 59D 0.24+
MRK S/SELL 92+ 1.42 37U -0.38+
MSFT SELL 0/ 0.68 6D -0.53+
PFE S/SELL 18- 0.45 30D -0.08+
PG S/SELL 2- 1.16 37D -0.22+
T BUY 60+ 1.09 66U 0.16+
UTX BUY 38- 1.42 55D 0.05+
VZ S/SELL- 94+ 1.07 48U -0.12+
WMT BUY- 76- 1.34 77D 0.17+
XOM BUY+ 96+ 1.82 69U 0.07+
*Internal Relative Strength

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Sunday, February 17, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: http://www.MktMetrics.com/

Our firm covers 1,000 selected stocks and provides in-depth stock market research.
Proven track record. Give us a try today by signing up for a "14-Day FREE TRIAL."

This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top 42 Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 2-19-08 Tuesday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ACI OFV: 48.84 (3.72) 83-
ACL OFV: 148.03 (5.19) 77+
ACS OFV: 50.06 (1.46) 89-
ATK OFV: 105.34 (2.06)
CENX OFV: 60.71 (3.08) 97+
CF OFV: 116.03 (7.17) 96+
CHK OFV: 43.03 (1.76) 98+
CI OFV: 47.14 (1.14) 31+
CLB OFV: 117.19 (4.57) 75+
CVC OFV: 27.12 (0.63) 78+
CVX OFV: 82.83 (1.65) 69+
DB OFV: 109.43 (2.54) 42+
DNB OFV: 88.72 (1.99) 74+
DRE OFV: 23.27 (0.69) 52+
EWT OFV: 14.29 (0.34) 73+
FCX OFV: 92.47 (3.79) 84+
FXI OFV: 148.20 (4.00) 49+
GPC OFV: 44.76 (0.95) 85+
GPS OFV: 19.45 (0.67) 84+
GT OFV: 26.64 (1.00) 70+
HXM OFV: 55.04 (1.64) 78+
IEV OFV: 101.25 (1.60) 57+
IEX OFV: 30.85 (0.77) 63+
ILF OFV: 242.73 (6.84) 86-
LNC OFV: 52.76 (2.19) 57+
MEE OFV: 39.22 (2.16) 92-
MKC OFV: 34.81 (0.66) 64+
MTL OFV: 108.31 (8.67) 93+
NFLX OFV: 26.45 (0.68) 87-
NUE OFV: 61.62 (2.84) 93/
OXY OFV: 71.56 (2.65) 74+
PCLN OFV: 117.50 (4.10) 90+
PDX OFV: 67.03 (1.62) 79/
PNC OFV: 62.78 (1.73) 70+
R OFV: 58.44 (1.75) 90-
SAFT OFV: 38.22 (1.08) 69+
SIAL OFV: 52.41 (1.53) 85+
STI OFV: 62.72 (1.93) 56-
TEN OFV: 27.20 (1.26) 84-
UNH OFV: 47.09 (1.00) 34+
XEC OFV: 44.79 (1.43) 95-
XME OFV: 68.93 (2.59) 82-
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 2-19-08 Tuesday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
A OFV: 31.03 (0.48) 7-
ADTN OFV: 19.32 (0.54) 17-
ALFA OFV: 21.74 (0.05) 53-
ALTR OFV: 17.28 (0.60) 6-
AMWD OFV: 19.95 (1.56) 40-
ASFI OFV: 17.70 (1.41) 7-
BRCM OFV: 20.34 (1.13) 9-
CMLS OFV: 5.80 (0.28) 26-
CT OFV: 27.48 (1.19) 32-
DAKT OFV: 17.18 (0.73) 9-
DFS OFV: 14.47 (0.73) 31-
DIOD OFV: 23.87 (0.84) 34-
EPIQ OFV: 12.54 (0.53) 2-
FFIV OFV: 22.50 (1.16) 32-
FXP OFV: 89.56 (5.55) 37-
GAS OFV: 38.20 (0.64) 10-
HLTH OFV: 10.40 (0.43) 11-
IAH OFV: 43.63 (0.60) 34-
IRF OFV: 25.23 (1.19) 9-
JRJC OFV: 15.24 (1.04) 38-
KLAC OFV: 41.15 (1.11) 19-
LDK OFV: 34.28 (2.69) 36-
LIZ OFV: 17.88 (0.76) 27-
MRCY OFV: 7.33 (0.43) 0-
MSFT OFV: 28.44 (0.68) 6/
MYGN OFV: 37.94 (1.20) 3-
NEM OFV: 48.41 (2.28) 14-
NSM OFV: 17.40 (0.43) 13-
NTAP OFV: 21.46 (0.96) 31-
NVEC OFV: 28.48 (1.52) 56/
ONXX OFV: 45.07 (1.45) 20-
PCAR OFV: 42.80 (1.50) 26-
REXI OFV: 12.31 (0.58) 23-
SAFM OFV: 33.44 (1.12) 41-
SLE OFV: 13.39 (0.27) 3-
SNDK OFV: 25.73 (0.93) 21-
STRA OFV: 168.57 (4.45) 26-
SWH OFV: 39.14 (0.67) 43-
UTEK OFV: 9.91 (0.36) 23-
WSFS OFV: 46.80 (1.70) 25-
XHB OFV: 19.86 (1.20) 40-
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, February 16, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending February 15, 2008

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 31.5% vs Last week: 27.5% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 43% vs Last week: 41% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 12,348.21 vs Last week: 12,182.13 +166.08 / Prior week: -561.06
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,343.17 vs Last week: 12,404.74 -61.57 / Prior week: -119.06
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -901 vs Last week -776 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08)
DJIA Trend: Rising 61% vs Last week: 52% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 23% vs Last week: 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.17% vs Last week: 0.83% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,562 vs Last week 12,636 -74 / Prior week: -114
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,775 vs Last week 12,839
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,127 vs Last week: 12,188 -61 / Prior week: -116
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,911 vs Last week: 11,971
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -5.62 vs Last week: -26.34 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising +32 vs Last week: +27 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -111 vs Last week: -182 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising +.0% vs Last week: -1.8% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Buy / Last week: BUY
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising -34 vs Last week: -82 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 69 vs Last week: 50 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 49 vs Last week: 52 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Unch 0.9 vs Last week: 0.9 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .04% vs Last week: .01% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 52% vs Last week: 23% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 48.77% vs Last week: 39.10 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Rising 50.52% vs Last week: 39.61% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Rising +.02 vs Last week: -.12 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 111 vs Last week: 112 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Rising +.180 vs Last week: -.458 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 3.49% vs Last week: 3.54% (5.27 / Low 3.49%)***************************************************************************************************************** 108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.03 vs Last week: -.27 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.05 vs Last week: -.38 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43+
SPDR- S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.18 vs Last week: -.06 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 35+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.05 vs Last week: -.04 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.06 vs Last week: -.18 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.21 vs Last week: -.36 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44/
2. Broadband
BDH: -.10 vs Last week: -.11 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 41+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.21 vs Last week: +.20 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -2.60 vs Last week: -4.20 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.41 vs Last week: +.38 (High .61 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.01 vs Last week: -.28 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: -.24 vs Last week: +.39 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 8-
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.22 vs Last week: +.20 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83+
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: -.06 vs Last week: +.16 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 18-
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: +.15 vs Last week: -.29 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 55-
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.22 vs Last week: -.75 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.09 vs Last week: -.32 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.00 vs Last week: -.71 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63+
14. Australia
EWA: +.18 vs Last week: -.02 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 85+
15. Canada
EWC: +.30 vs Last week: +.15 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
16. Sweden
EWD: -.03 vs Last week: -.26 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 68+
17. Germany
EWG: +.03 vs Last week: -.23 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
18. Hong Kong
EWH: +.01 vs Last week: -.20 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
19. Italy
EWI: -.48 vs Last week: -.59 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
20. Japan
EWJ: +.23 vs Last week: +.17 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 82+
21. Belgium
EWK: -.03 vs Last week: -.24 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63+
22. Switzerland
EWL: -.11 vs Last week: -.19 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20+
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.19 vs Last week: +.24 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
24. Netherlands
EWN: +.03 vs Last week: -.20 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
25. Austria
EWO: +.26 vs Last week: -.11 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
26. Spain
EWP: +.07 vs Last week: -.32 (High .75 / Low -.63*) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
27. France
EWQ: +.22 vs Last week: -.02 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
28. Singapore
EWS: +.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.16 vs Last week: +.08 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
30. United Kingdom
EWU: +.11 vs Last week: -.10 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80+
31. Mexico
EWW: +.38 vs Last week: +.17 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 86+
32. South Korea
EWY: +.11 vs Last week: -.25 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 65+
33. Brazil
EWZ: +.43 vs Last week: -.22 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: +.11 vs Last week: -1.56 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.37 vs Last week: +1.30 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.17 vs Last week: +.23 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72-
36. Internet
HHH: +.20 vs Last week: +.01 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 21-
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.45 vs Last week: -.52 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.02 vs Last week: +.15 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 79+
39. Comex Gold
IAU: +.28 vs Last week: +.34 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.25 vs Last week: -.25 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30+
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.83 vs Last week: -1.76 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.28 vs Last week: +.27 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64+
43. Utilities
IDU: -.31 vs Last week: -.61 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.02 vs Last week: -.51 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
45. Natural Resources
IGE: +.63 vs Last week: -.29 (High .93 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
46. Networking
IGN: +.05 vs Last week: -.03 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12+
47. Software
IGV: +.06 vs Last week: -.13 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
48. Semiconductor
IGW: -.06 vs Last week: +.03 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 5-
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: +.02 vs Last week: -.34 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79/
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.02 vs Last week: +.21 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 19-
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.21 vs Last week: +.06 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 68+
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.12 vs Last week: -.02 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 38-
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.06 vs Last week: -.09 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 21+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +1.13 vs Last week: -.34 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.22 vs Last week: -.38 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4-
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.20 vs Last week: -.29 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 9+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: +.21 vs Last week: -.27 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 89+
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.04 vs Last week: -.16 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.31 vs Last week: -.04 (High .78 / Low -.70*) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 88+
60. Energy
IYE: +.28 vs Last week: -.49 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+
61. Financial Services
IYG: +.22 vs Last week: +.27 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 46-
62. Healthcare
IYH: -.04 vs Last week: -.17 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96-
63. Industrial
IYJ: -.06 vs Last week: -.18 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 10+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.04 vs Last week: -.26 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 32-
65. Basic Materials
IYM: +.20 vs Last week: +.05 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 37-
66. Real Estate
IYR: +.32 vs Last week: +.24 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
67. Transportation
IYT: +.32 vs Last week: +.35 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 12+
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.02 vs Last week: -.13 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37-
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.12 vs Last week: -.23 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.11 vs Last week: +.04 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: -.21 vs Last week: -.01 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2-
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.47 vs Last week: -.60 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22-
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: +.05 vs Last week: -.20 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 67/
74. Oil Services
OIH: +.08 vs Last week: -1.18 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 58+
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.02 vs Last week: -.19 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28+
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.37 vs Last week: -.53 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.13 vs Last week: +.04 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 40-
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.13 vs Last week: +.38 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 24-
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.40 vs Last week: -.74 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-
80. Regional Banks
RKH: +.36 vs Last week: +.40 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.12 vs Last week: -.32 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7-
82. Retail
RTH: +.22 vs Last week: +.18 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75+
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.17 vs Last week: +.19 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 74-
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.03 vs Last week: +.28 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 41-
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.34 vs Last week: -.26 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
86. Silver Trust
SLV: +.74 vs Last week: +.81 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.00 vs Last week: -.07 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: -1.00 vs Last week: -1.05 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16/
89. Software
SWH: -.30 vs Last week: -.19 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.23 vs Last week: -.13 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.01 vs Last week: -.16 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 48+
92. Utilities
UTH: -.29 vs Last week: -.73 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
93. Wireless
WMH: -.05 vs Last week: -.26 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: +.06 vs Last week: +.15 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.12 vs Last week: +.08 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44-
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: +.23 vs Last week: -.30 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.07 vs Last week: -.11 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 27+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.06 vs Last week: -.05 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 38+
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.12 vs Last week: -.18 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 35+
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.01 vs Last week: -.14 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 97+
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.34 vs Last week: +.28 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93+
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.55 vs Last week: +.33 (High .92 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 56/Sell 52(52%) vs. Last week: Buy 35/Sell 73(32%) vs. Prior week: Buy 64/Sell 44(59%)

DJIA Past 5 Weeks: +166.08(2-15) -561.06(2-8) +536.02(2-1) -107.87(1-25) -507.00(1-18)

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http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (Always first information available)
The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day's trading
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating a portion of our program

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Total number of Blogs archived: 1,534 since April 2005

Friday, February 15, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday February 15 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/15/08
Last Updated: 02/14/08
02/14/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 125.41
(High) 125.69
(Low) 123.75
(Close) 123.94
(Range) 1.94

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 124.71
Today's Predicted High: 124.90
Today's Predicted Low: 122.98
Today's Proposed Range: 1.92
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed .23% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.60% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday, 2-13. The Dow Outlook has moved higher. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower Thursday. Fridays have recently done poorly. However, the "Up" probabilities for the DIA and DJIA show today could surprise. Either way, Futures and Options expire today, which is always unpredictable.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.44 / Intermediate 126.18 / Breakout 128.92
DIA Support: Mean 123.37 / Intermediate 120.59 / Breakdown 117.82
DIA Closed: 1.66% above its falling 21 day moving average vs. .24% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 53 Down from 55
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.88 Down
Current Trend: Negative -8 Up from -10
Demand Factor: 50 Down from 61
Stock Volatility: 1.98 Up from 0.85

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/14/08 12:45 Close: 124.42
Upside Potential: 125.44
Downside Potential: 121.60

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 126.23
2. 126.42
3. 127.92
4. 128.20

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.18
2. 122.90
3. 121.46
4. 121.28

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.12
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.37
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.58
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.04
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.34
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.97
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.80
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.29

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Friday: 97%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 57.6% / 58.1% / 57.4% / 58.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -8 Up from -10
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday: 66%
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 68% vs. 68% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday 2-13-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Friday February 15 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 2-14-08 DJIA closed: 12,376.98 -175.26 vs. Prior day: 12,552.24 +178.83
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,348.79 -5.91 vs. Prior day: 12,354.70 -10.76
(DJIA closed .23% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.60% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday February 15 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 66%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 97%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 57.6% / 58.1% / 57.4% / 58.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Unch Today Up 21 vs. Down 10 (+0 vs +5 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 68% vs Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 2-14-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 23% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.89 vs Yesterday 1.01 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -938 vs Yesterday -819 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-938 -64.6% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,354 / Intermediate Term 12,567 / Breakout 12,781
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,348 / Intermediate Term 12,132 / Breakdown 11,916

Market Comment:
DJIA closed .23% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.60% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday, 2-13. The Dow Outlook has moved higher. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower Thursday. Fridays have recently done poorly. However, the "Up" probabilities for the DIA and DJIA show today could surprise. Either way, Futures and Options expire today, which is always unpredictable.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unch Today .02% vs Yesterday .02% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positve yet flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 42% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 43.03% vs Yesterday 50.16% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 48.90% vs Yesterday 51.13% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.02% vs Yesterday -.04% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed near its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 32.6% vs Yesterday 40.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 33% vs. Yesterday 34% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 15% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 10 vs. Yesterday 62 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 54 vs. Yesterday 19 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, February 14, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Friday February 15

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Friday: 97%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 66%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Unch 68% vs. 68% prior day (accumulate stocks)
(DJIA Trend Change: "Up" from "Down" Wednesday)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 23% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 42% vs. 41% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 32.6% vs. 40.3% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Friday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 15 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
CHK
CVC
DBC
EWT
NFLX
NYT
SAFT
SKF
USO
XEC
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Friday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 15 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
A
ADTN
AEE
ALFA
ALTR
AMGN
AMWD
BBOX
CERN
CLX
CME
CT
DAKT
DFS
ED
EPIQ
EWI
FFIV
GAS
GSIC
HIG
HRH
JCOM
JRJC
KLAC
KSS
LDK
LPNT
MCHX
MMS
MRCY
MSFT
MYGN
NEM
NTAP
NVEC
PCG
PCH
PPG
QSII
REXI
RUBO
SLE
SNDK
SO
STRA
SWH
SWY
TECD
TRC
UTEK
WB
WSFS
XLTC
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*THURSDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change $10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG


Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday February 14 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/14/08
Last Updated: 02/13/08
02/13/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.92
(High) 125.84
(Low) 124.21
(Close) 125.50
(Range) 1.63

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 125.07
Today's Predicted High: 126.51
Today's Predicted Low: 124.49
Today's Proposed Range: 2.02
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (up from strong Sell)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed 1.60% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .06% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday, 2-13. The Dow Outlook also moved higher. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher. Thursdays have recently done well. The "Up" probabilities for the DIA and DJIA show disparety today. This may portend greater volatity due to the Futures and Options expiration tomorrow. Careful!

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.54 / Intermediate 126.27 / Breakout 129.00
DIA Support: Mean 123.45 / Intermediate 120.67 / Breakdown 117.89
DIA Closed: 1.66% above its falling 21 day moving average vs. .24% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 55 Up from 47
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.90 Down
Current Trend: Negative -10 Up from -11
Demand Factor: 61 Up from 56
Stock Volatility: 0.85 Down from 0.91

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/13/08 12:45 Close: 124.88
Upside Potential: 127.88
Downside Potential: 123.84

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 126.69
2. 127.42
3. 128.01
4. 128.36

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.32
2. 122.99
3. 122.42
4. 121.73

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.42
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.45
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.81
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.31
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.53
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.07
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.90
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.32

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 16%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 55.7% / 54.5% / 53.7% / 52.8%
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -10 Up from -11
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 68%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs. 52% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday 2-13-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday February 14 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 2-13-08 DJIA closed: 12,552.24 +178.83 vs. Prior day: 12,373.41 +133.40
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,354.70 -10.76 vs. Prior day: 12,365.46 -11.09
(DJIA closed 1.60% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .06% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday February 14 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 68%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 16%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 55.7% / 54.5% / 53.7% / 52.8%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 21 vs. Down 10 (+5 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 2-14-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 29% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.01 vs Yesterday 1.23 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -819 vs Yesterday -938 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-819 -56.5% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,365 / Intermediate Term 12,576 / Breakout 12,787
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,354 / Intermediate Term 12,138 / Breakdown 11,922

Market Comment:
DJIA closed 1.60% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .06% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday, 2-13. The Dow Outlook also moved higher. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher. Thursdays have recently done well. The "Up" probabilities for the DIA and DJIA show disparety today. This may portend greater volatity due to the Futures and Options expiration tomorrow. Careful!

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .02% vs Yesterday .01% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positve and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 39% vs Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 50.16% vs Yesterday 45.03% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 51.13% vs Yesterday 45.00% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Ris Today 41% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 40.3% vs Yesterday 34.0% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 34% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Unch Trend Today -50% vs. Yesterday -50% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Unch Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Unch Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 28% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 62 vs. Yesterday 30 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 19 vs. Yesterday 42 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Thursday February 14

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 16%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 68%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 68% vs. 52% prior day (accumulate stocks)
(DJIA Trend Change: "Up" from "Down" Wednesday)
DJIA Momentum: Unch 29% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 41% vs. 40% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 40.3% vs. 34.0% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thursday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 14 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ACI OFV: 51.74 (3.04) 94+
ACL OFV: 150.56 (6.60) 78-
AG OFV: 64.81 (2.80) 71+
AHG OFV: 23.62 (1.81) 79+
APA OFV: 106.54 (4.11) 92+
ATK OFV: 106.31 (2.50) 73+
AZN OFV: 39.22 (0.64) 32+
BDX OFV: 90.62 (2.05) 83+
CEF OFV: 12.46 (0.22) 92+
CENX OFV: 58.66 (2.89) 97+
CHK OFV: 41.86 (1.18) 98+
CI OFV: 46.36 (2.44) 24+
CLB OFV: 116.74 (4.12) 63+
CSL OFV: 38.98 (1.32) 86+
CVC OFV: 25.50 (1.30) 69+
DB OFV: 112.53 (3.33) 41+
DBC OFV: 32.91 (0.63) 89/
DNB OFV: 89.57 (1.87) 73+
DRE OFV: 23.49 (0.98) 52+
EEM OFV: 137.91 (4.39) 68+
EWM OFV: 13.38 (0.26) 81+
EWT OFV: 14.05 (0.42) 58+
EWZ OFV: 79.76 (2.63) 88+
FSLR OFV: 218.78 (14.82) 72+
GYMB OFV: 40.30 (2.53) 96+
HAL OFV: 35.25 (1.05) 72+
HP OFV: 42.54 (1.55) 97+
IEV OFV: 102.33 (1.62) 54+
IGE OFV: 124.37 (3.40) 85+
ILF OFV: 247.64 (6.91) 90+
IYZ OFV: 25.89 (0.53) 53+
LNC OFV: 52.94 (1.49) 50+
LNN OFV: 66.37 (3.42) 63+
LUV OFV: 12.96 (0.53) 73+
MCD OFV: 56.51 (1.25) 85+
NBR OFV: 31.15 (1.24) 93+
NFLX OFV: 27.05 (1.25) 92+
NYT OFV: 17.99 (0.55) 79+
OXY OFV: 68.94 (2.60) 60+
PLCM OFV: 23.91 (0.91) 58+
PNC OFV: 63.63 (2.01) 69-
QSFT OFV: 15.12 (0.46) 41+
R OFV: 59.30 (2.37) 94+
RIG OFV: 129.08 (4.07) 68+
RSG OFV: 31.14 (1.02) 80+
SAFT OFV: 38.01 (0.76) 64+
SIAL OFV: 52.79 (1.03) 85+
STI OFV: 64.44 (2.66) 62/
THQI OFV: 19.18 (0.99) 36-
TYC OFV: 40.72 (1.13) 83+
TZIX OFV: 20.63 (0.89) 98+
URBN OFV: 29.50 (1.72) 94+
VRTX OFV: 18.82 (1.14) 30+
VZ OFV: 38.27 (0.93) 48+
WMS OFV: 40.60 (1.76) 98+
XEC OFV: 45.17 (1.51) 97+
XME OFV: 69.36 (2.55) 86+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 14 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AEE OFV: 44.48 (0.76) 17+
AMWD OFV: 20.83 (1.35) 50-
BRO OFV: 18.59 (0.49) -4-
CEPH OFV: 59.66 (2.36) -3/
CERN OFV: 48.21 (1.41) -11-
CMLS OFV: 6.01 (0.30) -34-
DAKT OFV: 17.68 (0.69) -12-
ED OFV: 43.06 (0.68) -47-
EPIQ OFV: 12.94 (0.75) -4-
FXP OFV: 93.47 (9.01) 49-
GAS OFV: 38.91 (1.00) -15-
HIG OFV: 72.33 (2.55) -9-
MMS OFV: 37.52 (1.45) 44+
MRCY OFV: 7.48 (0.30) -1-
MYGN OFV: 38.65 (1.56) -3/
RUBO OFV: 6.88 (0.30) -37-
SIE OFV: 41.49 (0.39) -5-
STRA OFV: 160.10 (7.01) -10-
XLTC OFV: 26.09 (0.71) -45/
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*WEDNESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday February 13 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/13/08
Last Updated: 02/12/08
02/12/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.08
(High) 124.73
(Low) 122.96
(Close) 123.85
(Range) 1.77

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.75
Today's Predicted High: 124.95
Today's Predicted Low: 122.75
Today's Proposed Range: 2.20
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed .06% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.10% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Monday, 2-12. However, we do not consider this a true trend change until the Dow Outlook confirms. The DJIA Outlook was unchanged Monday. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher. Wednesdays have recently been weak, and our "Up" probability numbers suggest that perhaps today will be down.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.66 / Intermediate 126.38 / Breakout 129.11
DIA Support: Mean 123.55 / Intermediate 120.77 / Breakdown 117.99
DIA Closed: .24% above its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.01% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 47 Up from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.10/0.93 Up
Current Trend: Negative -11 Up from -28
Demand Factor: 56 Unch
Stock Volatility: 0.91 Down from 1.77

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/12/08 12:45 Close: 124.22
Upside Potential: 125.93
Downside Potential: 121.53

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 125.42
2. 125.54
3. 126.33
4. 127.22

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 122.24
2. 121.37
3. 120.62
4. 120.50

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.67
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.55
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.05
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.54
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.70
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.18
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 132.97
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.35

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday: 19%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Falling 60.7% / 65.4% / 66.6% / 66.0%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -11 Up from -28
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday: 47%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 52% vs. 55% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday 2-12-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday February 13 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 2-12-08 DJIA closed: 12,373.41 +133.40 vs. Prior day: 12,240.01 +57.88
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,365.46 -11.09 vs. Prior day: 12,376.55 -29.19
(DJIA closed .06% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.10% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday February 13 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 47%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 19%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Falling 60.7% / 65.4% / 66.6% / 66.0%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 16 vs. Down 15 (-1 vs +1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 52% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Tuesday, 2-12-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 29% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.23 vs Yesterday 1.50 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -938 vs Yesterday -1049 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-938 -64.7% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,376 / Intermediate Term 12,587 / Breakout 12,798
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,365 / Intermediate Term 12,148 / Breakdown 11,932

Market Comment:
DJIA closed .06% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.10% previously. The Dow Trend reversed and changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Monday, 2-12. However, we do not consider this a true trend change until the Dow Outlook confirms. The DJIA Outlook was unchanged Monday. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher. Wednesdays have recently been weak, and our "Up" probability numbers suggest that perhaps today will be down.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .01% vs Yesterday -.01% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed near its Mean, Neutral yet increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 35% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 45.03% vs Yesterday 44.29% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 45.00% vs Yesterday 41.90% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.05% vs Yesterday -.14% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Unch Today 40% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 34.0% vs Yesterday 32.0% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 39% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -50% vs. Yesterday -58% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 30 vs. Yesterday 51 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 42 vs. Yesterday 32 (High 360 / Low 7)
(Next Day's Advance Market Decisions publishes the stock symbols: "Trading Ideas")

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Wednesday February 13

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 19%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 47%
DJIA Trend: Falling 52% vs. 55% prior day (distribute stocks)
(Trend Change: "Down" from "Up.")
DJIA Momentum: Rising 29% vs. 23% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Unch 40% vs. 40% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 34.0% vs. 32.0% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Wednesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 13 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI
ACC
ACL
AG
AHG
APA
ATK
BDX
BLC
DEO
EWT
GENZ
IDXX
IEV
IGT
IYH
IYZ
LNN
MCD
MKC
NFLX
NYT
PLCM
PNC
QSFT
RSG
TYC
TZIX
VIA
VRTX
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 13 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AEE
AMGN
AMWD
ASFI
BBOX
BCE
BDH
BRKS
BRO
CEPH
CME
DAKT
EPIQ
ESLR
EWI
GAS
GSIC
HRH
HTCH
JASO
JCOM
JRJC
KLAC
LAVA
LPNT
MENT
MRCY
MSFT
MYGN
REXI
RUBO
SAFM
SEIC
SIE
SNDK
STRA
SWH
VMSI
VSH
WB
WSFS
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday February 12 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/12/08
Last Updated: 02/11/08
02/11/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 121.69
(High) 122.59
(Low) 120.76
(Close) 122.32
(Range) 1.83

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.76
Today's Predicted High: 123.25
Today's Predicted Low: 121.39
Today's Proposed Range: 1.86
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.10% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.80% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" Monday, 2-11. However, we do not consider this a true trend change until the Dow Outlook confirms. The DJIA Outlook moved lower Monday. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower. Tuesdays have recently been weak, and our "Up" probability numbers suggest that perhaps today will conform to a down day.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.92 / Intermediate 126.57 / Breakout 129.23
DIA Support: Mean 123.66 / Intermediate 120.88 / Breakdown 118.10
DIA Closed: -1.01% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.75% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Up from 38
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.87 Down
Current Trend: Negative -28 Down from -27
Demand Factor: 56 Up from 49
Stock Volatility: 1.77 Down from 1.98

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/11/08 12:45 Close: 122.26
Upside Potential: 124.41
Downside Potential: 120.69

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.18
2. 124.12
3. 124.77
4. 125.04

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 120.14
2. 119.87
3. 119.26
4. 118.34

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.94
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.66
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.37
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.79
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.89
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.32
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.04
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.39

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 29%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Falling 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7% / 56.8%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Negative -28 Down from -27
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Up/Close Down
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 2-11-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 53%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 55% vs. 52% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Monday 2-11-08
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday February 12 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 2-11-08 DJIA closed: 12,240.01 +57.88 vs. Prior day: 12,182.13 -64.87
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,376.55 -29.19 vs. Prior day: 12,405.74 -26.34
(DJIA closed -1.10% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.80% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday February 12 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 53%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 29%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Falling 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7% / 56.8%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 17 vs. Down 14 (+1 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 55% vs Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Monday, 2-11-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 23% vs Yesterday 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.50 vs Yesterday 0.83 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1049 vs Yesterday -776 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-1049 -72.3% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,404 / Intermediate Term 12,606 / Breakout 12,809
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,376 / Intermediate Term 12,159 / Breakdown 11,943

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.10% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.80% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" Monday, 2-11. However, we do not consider this a true trend change until the Dow Outlook confirms. The DJIA Outlook moved lower Monday. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower. Tuesdays have recently been weak, and our "Up" probability numbers suggest that perhaps today will conform to a down day.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.01% vs Yesterday .01% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed near its Mean, Neutral yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Today 23% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 44.29% vs Yesterday 39.10% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 41.90% vs Yesterday 39.61% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.12% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 40% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 32.0% vs Yesterday 27.5% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -39% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 33% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -58% vs. Yesterday -61% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 51 vs. Yesterday 25 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 32 vs. Yesterday 39 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, February 11, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Tuesday February 12

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/



Nightly Analysis Update



DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 29%

DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 53%

DJIA Trend: Rising 55% vs. 52% prior day (accumulate)

DJIA Momentum: Rising 23% vs. 16% prior day

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 40% vs. 41% prior day

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 32.0% vs. 25.7% prior day



Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday

Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 12 2008

Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

ACI OFV: 53.21 (2.22) 99+

ACL OFV: 147.07 (4.19) 78+

AHG OFV: 22.57 (0.85) 62-

ALO OFV: 24.72 (1.51) 96+

APA OFV: 101.91 (2.66) 77+

APC OFV: 57.64 (2.31) 54+

ARA OFV: 71.04 (2.92) 68+

ATK OFV: 104.74 (3.15) 63+

BLC OFV: 13.19 (0.56) 43-

CEF OFV: 12.61 (0.26) 93+

CENX OFV:

CHK

CHTT

CREE

DB

DBC

DEO

EWT

FCX

GENZ

GPS

GYMB

HAL

HP

IBN

IDXX

IGE

IGT

IYE

MCD

MTL

NBR

NFLX

NSC

NUE

NYT

OXY

PAA

QSFT

R

RRC

SIAL

TYC

TZIX

UAUA

URBN

USO

VIA

WDC

WMS

XEC

*OFV: Opening Fair Value



Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday

Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 12 2008

Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

AEE

AIG

ALFA

BBOX

BRO

CUTR

CYPB

DAKT

ED

ENZ

ESLR

ETM

EXAR

GAS

HIG

HLTH

HRH

HTCH

JRJC

LAVA

LPNT

MENT

MSFT

MYGN

NEWP

REXI

SAFM

SEIC

STRA

VSH

WSFS

*Opening Fair ValueGood luck and good trading!



*MONDAY'S RESULTS*

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas

$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24

Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54

Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21

Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54

Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61

Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82

Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22

Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30

Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71


Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."


Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs mentioned above and owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA Short PG


Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday February 11 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/11/08
Last Updated: 02/08/08
02/08/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.18
(High) 122.88
(Low) 121.08
(Close) 121.75
(Range) 1.80

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.98
Today's Predicted High: 122.61
Today's Predicted Low: 120.90
Today's Proposed Range: 1.71
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.80% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.49% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has moved lower. The DJIA Outlook moved lower, also. Monday's have recently been weak, but could prove differently today as the U.S. Stock Market may attempt to stabilize.

DIA Resistance: Mean 124.17 / Intermediate 126.83 / Breakout 129.50
DIA Support: Mean 123.92/ Intermediate 121.13 / Breakdown 118.35
DIA Closed: -1.75% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.28% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 38 Down from 41
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.90/0.93 Down
Current Trend: Negative -27 Down from -16
Demand Factor: 49 Down from 51
Stock Volatility: 1.98 Up from 1.56

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/08/08 12:45 Close: 121.98
Upside Potential: 123.32
Downside Potential: 119.90

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.50
2. 124.19
3. 124.62
4. 125.34

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 120.42
2. 119.74
3. 119.32
4. 118.66

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.12
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.92
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.75
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.15
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.10
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.54
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.14
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.43

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Monday: 74%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Falling 47.9% / 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Negative -27 Down from -16
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Down
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Friday 2-8-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday: 67%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 52% vs. 55% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday 2-5-08
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

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Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short PG

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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Monday February 11 2008

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Friday 2-8-08 DJIA closed: 12,182.13 +64.87 vs. Prior day: 12,247.00 +46.90
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,405.74 -26.34 vs. Prior day: 12,432.08 -16.29
(DJIA closed -1.80% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.49% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday February 11 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 67%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 74%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Falling 47.9% / 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 16 vs. Down 15 (-0 vs -4 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 52% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Tuesday, 2-5-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 16% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.83 vs Yesterday 0.91 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -776 vs Yesterday -496 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-776 -53.5% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,432 / Intermediate Term 12,635 / Breakout 12,839
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,405 / Intermediate Term 12,188 / Breakdown 11,971

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.80% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.49% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has moved lower. The DJIA Outlook moved lower, also. Monday's have recently been weak, but could prove differently today as the U.S. Stock Market may attempt to stabilize.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .04% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 23% vs Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 39.10% vs Yesterday 40.42% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 39.61% vs Yesterday 41.00% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.12% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 41% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 27.5% vs Yesterday 29.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -38% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 35% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -61% vs. Yesterday -50% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -30% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 25 vs. Yesterday 31 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 39 vs. Yesterday 33 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 2-11-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 74%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 67%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (2-11 through 2-15)
Information provided by:
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 48 Falling 47.9% / 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9%

Tuesdays: Past 50 Falling 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7% / 56.8%

Wednesdays: Past 51 Falling 60.7% / 65.4% / 66.6% / 66.0%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 52 Rising 55.7% / 54.5% / 53.7% / 52.8%

Fridays: Past 52 Falling 57.6% / 58.1% / 57.4% / 58.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 253 Days Falling 55.3% / 57.1% / 56.7% / 56.8%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA BUY 69+ 1.10 73U 0.18+
AIG S/SELL 0/ 1.81 12D -0.36+
AXP S/SELL 37+ 1.38 38D -0.18+
BA SELL 24- 1.68 32D 0.04+
C S/SELL 18- 1.26 33D -0.09+
CAT SELL- 15- 1.84 52D -0.09+
DD BUY+ 15+ 1.09 53U 0.01+
DIA S/SELL 49- 1.71 38D -0.27+
DIS S/BUY 84+ 0.66 82U 0.16+
GE S/SELL- 16- 1.04 27D -0.18+
GM SELL 38- 1.31 44D 0.35+
HD SELL- 38- 1.26 41D 0.28+
HON BUY 35- 1.32 64D 0.04+
HPQ SELL 14+ 0.99 18U -0.18+
IBM SELL 32+ 3.15 44U 0.22+
INTC S/SELL 31+ 0.65 34U -0.21+
JNJ S/SELL 27- 1.00 17D -0.40+
JPM S/BUY 62- 1.83 53D 0.21+
KO S/SELL 41- 1.21 36U -0.39+
MCD BUY- 100/ 1.38 64U 0.06/
MMM SELL 42+ 1.19 51D -0.05+
MO S/SELL 30- 1.67 30D -0.39+
MRK S/SELL- 81- 1.67 21D -0.66+
MSFT SELL 0/ 1.55 5U -0.58+
PFE S/SELL 29- 0.51 29D -0.08+
PG SELL 2- 1.14 19D -0.57+
T S/SELL 38- 0.89 37D -0.07+
UTX S/SELL- 28- 1.09 46D -0.05+
VZ SELL 72- 1.07 27D -0.28+
WMT S/BUY 69- 1.27 73D 0.18+
XOM SELL 76+ 2.18 35D -0.44+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top 27 Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 2-11-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
1. ACL OFV: 149.81 (4.48) 76/
2. ALO OFV: 24.26 (1.20) 95+
3. APA OFV: 99.59 (2.69) 68+
4. ARA OFV: 68.60 (3.16) 61+
5. ATK OFV: 103.73 (2.82) 59+
6. BLC OFV: 16.07 (0.41) 60+
7. CBST OFV: 18.29 (0.98) 44+
8. CEF OFV: 12.48 (0.40) 87+
9. CHK OFV: 37.91 (0.82) 67+
10. CREE OFV: 31.58 (1.83) 91+
11. CVC OFV: 24.94 (1.08) 65-
12. DBC OFV: 33.00 (0.53) 88+
13. GENZ OFV: 75.71 (2.00) 60+
14. HP OFV: 40.73 (1.67) 87+
15. MCD OFV: 55.52 (1.38) 64+
16. MTL OFV: 97.95 (4.31) 91+
17. NFLX OFV: 26.55 (0.95) 88+
18. NSC OFV: 54.07 (1.79) 88+
19. NUE OFV: 58.61 (1.96) 84+
20. NYT OFV: 16.50 (0.71) 67+
21. PAA OFV: 50.23 (0.90) 59+
22. PDX OFV: 67.29 (1.34) 79+
23. RRC OFV: 56.46 (2.01) 95+
24. SIAL OFV: 49.76 (1.03) 58+
25. TZIX OFV: 19.40 (0.87) 87+
26. USO OFV: 71.80 (1.63) 46+
27. XEC OFV: 42.91 (0.93) 82+
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top 38 Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 2-11-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
1. ADTN OFV: 19.44 (0.58) 16-
2. AEE OFV: 44.35 (1.18) 15-
3. AIG OFV: 50.79 (1.81) 12-
4. AMGN OFV: 46.63 (0.90) 33-
5. ATMI OFV: 27.36 (0.91) 29+
6. BBOX OFV: 31.29 (1.51) 36/
7. BHI OFV: 64.13 (2.19) 3-
8. BRKS OFV: 11.44 (0.62) 31-
9. CCE OFV: 23.35 (0.42) 19-
10. CEPH OFV: 60.23 (1.10) 3/
11. CME OFV: 523.53 (22.58) 16-
12. CPB OFV: 31.34 (0.58) 16-
13. CRXL OFV: 13.63 (0.36) 11/
14. ED OFV: 43.53 (0.84) 13-
15. ENZ OFV: 9.73 (0.56) 28-
16. FO OFV: 65.23 (1.35) 17-
17. FPIC OFV: 39.95 (2.23) 20-
18. GAS OFV: 39.16 (1.06) 21-
19. GSIC OFV: 16.38 (0.88) 25-
20. IKN OFV: 8.03 (0.42) 2/
21. JASO OFV: 16.15 (4.60) 10-
22. JCOM OFV: 20.20 (0.70) 27-
23. JRJC OFV: 15.45 (1.69) 41-
24. LAVA OFV: 10.45 (1.06) 2-
25. LPNT OFV: 25.65 (0.61) 12-
26. MATR OFV: 29.04 (1.35) 49-
27. MENT OFV: 7.78 (0.39) 3-
28. MSFT OFV: 28.60 (1.55) 5+
29. NEWP OFV: 10.12 (0.28) -1-
30. PCG OFV: 39.77 (1.01) -9-
31. PG OFV: 65.30 (1.14) 19-
32. SCSS OFV: 4.91 (0.53) -5- (<5.00 to be deleted)
33. SO OFV: 35.81 (0.95) 9-
34. STRA OFV: 164.13 (3.93) -20-
35. SWH OFV: 38.42 (0.66) -32-
36. TRC OFV: 36.26 (1.53) -16-
37. VSH OFV: 9.69 (0.41) -17-
38. WSFS OFV: 49.58 (1.11) -40-
OFV: Opening Fair Value
Note:
IYT is starting to look vulnerable and could be quite negative for the Stock Market.

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, February 09, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending February 8, 2008

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 27.5% vs Last week: 45.7% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 41% vs Last week: 39% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 12,182.13 vs Last week: 12,743.19 -561.06 / Prior week: +536.02
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,404.74 vs Last week: 12,523.80 -119.06 / Prior week: -184.99
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -776 vs Last week -215 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08)
DJIA Trend: Falling 52% vs Last week: 68% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 16% vs Last week: 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.83% vs Last week: 1.05% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,636 vs Last week 12,750 -114 / Prior week: -213
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,839 vs Last week 12,962
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,188 vs Last week: 12,304 -116 / Prior week: -182
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,971 vs Last week: 12,084
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -26.34 vs Last week: -14.32 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling +27 vs Last week: +101 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -182 vs Last week: -175 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Unch -1.8% vs Last week: -1.8% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): SELL / Last week: BUY
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling -82 vs Last week: 134 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 50 vs Last week: 65 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 52 vs Last week: 53 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Falling 0.9 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling .01% vs Last week: .04% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 23% vs Last week: 58% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 39.10% vs Last week: 59.29 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 39.61% vs Last week: 54.81% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Falling -.12 vs Last week: -.03 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 112 vs Last week: 113 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Falling -.458 vs Last week: .007 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 3.54% vs Last week: 3.82% (5.27 / Low 3.82%)***************************************************************************************************************** 108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.27 vs Last week: -.14 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 49-
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.38 vs Last week: -.26 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 38-
SPDR- S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.06 vs Last week: -.27 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.04 vs Last week: -.09 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 68-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.18 vs Last week: -.17 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45-
1. Biotech
BBH: -.36 vs Last week: +.14 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.11 vs Last week: -.02 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.20 vs Last week: +.13 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -4.20 vs Last week: -2.99 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.38 vs Last week: +.14 (High .61 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.28 vs Last week: -.14 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: +.39 vs Last week: +.44 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 29+
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.20 vs Last week: +.28 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.16 vs Last week: -.02 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 30+
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.29 vs Last week: -.21 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 59-
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.75 vs Last week: -.28 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.32 vs Last week: -.09 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.71 vs Last week: -.27 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 49-
14. Australia
EWA: -.02 vs Last week: +.10 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
15. Canada
EWC: +.15 vs Last week: +.13 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
16. Sweden
EWD: -.26 vs Last week: +.17 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 56-
17. Germany
EWG: -.23 vs Last week: -.11 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63-
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.20 vs Last week: -.12 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32-
19. Italy
EWI: -.59 vs Last week: -.11 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1-
20. Japan
EWJ: +.17 vs Last week: +.25 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76-
21. Belgium
EWK: -.24 vs Last week: -.03 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 62-
22. Switzerland
EWL: -.19 vs Last week: +.19 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 13-
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.24 vs Last week: +.28 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
24. Netherlands
EWN: -.20 vs Last week: +.15 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 36-
25. Austria
EWO: -.11 vs Last week: +.04 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 91-
26. Spain
EWP: -.32 vs Last week: -.05 (High .75 / Low -.63*) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 72-
27. France
EWQ: -.02 vs Last week: -.00 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65-
28. Singapore
EWS: -.12 vs Last week: -.08 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12-
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.08 vs Last week: +.13 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 95-
30. United Kingdom
EWU: -.10 vs Last week: +.12 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
31. Mexico
EWW: +.17 vs Last week: +.31 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
32. South Korea
EWY: -.25 vs Last week: -.13 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53-
33. Brazil
EWZ: -.22 vs Last week: -.07 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -1.56 vs Last week: -.69 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91-
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: +1.30 vs Last week: +.38 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 24+
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.23 vs Last week: +.22 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
36. Internet
HHH: +.01 vs Last week: -.10 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 22-
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.52 vs Last week: -.70 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3-
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.15 vs Last week: +.52 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 68-
39. Comex Gold
IAU: +.34 vs Last week: +.39 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.25 vs Last week: -.06 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25-
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -1.76 vs Last week: -2.48 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 45-
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.27 vs Last week: +.34 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 59-
43. Utilities
IDU: -.61 vs Last week: -.27 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11-
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.51 vs Last week: -.24 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76
45. Natural Resources
IGE: -.29 vs Last week: -.45 (High .93 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 96-
46. Networking
IGN: -.03 vs Last week: -.17 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
47. Software
IGV: -.13 vs Last week: -.18 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15-
48. Semiconductor
IGW: +.03 vs Last week: -.13 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.34 vs Last week: -.22 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79-
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.21 vs Last week: +.22 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 21-
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.06 vs Last week: +.02 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64-
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.02 vs Last week: -.09 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 40-
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.09 vs Last week: -.11 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.34 vs Last week: +.15 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90-
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.38 vs Last week: +.01 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 8-
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.29 vs Last week: -.19 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4-
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: -.27 vs Last week: +.11 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.16 vs Last week: -.04 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.04 vs Last week: +.07 (High .78 / Low -.70*) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 51-
60. Energy
IYE: -.49 vs Last week: -.61 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
61. Financial Services
IYG: +.27 vs Last week: +.36 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 51-
62. Healthcare
IYH: -.17 vs Last week: +.10 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97-
63. Industrial
IYJ: -.18 vs Last week: -.09 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 9-
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.26 vs Last week: -.37 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 36+
65. Basic Materials
IYM: +.05 vs Last week: +.07 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 50-
66. Real Estate
IYR: +.24 vs Last week: +.27 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
67. Transportation
IYT: +.35 vs Last week: +.39 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 0-
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.13 vs Last week: -.30 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39-
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.23 vs Last week: -.10 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 44-
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 93-
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: -.01 vs Last week: +.10 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 15+
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.60 vs Last week: -.12 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -.20 vs Last week: +.02 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 67-
74. Oil Services
OIH: -1.18 vs Last week: -1.47 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.19 vs Last week: -.35 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24-
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.53 vs Last week: -.21 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16-
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: +.04 vs Last week: +.07 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79-
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.38 vs Last week: +.32 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 30+
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.74 vs Last week: -.85 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39-
80. Regional Banks
RKH: +.40 vs Last week: +.72 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 70-
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.32 vs Last week: -.21 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12-
82. Retail
RTH: +.18 vs Last week: +.36 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 53-
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.19 vs Last week: +.24 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79-
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.28 vs Last week: +.20 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57+
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.26 vs Last week: -.24 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6+
86. Silver Trust
SLV: +.81 vs Last week: +.72 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 59+
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.07 vs Last week: -.12 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: -1.05 vs Last week: -.89 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16+
89. Software
SWH: -.19 vs Last week: -.02 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.13 vs Last week: -.00 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 51-
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.16 vs Last week: -.13 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39-
92. Utilities
UTH: -.73 vs Last week: -.17 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74-
93. Wireless
WMH: -.26 vs Last week: -.16 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13-
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: +.15 vs Last week: +.35 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 7-
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.08 vs Last week: +.01 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 53+
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.30 vs Last week: -.45 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65-
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.03 vs Last week: +.11 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 40-
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.11 vs Last week: -.12 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 14-
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.05 vs Last week: -.07 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33-
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.18 vs Last week: -.10 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22-
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.14 vs Last week: +.07 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86-
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.28 vs Last week: +.25 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 77-
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.33 vs Last week: -.02 (High .92 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 35/Sell 73(32%) vs. Last week: Buy 64/Sell 44(59%) vs. Prior week: Buy 36/Sell 72(33%)

DJIA Close Past 5 Weeks: -561.06 / +536.02 / -107.87 / -507.00 / -193.88

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft Investment Software
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

As Advertised on:
TraderDaily.com, Institutional Investor Magazine and TigerSoft.com

A daily Internet video webcast called MktMetrics Morning appears late morning on YouTube and Yahoo Video, that can be searched under: "MktMetrics"

www.galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog
The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day are handpicked suggestions to make money
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating part sample of the program

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com to see what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,507 since April 2005

Friday, February 08, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday February 8 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA current information)

Details for DIA (Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund))

Today's Date: 02/08/08
Last Updated: 02/07/08
02/07/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 121.83
(High) 123.39
(Low) 121.25
(Close) 122.62
(Range) 2.14

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.30
Today's Predicted High: 123.84
Today's Predicted Low: 121.41
Today's Proposed Range: 2.43
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell (down from sell)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.49% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.99% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved up yesterday, but the DJIA Outlook moved lower. Fridays have recently moved higher in the morning, but closed lower on the day. Stock Market needs a catalyst to move "Up."

DIA Resistance: Mean 124.32 / Intermediate 127.03 / Breakout 129.75
DIA Support: Mean 124.16 / Intermediate 121.37 / Breakdown 118.58
DIA Closed: -1.28% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.69% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 41 Down from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.20/1.00 Up
Current Trend: Negative -16 Up from -32
Demand Factor: 51 Up from 45
Stock Volatility: 1.56 Up from 0.11

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/07/08 12:45 Close: 122.50
Upside Potential: 125.20
Downside Potential: 120.34

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.68
2. 124.27
3. 125.07
4. 125.86

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 120.92
2. 120.17
3. 119.39
4. 118.83

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.45
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.16
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.20
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.49
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.25
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.75
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.23
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.48

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Friday: 32%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Rising 58.1% / 57.4% / 58.4% / 59.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -16 Up from -32
DIA MACD: Unch Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 1-29-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday: 54%
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 55% vs. 55% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday 2-5-08
DJIA MACD: Unch Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Friday February 8 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 2-7-08 DJIA closed: 12,247.00 +46.90 vs. Prior day: 12,200.10 -65.03
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,432.08 -16.29 vs. Prior day: 12,448.37 -29.88
(DJIA closed -1.49% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.99% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday February 8 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 54%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 32%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Rising 58.1% / 57.4% / 58.4% / 59.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Unch Today Up 17 vs. Down 14 (-0 vs -4 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 55% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Tuesday, 2-5-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Unch Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 23% vs Yesterday 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.91 vs Yesterday -0.01 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -496 vs Yesterday -781 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-496 -34.2% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,448 / Intermediate Term 12,657 / Breakout 12,867
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,432 / Intermediate Term 12,214 / Breakdown 11,997

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.49% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.99% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved up yesterday, but the DJIA Outlook moved lower. Fridays have recently moved higher in the morning, but closed lower on the day. Stock Market needs a catalyst to move "Up."

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .00% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Today 26% vs Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 40.42% vs Yesterday 36.55% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 41.00% vs Yesterday 42.03% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.05% vs Yesterday -.14% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 42% vs. Yesterday 44% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 29.3% vs Yesterday 22.8% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 48% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -50% vs. Yesterday -56% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -37% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 0% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 48% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 31 vs. Yesterday 11 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 33 vs. Yesterday 78 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Friday February 8

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Friday: 32%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 54%
DJIA Trend: Unch 55% vs. 55% prior day (hold-off)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 23% vs. 16% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 42% vs. 44% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 29.3% vs. 22.8% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Friday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 8 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI OFV: 31.94 (0.77) 60+
ABT OFV: 57.76 (2.22) 74+
ACL OFV: 149.05 (4.19) 76+
ACS OFV: 49.65 (2.22) 88+
AGN OFV: 66.70 (2.72) 76+
ALO OFV: 23.75 (1.37) 93-
ARA OFV: 67.47 (3.52) 60-
CBST OFV: 18.15 (1.01) 39+
CREE OFV: 30.52 (1.59) 89+
CTV OFV: 44.57 (1.55) 78+
CVC OFV: 24.82 (1.01) 66+
DBC OFV: 32.20 (0.64) 81+
IDXX OFV: 55.49 (1.72) 47+
IGT OFV: 43.02 (1.66) 89+
LNC OFV: 52.17 (2.17) 51-
MCD OFV: 54.08 (1.99) 55+
MPS OFV: 10.41 (0.51) 70+
NFLX OFV: 26.24 (1.72) 84+
NLY OFV: 20.78 (0.48) 90+
OHI OFV: 16.43 (0.84) 58+
PDX OFV: 66.04 (1.95) 77+
PNC OFV: 63.93 (3.07) 74+
PPS OFV: 43.50 (1.58) 97+
QSFT OFV: 14.16 (0.52) 28+
R OFV: 58.53 (3.60) 93+
RRC OFV: 54.37 (2.46) 91+
SAFT OFV: 39.23 (1.82) 83+
USNA OFV: 39.09 (2.55) 47-
WMS OFV: 37.98 (1.76) 89+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Friday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 8 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ADTN OFV: 19.41 (0.67) 18-
AIG OFV: 51.70 (1.99) 17-
BBOX OFV: 31.53 (1.71) 36-
BCE OFV: 34.49 (1.25) 14-
BRKS OFV: 12.04 (0.74) 44-
CEPH OFV: 63.46 (1.46) 3/
CME OFV: 526.45 (25.63) 22-
CRXL OFV: 13.62 (0.49) 11-
CUTR OFV: 12.25 (0.64) 4/
ED OFV: 43.77 (1.05) 15-
EPIQ OFV: 12.87 (0.63) 1/
FPIC OFV: 40.59 (2.33) 30-
HTCH OFV: 15.80 (0.83) 6-
IKN OFV: 8.14 (0.40) 2-
JRJC OFV: 15.47 (1.80) 42-
KR OFV: 25.34 (0.80) 18-
LAVA OFV: 10.51 (1.19) 4-
LPNT OFV: 27.29 (0.55) 19-
MMS OFV: 36.25 (1.55) 26-
MSFT OFV: 28.32 (1.54) 2/
NEM OFV: 50.15 (2.52) 24-
NEWP OFV: 10.19 (0.50) 2-
PCG OFV: 39.99 (0.91) 13-
POWI OFV: 27.07 (0.64) 28-
PPG OFV: 64.37 (2.28) 35-
SCSS OFV: 5.43 (0.63) 14-
SMTL OFV: 7.66 (0.52) 19-
SUG OFV: 26.70 (0.70) 20-
SWH OFV: 38.19 (0.77) 30-
TDS OFV: 50.64 (1.81) 3-
TRC OFV: 36.15 (1.68) 21-
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*THURSDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$8,767.28
Account Value $1,001,639.92 1-30-08 Change +$16,413.81
Account Value $985,226.11 1-29-08 Change -$1,111.00
Account Value $986,337.11 1-28-08 Change +$10,532.37
Account Value $975,804.74 1-25-08 Change +$23,978.06
Account Value $951,826.68 1-24-08 Change -$3,697.40
Account Value $955,524.08 1-23-08 Change +$24,434.46
Account Value $931,089.62 1-22-08 Change -$21,701.25
Account Value $952,800.76 1-18-08 Change -$20,501.71
Account Value $973,302.47 1-17-08 Change +$1,211.51
Account Value $972,090.96 1-16-08 Change +$5,123.27
Account Value $966,967.69 1-15-08 Change +$14,410.85
Account Value $952,556.84 1-14-08 Change +$5,921.03
Account Value $946,635.81 1-11-08 Change +1,145.00
Account Value $945,490.81 1-10-08 Change +21,553.71
Account Value $923,937.10 1-9-08 Change +$16,771.58
Account Value $907,165.52 1-8-08 Change -$32,010.00
Account Value $939,175.52 1-7-08 Change -$1,300.00
Account Value $940,475.52 1-4-08 Change -$37,280.00
Account Value $977,755.52 1-3-08 Change +$1,990.15
Account Value $975,765.37 01-02-08 Change -$14,488.92
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs mentioned above and owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI
Short DIA
Short PG

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday February 7 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA as a current example)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/07/08
Last Updated: 02/06/08
02/06/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.40
(High) 123.92
(Low) 121.81
(Close) 122.21
(Range) 2.11

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.85
Today's Predicted High: 123.77
Today's Predicted Low: 120.66
Today's Proposed Range: 3.11
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (down from buy)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.99% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.71% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is loosing ground again, as is the DJIA Outlook. Thursday, has a possibility to do better in the afternoon. Whatever happens, the stock market remains fragile with plenty of overhead supply.

DIA Resistance: Mean 124.59 / Intermediate 127.25 / Breakout 129.91
DIA Support: Mean 124.32 / Intermediate 121.52 / Breakdown 118.72
DIA Closed: -1.69% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.44% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Down from 51
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.80/1.03 Down
Current Trend: Negative -32 Down from -29
Demand Factor: 45 Down from 51
Stock Volatility: 0.11 Down from 0.80

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/06/08 12:45 Close: 123.23
Upside Potential: 124.77
Downside Potential: 118.55

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.25
2. 124.65
3. 125.87
4. 126.40

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 121.44
2. 120.93
3. 119.77
4. 119.37

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.56
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.32
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.62
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.81
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.35
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.95
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.32
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.51

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 74%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 54.5% / 53.7% / 52.8% / 53.8%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Negative -32 Down from -29
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 1-29-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 45%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 55% vs. 68% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday 2-5-08
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short CYMI
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday February 7 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 2-6-08 DJIA closed: 12,200.10 -65.03 vs. Prior day: 12,265.13 -370.03
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,448.37 -29.88 vs. Prior day: 12,478.25 -25.48
(DJIA closed -1.99% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.71% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday February 7 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 45%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 74%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 54.5% / 53.7% / 52.8% / 53.8%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 17 vs. Down 14 (-4 vs -2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 55% vs Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Tuesday, 2-5-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 16% vs Yesterday 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -0.01 vs Yesterday 0.69 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -781 vs Yesterday -534 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-781 -53.9% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,478 / Intermediate Term 12,681 / Breakout 12,884
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,448 / Intermediate Term 12,230 / Breakdown 12,012

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.99% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.71% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is loosing ground again, as is the DJIA Outlook. Thursday, has a possibility to do better in the afternoon. Whatever happens, the stock market remains fragile with plenty of overhead supply.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.00% vs Yesterday .03% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 26% vs Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 36.55% vs Yesterday 43.48% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 42.03% vs Yesterday 47.84% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.10% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 44% vs. Yesterday 47% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing. (alert: Changed direction to down)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 22.8% vs Yesterday 29.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -32% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -46% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -29% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 24% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -56% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -53% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 0% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 22% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 11 vs. Yesterday 22 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 78 vs. Yesterday 34 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Thursday February 7

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 74%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 45%
DJIA Trend: Falling 55% vs. 68% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Momentum: Unch 16% vs. 16% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 44% vs. 47% prior day (alert: Outlook Change)
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 22.8% vs. 29.3% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thursday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 7 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI OFV: 31.93 (0.92) 58+
AHG OFV: 23.03 (0.83) 73+
ALO OFV: 24.13 (1.18) 98+
CBST OFV: 18.02 (0.93) 35+
MKC OFV: 33.85 (0.87) 40+
R OFV: 58.06 (3.17) 92+
SAFT OFV: 39.16 (1.76) 81+
TYC OFV: 40.80 (1.19) 88+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Thursday's BEST MOMENTUM DOW STOCKS
Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range) (/Price Internal Strength)
The DJIA Trend turned "Down" from "Up" on Tuesday 2-5-08.
No Dow mometum stocks to suggest until the trend changes back "Up.".
*(OFV) Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 7 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range)
Too many to provide full analysis tonight. Subcribe and see it all!
ABX OFV:
ADVS OFV:
AIG OFV:
ALFA OFV:
AMGN OFV:
ATMI OFV:
BBOX OFV:
BEBE OFV:
BHI OFV:
BRCM OFV:
CCE OFV:
CEPH OFV:
CERN OFV:
CME OFV:
CRXL OFV:
CSCO OFV:
CUTR OFV:
CYPB OFV:
DAKT OFV:
DIOD OFV:
DRIV OFV:
DWSN OFV:
EPIQ OFV:
ESLR OFV:
EWI OFV:
EXBD OFV:
FFIV OFV:
FO OFV:
FOSL OFV:
FPIC OFV:
GSIC OFV:
HGSI OFV:
HLTH OFV:
HPC OFV:
HTCH OFV:
IKN OFV:
ITA OFV:
ITRI OFV: -
IVAC OFV:
IYT OFV:
JASO
JNPR
KLAC
KR
LRCX
MATK
MCHX
MMS
MMSI
MSFT
MYGN
NEM
NEWP
NSM
NTAP
OI
ONXX
PCAR
PCG
PDCO
PLXS
POWI
PPG
REXI
RGLD
RMBS
RNOW
RSTI
SMTL
SNDK
SRDX
SUG
TRC
TSO
VSH
WB
WSFS
ZOLT
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*WEDNESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$8,767.28
Account Value $1,001,639.92 1-30-08 Change +$16,413.81
Account Value $985,226.11 1-29-08 Change -$1,111.00
Account Value $986,337.11 1-28-08 Change +$10,532.37
Account Value $975,804.74 1-25-08 Change +$23,978.06
Account Value $951,826.68 1-24-08 Change -$3,697.40
Account Value $955,524.08 1-23-08 Change +$24,434.46
Account Value $931,089.62 1-22-08 Change -$21,701.25
Account Value $952,800.76 1-18-08 Change -$20,501.71
Account Value $973,302.47 1-17-08 Change +$1,211.51
Account Value $972,090.96 1-16-08 Change +$5,123.27
Account Value $966,967.69 1-15-08 Change +$14,410.85
Account Value $952,556.84 1-14-08 Change +$5,921.03
Account Value $946,635.81 1-11-08 Change +1,145.00
Account Value $945,490.81 1-10-08 Change +21,553.71
Account Value $923,937.10 1-9-08 Change +$16,771.58
Account Value $907,165.52 1-8-08 Change -$32,010.00
Account Value $939,175.52 1-7-08 Change -$1,300.00
Account Value $940,475.52 1-4-08 Change -$37,280.00
Account Value $977,755.52 1-3-08 Change +$1,990.15
Account Value $975,765.37 01-02-08 Change -$14,488.92
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs mentioned above and owned at time of writing by its author-
Short PG
Short CYMI

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Wednesday February 6 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/06/08
Last Updated: 02/05/08
02/05/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.65
(High) 124.88
(Low) 122.56
(Close) 122.79
(Range) 2.32

DIA Wednesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 123.72
Today's Predicted High: 124.33
Today's Predicted Low: 121.25
Today's Proposed Range: 3.08
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.71% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.05% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is loosing ground again. The DJIA Outlook moved higher and is at a recovery high of 49%. Wednesday, the stock market may regain its footing and could improve as the day progresses. Investors should not rush to get back into the Market until there is a clear signal to do so.

DIA Resistance: Mean 124.84 / Intermediate 127.51 / Breakout 130.19
DIA Support: Mean 124.59 / Intermediate 121.78 / Breakdown 118.98
DIA Closed: -1.44% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. +1.03% prior day

DIA Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 51 Down from 58
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.90/1.05 Down
Current Trend: Negative -29 Down from -24
Demand Factor: 51 Down from 61
Stock Volatility: 0.80 Up from -1.57

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/05/08 12:45 Close: 123.61
Upside Potential: 125.29
Downside Potential: 119.13

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 125.01
2. 125.25
3. 127.14
4. 127.38

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 122.38
2. 122.16
3. 120.33
4. 120.11

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.54
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.59
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.02
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.10
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.49
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 130.16
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.41
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.54

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Wednesday: 100%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Falling 65.4% / 66.6% / 66.0% / 67.3%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
DIA Trend: Falling Today Negative -29 Down from -24
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 1-29-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Wednesday: 47%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 68% vs. 74% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday 2-5-08
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Short MRK
Short PG

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday February 6 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 2-5-08 DJIA closed: 12,265.13 -108.03 vs. Prior day: 12,635.16 -108.03
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,478.25 -25.48 vs. Prior day: 12,503.73 -20.07
(DJIA closed -1.71% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.05% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday February 6 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 47%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 100%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Falling 65.4% / 66.6% / 66.0% / 67.3%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 21 vs. Down 10 (-2 vs +2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 68% vs Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Tuesday, 2-5-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 16% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.69 vs Yesterday 0.01 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -534 vs Yesterday -375 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-534 -36.8% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,503 / Intermediate Term 12,709 / Breakout 12,915
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,478 / Intermediate Term 12,259 / Breakdown 12,041

Market Comment:
DJIA closed -1.71% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.05% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Down" from "Up" Tuesday, 2-5. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is loosing ground again. The DJIA Outlook moved higher and is at a recovery high of 49%. Wednesday, the stock market may regain its footing and could improve as the day progresses. Investors should not rush to get back into the Market until there is a clear signal to do so.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .03% vs Yesterday .04% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 42% vs Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 43.48% vs Yesterday 55.32% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 47.84% vs Yesterday 55.35% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.10% vs Yesterday -.06% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 47% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 29.3% vs Yesterday 40.4% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -29% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -41% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Unch Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 28% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Falling Trend Today -34% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -44% vs. Yesterday -48% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 43% vs. Yesterday 41% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Unch Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 22 vs. Yesterday 72 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 34 vs. Yesterday 13 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Wednesday February 6

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 100%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 47%
DJIA Trend: Falling 68% vs. 74% prior day (alert: "Trend Change")
DJIA Momentum: Falling 16% vs. 39% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 47% vs. 45% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 29.3% vs. 40.4% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Wednesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 6 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI OFV: 31.66 (0.95) 56-
ALO OFV: 22.06 (1.24) 96+
ARA OFV: 70.91 (3.50) 75-
BOBJ OFV: 62.17 (0.29) 93-
CBST OFV: 17.49 (0.73) 32+
CREE OFV: 31.00 (1.52) 86+
CTV OFV: 45.06 (1.95) 78+
DBC OFV: 32.13 (0.47) 79-
EPD OFV: 31.91 (0.88) 77+
FNF OFV: 20.02 (1.51) 96+
MCD OFV: 53.61 (1.94) 54-
NFLX OFV: 25.30 (1.59) 77+
PAA OFV: 50.76 (1.06) 58+
PDX OFV: 66.91 (2.15) 79-
PPS OFV: 43.20 (1.63) 95+
R OFV: 56.82 (2.24) 89-
SAFT OFV: 38.63 (1.65) 78-
TZIX OFV: 19.53 (1.05) 90+
USNA OFV: 45.40 (2.49) 65+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Wednesday's BEST MOMENTUM DOW STOCKS
Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range) (/Price Internal Strength)

The DJIA Trend has turned "Down" from "Up."
No Dow mometum stocks to suggest until the trend changes.

*(OFV) Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 6 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range)
ALFA OFV: 21.77 (0.18) 59-
ATMI OFV: 26.38 (0.91) 16-
BBOX OFV: 31.47 (1.72) 37-
BDH OFV: 13.02 (0.33) 48-
BRCM OFV: 22.25 (0.72) 21-
CUTR OFV: 12.35 (0.96) 4/
CYMI OFV: 26.23 (1.59) 8-
DRIV OFV: 30.46 (2.12) 4-
EPIQ OFV: 14.13 (0.76) 4-
ESLR OFV: 11.10 (0.91) 25-
EWI OFV: 29.37 (0.79) 28-
FPIC OFV: 42.04 (1.89) 41+
HLTH OFV: 10.93 (0.23) 5-
HTCH OFV: 15.97 (1.56) 9+
IKN OFV: 8.28 (0.36) 4-
ITRI OFV: 83.57 (2.76) 27-
MATK OFV: 29.04 (0.86) 22-
MCHX OFV: 7.93 (0.47) 17-
MSFT OFV: 29.43 (0.77) 3-
NEM OFV: 49.93 (2.28) 27-
NEWP OFV: 10.49 (0.48) 7-
PCAR OFV: 42.97 (2.90) 23-
PDCO OFV: 31.85 (0.83) 24-
PG OFV: 65.55 (1.48) 18-
REXI OFV: 12.89 (0.64) 31-
RNOW OFV: 11.03 (1.06) 16+
RSTI OFV: 39.96 (3.18) 42-
SMTL OFV: 8.12 (0.48) 34-
SUG OFV: 26.97 (0.75) 25-
TRC OFV: 36.97 (1.57) 30-
WB OFV: 34.48 (2.59) 41-
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$8,767.28
Account Value $1,001,639.92 1-30-08 Change +$16,413.81
Account Value $985,226.11 1-29-08 Change -$1,111.00
Account Value $986,337.11 1-28-08 Change +$10,532.37
Account Value $975,804.74 1-25-08 Change +$23,978.06
Account Value $951,826.68 1-24-08 Change -$3,697.40
Account Value $955,524.08 1-23-08 Change +$24,434.46
Account Value $931,089.62 1-22-08 Change -$21,701.25
Account Value $952,800.76 1-18-08 Change -$20,501.71
Account Value $973,302.47 1-17-08 Change +$1,211.51
Account Value $972,090.96 1-16-08 Change +$5,123.27
Account Value $966,967.69 1-15-08 Change +$14,410.85
Account Value $952,556.84 1-14-08 Change +$5,921.03
Account Value $946,635.81 1-11-08 Change +1,145.00
Account Value $945,490.81 1-10-08 Change +21,553.71
Account Value $923,937.10 1-9-08 Change +$16,771.58
Account Value $907,165.52 1-8-08 Change -$32,010.00
Account Value $939,175.52 1-7-08 Change -$1,300.00
Account Value $940,475.52 1-4-08 Change -$37,280.00
Account Value $977,755.52 1-3-08 Change +$1,990.15
Account Value $975,765.37 01-02-08 Change -$14,488.92
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs mentioned above and owned at time of writing by its author-
Short PG
Short MRK

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday February 5 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/05/08
Last Updated: 02/04/08
02/04/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 127.10
(High) 127.26
(Low) 126.11
(Close) 126.13
(Range) 1.15

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 126.67
Today's Predicted High: 127.39
Today's Predicted Low: 124.88
Today's Proposed Range: 2.51
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Market Comment:
DJIA closed 1.05% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.75% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" 1-23-08. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has improved, but turned lower yesterday. The DJIA Outlook has been moving higher and is at a recovery high of 45%. Tuesday, the stock market will see follow-through selling in the morning, which could spill over into the afternoon. It is best to let the Stock Market settle again today.

DIA Resistance: Mean 125.07 / Intermediate 127.77 / Breakout 130.47
DIA Support: Mean 124.85 / Intermediate 122.04 / Breakdown 119.23
DIA Closed: 1.03% above its falling 21 day moving average vs. 1.89% prior day.

DIA Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 58 Up from 56
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.70/1.08 Down
Current Trend: Negative -24 Down from -14
Demand Factor: 61 Down from 72
Stock Volatility: -1.57 Down from 0.09

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/04/08 12:45 Close: 126.67
Upside Potential: 128.28
Downside Potential: 123.26

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 128.63
2. 128.65
3. 129.64
4. 129.81

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.71
2. 124.56
3. 123.61
4. 123.59

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.63
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.85
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.35
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.33
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.59
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 130.41
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.49
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.58

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 81%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 56.6% / 55.7% / 56.8% / 57.9%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Negative -24 Down from -14
DIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 1-29-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 67%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs. 68% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday 1-23-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned above at time of writing by author?
Short DIA
Short MRK
Short PG
Short TDS

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday February 5 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 2-4-08 DJIA closed: 12,635.16 -108.03 vs. Prior day: 12,743.19 +92.83
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,503.73 -20.07 vs. Prior day: 12,523.80 -14.32
(DJIA closed 1.05% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.75% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday February 5 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 67%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 81%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 56.6% / 55.7% / 56.8% / 57.9%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 23 vs. Down 8 (+2 vs +1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs Yesterday 68% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 1-23-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.01 vs Yesterday 1.05 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -375 vs Yesterday -215 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-375 -25.9% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,523 / Intermediate Term 12,732 / Breakout 12,941
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,503 / Intermediate Term 12,284 / Breakdown 12,066

Market Comment:
DJIA closed 1.05% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.75% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" 1-23-08. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has improved, but turned lower yesterday. The DJIA Outlook has been moving higher and is at a recovery high of 45%. Tuesday, the stock market will see follow-through selling in the morning, which could spill over into the afternoon. It is best to let the Stock Market settle again today.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unch Today .04% vs Yesterday .04% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 52% vs Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 55.32% vs Yesterday 59.29% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 55.35% vs Yesterday 54.81% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.06% vs Yesterday -.03% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 45% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 40.4% vs Yesterday 45.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -37% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 26% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -48% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today 41% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 36% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 64% / Low -85%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 72 vs. Yesterday 138 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 13 vs. Yesterday 16 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm
Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)

Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, February 04, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas For Tuesday February 5

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA (ETF) Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 81% vs. 26% Monday
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 67% vs. 50% Monday
DJIA Trend: Rising 74% vs. 68% prior day
DJIA Momentum: Rising 39% vs. 32% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 45% vs. 39% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 40.4% vs. 45.7% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 5 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ARE OFV: 99.70 (5.60) 76+
BRKS OFV: 12.89 (0.43) 69+
BSX OFV: 12.73 (0.24) 74+
CVS OFV: 39.64 (1.08) 63+
DCI OFV: 42.94 (1.39) 69+
EMN OFV: 66.70 (1.51) 73+
GGP OFV: 39.45 (1.69) 55+
HIW OFV: 30.82 (1.72) 65+
HRB OFV: 19.76 (0.67) 68-
ITW OFV: 50.85 (1.39) 69+
LZ OFV: 54.44 (1.80) 55+
PBY OFV: 12.09 (0.57) 62+
PHI OFV: 74.82 (2.88) 78/
PRGO OFV: 31.72 (0.92) 51+
QLGC OFV: 14.51 (0.45) 84+
QSII OFV: 31.69 (1.12) 61+
SAFM OFV: 34.68 (2.13) 55+
SEIC OFV: 28.34 (1.26) 62+
SNX OFV: 22.02 (1.09) 74+
STRA OFV: 174.61 (5.74) 56+
SUN OFV: 63.26 (1.77) 55+
TKLC OFV: 11.86 (0.56) 66+
TSM OFV: 9.73 (0.29) 78+
YHOO OFV: 28.89 (1.01) 70+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Tuesday's BEST MOMENTUM DOW STOCKS
Symbol *OFV (Proposed Range) (/Price Internal Strength)
1. C OFV: 29.26 (1.39) 57+
2. DD OFV: 45.97 (1.12) 57+
3. DIS OFV: 30.84 (0.99) 69+
4 HON OFV: 60.31 (1.21) 84+
5. IBM OFV: 107.84 (2.30) 77+
6. JPM OFV: 47.09 (2.74) 78-
7. MMM OFV: 80.99 (2.12) 58+
8. WMT OFV: 50.56 (1.14) 91-
*(OFV) Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for February 5 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range)
AGU OFV: 65.74 (3.70) 64-
APD OFV: 91.69 (2.50) 56/
BIDU OFV: 274.30 (21.35) 37+
BOLT OFV: 19.75 (1.27) 25-
CCU OFV: 31.28 (2.94) 31-
CSCO OFV: 24.35 (0.86) 27-
CVX OFV: 82.09 (2.71) 40-
DIA OFV: 126.67 (2.51) 58+
DGII OFV: 11.83 (0.45) 27-
EPP OFV: 144.73 (3.91) 53-
ESRX OFV: 65.26 (2.59) 37-
EWI OFV: 30.59 (0.74) /43-
EWK OFV: OFV: 22.59 (1.53) 40-
GLBL OFV: 18.35 (0.79) 22/
IYT OFV: 85.45 (1.78) 74-
IYW OFV: 54.67 (1.04) 56-
MMS OFV: 36.67 (0.89) 34+
MRVL OFV: 12.68 (0.67) 58+
OII OFV: 59.54 (2.28) 20-
OMG OFV: 58.01 (2.77) 49-
QLD OFV: 76.32 (2.87) 37-
RNE OFV: 33.50 (0.90) 34/
SOHU OFV: 50.09 (2.14) 57+
SPN OFV: 40.31 (1.60) 55-
ZOLT OFV: 34.27 (1.59) 26-
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$8,767.28
Account Value $1,001,639.92 1-30-08 Change +$16,413.81
Account Value $985,226.11 1-29-08 Change -$1,111.00
Account Value $986,337.11 1-28-08 Change +$10,532.37
Account Value $975,804.74 1-25-08 Change +$23,978.06
Account Value $951,826.68 1-24-08 Change -$3,697.40
Account Value $955,524.08 1-23-08 Change +$24,434.46
Account Value $931,089.62 1-22-08 Change -$21,701.25
Account Value $952,800.76 1-18-08 Change -$20,501.71
Account Value $973,302.47 1-17-08 Change +$1,211.51
Account Value $972,090.96 1-16-08 Change +$5,123.27
Account Value $966,967.69 1-15-08 Change +$14,410.85
Account Value $952,556.84 1-14-08 Change +$5,921.03
Account Value $946,635.81 1-11-08 Change +1,145.00
Account Value $945,490.81 1-10-08 Change +21,553.71
Account Value $923,937.10 1-9-08 Change +$16,771.58
Account Value $907,165.52 1-8-08 Change -$32,010.00
Account Value $939,175.52 1-7-08 Change -$1,300.00
Account Value $940,475.52 1-4-08 Change -$37,280.00
Account Value $977,755.52 1-3-08 Change +$1,990.15
Account Value $975,765.37 01-02-08 Change -$14,488.92
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs mentioned above and owned at time of writing by its author-
Short DIA
Short PG
Short MRK
Short TDS

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday February 4 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/04/08
Last Updated: 02/01/08
02/01/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 126.60
(High) 127.61
(Low) 125.96
(Close) 127.49
(Range) 1.65

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 126.85
Today's Predicted High: 128.71
Today's Predicted Low: 126.28
Today's Proposed Range: 2.43
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy (up from sell)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed 1.75% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .90% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" 1-23-08. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has improved and is almost positive. The DJIA Outlook is at a recovery high of 68%. However, Monday will see profit taking. It is best to let the Stock Market settle down today.

DIA Resistance: Mean 125.22 / Intermediate 127.96 / Breakout 130.70
DIA Support: Mean 125.07 / Intermediate 122.25 / Breakdown 119.44
DIA Closed: 1.89 above its falling 21 day moving average vs. .47% prior day.

DIA Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 56 Up from 46
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.10/1.17 Down
Current Trend: Negative -14 Up from -38
Demand Factor: 72 Up from 57
Stock Volatility: 0.09 Down from 8.50

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
02/01/08 12:45 Close: 126.27
Upside Potential: 130.57
Downside Potential: 125.71

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 128.48
2. 129.13
3. 130.04
4. 130.16

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 125.06
2. 124.94
3. 124.07
4. 123.44

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.21
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.07
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.56
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.50
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.67
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 130.59
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.55
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.59

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Monday: 26%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9%
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -14 Up from -38
DIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 1-29-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday: 50%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs. 65% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday 1-23-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned above at time of writing by author?
Short DIA
Short MRK
Short PG
Short TDS

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Monday February 4 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Friday 2-1-08 DJIA closed: 12,743.19 +92.83 vs. Prior day: 12,650.36 +207.53
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,523.80 -14.32 vs. Prior day: 12,538.12 -29.26
(DJIA closed 1.75% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. .90% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday February 4 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 50%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 26%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 21 vs. Down 10 (+1 vs +5 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 68% vs Yesterday 65% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 1-23-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.05 vs Yesterday 3.32 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -215 vs Yesterday -526 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-215 -14.8% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,538 / Intermediate Term 12,750 / Breakout 12,962
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,523 / Intermediate Term 12,304 / Breakdown 12,085

Market Comment:
DJIA closed 1.75% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .90% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" 1-23-08. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has improved and is almost positive. The DJIA Outlook is at a recovery high of 68%. However, Monday will see profit taking. It is best to let the Stock Market settle down today.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .00% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 58% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 59.29% vs Yesterday 54.90% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 54.81% vs Yesterday 50.23% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.03% vs Yesterday -.14% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 45.7% vs Yesterday 36.6% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -51% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -55% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 39% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -49% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -45% vs. Yesterday -50% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 52% vs. Yesterday 45% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 64% / Low -85%)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 138 vs. Yesterday 20 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 16 vs. Yesterday 50 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, February 03, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 2-4-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 26%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 50%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (2-4 through 2-8)
Information provided by:
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 50 Rising 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9%

Tuesdays: Past 53 Rising 56.6% / 55.7% / 56.8% / 57.9%

Wednesdays: Past 55 Falling 65.4% / 66.6% / 66.0% / 67.3%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 55 Rising 54.5% / 53.7% / 52.8% / 53.8%

Fridays: Past 55 Rising 58.1% / 57.4% / 58.4% / 59.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 268 Days Rising 57.1% / 56.7% / 56.8% / 57.5%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA SELL- 80+ 1.46 72U -0.09+
AIG S/SELL 27+ 2.70 42U -0.07+
AXP SELL- 77+ 2.47 60U 0.00+
BA SELL 28- 2.25 44U -0.16+
C S/BUY+ 31+ 1.45 55U 0.04+
CAT S/BUY+ 45+ 2.47 70U 0.02+
DD S/BUY+ 35+ 1.64 56U 0.07+
DIA BUY+ 72+ 2.43 56U -0.14+
DIS BUY+ 96+ 1.10 60U 0.00+
GE BUY+ 58+ 0.80 56U -0.07+
GM BUY 47+ 1.09 69U 0.43+
HD S/BUY 66+ 1.32 70D 0.41+
HON S/BUY+ 45+ 1.39 76U 0.07+
HPQ SELL 50+ 1.59 40U -0.26+
IBM BUY+ 47+ 2.60 76U 0.19+
INTC SELL 57+ 0.77 45U -0.23+
JNJ SELL 51- 0.94 29U -0.19+
JPM S/BUY 100/ 2.63 88U 0.39+
KO SELL 70- 1.62 43U -0.06+
MCD BUY+ 100+ 1.39 51U -0.02+
MMM BUY+ 57+ 2.04 54U -0.05+
MO BUY 56+ 1.96 55D 0.00+
MRK SELL 100/ 4.17 27D -0.39+
MSFT SELL 0- 1.11 14D -0.40+
PFE S/BUY 56+ 0.53 58U 0.13+
PG SELL 10- 1.10 22U -0.51+
T SELL 51+ 1.40 48D -0.03+
UTX BUY 44+ 1.76 61U -0.09+
VZ SELL 86- 1.68 47D -0.16+
WMT S/BUY 100/ 1.07 96U 0.38+
XOM BUY 96/ 2.70 59U -0.27+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top 82 Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 2-4-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength
+/-
1. ABT OFV: 56.85 (1.54) 61+
2. ACI OFV: 47.16 (2.42) 94+
3. AGN OFV: 66.98 (1.60) 71+
4. AIV OFV: 40.09 (1.48) 81+
5. AMX OFV: 61.08 (2.72) 81+
6. APA OFV: 97.24 (3.13) 61+
7. ARA OFV: 72.87 (2.86) 78+
8. BAC OFV: 44.58 (1.53) 82+
9. BBY OFV: 48.33 (2.50) 75+
10. BPOP OFV: 13.91 (.99) 95+
11. BXG OFV: 8.66 (.68) 95+
12. CENX OFV: 54.34 (3.19) 89+
13. CMA OFV: 44.43 (2.70) 86+
14. CNB OFV: 15.86 (1.07) 84+
15. COF OFV: 56.37 (3.95) 81+
16. CREE OFV: 29.73 (1.89) 79+
17. CTX OFV: 28.18 (3.22) 89+
18. DVY OFV: 65.28 (1.82) 90+
19. EEM OFV: 138.61 (6.00) 59+
20. ETN OFV: 84.28 (2.41) 64+
21. EWA OFV: 28.15 (.70) 67+
22. EWC OFV: 30.67 (.64) 72+
23. EWD OFV: 28.30 (.74) 59+
24. EWJ OFV: 12.81 (.23) 72+
25. EWL OFV: 25.24 (.51) 70+
26. EWM OFV: 13.17 (.35) 69+
27. EWO OFV: 32.95 (.70) 57+
28. EWW OFV: 56.25 (1.91) 81+
30. EWZ OFV: 77.41 (3.08) 74+
31. FAF OFV: 42.14 (2.98) 92-
32. FCX OFV: 91.76 (4.48) 66+
33. FLIR OFV: 31.60 (1.21) 69+
34. FMBI OFV: 31.51 (1.31) 90+
35. FNF OFV: 19.48 (1.41) 92-
36. FSLR OFV: 183.61 (16.15) 51+
37. GPS OFV: 19.23 (1.02) 70+
38. HP OFV: 39.82 (1.76) 78+
39. IBKR OFV: 35.16 (1.95) 95+
40. ICF OFV: 80.36 (2.85) 78+
41. ICON OFV: 20.86 (1.04) 89+
41. IEV OFV: 105.32 (2.72) 55+
42. IGT OFV: 43.02 (1.85) 87+
43. ILF OFV: 242.36 (8.47) 82+
44. IYH OFV: 67.47 (1.21) 52+
45. IYM OFV: 74.63 (2.01) 92+
46. IYR OFV: 66.86 (2.48) 77+
47. IYZ OFV: 26.46 (.77) 52+
48. JPM OFV: 47.79 (2.63) 88+
49. LEH OFV: 64.68 (3.65) 95+
50. LPX OFV: 14.87 (.75) 71-
51. LTR OFV: 46.84 (1.57) 71+
52. MCD OFV: 53.64 (1.39) 51+
53. MEE OFV: 37.99 (2.91) 95+
54. MTL OFV: 95.58 (5.11) 87+
55. NDAQ OFV: 45.96 (2.34) 85+
56. NOK OFV: 37.31 (1.09) 80+
57. NSC OFV: 55.44 (1.68) 98+
58. NUE OFV: 59.05 (2.81) 88+
59. ORCL OFV: 20.56 (.61) 53+
60. PDX OFV: 67.59 (1.89) 80+
61. PLAB OFV: 12.55 (.53) 81+
62. PNC OFV: 66.06 (3.00) 82+
63. PPS OFV: 42.56 (1.36) 91+
64. RKH OFV: 138.60 (5.64) 86+
65. RRC OFV: 52.83 (2.20) 82+
66. RTH OFV: 95.34 (2.95) 85+
67. RWT OFV: 42.88 (2.15) 98+
68. RYL OFV: 33.06 (3.38) 95+
69. SEPR OFV: 28.63 (1.36) 74-
70. SNV OFV: 13.17 (.66) 77+
71. STT OFV: 83.08 (3.21) 85+
72. SY OFV: 28.31 (.81) 98+
73. TM OFV: 109.29 (1.87) 85+
74. TRMK OFV: 23.43 (1.47) 69+
75. TRP OFV: 39.60 (.87) 70+
76. TYC OFV: 39.42 (1.07) 87+
77. UAUA OFV: 39.29 (1.23) 89+
78. UNP OFV: 125.98 (2.91) 86+
79. WDC OFV: 27.34 (1.31) 72+
80. WMS OFV: 37.61 (1.79) 95/
81. WMT OFV: 50.91 (1.07) 96+
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top 10 Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 2-4-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
1. ATMI OFV: 26.78 (.89) 13+
3. CERN OFV: 48.30 (1.34) 7-
4. CUTR OFV: 12.59 (1.00) 8-
5. DRIV OFV: 31.32 (1.52) 21-
6. HLTH OFV: 11.23 (.28) 8-
7. MSFT OFV: 31.51 (1.11) 14-
8. MXIM OFV: 17.14 (1.04) 11-
9. NEWP OFV: 10.70 (.33) 7+
10. TRC OFV: 38.15 (1.80) 32-
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, February 02, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending February 1, 2008

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 45.7% vs Last week: 25.2% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 39% vs Last week: 18% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 12,743.19 vs Last week: 12,207.17 +536.02 / Prior week: -107.87
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,523.80 vs Last week: 12,708.79 -184.99 / Prior week: -220.27
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising -215 vs Last week -780 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08)
DJIA Trend: Rising 68% vs Last week: 26% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 45% vs Last week: 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 1.05% vs Last week: 1.48% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,750 vs Last week 12,963 -213 / Prior week: -219
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,962 vs Last week 13,153
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,304 vs Last week: 12,486 -182 / Prior week: -217
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 12,084 vs Last week: 12,264
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -14.32 vs Last week: -63.91 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Rising +101 vs Last week: -304 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -175 vs Last week: -412 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rose -1.8% vs Last week: -4.0% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): BUY / Last week: SELL
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising 134 vs Last week: -36 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 65 vs Last week: 37 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Rising 53 vs Last week: 37 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Unch 1.1 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .04% vs Last week: -.10% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 58% vs Last week: 19% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 59.29% vs Last week: 37.94 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Rising 54.81% vs Last week: 37.13% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Rising -.03 vs Last week: -.36 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 113 vs Last week: 116 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Rising .007 vs Last week: -.226 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 3.82% vs Last week: 4.22% (5.27 / Low 3.82%)***************************************************************************************************************** 108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.14 vs Last week: -.74 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 72+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: -.26 vs Last week: -.89 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 56+
SPDR- S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.27 vs Last week: -1.16 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.09 vs Last week: -.58 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.17 vs Last week: -.39 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
1. Biotech
BBH: +.14 vs Last week: +.27 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.02 vs Last week: -.11 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.13 vs Last week: +.14 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82+
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -2.99 vs Last week: -3.03 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79-
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.14 vs Last week: +.25 (High .61 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.14 vs Last week: -.91 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 93+
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: +.44 vs Last week: +.49 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 26-
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.28 vs Last week: -.26 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: -.02 vs Last week: +.55 (High .68* / Low -.70) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.21 vs Last week: -.50 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66+
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.28 vs Last week: -1.02 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.09 vs Last week: -.44 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.27 vs Last week: -.68 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 75+
14. Australia
EWA: +.10 vs Last week: -.12 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
15. Canada
EWC: +.13 vs Last week: -.04 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
16. Sweden
EWD: +.17 vs Last week: -.00 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
17. Germany
EWG: -.11 vs Last week: -.28 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.12 vs Last week: -.23 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+
19. Italy
EWI: -.11 vs Last week: -.34 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64+
20. Japan
EWJ: +.25 vs Last week: +.15 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
21. Belgium
EWK: -.03 vs Last week: -.24 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84+
22. Switzerland
EWL: +.19 vs Last week: +.09 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.28 vs Last week: +.23 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
24. Netherlands
EWN: +.15 vs Last week: -.12 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
25. Austria
EWO: +.04 vs Last week: -.10 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
26. Spain
EWP: -.05 vs Last week: -.39 (High .75 / Low -.63*) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 94+
27. France
EWQ: -.00 vs Last week: -.21 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80+
28. Singapore
EWS: -.08 vs Last week: -.28 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.13 vs Last week: +.05 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
30. United Kingdom
EWU: +.12 vs Last week: -.10 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
31. Mexico
EWW: +.31 vs Last week: -.24 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
32. South Korea
EWY: -.13 vs Last week: -.49 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73+
33. Brazil
EWZ: -.07 vs Last week: -.58 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.69 vs Last week: -1.42 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: +.38 vs Last week: +1.07 (High 1.19 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 0-
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.22 vs Last week: +.55 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
36. Internet
HHH: -.10 vs Last week: -.47 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60+
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.70 vs Last week: -.86 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 5+
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.52 vs Last week: -.02 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 91+
39. Comex Gold
IAU: +.39 vs Last week: +.71 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.06 vs Last week: -.46 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -2.48 vs Last week: -2.35 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76-
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.34 vs Last week: -.30 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
43. Utilities
IDU: -.27 vs Last week: -.76 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.24 vs Last week: -.58 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
45. Natural Resources
IGE: -.45 vs Last week: -.68 (High .93 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
46. Networking
IGN: -.17 vs Last week: -.44 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
47. Software
IGV: -.18 vs Last week: -.45 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
48. Semiconductor
IGW: -.13 vs Last week: -.59 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25+
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.22 vs Last week: -.35 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.22 vs Last week: +.11 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 22/
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.02 vs Last week: -.54 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 94+
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.09 vs Last week: -.63 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 55-
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.11 vs Last week: -.57 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.15 vs Last week: -1.45 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: +.01 vs Last week: -.95 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 57+
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.19 vs Last week: -.56 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 79+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: +.11 vs Last week: -.21 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.04 vs Last week: -.46 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 70+
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.07 vs Last week: -.42 (High .78 / Low -.70*) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 65+
60. Energy
IYE: -.61 vs Last week: -.83 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
61. Financial Services
IYG: +.36 vs Last week: -.57 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 65+
62. Healthcare
IYH: +.10 vs Last week: -.35 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
63. Industrial
IYJ: -.09 vs Last week: -.55 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 38+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: -.37 vs Last week: -.65 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 8+
65. Basic Materials
IYM: +.07 vs Last week: -.34 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
66. Real Estate
IYR: +.27 vs Last week: -.25 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
67. Transportation
IYT: +.39 vs Last week: -.38 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 75+
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.30 vs Last week: -.58 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53+
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.10 vs Last week: -.38 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.06 vs Last week: -.37 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.10 vs Last week: +.78 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 0-
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.12 vs Last week: -.77 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 95+
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: +.02 vs Last week: -.23 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
74. Oil Services
OIH: -1.47 vs Last week: -1.27 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58-
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.35 vs Last week: -.48 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.21 vs Last week: -.50 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: +.07 vs Last week: -.25 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.32 vs Last week: +.74 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 21-
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.85 vs Last week: -1.51 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64+
80. Regional Banks
RKH: +.72 vs Last week: -.34 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.21 vs Last week: -.26 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68+
82. Retail
RTH: +.36 vs Last week: -.15 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.24 vs Last week: -.25 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.20 vs Last week: +.73 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 42-
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.24 vs Last week: +.99 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
86. Silver Trust
SLV: +.72 vs Last week: +.98 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 40+
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.12 vs Last week: -.42 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53+
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: -.89 vs Last week: +.25 (High 2.19 / Low -1.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
89. Software
SWH: -.02 vs Last week: -.29 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39+
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.00 vs Last week: +.21 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.13 vs Last week: -.40 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+
92. Utilities
UTH: -.17 vs Last week: -.78 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75+
93. Wireless
WMH: -.16 vs Last week: -.67 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36+
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: +.35 vs Last week: +.06 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.01 vs Last week: -.25 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 50+
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.45 vs Last week: -.60 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.11 vs Last week: -.15 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 65+
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.12 vs Last week: -.44 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 37+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.07 vs Last week: -.22 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41+
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.10 vs Last week: -.26 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.07 vs Last week: -.16 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.25 vs Last week: -.01 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 81+
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.02 vs Last week: -.33 (High .92 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 92+

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 64/Sell 44(59%) vs. Last week: Buy 36/Sell 72(33%) vs. Prior week: Buy 15/Sell 93(13%)

DJIA Close Past 4 Weeks: +536.02 / -107.87 / -507.00 / -193.88

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft Investment Software
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does. Subscribe today for a "14-Day FREE TRIAL."

As Advertised on:
TraderDaily.com, Institutional Investor Magazine and TigerSoft.com

A daily Internet video webcast called MktMetrics Morning appears late morning on YouTube and Yahoo Video, that can be searched under: "MktMetrics"

www.galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions
The three blogs daily provide: Trading Ideas (11:15pmET), Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics, and Diamonds (DIA) (8:00amET) as we track what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,497 since April 2005

Friday, February 01, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday February 1 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 02/01/08
Last Updated: 01/31/08
01/31/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.70
(High) 126.90
(Low) 122.42
(Close) 125.80
(Range) 4.48

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 124.56
Today's Predicted High: 127.04
Today's Predicted Low: 124.57
Today's Proposed Range: 2.47
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Market Comment:
Price Internal Strength: Negative 46 Up from 39
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.18 Up
Current Trend: Negative -38 Up from -53
Demand Factor: 57 Up from 51
Stock Volatility: 8.50 Up from 2.22

DIA Resistance: Mean 125.53 / Intermediate 128.18 / Breakout 130.84
DIA Support: Mean 125.21 / Intermediate 122.40 / Breakdown 119.58
DIA Closed: .47 above its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.23% prior day.

DIA Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 46 Up from 39
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.18 Up
Current Trend: Negative -38 Up from -53
Demand Factor: 57 Up from 51
Stock Volatility: 8.50 Up from 2.22

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
01/31/08 12:45 Close: 124.94
Upside Potential: 128.95
Downside Potential: 124.01

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.87
2. 125.15
3. 128.32
4. 129.44

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.36
2. 123.28
3. 120.25
4. 119.97

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.15
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.21
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.72
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.66
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.71
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 130.76
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 133.59
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.59

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Friday: 03%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 57.4% / 58.4% / 59.6% / 60.7%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
DIA Trend: Rising Today Negative -38 Up from -53
DIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close ?
(Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 1-29-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday: 53%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 65% vs. 48% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Changed to "Up" from "Down" Wednesday 1-23-08
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned above at time of writing by author?
Long NLY
Long SY

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Friday February 1

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 1-31-08 DJIA closed: 12,650.36 +207.53 vs. Prior day: 12,442.83 -37.47
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,538.12 -29.26 vs. Prior day: 12,567.38 -43.96
(DJIA closed .90% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -.99% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday February 1 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 53%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 03%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 57.4% / 58.4% / 59.6% / 60.7%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 20 vs. Down 11 (+5 vs +3 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 65% vs Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 1-23-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, BUY as of Tuesday 1-29-07 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 32% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 3.32 vs Yesterday 0.44 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -526 vs Yesterday -667 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-526 -36.3% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,567 / Intermediate Term 12,772 / Breakout 12,977
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,538 / Intermediate Term 12,319 / Breakdown 12,099

Market Comment:
DJIA closed .90% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. -.99% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction to "Up" from "Down" 1-23-08. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change has improved, and so has the DJIA Outlook. Friday begins a new trading month, which may go either way.
Fed easing and accomodation is helping the Trend in its ascent. Let the Trend be your friend.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .00% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch#2 Today 39% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 54.90% vs Yesterday 45.84% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 50.23% vs Yesterday 44.32% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.23% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 33% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 36.6% vs Yesterday 28.6% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -38% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -51% vs. Yesterday -69% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -55% vs. Yesterday -80% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 80% / Low -95%)
IDU: Rising Trend Today -49% vs. Yesterday -63% (High 80% / Low -76%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -50% vs. Yesterday -57% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 45% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 64% / Low -85%)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 20 vs. Yesterday 79 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 50 vs. Yesterday 22 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."