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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions: March 2008

Monday, March 31, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday April 1 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 19%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 51%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Falling 48% vs. 55% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Thursday 3-27-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 32% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 48% vs. 51% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 34.2% vs. 32.3% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for April 1 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AMX
ATVI
AU
AZN
BEAS
CASY
CCU
CHD
CSX
EPD
GENZ
HNZ
ILF
IR
K
PRKR
PTEN
RDC
RDK
ROH
RPM
RRC
RSTI
SKF
SLGN
TNB
VARI
VRTX
WWY
XLV
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for April 1 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

ATHR OFV: 20.99 (1.29) -13-
BC OFV: 16.03 (0.83) -24-
BMY OFV: 21.38 (0.46) -26+
BRKS OFV: 9.79 (0.41) -31-
CERN OFV: 37.86 (1.15) -1-
CNB OFV: 9.79 (0.69) -1-
CSGS OFV: 11.44 (0.74) -34+
CSIQ OFV: 21.25 (2.06) +50-
EEFT OFV: 19.41 (0.49) -8-
ESLR OFV: 9.25 (0.48) -41+
FFIV OFV: 18.66 (1.04) -4-
FUL OFV: 20.91 (0.83) -24-
GLBL OFV: 16.16 (0.56) -17-
HBAN OFV: 10.78 (0.68) -22+
IBI OFV: 18.62 (0.79) -23-
IDXX OFV: 49.82 (1.71) -16-
INTU OFV: 27.09 (0.70) -39-
MDCI OFV: 16.51 (0.70) -13-
MICC OFV: 94.58 (4.38) -9-
NOVN OFV: 9.32 (0.51) -8-
NYX OFV: 61.60 (2.29) -30+
PHO OFV: 19.28 (0.58) -38-
POSS OFV: 19.48 (0.03) +70-
RNOW OFV: 12.30 (0.63) -38+
RSCR OFV: 17.45 (0.89) -3-
RX OFV: 20.99 (0.39) -7-
SCS OFV: 11.20 (0.58) -1-
SOLF OFV: 12.44 (1.58) -42-
SUPX OFV: 20.57 (0.83) -34-
SWH OFV: 38.53 (0.51) -33-
TNH OFV: 115.37 (7.38) -21-
TRA OFV: 35.90 (1.77) -15-
WGO OFV: 17.02 (1.13) -3-
WM OFV: 10.37 (1.18) -14-
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007

Account Value $1,280,967.56 3-31-08 Change +$682.72
Account Value $1,280,284.84 3-28-08 Change -$8,739.99
Account Value $1,289,824.83 3-27-08 Change +$4,972.10
Account Value $1,284,857.58 3-26-08 Change +$16,925.37
Account Value $1,267,932.21 3-25-08 Change +$3,147.74
Account Value $1,264,784.47 3-24-08 Change +$2,020.74
Account Value $1,262,763.73 3-20-08 Change +$31,109.29
Account Value $1,231,654.44 3-19-08 Change +$13,022.21
Account Value $1,218,632.23 3-18-08 Change +$14,841.06
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author- None

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday March 31 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/31/08
Last Updated: 03/28/08
03/28/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.40
(High) 123.71
(Low) 121.87
(Close) 122.25

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.80
Today's Predicted High: 123.27
Today's Predicted Low: 121.24
Today's Proposed Range: 2.03
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 52 Down from 57
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.60/0.75 Down
Current Trend: Negative -14 Down from -12
Demand Factor: 83 Down from 84
Stock Volatility: 1.46 Up from -0.22

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/28/08 12:45 Close: 122.71
Upside Potential: 123.96
Downside Potential: 119.90

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 124.31
2. 124.70
3. 125.87
4. 126.18

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 121.24
2. 120.93
3. 119.81
4. 119.43

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.55
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.28
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.98
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.29
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.12
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.67
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 130.58
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 131.63

Dow Jones Industrial Average and Diamonds (DIA)
DJIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 40%
DIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 77%
DJIA Trend: Bullish 55%, Falling
DIA Trend: Bearish -14%, Falling
(DJIA & DIA are weighted differently)
Dow Outlook: Neutral 51%, Falling
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish 32.3, Falling

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?- None

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Monday March 31 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

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Friday 3-28-08 DJIA closed: 12,216.40 -86.06 vs. Prior day: 12,302.46 -120.40
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,212.82 -22.76 vs. Prior day: 12,235.58 -18.21
(DJIA closed .03% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .55% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday March 31 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 40%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 77%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 52.0% / 51.0% / 52.0% / 50.0%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 17 vs. Down 14 (-6 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 55% vs Yesterday 73% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of day 3-27-08 (hold stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 29% vs Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.60 vs Yesterday -0.09 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -285 vs Yesterday -475 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -285 -19.6% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,235 / Intermediate Term 12,438 / Breakout 12,640
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,212 / Intermediate Term 11,999 / Breakdown 11,785

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday .03% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. .55% previously. The daily Dow Trend fell Friday to a reading of 55. The daily Dow Outlook is Neutral, yet declined to 51 from 53. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change turned up, but remains negative. Investors should now "Hold" and be prepared to dump stocks should the DJIA Friday's low be breach on Monday.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.01% vs Yesterday .02% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed near its Mean, neutral yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 29% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 50.90% vs Yesterday 56.55% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed near its Mean, neutral yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 48.77% vs Yesterday 53.45% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.12% vs Yesterday -.08% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Neutral, yet Falling Today 51% vs. Yesterday 53% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed near its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 32.3% vs Yesterday 36.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -33% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -50% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -55% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday -18% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (a short-term overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 10 vs. Yesterday 17 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 73 vs. Yesterday 32 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 30, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 3-31-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 77%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 40%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (3-31 through 4-4)
Information provided by:
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 51 Rising 52.9% / 52.0% / 51.0% / 52.0%

Tuesdays: Past 53 Falling 54.7% / 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0%

Wednesdays: Past 54 Falling 61.1% / 62.2% / 63.4% / 64.7%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 54 Falling 53.7% / 54.7% / 53.8% / 52.9%

Fridays: Past 54 Falling 57.4% / 58.4% / 58.4% / 59.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 266 Days Falling 56.0% / 56.7% / 56.4% / 56.7%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA SELL
88+ 1.13 59U -0.14+
AIG S/SELL 4- 2.21 24D -0.59+
AXP S/SELL 4- 2.71 32D -0.25+
BA S/SELL 28- 1.90 18D -0.58+
BAC SELL- 65- 2.33 42D -0.31+
C S/SELL- 0- 1.50 27D -0.39+
CAT BUY 81- 1.85 93D 0.27+
CVX SELL 90- 2.06 60U -0.12/
DD SELL 31+ 1.26 55D -0.06+
DIA SELL 83- 2.03 52D -0.14+
DIS S/SELL- 67- 0.50 48D -0.19+
GE BUY- 84- 1.13 75D 0.23+
GM S/SELL 15- 1.09 15D -0.42+
HD S/SELL- 41- 1.46 43D -0.16+
HPQ S/SELL 35- 1.37 40D -0.19+
IBM BUY 96- 1.81 66D 0.10+
INTC S/SELL- 31- 0.58 48D -0.03+
JNJ BUY 28- 0.77 51D 0.07+
JPM BUY 45- 2.87 50D -0.17+
KO BUY 48- 0.96 74D 0.05+
MCD BUY+ 90- 1.28 73D 0.03+
MMM S/SELL- 45- 1.42 37D -0.16+
MRK SELL 58- 1.28 55U -0.13+
MSFT S/SELL 2- 0.47 26D -0.09/
PFE S/SELL 0- 0.23 8D -0.31+
PG BUY 36- 1.06 63D 0.23+
T BUY 91- 1.31 69D 0.23+
UTX S/SELL 47- 1.34 34D -0.27+
VZ S/SELL- 85- 1.09 49D -0.04+
WMT SELL- 78- 1.48 76D -0.02+
XOM S/SELL- 82- 2.21 50D -0.22+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

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Our firm covers 1,000 selected stocks and provides in-depth stock market research.
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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

9 Top Selected BEST Positive Stocks (Buy-Long Ideas)
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 3-31-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ATVI OFV: 27.27 (0.51) +73+
ENZN OFV: 9.20 (0.29) +85+
EPD OFV: 28.98 (0.94) -46+
K OFV: 52.37 (0.64) +86+
PRKR OFV: 7.93 (0.62) +58+
RDK OFV: 36.38 (0.89) +77+
SKF OFV: 116.11 (8.65) +59+
VARI OFV: 57.52 (1.83) +85+
WWY OFV: 62.44 (0.76) +85+
OFV: Opening Fair Value

73 Top Selected Negative Stocks (Short-Sale Ideas)
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 3-31-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ADCT
ADI
AEO
AMN
ANF
APOL
ATHR
BC
BEBE
BMY
C
CERN
CROX
CTB
CYN
DBD
DLB
DUK
EEFT
ESIO
EWI
FDS
GAP
GAS
GLNG
HANS
HBAN
HOV
HTCH
IAI
IBI
INTU
IP
ITF
KLIC
KND
MDCI
MER
MICC
MOT
MSO
MU
NOVN
NWS
NYX
PCAR
PFE
PHO
POSS
QSII
RBC
RE
RSCR
RX
SBUX
SCHW
SCS
SHFL
SOLF
SWH
SY
TNH
TRA
TSO
TXN
USTR
VLO
WB
WGO
WM
XHB
Subscribe today to www.MktMetrics.com for detailed analysis on a daily basis.

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, March 29, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 28, 2008 (Historic: Highs /Lows)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 32.3% vs Last week: 36.4% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 52% vs Last week: 39% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 12,216.40 vs Last week: 12,361.32 -144.92 / Prior week: +410.23
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,212.82 vs Last week: 12,241.00 -28.18 / Prior week: -31.61
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -285 vs Last week -228 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08)
DJIA Trend: Unch 55% vs Last week: 55% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 29% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.60% vs Last week: 1.58% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,437 vs Last week 12,457 -20 / Prior week: -45
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,640 vs Last week 12,669
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 11,999 vs Last week: 12,027 -28 / Prior week: -31
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,785 vs Last week: 11,813
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -22.76 vs Last week: -3.14 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -424 vs Last week: -377 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -376 vs Last week: -281 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling .03% vs Last week: 1.0% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Buy / Last week: BUY
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling 16 vs Last week: 97 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 61 vs Last week: 54 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Falling 39 vs Last week: 76 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Rising 57 vs Last week: 52 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Falling .8 vs Last week: 1.6 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.01% vs Last week: .05% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 29% vs Last week: 52% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 50.90% vs Last week: 63.09 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 48.77% vs Last week: 53.22% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Falling -.12 vs Last week: .04 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Rising 112 vs Last week: 110 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Falling -.313 vs Last week: .086 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)
One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Unch 3.41% vs Last week: 3.41% (5.27% / Low 3.43%)*****************************************************************************************************************
108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis

Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.14 vs Last week: +.14 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 83-
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.33 vs Last week: -.08 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 51-
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.50 vs Last week: -.36 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.11 vs Last week: -.12 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.07 vs Last week: -.00 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55-
1. Biotech
BBH: +.47 vs Last week: +.33 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.01 vs Last week: +.06 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.03 vs Last week: -.06 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 64+
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -2.17 vs Last week: -2.18 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36-
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.37 vs Last week: +.40 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.35 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 42-
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: +.09 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 40+
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: -.29 vs Last week: -.01 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79-
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.09 vs Last week: -.14 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17+
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.22 vs Last week: -.11 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94-
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.63 vs Last week: -.51 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90-
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: -.12 vs Last week: +.01 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.53 vs Last week: -.38 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 80-
14. Australia
EWA: -.21 vs Last week: -.01 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
15. Canada
EWC: -.11 vs Last week: -.09 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69-
16. Sweden
EWD: +.20 vs Last week: +.24 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 94-
17. Germany
EWG: -.05 vs Last week: +.06 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80-
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.20 vs Last week: -.18 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7-
19. Italy
EWI: -.51 vs Last week: -.03 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
20. Japan
EWJ: -.11 vs Last week: -.03 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63-
21. Belgium
EWK: -.10 vs Last week: +.04 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 10-
22. Switzerland
EWL: +.02 vs Last week: +.24 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 63-
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.18 vs Last week: +.22 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89-
24. Netherlands
EWN: -.00 vs Last week: +.05 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
25. Austria
EWO: -.05 vs Last week: -.34 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76+
26. Spain
EWP: -.13 vs Last week: -.03 (High .75 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 25-
27. France
EWQ: -.14 vs Last week: +.04 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81-
28. Singapore
EWS: -.01 vs Last week: +.05 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 35-
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.02 vs Last week: +.32 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 78-
30. United Kingdom
EWU: -.15 vs Last week: -.06 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74-
31. Mexico
EWW: -.08 vs Last week: +.10 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 91-
32. South Korea
EWY: -.01 vs Last week: -.00 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90-
33. Brazil
EWZ: -.59 vs Last week: -.35 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74-
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.96 vs Last week: -1.11 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65-
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: +.60 vs Last week: +.94 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 14+
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.25 vs Last week: -.27 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20+
36. Internet
HHH: +.02 vs Last week: -.05 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 25+
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.06 vs Last week: +.21 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 8-
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: -.55 vs Last week: -.19 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
39. Comex Gold
IAU: -.09 vs Last week: -.01 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76-
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.17 vs Last week: -.24 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 48+
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.29 vs Last week: -.45 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32-
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.05 vs Last week: +.44 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 68-
43. Utilities
IDU: -.24 vs Last week: -.43 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24-
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.12 vs Last week: -.05 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88-
45. Natural Resources
IGE: -.34 vs Last week: -.43 (High 1.25 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
46. Networking
IGN: -.10 vs Last week: +.09 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28+
47. Software
IGV: +.02 vs Last week: -.02 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 67+
48. Semiconductor
IGW: +.08 vs Last week: +.30 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95-
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.33 vs Last week: -.35 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.10 vs Last week: +.16 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 32+
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.28 vs Last week: -.19 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74/
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.21 vs Last week: -.12 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88+
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.13 vs Last week: -.00 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.98 vs Last week: -.78 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.43 vs Last week: -.19 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17+
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.11 vs Last week: -.14 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 33+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: -.38 vs Last week: -.23 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.08 vs Last week: -.18 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 80-
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.20 vs Last week: +.12 (High .78 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92-
60. Energy
IYE: -.24 vs Last week: -.27 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-
61. Financial Services
IYG: -.72 vs Last week: -.00 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 35-
62. Healthcare
IYH: -.23 vs Last week: -.15 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-
63. Industrial
IYJ: -.04 vs Last week: +.09 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.26 vs Last week: +.26 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 57-
65. Basic Materials
IYM: -.22 vs Last week: -.28 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 78+
66. Real Estate
IYR: +.04 vs Last week: +.29 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 85-
67. Transportation
IYT: +.04 vs Last week: +.08 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 5-
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.11 vs Last week: +.06 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 53-
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.16 vs Last week: -.03 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 62-
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.06 vs Last week: -.04 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88/
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.30 vs Last week: +.24 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 23+
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.56 vs Last week: -.31 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -.27 vs Last week: +.02 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 11-
74. Oil Services
OIH: -.23 vs Last week: -.55 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65/
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.18 vs Last week: -.18 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22-
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.08 vs Last week: +.02 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77-
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.00 vs Last week: +.10 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 93+
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 19+
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.16 vs Last week: -.17 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44-
80. Regional Banks
RKH: -.70 vs Last week: +.08 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 63-
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.27 vs Last week: -.19 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26+
82. Retail
RTH: -.22 vs Last week: +.12 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 69-
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: -.13 vs Last week: +.33 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.22 vs Last week: +.02 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 25+
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: +.17 vs Last week: +.07 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14-
86. Silver Trust
SLV: -.59 vs Last week: -.46 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76+
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.12 vs Last week: +.03 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 10-
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: -.24 vs Last week: -.81 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 23+
89. Software
SWH: -.16 vs Last week: -.07 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.17 vs Last week: +.29 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 12-
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: +.06 vs Last week: +.12 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 70+
92. Utilities
UTH: +.01 vs Last week: +.12 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84-
93. Wireless
WMH: -.31 vs Last week: -.03 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 44+
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.22 vs Last week: +.13 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.04 vs Last week: -.04 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81-
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.24 vs Last week: -.27 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.23 vs Last week: -.01 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.04 vs Last week: +.09 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.13 vs Last week: +.02 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 37-
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.09 vs Last week: +.10 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 51+
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.11 vs Last week: -.06 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91-
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: -.17 vs Last week: +.02 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 79-
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.37 vs Last week: -.47 (High .98 / Low -.78) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 69-

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 23/Sell 85(21%) vs. Last week: Buy 36/Sell 72(33%) vs. Prior week: Buy 36/Sell 72(33%)

DJIA 6 weeks: -144.92(3-28) +410.23(3-20) +51.40 (3-14) -366.70(3-7) -114.63(2-29) +32.81(2-22)

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with Tiger Investment Software
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

As Advertised on:
TraderDaily.com, Institutional Investor Magazine and TigerSoft.com

An Internet video webcast called MktMetrics Weekly appears late weekends on YouTube and Yahoo Video, that can be searched under: "MktMetrics"

www.galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (First information available)
The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day's trading
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating a portion of our program

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com to see what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory for any stock or ETF that you trade.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,612 since April 2005

Friday, March 28, 2008

Stock Market Forecast Friday March 28 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 3-27-08 DJIA closed: 12,302.46 -120.40 vs. Prior day: 12,422.86 -109.74
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,235.58 -18.21 vs. Prior day: 12,253.79 -7.02
(DJIA closed .55% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.38% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday March 28 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 50%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 94%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 58.4% / 58.4% / 59.6% / 56.3%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 23 vs. Down 8 (-1 vs +1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 74% vs Yesterday 77% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of day 3-27-08 (hold stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 32% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today -0.09 vs Yesterday -0.34 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -475 vs Yesterday -183 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -475 -32.7% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,253 / Intermediate Term 12,458 / Breakout 12,663
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,235 / Intermediate Term 12,021 / Breakdown 11,807

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday .55% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.38% previously. The daily Dow Trend rose Thursday to a reading of 74, changing the Trend to "Down" from "Up." The daily Dow Outlook is Bullish at a reading of 53. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change turned lower. Investors should now "Hold" and await confirmation that the Trend has truly changed.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .02% vs Yesterday .06% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 56.55% vs Yesterday 64.13% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 53.45% vs Yesterday 58.29% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.08% vs Yesterday .01% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 53% vs. Yesterday 52% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed near its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 36.3% vs Yesterday 42.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -46% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -42% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -5% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (a short-term overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 17 vs. Yesterday 97 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 32 vs. Yesterday 12 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Friday March 28 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 94%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 50%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 74% vs. 77% prior day (Hold)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Thursday 3-27-08
DJIA Momentum: Falling 32% vs. 39% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 53% vs. 52% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 36.3% vs. 42.9% prior day

17 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Friday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 28 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALV OFV: 50.51 (1.44) +53-
ATVI OFV: 26.86 (0.70) +66+
BCE OFV: 35.89 (1.29) -40+
DBC OFV: 37.27 (2.51) +81+
ENZN OFV: 9.12 (0.34) +79+
GME OFV: 53.85 (3.50) +78+
HNZ OFV: 46.08 (1.05) +80+
IBM OFV: 115.39 (1.76) +77-
K OFV: 51.75 (0.71) +84+
MXWL OFV: 11.25 (0.44) +93+
PRKR OFV: 7.74 (0.77) +56+
RDK OFV: 35.61 (1.05) +70-
SKF OFV: 111.81 (10.11) +53+
TEVA OFV: 46.00 (0.88) +53+
TYC OFV: 44.70 (1.00) +97-
VARI OFV: 57.09 (2.21) +81+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

32 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 27 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AMN
BMY
CERN
CTB
CYN
DLB
ED
EEFT
FDS
GAS
GLBL
HANS
HTCH
KND
MDCI
MICC
MOT
MU
PHO
POSS
RE
SCHW
SCS
SY
TLT
TRC
TSO
VLO
WB
WGO
WM
XHB

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*THURSDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,289,824.83 3-27-08 Change +$4,972.10
Account Value $1,284,857.58 3-26-08 Change +$16,925.37
Account Value $1,267,932.21 3-25-08 Change +$3,147.74
Account Value $1,264,784.47 3-24-08 Change +$2,020.74
Account Value $1,262,763.73 3-20-08 Change +$31,109.29
Account Value $1,231,654.44 3-19-08 Change +$13,022.21
Account Value $1,218,632.23 3-18-08 Change +$14,841.06
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Long DIA

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday March 27 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 3-26-08 DJIA closed: 12,422.86 -109.74 vs. Prior day: 12,532.60 -16.04
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,253.79 +7.22 vs. Prior day: 12,260.81 +7.22
(DJIA closed 1.38% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 2.22% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday March 27 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 45%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 77%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 54.7% / 53.8% / 52.9% / 52.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 24 vs. Down 7 (+1 vs +4 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 77% vs Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-18-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today -0.34 vs Yesterday -0.64 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -183 vs Yesterday -320 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -183 -12.6% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,260 / Intermediate Term 12,471 / Breakout 12,682
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,253 / Intermediate Term 12,039 / Breakdown 11,825

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday 1.38% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. 2.22% previously. The daily Dow Trend rose Wednesday to a reading of 77. The daily Dow Outlook went Bullish at a reading of 52. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change turned higher. Investors should ride the "Up" Trend until it changes direction and should not Short on the way to 12,700 resistance.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .06% vs Yesterday .10% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 55% vs Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 64.13% vs Yesterday 65.32% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 58.29% vs Yesterday 59.58% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .08% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising Today 52% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed near its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 42.9% vs Yesterday 46.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -34% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 10% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -30% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 15% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 97 vs. Yesterday 120 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 12 vs. Yesterday 19 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday March 27 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 77%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 77% vs. 74% prior day (Selective buying)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Monday 3-17-08
DJIA Momentum: Unch 39% vs. 39% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bullish Rising 52% vs. 42% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 42.9% vs. 44.4% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thursday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 27 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

97 stocks, too numerous to mention in detail tonight. Subscribe!

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

12 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 27 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AMN
DUG
ED
EEFT
HANS
MDCI
POSS
SCS
TLT
TRC
TSO
XHB
The DJIA is in a confirmed "Up Trend" and it is strongly suggested that Investors no longer short stocks until proven otherwise. Accumulate stocks judiciously on Thursday.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*WEDNESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,284,857.58 3-26-08 Change +$16,925.37
Account Value $1,267,932.21 3-25-08 Change +$3,147.74
Account Value $1,264,784.47 3-24-08 Change +$2,020.74
Account Value $1,262,763.73 3-20-08 Change +$31,109.29
Account Value $1,231,654.44 3-19-08 Change +$13,022.21
Account Value $1,218,632.23 3-18-08 Change +$14,841.06
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short DIA
Short AA

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday March 26 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.


Tuesday 3-25-08 DJIA closed: 12,532.60 -16.04 vs. Prior day: 12,548.64 +187.32
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,260.81 +7.22 vs. Prior day: 12,253.59 +12.59
(DJIA closed 2.22% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. 2.41% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday March 26 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 68%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 48%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Falling 62.2% / 63.4% / 64.7% / 62.9%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 23 vs. Down 8 (+4 vs +2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 74% vs Yesterday 61% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-18-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 45% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today -0.64 vs Yesterday 0.52 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -320 vs Yesterday -187 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -320 -22.1% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,261 / Intermediate Term 12,475 / Breakout 12,689
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,253 / Intermediate Term 12,042 / Breakdown 11,831

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Tuesday 2.22% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. 2.41% previously. The daily Dow Trend rose Tuesday to a reading of 74. The daily Dow Outlook was unchanged at 42. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change turned lower. Investors should expect a down day Wednesday. The upside potential of 12,700 may not be challenge immediately. Wednesdays have recently not done well, which coincides with our numbers for today.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .10% vs Yesterday .12% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Today 74% vs Yesterday 74% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, positive yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 65.32% vs Yesterday 64.77% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 59.58% vs Yesterday 55.93% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .08% vs Yesterday .14% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Unch Today 42% vs. Yesterday 42% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 46.7% vs Yesterday 44.4% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 11% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday 47% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today 15% vs. Yesterday 18% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 120 vs. Yesterday 91 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 19 vs. Yesterday 15 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

System Down, No Blog

System temporarily down.

Therefore, there will be no blog and the program is delayed.

We apologize for any inconvience, but we are working to restore the system.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday March 25 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-24-08 DJIA closed: 12,548.64 +187.32 vs. Prior day: 12,361.32 +261.66
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,253.59 +12.59 vs. Prior day: 12,244.14 -3.14
(DJIA closed 2.41% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. .98% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday March 25 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 45%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 13%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 19 vs. Down 12 (+2 vs +3 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 61% vs Yesterday 55% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-18-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.52 vs Yesterday 1.58 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -187 vs Yesterday -228 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -187 -12.9% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,253 / Intermediate Term 12,467 / Breakout 12,682
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,241 / Intermediate Term 12,033 / Breakdown 11,825

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday 2.41% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. .98% previously. The daily Dow Trend and daily Dow Outlook are trending "Up" and the DJIA 50-Day Net Change is about to go positive. Still, the upside potential is limited to 12,700 until proven otherwise. Tuesdays has been good recently, but today's has low statistics may produce a different story.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .12% vs Yesterday .08% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 74% vs Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 64.77% vs Yesterday 63.09% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 55.93% vs Yesterday 53.22% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .14% vs Yesterday .04% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 44.4% vs Yesterday 36.4% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 31% vs. Yesterday 14% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -36% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 0% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 11% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 30% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -27% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 47% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday 13% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 91 vs. Yesterday 73 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 15 vs. Yesterday 30 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 24, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday March 25 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 13%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 61% vs. 55% prior day (Selective buying)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Monday 3-17-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 45% vs. 39% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 42% vs. 39% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 44.4% vs. 34.2% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 24 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

Stocks are expected to fall Tuesday as Investors take profits from the recent run-up. Best to hold off for a day to add to your holdings.

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 25 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

There is now a confirmed "Up Trend" and it is strongly suggested that Investors no longer short stocks until proven otherwise. Accumulate stocks judiciously on Wednesday.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,264,784.47 3-24-08 Change +$2,020.74
Account Value $1,262,763.73 3-20-08 Change +$31,109.29
Account Value $1,231,654.44 3-19-08 Change +$13,022.21
Account Value $1,218,632.23 3-18-08 Change +$14,841.06
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short DIA
Short AA

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday March 24 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/24/08
Last Updated: 03/20/08
03/20/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 121.51
(High) 123.69
(Low) 120.90
(Close) 123.11

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.30
Today's Predicted High: 124.88
Today's Predicted Low: 121.35
Today's Proposed Range: 3.53
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy (up from buy)

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 53 Up from 44
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.80/1.22 Down
Current Trend: Positive 14 Up from 7
Demand Factor: 97 Up from 89
Stock Volatility: 1.31 Down from 5.18

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/20/08 12:45 Close: 122.59
Upside Potential: 127.09
Downside Potential: 120.03

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.32
2. 123.94
3. 125.57
4. 126.16

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 121.22
2. 120.65
3. 119.08
4. 118.48

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.71
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.59
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.84
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.08
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.40
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.35
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 130.81
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 131.87

Dow Jones Industrial Average and Diamonds (DIA)
DJIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 51%
DIA Probability of Being Up Monday: 23%
DJIA Trend: Bullish 55%, Rising
DIA Trend: Bearish 45%, yet Rising
Dow Outlook: Bearish 39%, yet Rising
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish 36.4, yet Rising

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?- None

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Monday March 24 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Thursday 3-20-08 DJIA closed: 12,361.32 +261.66 vs. Prior day: 12,099.66 -293.00
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,244.14 -3.14 vs. Prior day: 12,244.14 -11.21
(DJIA closed .98% aboveits falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.18% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday March 24 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 51%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 23%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 52.0% / 51.0% / 52.0% / 50.0%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 17 vs. Down 14 (+3 vs -1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 55% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-18-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.58 vs Yesterday 2.38 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -228 vs Yesterday -728 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -228 -15.7% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,244 / Intermediate Term 12,457 / Breakout 12,670
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,241 / Intermediate Term 12,027 / Breakdown 11,813

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday .98% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.18% previously. The daily Dow Trend and daily Dow Outlook are trending "Up" and the DJIA 50-Day Net Change is about to go positive. Still, the upside potential is limited to 12,700 until proven otherwise. Mondays has been good recently, but today's has low statistics may produce a different story.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .08% vs Yesterday .07% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 52% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 63.09% vs Yesterday 52.45% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 53.22% vs Yesterday 45.35% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .00% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 36.4% vs Yesterday 28.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 14% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -36% vs. Yesterday -35% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 0% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Unch Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -27% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Ris Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 29% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday 8% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 73 vs. Yesterday 5 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 30 vs. Yesterday 65 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 23, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 3-24-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 23%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 51%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (3-24 through 3-28)
Information provided by:
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 50 Rising 52.0% / 51.0% / 52.0% / 50.0%

Tuesdays: Past 52 Rising 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6%

Wednesdays: Past 53 Falling 62.2% / 63.4% / 64.7% / 62.9%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 53 Rising 54.7% / 53.8% / 52.9% / 52.7%

Fridays: Past 53 Falling 58.4% / 58.4% / 59.6% / 56.3%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 261 Days Rising 56.7% / 56.4% / 56.7% / 55.8%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA SELL-
86/ 1.92 49D -0.05+
AIG SELL 29+ 2.30 28U -0.07+
AXP BUY+ 51+ 2.54 46U 0.08+
BA SELL 33+ 2.21 21U -0.49+
BAC BUY+ 100+ 2.17 62U 0.00+
C SELL 15+ 1.54 26U -0.17+
CAT S/BUY 67+ 2.91 78U 0.26+
CVX SELL+ 96+ 2.75 47U -0.02+
DD BUY 27+ 1.91 43D 0.01/
DIA S/BUY+ 97+ 3.53 53U 0.14+
DIS SELL+ 88+ 0.83 57U -0.04+
GE S/BUY 90+ 1.53 86U 0.27+
GM SELL 22+ 1.83 17U -0.33+
HD BUY+ 60+ 1.25 48U 0.05+
HPQ S/SELL- 36- 1.97 41D -0.03+
IBM BUY 100+ 3.64 98U 0.84+
INTC BUY 50+ 0.88 69U 0.16+
JNJ S/BUY 53+ 1.85 69U 0.18+
JPM S/BUY+ 84+ 3.06 77U 0.17+
KO S/BUY+ 74+ 1.28 77U 0.31+
MCD SELL 94+ 1.63 57U -0.07+
MMM SELL- 46- 3.07 47D -0.10+
MRK S/SELL 57+ 1.83 34U -0.33/
MSFT S/SELL 11+ 1.22 48U -0.02/
PFE SELL+ 0/ 0.68 10D -0.20+
PG S/BUY 40+ 1.46 65U 0.33+
T BUY 99+ 1.45 70U 0.28+
UTX SELL+ 58+ 2.00 35U -0.15+
VZ SELL 94+ 1.53 47U 0.12+
WMT S/BUY+ 100+ 1.29 92U 0.32+
XOM BUY+ 99+ 2.95 53U -0.07+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

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Our firm covers 1,000 selected stocks and provides in-depth stock market research.
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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top Selected BEST Positive Stocks (Buy-Long Ideas)
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 3-24-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ACL
AMB
ARE
ATK
AZN
BAC
BBH
BGG
BMC
CCU
CELG
CHCO
CNH
COHU
CQB
CS
DB
DBC
DNB
DRE
EEB
ENZN
EPD
EQY
EWM
EWT
EWY
FAF
FBN
FITB
FNF
GYMB
IBM
IFLO
IGW
KIM
KOP
LNN
MAA
MAC
MCRS
NDN
NITE
NKE
NLY
NTRS
NYT
PKOH
PCLM
PLD
PNC
PRKR
PVH
QSFT
RRC
SLGN
SNV
SNX
SPLS
STT
TMK
TNB
TRMK
UDR
USB
VFC
VRTX
WMT
WRE
WWW
WY
XLV
YUM
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top Selected Negative Stocks (Short-Sale Ideas)
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 3-24-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ABX OFV: 42.67 (2.20) -10- vol 11.456
ATHR OFV: 20.83 (1.26) -5+ vol 1.776
BIDU OFV: 210.17 (18.73) -7- vol 7.874
BOOM OFV: 40.40 (3.03) -7+ vol .456
CERN OFV: 39.18 (1.58) -6- vol .938
DLX OFV: 19.46 (0.89) -6- vol .695
EEFT OFV: 20.12 (0.80) -11- vol .652
GLD OFV: 90.58 (1.62) -21- vol 11.991
HTCH OFV: 15.55 (0.64) -9+ vol .701
KND OFV: 21.65 (0.90) -25+ vol .533
MATR OFV: 21.23 (1.15) -6+ vol .578
MNI OFV: 9.10 (0.33) -18+ vol .703
NEM OFV: 47.07 (2.08) -7- vol 9.404
PFE OFV: 20.60 (0.68) -10- vol 43.221
SHFL OFV: 5.51 (0.63) -4- vol .771
WTS OFV: 28.80 (1.65) -40- vol .552
OFV: Opening Fair Value

The Stock Market may experience so profit taking Monday. However, both the Dow Trend and Outlook remain positive in an "Up" Trend at this time.

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, March 22, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 20, 2008 (Historic: Highs /Lows)

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 36.4% vs Last week: 25.8% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 39% vs Last week: 29% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 12,361.32 vs Last week: 11,951.09 +410.23 / Prior week: +51.40
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,241.00 vs Last week: 12,272.61 -31.61 / Prior week: -70.99
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising -228 vs Last week -1093 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08)
DJIA Trend: Rising 55% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 39% vs Last week: 26% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling 1.58% vs Last week: 3.29% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,457 vs Last week 12,502 -45 / Prior week: -64
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,669 vs Last week 12,702
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,027 vs Last week: 12,058 -31 / Prior week: -70
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,813 vs Last week: 11,843
DJIA Directional Indicator: Rising -3.14 vs Last week: -28.62 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -377 vs Last week: -455 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Rising -281 vs Last week: -328 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising 1.0% vs Last week: -2.6% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): BUY / Last week: Sell
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising 97 vs Last week: -70 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 54 vs Last week: 34 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Rising 76 vs Last week: 56 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Rising 52 vs Last week: 33 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 1.6 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)
Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .05% vs Last week: .0% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 52% vs Last week: 29% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Rising 63.09% vs Last week: 45.48 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Rising 53.22% vs Last week: 38.45% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Rising .04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Unch 110 vs Last week: 110 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Rising .086 vs Last week: -.241 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Falling 3.41% vs Last week: 3.46% (5.27% / Low 3.43%)***************************************************************************************************************** 108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.14 vs Last week: -.16 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.08 vs Last week: -.34 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.36 vs Last week: -.33 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 46-
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.12 vs Last week: -.24 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 81+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.00 vs Last week: -.12 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57+
1. Biotech
BBH: +.33 vs Last week: +.49 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
2. Broadband
BDH: +.06 vs Last week: -.16 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: -.06 vs Last week: +.34 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 37-
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -2.18 vs Last week: -2.24 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 48+
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.40 vs Last week: +.69 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.00 vs Last week: -.36 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84+
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: +.05 vs Last week: -.23 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 9-
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: -.01 vs Last week: -.24 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 89+
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: -.14 vs Last week: +.16 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 4-
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.11 vs Last week: -.03 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.51 vs Last week: -.35 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.01 vs Last week: +.01 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 95+
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.38 vs Last week: -.20 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
14. Australia
EWA: -.01 vs Last week: +.04 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91-
15. Canada
EWC: -.09 vs Last week: +.08 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
16. Sweden
EWD: +.24 vs Last week: +.30 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 99+
17. Germany
EWG: +.06 vs Last week: -.03 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.18 vs Last week: -.20 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
19. Italy
EWI: -.03 vs Last week: -.03 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 16+
20. Japan
EWJ: -.03 vs Last week: -.11 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76+
21. Belgium
EWK: +.04 vs Last week: -.00 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 31/
22. Switzerland
EWL: +.24 vs Last week: +.20 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 66+
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.22 vs Last week: +.13 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
24. Netherlands
EWN: +.05 vs Last week: +.07 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 63/
25. Austria
EWO: -.34 vs Last week: -.36 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
26. Spain
EWP: -.03 vs Last week: -.07 (High .75 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29+
27. France
EWQ: +.04 vs Last week: +.07 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94+
28. Singapore
EWS: +.05 vs Last week: -.00 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41+
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.32 vs Last week: +.18 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
30. United Kingdom
EWU: -.06 vs Last week: +.07 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 84-
31. Mexico
EWW: +.10 vs Last week: -.02 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
32. South Korea
EWY: -.00 vs Last week: -.17 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
33. Brazil
EWZ: -.35 vs Last week: +.01 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 76+
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -1.11 vs Last week: -.99 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66+
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: +.94 vs Last week: +.75 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 5-
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: -.27 vs Last week: +.65 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
36. Internet
HHH: -.05 vs Last week: -.35 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21+
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: +.21 vs Last week: -.00 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 9+
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: -.19 vs Last week: -.33 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93+
39. Comex Gold
IAU: -.01 vs Last week: +.70 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 84-
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.24 vs Last week: -.33 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20-
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.45 vs Last week: -.39 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36+
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.44 vs Last week: +.04 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
43. Utilities
IDU: -.43 vs Last week: -.00 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53+
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.05 vs Last week: -.01 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96+
45. Natural Resources
IGE: -.43 vs Last week: +.24 (High 1.25 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90+
46. Networking
IGN: +.09 vs Last week: -.07 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24+
47. Software
IGV: -.02 vs Last week: -.34 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39+
48. Semiconductor
IGW: +.30 vs Last week: -.11 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100+
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.35 vs Last week: -.42 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68+
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: +.16 vs Last week: -.06 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 30+
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.19 vs Last week: -.21 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.12 vs Last week: -.12 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.00 vs Last week: -.10 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: -.78 vs Last week: +.12 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94+
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.19 vs Last week: -.38 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15/
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.14 vs Last week: -.27 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: -.23 vs Last week: -.21 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 23-
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.18 vs Last week: -.16 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 84+
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.12 vs Last week: -.08 (High .78 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
60. Energy
IYE: -.27 vs Last week: +.25 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 92+
61. Financial Services
IYG: -.00 vs Last week: -.66 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 67+
62. Healthcare
IYH: -.15 vs Last week: -.41 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
63. Industrial
IYJ: +.09 vs Last week: -.06 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 26+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.26 vs Last week: +.10 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60+
65. Basic Materials
IYM: -.28 vs Last week: +.04 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 75+
66. Real Estate
IYR: +.29 vs Last week: +.03 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98-
67. Transportation
IYT: +.08 vs Last week: -.17 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: +.06 vs Last week: -.16 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 59+
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.03 vs Last week: -.13 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 63+
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.04 vs Last week: -.19 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88+
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.24 vs Last week: +.30 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 9-
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.31 vs Last week: -.58 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18+
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: +.02 vs Last week: -.27 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 22+
74. Oil Services
OIH: -.55 vs Last week: +.34 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 65-
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.18 vs Last week: -.24 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 24+
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: +.02 vs Last week: -.25 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 93+
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: +.10 vs Last week: -.24 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 89+
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.03 vs Last week: +.25 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 11-
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.17 vs Last week: -.47 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+
80. Regional Banks
RKH: +.08 vs Last week: -.77 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 98+
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.19 vs Last week: -.17 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25+
82. Retail
RTH: +.12 vs Last week: -.28 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 83+
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.33 vs Last week: +.14 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 95+
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.02 vs Last week: +.25 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 12-
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: +.07 vs Last week: +.64 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 18-
86. Silver Trust
SLV: -.46 vs Last week: +1.80 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 43-
87. Semiconductor
SMH: +.03 vs Last week: -.10 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 23+
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: -.81 vs Last week: -.07 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1+
89. Software
SWH: -.07 vs Last week: -.28 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6+
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.29 vs Last week: +.15 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 37+
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: +.12 vs Last week: -.15 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 67+
92. Utilities
UTH: +.12 vs Last week: +.05 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99-
93. Wireless
WMH: -.03 vs Last week: -.16 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: +.13 vs Last week: -.07 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 29+
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: -.04 vs Last week: +.15 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 86-
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: -.27 vs Last week: +.16 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.01 vs Last week: -.20 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 93+
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.09 vs Last week: -.04 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 56+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.02 vs Last week: -.10 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 52+
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.10 vs Last week: +.03 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 47+
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.06 vs Last week: -.02 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96+
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.02 vs Last week: -.00 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 96+
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: -.47 vs Last week: +.25 (High .98 / Low -.78) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 81-

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 36/Sell 72(33%) vs. Last week: Buy 36/Sell 72(33%) vs. Prior week: Buy 43/Sell 65(40%)

DJIA 6 weeks: +410.23(3-20) +51.40 (3-14) -366.70(3-7) -114.63(2-29) +32.81(2-22) +166.08(2-15)

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http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

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The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day's trading
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating a portion of our program

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com to see what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory for any stock or ETF that you trade.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,604 since April 2005

Thursday, March 20, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday March 20 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/20/08
Last Updated: 03/19/08
03/19/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 124.45
(High) 124.82
(Low) 121.02
(Close) 121.25
(Range) 3.80

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.90
Today's Predicted High: 122.81
Today's Predicted Low: 119.70
Today's Proposed Range: 3.11
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday -1.18% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.12% previously. Monday, 3-17-08, the daily Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." However, the Trend produced a "Hold" from "Up" on Wednesday due to the drubbing in yesterday's trading. This will likely revert back to an "Up" Trend after Thursday's anticipated holiday rally.

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 44 Down from 47
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.90/1.20 Down
Current Trend: Positive 7 Down from 27
Demand Factor: 89 Down from 100
Stock Volatility: 5.18 Up from 2.81

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/19/08 12:45 Close: 122.63
Upside Potential: 123.35
Downside Potential: 117.13

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.44
2. 123.68
3. 126.94
4. 127.32

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 122.32
2. 121.96
3. 118.83
4. 118.60

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.05
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.63
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.81
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.02
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.45
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.51
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 130.84
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 131.94

Dow Jones Industrial Average and Diamonds (DIA)
DJIA Probability of Being Up Thursday: 68%
DIA Probability of Being Up Thursday: 97%
Trend: Neutral 45%
Momentum: Unch 45%
Dow Outlook: Bearish 35%, yet Rising
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish 28.9 Falling

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?-
Long DIA
Long MA

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday March 20 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 3-19-08 DJIA closed: 12,099.66 -293.00 vs. Prior day: 12,392.66 +420.41
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,244.14 -11.21 vs. Prior day: 12,255.45 +2.11
(DJIA closed -1.18% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.12% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday March 20 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 68%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 97%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 53.8% / 52.9% / 52.7% / 53.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 14 vs. Down 17 (-1 vs +2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 45% vs Yesterday 48% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Hold" from "Up" as of day 3-19-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, New Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 45% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 2.38 vs Yesterday 1.57 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -728 vs Yesterday -408 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -408 3-10-08 (today -728 -50.2% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,255 / Intermediate Term 12,463 / Breakout 12,672
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,244 / Intermediate Term 12,029 / Breakdown 11,815

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday -1.18% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. 1.12% previously. Monday, 3-17-08, the daily Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." However, the Trend produced a "Hold" from "Up" on Wednesday due to the drubbing in yesterday's trading. This will likely revert back to an "Up" Trend after Thursday's anticipated holiday rally.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .07% vs Yesterday .09% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 45% vs Yesterday 58% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 52.45% vs Yesterday 65.64% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 45.35% vs Yesterday 48.74% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today .00% vs Yesterday .08% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 28.9% vs Yesterday 41.2% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -35% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday 21% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Unch Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 16% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 5 vs. Yesterday 138 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 65 vs. Yesterday 22 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday March 20 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 97%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 68%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DJIA Trend: Falling 45% vs. 48% prior day (hold, selective buying)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Neutral" from "Up" Wednesday 3-19-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 45% vs. 45% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 35% vs. 33% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 28.9% vs. 41.2% prior day

13 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thursday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 20 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
Stocks are expected to rise Thursday as Investors wrap up futures and options trading in a holiday environment. Thursday will be a good day to resume buying stocks.
AMB OFV: 52.37 (2.43) +70+
FAF OFV: 33.34 (1.45) +42+
LNN OFV: 89.08 (4.61) +76+
MAA OFV: 51.83 (2.71) +90+
PLD OFV: 58.20 (2.73) +75+
ACL OFV: 139.30 (3.81) +49+
PNRA OFV: 42.84 (1.69) +92-
CELG OFV: 57.82 (1.92) +67+
NYT OFV: 19.30 (1.31) +59+
UDR OFV: 24.83 (1.03) +82-
EQY OFV: 23.77 (1.23) +75+
CRA OFV: 14.68 (0.60) +63+
DBC OFV: 36.73 (0.90) +67-
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 20 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

There is now a confirmed "Up Trend" and it is strongly suggested that Investors no longer short stocks until proven otherwise. Accumulate stocks judiciously.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*THURSDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,262,763.73 3-20-08 Change +$31,109.29
Account Value $1,231,654.44 3-19-08 Change +$13,022.21
Account Value $1,218,632.23 3-18-08 Change +$14,841.06
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Long DIA
Long MA

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday March 19 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 3-18-08 DJIA closed: 12,392.66 +420.41 vs. Prior day: 11,972.25 +21.16
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,255.45 +2.11 vs. Prior day: 12,253.34 -19.27
(DJIA closed 1.12% above its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.29% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday March 19 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 46%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 0%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Falling 63.4% / 64.7% / 62.9% / 62.2
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 15 vs. Down 16 (+2 vs +1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 48% vs Yesterday 42% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-17-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, New Buy as of Tuesday 3-18-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 45% vs Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.57 vs Yesterday 3.34 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -408 vs Yesterday -1084 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -408 3-10-08 (today -1084 -28.1% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,255 / Intermediate Term 12,470 / Breakout 12,684
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,253 / Intermediate Term 12,040 / Breakdown 11,826

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Tuesday 1.12% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -2.29% previously. Monday, 3-17-08, the daily Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." The weekly and the daily Dow Trend are moving higher in sync. This is quite Bullish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher Tuesday as did the DJIA Outlook. FOMC lowered interest rates Tuesday by .75, which will enable the Stock Market to advance after profit taking today.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .09% vs Yesterday .05% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 58% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 65.64% vs Yesterday 52.38% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 48.74% vs Yesterday 39.32% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .08% vs Yesterday -.04% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 33% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 41.2% vs Yesterday 25.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 13% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 21% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 25% vs. Yesterday 9% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday -2% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 138 vs. Yesterday 41 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 22 vs. Yesterday 68 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday March 19 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 0%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 46%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 48% vs. 42% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Monday 3-17-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 45% vs. 19% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 33% vs. 30% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 41.2% vs. 25.3% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Wednesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 19 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

Stocks may pull back Wednesday, so don't chase stocks you want to own because Thursday may be a better day to Buy.

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 19 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

There is now a confirmed "Up Trend" and it is strongly suggested that Investors no longer short stocks until proven otherwise. Accumulate stocks judiciously.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,218,632.23 3-18-08 Change +$14,841.06
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short DIA
Short MA

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday March 18 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/18/08
Last Updated: 03/17/08
03/17/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 117.90
(High) 120.96
(Low) 117.65
(Close) 119.96
(Range) 3.31

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 119.21
Today's Predicted High: 121.11
Today's Predicted Low: 118.81
Today's Proposed Range: 2.30
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday -2.29% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.62% previously. Monday, 3-17-08, the daily Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." Now the weekly and the daily Dow Trend are moving higher in sync. This is quite Bullish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher Monday, and the DJIA Outlook moved higher as well. FOMC meeting to lower interest rates Tuesday will enable the Stock Market to advance from here.

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 35 Down from 36
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.50/1.20 Up
Current Trend: Negative 0 Up from -16
Demand Factor: 100 Up from 88
Stock Volatility: 5.33 Down from 6.56

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/17/08 12:45 Close: 119.07
Upside Potential: 122.77
Downside Potential: 118.17

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 120.00
2. 120.26
3. 122.36
4. 123.38

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 118.54
2. 117.56
3. 115.54
4. 115.30

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 120.35
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.70
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.93
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.04
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.67
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.88
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 130.96
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.07

Dow Jones Industrial Average and Diamonds (DIA)
DJIA Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 51%
DIA Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 35%
Trend: Rising 42%
Momentum: Falling 19%
Dow Outlook: Bearish 30% Rising
Stock Market Outlook: 25.3 Falling

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?- None

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday March 18 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-17-08 DJIA closed: 11,972.25 +21.16 vs. Prior day: 11,951.09 -194.65
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,253.34 -19.27 vs. Prior day: 12,272.61 -28.62
(DJIA closed -2.29% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.62% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday March 18 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 51%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 35%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Rising 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 13 vs. Down 18 (+1 vs -2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 42% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-17-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Unch Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 19% vs Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 3.34 vs Yesterday 3.29 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -1084 vs Yesterday -1093 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -1084 -74.7% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,272 / Intermediate Term 12,477 / Breakout 12,682
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,253 / Intermediate Term 12,039 / Breakdown 11,825

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday -2.29% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.62% previously. Monday, 3-17-08, the daily Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." Now the weekly and the daily Dow Trend are moving higher in sync. This is quite Bullish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher Monday, and the DJIA Outlook moved higher as well. FOMC meeting to lower interest rates Tuesday will enable the Stock Market to advance from here.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .05% vs Yesterday .0% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 39% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 52.38% vs Yesterday 45.48% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 39.32% vs Yesterday 38.45% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.04% vs Yesterday -.12% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 30% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 25.3% vs Yesterday 25.8% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -31% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -42% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 9% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -7% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 41 vs. Yesterday 32 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 68 vs. Yesterday 61 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 17, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday March 18 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 35%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 51%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DJIA Trend: Rising 42% vs. 39% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Monday 3-17-08
DJIA Momentum: Falling 19% vs. 23% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 30% vs. 29% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 25.3% vs. 25.8% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 18 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AA OFV: 37.02 (1.24) +73- Vol 14.088
ACC OFV: 26.94 (0.91) +64/ Vol 0.321
AMB OFV: 49.12 (1.93) +53/ Vol 1.197
AU OFV: 33.68 (1.08) -32- Vol 2.081
CBST OFV: 18.13 (0.66) +51- Vol 1.201
CEF OFV: 14.72 (0.33) +99+ Vol 0.753
CHCO OFV: 36.17 (1.48) +51+ Vol 0.096
CQB OFV: 21.89 (1.08) +96+ Vol 0.951
CRA OFV: 13.56 (0.42) -48/ Vol 0.591
DIA OFV: 119.21 (2.30) -35- Vol 17.084
ENZN OFV: 8.51 (0.35) +56+ Vol 0.735
EQY OFV: 21.85 (0.88) +61+ Vol 0.654
ETN OFV: 79.71 (2.17) +53- Vol 1.811
GYMB OFV: 38.60 (2.11) +71/ Vol 1.158
HP OFV: 44.73 (1.37) +80- Vol 1.359
HPT OFV: 34.95 (1.13) +65+ Vol 1.046
IAU OFV: 99.40 (1.22) +97/ Vol 0.353
IBM OFV: 114.84 (2.76) +88- Vol 9.338
ICF OFV: 74.57 (2.62) -48- Vol 1.721
IR OFV: 42.59 (1.46) +75- Vol 5.563
IYR OFV: 61.35 (2.24) -46- Vol 10.061
MA OFV: 200.34 (10.85) +70- Vol 3.835
MAA OFV: 49.31 (2.10) +80+ Vol 0.367
MAC OFV: 62.07 (2.10) -42+ Vol 0.968
MWV OFV: 26.06 (0.78) +58- Vol 1.942
NBR OFV: 31.22 (0.89) +80- Vol 6.118
NLY OFV: 13.06 (1.64) -28+ Vol 13.328
PLD OFV: 53.87 (1.94) +55+ Vol 3.325
PNRA OFV: 40.03 (1.52) +82+ Vol 0.788
PX OFV: 82.08 (3.18) +67+ Vol 2.361
RRC OFV: 60.06 (2.44) +75- Vol 2.763
SPG OFV: 86.49 (4.10) +62+ Vol 2.621
UDR OFV: 23.96 (0.81) +80+ Vol 2.201
UTH OFV: 122.61 (2.14) -43- Vol 0.094
VFC OFV: 75.78 (2.99) +64/ Vol 1.115
YUM OFV: 36.01 (1.07) +71+ Vol 4.824
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 18 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

There is now a confirmed "Up Trend" and it is strongly suggested that Investors follow the list above and not trade against the rising Trend. Accumulate stocks.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,204,377.75 3-17-08 Change +$28,121.64
Account Value $1,176,256.11 3-14-08 Change +$33,940.14
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author- None

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Monday March 17 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

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Friday 3-14-08 DJIA closed: 11,951.09 -194.65 vs. Prior day: 12,145.74 +35.50
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,272.61 -28.62 vs. Prior day: 12,301.23 -10.85
(DJIA closed -2.62% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.26% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday March 17 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 68%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 97%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Falling 51.0% / 52.0% / 50.0% / 48.9%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 12 vs. Down 19 (-2 vs +6 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 45% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of day 3-14-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 26% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 3.29 vs Yesterday 2.50 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -1093 vs Yesterday -1119 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -1093 -75.4% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,301 / Intermediate Term 12,501 / Breakout 12,702
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,272 / Intermediate Term 12,057 / Breakdown 11,843

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday -2.62% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.27% previously. Friday, 3-14-08, the daily Dow Trend changed directions to "Down" from "Up." The Weekly Dow Trend turned "Up," presenting a dichotomy between the daily and the weekly Trend. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher Friday, but the DJIA Outlook remains in Bearish territority. Still, the FOMC meeting is Tuesday with the potential of a large rate cut. The Federal Reserve is pumping money into the financial system at an unprecented rate. This should alter the Stock Market's decent and present an opportunity to own quality stocks. March Futures and Options expire Friday. Scary Market, but the wild ride should be over this week.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .0% vs Yesterday .03% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 29% vs Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 45.48% vs Yesterday 51.93% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 38.45% vs Yesterday 44.12% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.12% vs Yesterday -.01% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Unch Today 29% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 25.8% vs Yesterday 37.7% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -34% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -33% vs. Yesterday -10% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -24% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -33% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday 2% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 32 vs. Yesterday 68 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 61 vs. Yesterday 15 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 3-17-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 97%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 68%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (3-17 through 3-21)
Information provided by:http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 49 Falling 51.0% / 52.0% / 50.0% / 48.9%

Tuesdays: Past 51 Rising 54.9% / 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7%

Wednesdays: Past 52 Falling 63.4% / 64.7% / 62.9% / 62.2
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 52 Rising 53.8% / 52.9% / 52.7% / 53.7%

Fridays: Past 53 Falling 58.4% / 59.6% / 56.3% / 57.4%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 257 Days Falling 56.4% / 56.7% / 55.8% / 55.7%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA S/BUY
100+ 1.49 81D 0.26+
AIG SELL 9- 2.23 9D -0.19+
AXP S/SELL 5- 2.12 17D -0.40+
BA SELL 31+ 2.78 18U -0.50+
BAC SELL 60- 1.96 20D -0.41+
C SELL 0- 1.31 8D -0.46+
CAT S/BUY 50- 2.45 80D 0.24+
CVX BUY 87- 2.36 66D 0.33+
DD S/BUY 27+ 1.41 63D 0.04+
DIA SELL- 88- 2.51 36D -0.16+
DIS S/SELL 68- 0.61 41D -0.16+
GE BUY- 38/ 0.94 53D -0.05+
GM SELL 10- 1.17 6D -0.47+
HD S/SELL 41- 1.05 25D -0.16+
HPQ SELL- 42- 1.19 48D 0.14+
IBM BUY 100/ 2.78 89D 0.61+
INTC SELL- 33- 0.65 56D -0.08+
JNJ SELL 24- 0.87 35D -0.09+
JPM SELL 19- 2.17 13D -0.44+
KO SELL 30- 0.80 34D -0.05+
MCD SELL 91+ 1.31 59U -0.08/
MMM SELL 39- 1.83 37D -0.25+
MRK S/SELL 37- 1.22 12D -0.55+
MSFT S/SELL 4- 0.75 32D -0.17+
PFE S/SELL 0- 0.50 6D -0.30+
PG BUY+ 25- 0.64 43D 0.06+
T S/SELL- 78- 1.03 38D -0.11+
UTX S/SELL 45- 1.74 23D -0.35+
VZ S/SELL 65- 0.97 21D -0.23+
WMT BUY- 83- 1.09 70D 0.00+
XOM S/BUY 81- 2.24 53D 0.04+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

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Our firm covers 1,000 selected stocks and provides in-depth stock market research.
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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 3-17-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
*AA OFV: 38.06 (1.49) +81- Vol: 14.137
ACC OFV: 27.15 (1.07) +64/ Vol: 0.321
*AMB OFV: 49.44 (1.90) +53- Vol: 1.194
AU OFV: 34.69 (1.36) -38- Vol: 2.052
BMC OFV: 33.75 (1.24) +80- Vol: 2.564
BPT OFV: 96.14 (2.89) +97+ Vol: 0.147
CBST OFV: 18.60 (0.53) +66- Vol: 1.118
CEF OFV: 14.43 (0.35) +98+ Vol: 0.724
CHCO OFV: 36.18 (1.31) -48- Vol: 0.96
CLB OFV: 122.27 (4.09) +55- Vol: 0.272
CRA OFV: 13.89 (0.41) -48+ Vol: 0.587
DWSN OFV: 68.38 (3.17) +80- Vol: 0.221
ENZN OFV: 8.54 (0.32) +51+ Vol: 0.754
*ETN OFV: 81.72 (2.21) +60/ Vol: 1.795
*GYMB OFV: 39.33 (2.18) +71- Vol: 1.151
HP OFV: 45.49 (1.37) +81+ Vol: 1.346
HPT OFV: 34.69 (0.98) +61- Vol: 1.041
IAU OFV: 98.82 (1.26) +97+ Vol: 0.337
*IBM OFV: 114.87 (2.78) +89- Vol: 9.345
IP OFV: 31.93 (0.97) +63+ Vol: 3.876
*IYR OFV: 62.31 (2.24) +51- Vol: 9.964
KGC OFV: 26.45 (1.26) +91+ Vol: 7.167
KOP OFV: 42.87 (1.67) +91- Vol: 0.227
MAA OFV: 49.30 (2.19) +78- Vol: 0.365
MWV OFV: 26.32 (0.71) +59/ Vol: 1.925
NBR OFV: 31.78 (0.93) +90+ Vol: 5.975
PKOH OFV: 16.25 (1.18) -29/ Vol: 0.52
PNRA OFV: 39.94 (1.43) +74+ Vol: 0.815
*RRC OFV: 62.41 (2.50) +78+ Vol: 2.761
SSP OFV: 41.70 (0.83) +52+ Vol: 0.979
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 3-17-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ADCT
ADTN
ADVS
ANIK
APSG
ASFI
BAX
BC
BMY
BRCM
BSC
C
CAH
CERN
CIT
CLX
COST
CSGS
CYN
DAKT
DBD
DELL
ED
ESIO
ESLR
GLBL
GS
HGSI
HRB
HTCH
INTU
IRF
KLAC
LEH
MCK
MDTH
MENT
MHP
MRCY
MVSN
NCC
NIHD
NOVN
NVDA
OSK
PANL
PFE
PGNX
POSS
Q
QSII
RESP
RHT
RNOW
RSCR
RSYS
RX
SHFL
SIGM
SRS
SWH
TECD
TMS
UBS
USU
WFMI
WNC
OFV: Opening Fair Value
The Stock Market is attempting to bottom here, and if so, Monday should be an "Up" day. Therefore, it would be best to focus on the Positive suggestions only.

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, March 15, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 14, 2008

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 25.8% vs Last week: 26.4% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 29% vs Last week: 36% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 11,951.09 vs Last week: 11,899.69 +51.40 / Prior week: -366.63
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,272.61 vs Last week: 12,343.60 -86.96 / Prior week: -86.96
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising -1093 vs Last week -1650 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08)
DJIA Trend: Rising 39% vs Last week: 26% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Rising 26% vs Last week: 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 3.29% vs Last week: 2.06% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,502 vs Last week 12,566 -64 / Prior week: -38
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,702 vs Last week 12,775
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,058 vs Last week: 12,128 -70 / Prior week: -40
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,843 vs Last week: 11,911
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -28.62 vs Last week: -14.30 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -455 vs Last week: -223 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -328 vs Last week: -187 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Rising -2.6% vs Last week: -3.6% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): Sell / Last week: SELL
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Rising -70 vs Last week: -166 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Rising 34 vs Last week: 16 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Rising 56 vs Last week: 26 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 33 vs Last week: 35 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Rising 1.1 vs Last week: 1.0 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)
Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling .0% vs Last week: .05% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Rising 29% vs Last week: 26% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 45.48% vs Last week: 47.06 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Rising 38.45% vs Last week: 32.00% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Falling -.12 vs Last week: -.01 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Falling 110 vs Last week: 111 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Rising -.241 vs Last week: -.512 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Unch 3.46% vs Last week: 3.46% (5.27% / Low 3.43%)***************************************************************************************************************** 108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: -.16 vs Last week: +.12 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 88+
S&P 500 Large-Cap
SPY: -.34 vs Last week: +.11 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+
S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: -.33 vs Last week: +.36 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 47+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: -.24 vs Last week: +.03 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 75-
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: -.12 vs Last week: +.01 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47-
1. Biotech
BBH: +.49 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 99+
2. Broadband
BDH: -.16 vs Last week: -.01 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32+
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.34 vs Last week: +.34 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -2.24 vs Last week: -4.33 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.69 vs Last week: +.68 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: -.36 vs Last week: +.12 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: -.23 vs Last week: -.57 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: -.24 vs Last week: +.06 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 77-
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: +.16 vs Last week: -.22 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 18+
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: -.03 vs Last week: +.28 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71+
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: -.35 vs Last week: +.50 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77-
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.01 vs Last week: +.24 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 81-
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: -.20 vs Last week: +.22 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 90+
14. Australia
EWA: +.04 vs Last week: +.19 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 92+
15. Canada
EWC: +.08 vs Last week: +.23 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
16. Sweden
EWD: +.30 vs Last week: -.00 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 97+
17. Germany
EWG: -.03 vs Last week: +.12 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70-
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.20 vs Last week: -.12 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 5-
19. Italy
EWI: -.03 vs Last week: -.35 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
20. Japan
EWJ: -.11 vs Last week: +.20 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 65-
21. Belgium
EWK: -.00 vs Last week: -.07 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 31-
22. Switzerland
EWL: +.20 vs Last week: -.15 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 59+
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.13 vs Last week: +.12 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 97-
24. Netherlands
EWN: +.07 vs Last week: +.04 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 63+
25. Austria
EWO: -.36 vs Last week: +.12 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71-
26. Spain
EWP: -.07 vs Last week: +.23 (High .75 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 26-
27. France
EWQ: +.07 vs Last week: +.31 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 87-
28. Singapore
EWS: -.00 vs Last week: -.04 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.18 vs Last week: +.20 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84-
30. United Kingdom
EWU: +.07 vs Last week: +.08 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90+
31. Mexico
EWW: -.02 vs Last week: +.30 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
32. South Korea
EWY: -.17 vs Last week: +.09 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94+
33. Brazil
EWZ: +.01 vs Last week: +.80 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 68-
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.99 vs Last week: -.07 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52-
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: +.75 vs Last week: -.32 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 27+
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.65 vs Last week: +.29 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
36. Internet
HHH: -.35 vs Last week: +.19 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 18+
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.00 vs Last week: -.13 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2/
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: -.33 vs Last week: +.07 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 50-
39. Comex Gold
IAU: +.70 vs Last week: +.36 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.33 vs Last week: -.17 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56+
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.39 vs Last week: -.52 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12-
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: +.04 vs Last week: -.10 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 95+
43. Utilities
IDU: -.00 vs Last week: -.02 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 41+
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: -.01 vs Last week: +.32 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 90-
45. Natural Resources
IGE: +.24 vs Last week: +1.25 (High 1.25 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
46. Networking
IGN: -.07 vs Last week: +.28 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19/
47. Software
IGV: -.34 vs Last week: +.07 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17-
48. Semiconductor
IGW: -.11 vs Last week: -.08 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39+
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.42 vs Last week: -.14 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58-
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.06 vs Last week: -.04 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 23+
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: -.21 vs Last week: +.21 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 67-
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: -.12 vs Last week: +.20 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 70+
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: -.10 vs Last week: +.02 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +.12 vs Last week: +1.94 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82-
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.38 vs Last week: -.13 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.27 vs Last week: -.08 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 15+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: -.21 vs Last week: +.33 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 33-
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.16 vs Last week: -.05 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58+
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: -.08 vs Last week: +.34 (High .78 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 82-
60. Energy
IYE: +.25 vs Last week: +.70 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-
61. Financial Services
IYG: -.66 vs Last week: +.02 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 48-
62. Healthcare
IYH: -.41 vs Last week: +.02 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66-
63. Industrial
IYJ: -.06 vs Last week: +.04 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.10 vs Last week: +.04 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54+
65. Basic Materials
IYM: +.04 vs Last week: +.44 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 64-
66. Real Estate
IYR: +.03 vs Last week: -.01 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 100/
67. Transportation
IYT: -.17 vs Last week: +.10 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 37+
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.16 vs Last week: -.01 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 35-
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.13 vs Last week: -.06 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: -.19 vs Last week: +.16 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 83-
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: +.30 vs Last week: -.37 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 14+
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.58 vs Last week: -.46 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 6-
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -.27 vs Last week: -.08 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 17-
74. Oil Services
OIH: +.34 vs Last week: +.66 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 72+
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: -.24 vs Last week: +.01 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20-
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.25 vs Last week: -.00 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 71+
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.24 vs Last week: -.22 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 20-
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: +.25 vs Last week: -.12 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 25+
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.47 vs Last week: -.09 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-
80. Regional Banks
RKH: -.77 vs Last week: +.10 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: -.17 vs Last week: +.04 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 8-
82. Retail
RTH: -.28 vs Last week: -.15 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74+
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: +.14 vs Last week: -.11 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 86-
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: +.25 vs Last week: -.23 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 24-
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: +.64 vs Last week: -.08 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 22+
86. Silver Trust
SLV: +1.80 vs Last week: +1.11 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.10 vs Last week: -.05 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12+
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: -.07 vs Last week: +.12 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 0-
89. Software
SWH: -.28 vs Last week: -.34 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1/
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: +.15 vs Last week: -.25 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 31-
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: -.15 vs Last week: +.07 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 57+
92. Utilities
UTH: +.05 vs Last week: -.01 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
93. Wireless
WMH: -.16 vs Last week: +.07 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 34+
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.07 vs Last week: -.19 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21+
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.15 vs Last week: +.15 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96+
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: +.16 vs Last week: +.49 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 90-
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: -.20 vs Last week: +.04 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43-
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: -.04 vs Last week: +.12 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 39+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: -.10 vs Last week: +.08 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 39-
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: +.03 vs Last week: -.02 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 44+
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: -.02 vs Last week: +.19 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: -.00 vs Last week: +.24 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 91-
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.25 vs Last week: +.98 (High .98 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 88-

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 36/Sell 72(33%) vs. Last week: Buy 43/Sell 65(40%) vs. Prior week: Buy 56/Sell 52(52%)

DJIA 6 weeks: +51.40 (3-14) -366.70(3-7) -114.63(2-29) +32.81(2-22) +166.08(2-15) -561.06(2-8)

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with Tiger Investment Software
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics does.

As Advertised on:
TraderDaily.com, Institutional Investor Magazine and TigerSoft.com

An Internet video webcast called MktMetrics Weekly appears late weekends on YouTube and Yahoo Video, that can be searched under: "MktMetrics"

www.galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (Always first information available)
The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day's trading
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating a portion of our program

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com to see what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory for any stock or ETF that you trade.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,593 since April 2005

Friday, March 14, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday March 14 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/14/08
Last Updated: 03/13/08
03/13/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 119.84
(High) 122.37
(Low) 118.97
(Close) 121.51
(Range) 3.40

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 120.67
Today's Predicted High: 122.62
Today's Predicted Low: 120.40
Today's Proposed Range: 2.22
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy (up from sell)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday -1.26% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.64% previously. Tuesday, 3-11-08, the Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher Thursday as did the the DJIA Outlook. March Futures and Options are due to expire next week, which should boost the Stock Market as Investors expect the outcome of the FOMC meeting will produce more interest rate cuts. Accumulate stocks now!

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.25 / Intermediate 125.95 / Breakout 128.70
DIA Support: Mean 123.15 / Intermediate 120.38 / Breakdown 117.61
DIA Closed: -1.23% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.53% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 45 Up from 36
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.02 Up
Current Trend: Positive 6 Down from 8
Demand Factor: 98 Up from 88
Stock Volatility: 5.76 Up from 1.68

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/13/08 12:45 Close: 121.97
Upside Potential: 123.86
Downside Potential: 119.42

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 121.35
2. 122.24
3. 123.94
4. 124.82

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 119.92
2. 119.08
3. 117.44
4. 116.59

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.02
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.15
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.38
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.34
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.10
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.37
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 131.12
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.24

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 26%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Rising 59.6% / 56.3% / 57.4% / 56.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
DIA Trend: Falling Today Positive 6 Down from 8
DIA MACD: Rising Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Thursday 3-13-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA Probability "Up%" Friday: 52%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 45% vs. 26% Yesterday
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Sell as of Friday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)

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Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?-
Long CAT

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Friday March 14 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

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Thursday 3-13-08 DJIA closed: 12,145.74 +35.50 vs. Prior day: 12,110.24 -46.57
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,301.23 -10.85 vs. Prior day: 12,312.08 -6.18
(DJIA closed -1.26% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.64% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday March 14 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 52%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 26%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Rising 59.6% / 56.3% / 57.4% / 56.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 14 vs. Down 17 (+6 vs +1 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 45% vs Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-11-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 29% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 2.50 vs Yesterday 2.59 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -1119 vs Yesterday -1256 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -1119 -77.2% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,312 / Intermediate Term 12,522 / Breakout 12,732
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,301 / Intermediate Term 12,086 / Breakdown 11,871

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday -1.26% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.64% previously. Tuesday, 3-11-08, the Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down." The DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved higher Thursday as did the the DJIA Outlook. March Futures and Options are due to expire next week, which should boost the Stock Market as Investors expect the outcome of the FOMC meeting will produce more interest rate cuts. Accumulate stocks now!

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .03% vs Yesterday .01% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 35% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 51.93% vs Yesterday 44.83% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 44.12% vs Yesterday 36.77% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.01% vs Yesterday -.02% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 29% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 37.7% vs Yesterday 29.6% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday 8% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Unch Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -10% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 32% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -16% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 12% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -13% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 68 vs. Yesterday 22 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 15 vs. Yesterday 76 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Friday March 14 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 26%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Friday: 52%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 45% vs. 26% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Tuesday 3-11-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 29% vs. 23% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 29% vs. 26% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 37.7% vs. 29.6% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Friday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 14 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI
ACV
AGU
ALO
AMB
APA
AU
BBH
BPT
BSX
BUCY
CEF
CELG
CENX
CHCO
CHK
CI
CLB
CNH
CQB
CRA
CVH
EPD
ETN
EWA
EWC
EWM
EWY
GENZ
HNZ
HUM
IAI
IAU
IBM
ICF
IEX
IP
IR
IWM
IYR
KOP
MA
MDR
MRO
NBR
NLY
NUE
OKE
PCU
PNRA
QSFT
RDC
RDK
RRC
RTRSY
SGY
SNV
SPN
SSP
SSS
TEN
USO
UTH
VFC
WWW
XEC
XLB

*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Friday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 14 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALTR
APSG
ASPM
BJ
CAH
ED
EK
MCK
MDTH
MGAM
PGNX
Q
RNOW
RX
SIGM
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*THURSDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,142,315.97 3-13-08 Change +$21,354.85
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-12-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Long CAT

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Thursday March 13 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/13/08
Last Updated: 03/12/08
03/12/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.00
(High) 123.20
(Low) 121.12
(Close) 121.37
(Range) 2.08

DIA Thursday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 122.04
Today's Predicted High: 122.51
Today's Predicted Low: 120.23
Today's Proposed Range: 2.28
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (down from buy)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday -1.64% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.31% previously. Tuesday, 3-12-08, the Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down," but the DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower Wednesday as did the the DJIA Outlook. However, the Futures and Options for March are due to expire next week, which should boost the Stock Market as Investors expect the outcome of the FOMC meeting will produce more interest rate cuts.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.30 / Intermediate 126.05 / Breakout 128.80
DIA Support: Mean 123.25 / Intermediate 120.48 / Breakdown 117.71
DIA Closed: -1.53% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -1.18% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 36 Up from 34
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.95 Down
Current Trend: Positive 8 Down from 19
Demand Factor: 88 Down from 96
Stock Volatility: 1.68 Down from 4.76

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/12/08 12:45 Close: 122.05
Upside Potential: 123.16
Downside Potential: 118.60

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 123.54
2. 123.80
3. 124.44
4. 125.66

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 120.74
2. 119.56
3. 118.94
4. 118.70

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.14
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.25
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.45
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.46
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.32
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.60
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 131.22
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.31

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Thursday: 68%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 52.9% / 52.7% / 53.7% / 54.7%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Positive 8 Down from 19
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Down
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 3-10-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA Probability "Up%" Thursday: 68%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 26% vs. 23% Yesterday
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Friday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)

Subscribe today to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?- None

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Thursday March 13 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 3-12-08 DJIA closed: 12,110.24 -46.57 vs. Prior day: 12,156.81 +416.66
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,312.08 -6.18 vs. Prior day: 12,318.26 -1.20
(DJIA closed -1.64% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.31% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday March 13 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 68%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 68%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Rising 52.9% / 52.7% / 53.7% / 54.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 8 vs. Down 23 (+1 vs +3 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 26% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-11-08 (accumulate stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 23% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.50 vs Yesterday 2.55 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -1256 vs Yesterday -1202 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -1256 -86.6% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,318 / Intermediate Term 12,530 / Breakout 12,743
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,312 / Intermediate Term 12,096 / Breakdown 11,881

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday -1.64% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.31% previously. Tuesday, 3-12-08, the Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down," but the DJIA 50-Day Net Change moved lower Wednesday as did the the DJIA Outlook. However, the Futures and Options for March are due to expire next week, which could boost the Stock Market as Investors expect the outcome of the FOMC meeting will produce more interest rate cuts.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .05% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 29% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 44.83% vs Yesterday 51.12% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 36.77% vs Yesterday 34.90% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.02% vs Yesterday .04% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed at its Mean, Neutral yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 29.6% vs Yesterday 35.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 8% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -18% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 7% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday 3% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 27% vs. Yesterday 47% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 16% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -2% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 22 vs. Yesterday 42 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 76 vs. Yesterday 33 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday March 13 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 68%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 68%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 26% vs. 23% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Tuesday 3-11-08
DJIA Momentum: Falling 23% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 26% vs. 27% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 29.6% vs. 35.9% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thursday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 13 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI OFV: 33.51 (0.62) +67+
AET OFV: 43.02 (1.47) -34+
AZN OFV: 38.12 (0.58) -38+
BBH OFV: 171.30 (2.92) +68+
BPT OFV: 94.79 (3.21) +95/
CEF OFV: 13.87 (0.41) +84+
CNH OFV: 50.99 (1.89) +55+
DBC OFV: 38.44 (0.86) +100+
ETN OFV: 81.70 (1.96) -46+
HNZ OFV: 45.59 (0.54) +70+
HUM OFV: 37.72 (2.03) -24+
IAU OFV: 96.80 (1.68) +87+
IBM OFV: 116.56 (2.67) +95+
KOP OFV: 42.89 (1.54) +88+
MA OFV: 200.50 (4.75) +57+
OKE OFV: 47.24 (0.86) -41+
RTRSY OFV: 73.20 (1.17) +78+
SKF OFV: 121.05 (8.83) +77+
SLV OFV: 197.99 (8.24) +81+
STU OFV: 112.95 (5.50) +56+
USO OFV: 86.02 (2.41) +98+
VFC OFV: 76.94 (2.15) +55+
XEC OFV: 52.97 (1.23) +89+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 13 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

Let the Trend be your friend. Stick with the ideas above for a common sense approach.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions- Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,120,961.12 3-13-08 Change +$1,451.79
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author- None.Disclaimer:The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday March 12 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 3-11-08 DJIA closed: 12,156.81 +416.66 vs. Prior day: 11,740.15 -153.54
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12318.26 -1.20 vs. Prior day: 12,343.60 -14.30
(DJIA closed -1.31% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -4.70% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday March 12 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 52%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 03%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Rising 64.7% / 62.9% / 62.2 / 61.5%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 7 vs. Down 24 (+3 vs -4 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% vs Yesterday 13% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of day 3-11-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Rising Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 29% vs Yesterday 16% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 2.55 vs Yesterday 1.42 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -1202 vs Yesterday -1812 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today -1202 -82.9% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,319 / Intermediate Term 12,534 / Breakout 12,749
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,318 / Intermediate Term 12,103 / Breakdown 11,887

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Tuesday -1.31% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -4.70% previously. Tuesday, 3-12-08, the Dow Trend changed directions to "Up" from "Down" and the DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed up from its historic low. The DJIA Outlook remains negative and, therefore, it is advised to take profits today as a move lower after today should ensue within the next couple of days as the Stock Market awaite the FOMC meeting next week.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .05% vs Yesterday .00% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Rising Today 39% vs Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 51.12% vs Yesterday 38.80% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 34.90% vs Yesterday 25.74% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday -.09% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 27% vs. Yesterday 30% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Rising Today 35.9% vs Yesterday 21.4% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 19% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 7% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today 3% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 47% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today 4% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today 18% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -19% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 42 vs. Yesterday 9 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 33 vs. Yesterday 157 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday March 12 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 3%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 52%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 23% vs. 13% prior day (accumulate stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Tuesday 3-11-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 29% vs. 16% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 27% vs. 30% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 35.9% vs. 21.4% prior day

Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Wednesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 12 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ALO OFV: 26.80 (0.78) +95+
BBH OFV: 168.08 (3.59) +64+
BIO OFV: 90.64 (2.44) +55+
BMC OFV: 34.11 (0.68) +81+
BPT OFV: 93.98 (3.41) +95+
BUCY OFV: 106.56 (5.63) +83+
CEF OFV: 13.62 (0.47) +80+
CELG OFV: 56.13 (1.94) +61+
CHCO OFV: 36.42 (1.09) +50+
CINF OFV: 38.05 (0.96) +48+
CRA OFV: 13.56 (0.45) +32+
DBC OFV: 38.10 (1.08) +98/
GENZ OFV: 73.36 (2.42) +59+
IAU OFV: 96.07 (2.42) +80-
IBM OFV: 115.58 (2.68) +93+
IR OFV: 42.44 (1.12) +77+
IYR OFV: 62.34 (1.90) +48+
KIM OFV: 34.70 (1.07) +56+
NBR OFV: 31.80 (0.95) +78+
NOK OFV: 31.77 (0.88) +25-
PCU OFV: 110.60 (5.92) +71+
RTRSY OFV: 73.01 (0.95) +73+
SGY OFV: 52.41 (1.84) +92+
SLV OFV: 195.58 (9.26) +78-
SPG OFV: 86.89 (3.30) +54+
SSS OFV: 38.92 (1.27) +59+
STU OFV: 109.71 (3.58) +52+
USO OFV: 85.38 (2.91) +95+
YUM OFV: 35.73 (0.89) +56+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 12 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ADCT
ADTN
AGP
AMED
BBOX
BOOM
CAS
CMTL
DBD
EXAR
GAP
HGSI
IRF
JDAS
LII
LPX
MCHX
MDTH
MGAM
MHP
MMS
MMSI
MNI
ORCL
POSS
Q
RHT
RSCR
SAFM
SLAB
TECH
TIN
TMS
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,119,509.33 3-11-08 Change +$27,481.41
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author- None.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Tuesday March 11 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/11/08
Last Updated: 03/10/08
03/10/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 119.14
(High) 119.31
(Low) 117.46
(Close) 117.98
(Range) 1.85

DIA Tuesday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 118.43
Today's Predicted High: 118.87
Today's Predicted Low: 117.10
Today's Proposed Range: 1.77
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell (down from sell)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday -4.70% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -3.60% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed at a new historic low. However, it appears that the Dow is attempting to make a bottom here. Tuesday looks like the Stock Market will retrace and head higher for the day. The Market is oversold and is now in a position to move higher should favorable news come forward today. Futures and Options expire in nine days, which can be positive especially with a rate cut coming.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.51 / Intermediate 126.17 / Breakout 128.83
DIA Support: Mean 123.28 / Intermediate 120.50 / Breakdown 117.73
DIA Closed: -4.30% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -3.68% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 20 Down from 27
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.00/0.97 Up
Current Trend: Negative -13 Down from 1
Demand Factor: 79 Down from 86
Stock Volatility: 2.01 Down from 4.41

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/10/08 12:45 Close: 118.69
Upside Potential: 119.39
Downside Potential: 115.85

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 119.81
2. 120.34
3. 121.52
4. 121.70

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 116.92
2. 116.76
3. 115.62
4. 115.11

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 121.81
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.28
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.61
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.73
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.79
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.02
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 131.40
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.44

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 84%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Falling 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7% / 54.9%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Negative -13 Down from 1
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Down
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Monday 3-10-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Tuesday: 45%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 13% vs. 26% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Falling Today, Sell as of Friday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Long DIA

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday March 11 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-10-08 DJIA closed: 11,740.15 -153.54 vs. Prior day: 11,899.69 -146.70
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,343.60 -14.30 vs. Prior day: 12,343.60 -14.30
(DJIA closed -4.70% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -3.60% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday March 11 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 45%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 84%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Falling 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7% / 54.9%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 4 vs. Down 27 (-4 vs -4 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 13% vs Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of day 3-7-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 16% vs Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.42 vs Yesterday 2.06 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1812 vs Yesterday -1650 (High 1450 / Low -1812)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1812 3-10-08 (today-1812 -125.0% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,343 / Intermediate Term 12,546 / Breakout 12,750
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,319 / Intermediate Term 12,104 / Breakdown 11,888

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday -4.70% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -3.60% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed at a new historic low. However, it appears that the Dow is attempting to make a bottom here. Tuesday looks like the Stock Market will retrace and head higher for the day. The Market is oversold and is now in a position to move higher should favorable news come forward today. Futures and Options expire in nine days, which can be positive especially with a rate cut coming.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Neutral Today .00% vs Yesterday .05% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 19% vs Yesterday 26% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 38.80% vs Yesterday 47.06% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 25.74% vs Yesterday 32.00% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.09% vs Yesterday -.01% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 30% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 21.4% vs Yesterday 26.4% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday 1% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -34% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -23% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday 5% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -30% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 35% vs. Yesterday 55% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -2% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -45% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -16% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 9 vs. Yesterday 18 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 157 vs. Yesterday 96 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 10, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday March 11 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 84%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DJIA Trend: Falling 13% vs. 26% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-29-08
DJIA Momentum: Falling 16% vs. 23% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 30% vs. 36% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 21.4% vs. 25.5% prior day

9 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 11 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AVID OFV: 25.38 (1.25) +79+
BMC OFV: 33.95 (0.58) +78+
DBC OFV: 37.18 (1.02) +98+
GLD OFV: 95.57 (2.11) +78-
IAU OFV: 95.66 (2.10) +82-
RTRSY OFV: 72.76 (1.23) +63+
SKF OFV: 135.85 (6.74) +93+
SLV OFV: 194.02 (7.98) +79-
USO OFV: 84.12 (2.78) +93+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 11 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)

Work with the above list as it is hedged and you should do fine.

*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,092,027.92 3-10-08 Change -$5,134.00
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Long DIA

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday March 10 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/10/08
Last Updated: 03/07/08
03/07/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 119.57
(High) 121.04
(Low) 118.31
(Close) 119.10
(Range) 2.73

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 119.59
Today's Predicted High: 120.05
Today's Predicted Low: 118.16
Today's Proposed Range: 1.89
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday -3.60% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.57% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed at a new historic low. However, it appears that the Dow is attempting to make a bottom here. Mondays have recently been good for traders, so today will be a pivotal day. Futures and Options expire in ten days, which can be a positive trading environment, especially with a rate cut coming.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.66 / Intermediate 126.36 / Breakout 129.06
DIA Support: Mean 123.50 / Intermediate 120.72 / Breakdown 117.94
DIA Closed: -3.68% below its falling 21 day moving average vs. -2.20% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 27 Down from 34
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.20/0.97 Up
Current Trend: Positive 1 Down from 6
Demand Factor: 86 Down from 93
Stock Volatility: 4.41 Up from 3.12

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/07/08 12:45 Close: 119.64
Upside Potential: 120.63
Downside Potential: 116.85

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 120.68
2. 121.48
3. 121.96
4. 123.46

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 118.62
2. 117.18
3. 116.72
4. 115.94

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 122.92
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.51
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.75
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.91
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.14
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.24
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 131.49
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.52

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Monday: 77%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 52.0% / 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9%
DIA Trend: Falling Today Positive 1 Down from 6
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 2-26-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday: 45%
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 26% vs. 39% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Falling Today, Sell as of Friday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com and receive the above information daily for any stock or ETF you are trading today! Market Makers have daily trading parameters, why shouldn't you?

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author? None

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.
Sunday's Stocks In Review "Best Opportunities" represent Monday's Trading Ideas.

Stock Market Forecast Monday March 10 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Friday 3-7-08 DJIA closed: 11,899.69 -146.70 vs. Prior day: 12,040.39 -214.60
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,343.60 -14.30 vs. Prior day: 12,357.90 -10.70
(DJIA closed -3.60% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.57% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Monday March 10 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 45%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 77%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 52.0% / 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 8 vs. Down 23 (+0 vs +2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 26% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of day 3-7-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 23% vs Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 2.06 vs Yesterday 1.05 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1650 vs Yesterday -1410 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-1650 -113.8% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,357 / Intermediate Term 12,566 / Breakout 12,775
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,343 / Intermediate Term 12,127 / Breakdown 11,911

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Friday -3.60% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -2.57% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed at a new historic low. However, it appears that the Dow is attempting to make a bottom here. Mondays have recently been good for traders, so today will be a pivotal day. Futures and Options expire in ten days, which can be a positive trading environment, especially with a rate cut coming.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .05% vs Yesterday .04% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 26% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 47.06% vs Yesterday 51.93% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 32.00% vs Yesterday 36.38% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.01% vs Yesterday -.00% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed near its Mean, Neutral yet decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 36% vs. Yesterday 38% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 26.4% vs Yesterday 30.9% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today 1% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -4% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today 5% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Falling Trend Today 55% vs. Yesterday 58% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -2% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -19% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -16% vs. Yesterday -26% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 18 vs. Yesterday 15 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 96 vs. Yesterday 100 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Sunday, March 09, 2008

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 3-10-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 77%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (3-10 through 3-14)
Information provided by:
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 48 Rising 52.0% / 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9%

Tuesdays: Past 50 Falling 54.0% / 56.6% / 55.7% / 54.9%

Wednesdays: Past 51 Rising 64.7% / 62.9% / 62.2 / 61.5%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 51 Rising 52.9% / 52.7% / 53.7% / 54.7%

Fridays: Past 52 Rising 59.6% / 56.3% / 57.4% / 56.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 252 Days Rising 56.7% / 55.8% / 55.7% / 55.4%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA S/BUY 79- 1.68 75D 0.34+
AIG SELL 23- 1.58 6D -0.51+
AXP S/SELL 19/ 1.63 12D -0.23+
BA SELL 46- 1.77 15D -0.03+
BAC SELL+ 66/ 1.41 17U -0.25+
C SELL 5- 1.14 5D -0.41/
CAT BUY- 36- 2.09 50D 0.17+
CVX S/BUY 89- 2.45 78D 0.69+
DD SELL- 21- 0.96 43D 0.04+
DIA SELL 86- 1.89 27D 0.01+
DIS S/SELL- 57- 0.73 31D -0.04+
GE SELL+ 7- 0.50 12D -0.13+
GM SELL 23- 1.05 7D -0.26+
HD S/SELL 44+ 0.89 19U -0.14+
HPQ BUY 45- 1.09 65D 0.31+
IBM BUY 96+ 2.03 85U 0.78+
INTC SELL+ 34/ 0.50 32U 0.05+
JNJ S/SELL 30- 0.77 26D -0.12+
JPM SELL 55- 1.39 15U -0.26/
KO BUY 47- 1.01 53D 0.09+
MCD S/SELL 83- 1.30 34D -0.05+
MMM S/SELL 39- 1.24 16D -0.12+
MRK S/SELL 56- 0.80 12D -0.34+
MSFT S/SELL 5+ 0.67 25U -0.19+
PFE S/SELL 7- 0.33 6D -0.18+
PG SELL 14- 0.83 31D 0.06+
T SELL 78- 0.76 37D 0.09+
UTX SELL 43- 1.36 14D -0.16+
VZ SELL 83- 0.80 34D 0.10/
WMT BUY 70- 0.78 65D 0.12+
XOM BUY- 73- 2.44 45D 0.14+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: http://www.MktMetrics.com/
Our firm covers 1,000 selected stocks and provides in-depth stock market research.
Proven track record. Give us a try today by signing up for a "14-Day FREE TRIAL."

This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top 14 Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 3-10-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ALO OFV: 25.87 (1.17) +83+
AVID OFV: 24.72 (1.01) +76+
AZN OFV: 37.27 (0.66) -30+
BMC OFV: 33.77 (0.61) +74+
BUCY OFV: 106.80 (4.48) +90-
CELG OFV: 55.73 (1.73) +58+
IR OFV: 42.64 (1.32) +81+
MA OFV: 190.09 (7.59) -40+
OKE OFV: 47.07 (1.17) -47-
PCU OFV: 111.13 (6.89) +78+
QSFT OFV: 13.47 (0.45) -30+
SGY OFV: 51.67 (2.31) +92+
USO OFV: 83.53 (2.13) +92+
UTH OFV: 122.16 (2.09) -42-
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 3-10-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-

The Stock Market may be attempting to bottom, and if so, Monday should be an "Up" day. Therefore, it would be best to be on the sidelines or looking at the suggestions submitted above.

OFV: Opening Fair Value

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Saturday, March 08, 2008

MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending March 7, 2008

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 26.4% vs Last week: 31.5% (Historic: High 100.0% / Low 7.1%)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 36% vs Last week: 43% (Historic: High 89% / Low 12%)

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trading Range:
High 14,279.96 (10-11-07) / Low 10,653.23 (6-13-06)= Range: 3,626.73

DJIA Closed: 11,899.69 vs Last week: 12,266.39 -366.70 / Prior week: -114.63
DJIA 21-day Moving Average: 12,343.60 vs Last week: 12,430.56 -86.96 / Prior week: -61.57
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling -1650 vs Last week -901 (High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1650 3-7-08) DJIA Trend: Falling 26% vs Last week: 52% (High 97% 9-19-07&10-1-07 / Low: 0% 6-13-06)
DJIA Momentum: Falling 23% vs Last week: 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising 2.06% vs Last week: 1.31% (High 6.98% / Low -1.14%)
DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 12,566 vs Last week 12,604 -38 / Prior week: +42
DJIA Breakout: Falling Intermediate Term 12,775 vs Last week 12,821
DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 12,128 vs Last week: 12,168 -40 / Prior week: +41
DJIA Breakdown: Falling Intermediate Term 11,911 vs Last week: 11,954
DJIA Directional Indicator: Falling -14.30 vs Last week: -8.40 (High +49.4 / Low -63.91)
DJIA Price Advance/Decline Line: Falling -223 vs Last week: -24 (High +647 / Low -660)
DJIA Volume Advance/Decline Line: Falling -187 vs Last week: -82 (High +349 / Low -484)
DJIA Price vs 21-Day Moving Average: Falling -3.6% vs Last week: -1.3% (High +4.4%/Low -7.0%)
DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence(MACD): SELL / Last week: Buy
DJIA Overbought/Oversold (CCI): Falling -166 vs Last week: -73 (High +255 / Low -285)
DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 16 vs Last week: 61 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA Stochastic 5-Day Indicator: Falling 26 vs Last week: 65 (High 100 / Low 00)
DJIA 14-Day Relative Strength Indicator: Falling 35 vs Last week: 53 (High 97 / Low 12)
DJIA Volume vs 50-Day Moving Average: Falling 1.0 vs Last week: 1.1 (High 3.3 / Low 0.3)

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising .05% vs Last week: .04% (High .29% (4-19-07) / Low -.24% (6-6-06)

Institutional Money Flow Index: Falling 26% vs Last week: 39% (High 97% / Low 6%)

Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 47.06% vs Last week: 48.77 (High 86.8% / Low 13.13%)

Institutional Inventory Index: Falling 32.00% vs Last week: 46.48% (High 81.1% / 19.77%)

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution: Falling -.01 vs Last week: +.02 (High .35 / -.41)

Institutional Sentiment Index: Unch#2 111 vs Last week: 111 (High 179 (5-30-07) / (Low 68 (6-13-06)

Speculation Indicator Index: Falling -.512 vs Last week: +.047 (High .749 (7-19-07) / (Low -1.174 (1-4-08)

One Year High Yield National CD Rate: Rising 3.46% vs Last week: 3.43% (5.27% / Low 3.43%)*****************************************************************************************************************
108 Exchange Traded Funds
Trends & Sector Analysis


Symbol: Trend +/- (Historic: High / Low) / Rating / Demand Factor
Diamonds-Dow 30
DIA: +.12 vs Last week: -.03 (High .95 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
SPDR-S&P 500
SPY: +.11 vs Last week: -.05 (High .77 / Low -.89) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 43/
SPDR- S&P 400 Mid-Cap
MDY: +.36 vs Last week: +.18 (High .89 / Low -1.16) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 43+
Russell 2000 Small-Cap
IWM: +.03 vs Last week: +.05 (High .71 / Low -.67) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77+
Nasdaq 100 Large Growth
QQQQ: +.01 vs Last week: -.06 (High .54 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 49+
1. Biotech
BBH: -.00 vs Last week: -.21 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34-
2. Broadband
BDH: -.01 vs Last week: -.10 (High .57 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 26-
3. Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)
CEF: +.34 vs Last week: +.21 (High .41 / Low -.29) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
4. CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
CME: -4.33 vs Last week: -2.60 (High 4.84 / Low -6.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12+
5. Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking
DBC: +.68 vs Last week: +.41 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
6. ULTRA DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DDM: +.12 vs Last week: -.01 (High 1.00 / Low -1.13) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 72+
7. UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
DUG: -.57 vs Last week: -.24 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 3-
8. Dow Jones Select Dividend Index
DVY: +.06 vs Last week: +.22 (High .58 / Low -.74) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 81-
9. ULTRA SHORT DOW 30 POWER SHARES
DXD: -.22 vs Last week: -.06 (High .68 / Low -.70) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
10. CLAYMORE/BNY BRIC ETF (Brazil Russia India China)
EEB: +.28 vs Last week: +.15 (High .86 / Low -.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 45-
11. Emerging Markets
EEM: +.50 vs Last week: +.22 (High 1.29 / Low -1.19) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
12. EAFE Global Equities (Europe, Australasia and Far East)
EFA: +.24 vs Last week: +.09 (High .62 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 87+
13. Pacific ex-Japan
EPP: +.22 vs Last week: -.00 (High 1.36 / Low -1.18) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 56-
14. Australia
EWA: +.19 vs Last week: +.18 (High .81 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 78-
15. Canada
EWC: +.23 vs Last week: +.30 (High .52 / Low -.37) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 74-
16. Sweden
EWD: -.00 vs Last week: -.03 (High .79 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 77+
17. Germany
EWG: +.12 vs Last week: +.03 (High .61 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 75+
18. Hong Kong
EWH: -.12 vs Last week: +.01 (High .48 / Low -.44) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 21-
19. Italy
EWI: -.35 vs Last week: -.48 (High .51 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7+
20. Japan
EWJ: +.20 vs Last week: +.23 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 84+
21. Belgium
EWK: -.07 vs Last week: -.03 (High .60 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-
22. Switzerland
EWL: -.15 vs Last week: -.11 (High .64 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 29+
23. Malaysia
EWM: +.12 vs Last week: +.19 (High .39 / Low -.21) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
24. Netherlands
EWN: +.04 vs Last week: +.03 (High .61 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55-
25. Austria
EWO: +.12 vs Last week: +.26 (High .49 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 80-
26. Spain
EWP: +.23 vs Last week: +.07 (High .75 / Low -.63) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 81/
27. France
EWQ: +.31 vs Last week: +.22 (High .56 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 94-
28. Singapore
EWS: -.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .45 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 22+
29. Taiwan
EWT: +.20 vs Last week: +.16 (High .40 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
30. United Kingdom
EWU: +.08 vs Last week: +.11 (High .69 / Low -.28) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 86+
31. Mexico
EWW: +.30 vs Last week: +.38 (High .72 / Low -.59) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-
32. South Korea
EWY: +.09 vs Last week: +.11 (High .68 / Low -.53) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 57-
33. Brazil
EWZ: +.80 vs Last week: +.43 (High 1.00 / Low -.81) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99/
34. FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index
FXI: -.07 vs Last week: +.11 (High 2.91 / Low -2.03) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98-
31. PROSHARES US FTSE/XI
FXP: -.32 vs Last week: -.37 (High 1.30 / Low -1.16) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0/
35. Street TRACKS Gold Trust
GLD: +.29 vs Last week: +.17 (High .77 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76+
36. Internet
HHH: +.19 vs Last week: +.20 (High .63 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 13-
37. Internet Architecture
IAH: -.13 vs Last week: -.45 (High .65 / Low -.86) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 2+
38. U.S. Broker-Dealers
IAI: +.07 vs Last week: +.02 (High .55 / Low -.69) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 79/
39. Comex Gold
IAU: +.36 vs Last week: +.28 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 82+
40. Biotechnology
IBB: -.17 vs Last week: -.25 (High .70 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 31+
41. InterContinental Exchange, Inc.
ICE: -.52 vs Last week: -.83 (High 1.81/Low -2.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
42. Cohen & Steers Realty Majors
ICF: -.10 vs Last week: +.28 (High .98 / Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71+
43. Utilities
IDU: -.02 vs Last week: -.31 (High .78 / Low -.76) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 25+
44. S&P Europe 350 Index
IEV: +.32 vs Last week: +.02 (High .84 / Low -.88) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/
45. Natural Resources
IGE: +1.25 vs Last week: +.63 (High 1.25 / Low -.75) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
46. Networking
IGN: +.28 vs Last week: +.05 (High .48 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
47. Software
IGV: +.07 vs Last week: +.06 (High .66 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 31-
48. Semiconductor
IGW: -.08 vs Last week: -.06 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 9+
49. MS India Investment Fund
IIF: -.14 vs Last week: +.02 (High .88 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 70-
50. Internet Infrastructure
IIH: -.04 vs Last week: +.02 (High .64 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 16-
51. Mid-Cap 400 Blend
IJH: +.21 vs Last week: +.21 (High .78 / Low -.68) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
52. Mid-Cap 400 Growth
IJK: +.20 vs Last week: +.12 (High .66 / Low -.86) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 56+
53. Small-Cap 600
IJR: +.02 vs Last week: +.06 (High .83 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 35+
54. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ILF: +1.94 vs Last week: +1.13 (High 2.68 / Low -2.31) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-
55. S&P 1500 Index
ISI: -.13 vs Last week: -.22 (High .81 / Low -.95) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
56. U.S. Aerospace & Defense
ITA: -.08 vs Last week: -.20 (High .23 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 13+
57. S&P Latin America 40 Index
ITF: +.33 vs Last week: +.21 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
58. Global Financial
IXG: -.05 vs Last week: -.04 (High .79 / Low -.94) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 38-
59. Consumer Cyclical
IYC: +.34 vs Last week: +.31 (High .78 / Low -.70*) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+
60. Energy
IYE: +.70 vs Last week: +.28 (High .97 / Low -.85) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 96-
61. Financial Services
IYG: +.02 vs Last week: +.22 (High .79 / Low -1.18) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 53+
62. Healthcare
IYH: +.02 vs Last week: -.04 (High .54 / Low -.63) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 86-
63. Industrial
IYJ: +.04 vs Last week: -.06 (High .52 / Low -.80) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 11+
64. Consumer Non-Cyclical
IYK: +.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .58 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 30-
65. Basic Materials
IYM: +.44 vs Last week: +.20 (High .69 / Low -.61) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 69+
66. Real Estate
IYR: -.01 vs Last week: +.32 (High .64 / Low -.85) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
67. Transportation
IYT: +.10 vs Last week: +.32 (High .80 / Low -.95) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 25+
68. U.S. Technology
IYW: -.01 vs Last week: -.02 (High .54 / Low -.59) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40+
69. U.S. Total Market Index
IYY: -.06 vs Last week: -.12 (High .84 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57+
70. U.S. Telecommunications
IYZ: +.16 vs Last week: +.11 (High .43 / Low -.37 Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
71. ULTRA SHORT MID-CAP 400 POWER SHARES
MZZ: -.37 vs Last week: -.21 (High .85 / Low -.82) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 0-
72. NYSE Euronext Group, Inc.
NYX: -.46 vs Last week: -.47 (High 1.77 / Low -1.30 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 12-
73. NASDAQ Stock Market, Inc.
NDAQ: -.08 vs Last week: +.05 (High 1.07/ Low -1.02) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 57-
74. Oil Services
OIH: +.66 vs Last week: +.08 (High 1.70/Low -1.58) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 61+
75. PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy
PBW: +.01 vs Last week: -.02 (High .72 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 34+
76. Pharmaceuticals
PPH: -.00 vs Last week: -.37 (High .80 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 65+
77. PowerShares Dynamic OTC
PWO: -.22 vs Last week: -.13 (High .51 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 54+
78. ULTRA SHORT QQQ POWER SHARES
QID: -.12 vs Last week: +.13 (High .74 / Low -.73) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 3-
79. ULTRA QQQ PROSHARES
QLD: -.09 vs Last week: -.40 (High 1.14 / Low -1.51) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 53+
80. Regional Banks
RKH: +.10 vs Last week: +.36 (High .95 / Low -1.50) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92+
81. MS Eastern Europe Fund
RNE: +.04 vs Last week: -.12 (High .55 / Low -.73) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 15+
82. Retail
RTH: -.15 vs Last week: +.22 (High .60 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 66-
83. DJ Wilshire REIT
RWR: -.11 vs Last week: +.17 (High .78 / Low -.81) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 100+
84. ULTRA SHORT S&P 500 Power Shares
SDS: -.23 vs Last week: +.03 (High .78 / Low: -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 27-
85. ULTRA SHORT Russell 2000 Value ProShares
SJH: -.08 vs Last week: -.34 (High .99 / Low -.68) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 19+
86. Silver Trust
SLV: +1.11 vs Last week: +.74 (High 1.20 / Low -1.05) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 71+
87. Semiconductor
SMH: -.05 vs Last week: -.00 (High .48 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 7-
88. UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (2:1 Leveraged ETF)
SRS: +.12 vs Last week: -1.00 (High 2.19 / Low -1.62) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 9-
89. Software
SWH: -.34 vs Last week: -.30 (High .61 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 1+
90. Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund
TLT: -.25 vs Last week: -.23 (High .53 / Low -.49) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 36-
91. Telecommunications Holders Trust
TTH: +.07 vs Last week: -.01 (High .54 / Low -.40) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 54+
92. Utilities
UTH: -.01 vs Last week: -.29 (High .95 / Low -1.13) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 91+
93. Wireless
WMH: +.07 vs Last week: -.05 (High .87 / Low -.82) Rating: BUY+ Demand Factor: 4-
94. Homebuilders Select Sector
XHB: -.19 vs Last week: +.06 (High .69 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 4+
95. Materials Select Sector
XLB: +.15 vs Last week: +.12 (High .40 / Low -.41) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 44/
96. Energy Select Sector
XLE: +.49 vs Last week: +.23 (High .76 / Low -.60) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 92/
97. Financial Select Sector
XLF: +.04 vs Last week: +.04 (High .46 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+
98. Industrial Select Sector
XLI: +.12 vs Last week: +.07 (High .46 / Low -.49) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 38+
99. Technology Select Sector
XLK: +.08 vs Last week: +.06 (High .51 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 52+
100. Consumer Staples Select Sector
XLP: -.02 vs Last week: +.12 (High .59 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 33-
101. Healthcare Select Sector
XLV: +.19 vs Last week: -.01 (High .57 / Low -.33) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 100+
102. Industrial Select Sector
XLY: +.24 vs Last week: +.34 (High .44 / Low -.57) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 98+
103. Mining & Metals Select Sector
XME: +.98 vs Last week: +.55 (High .98 / Low -.78) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 91-

108 Total Exchange Traded Funds Tracked: (Historic: High= 90% / Low= 13%)
Buy 43/Sell 65(40%) vs. Last week: Buy 56/Sell 52(52%) vs. Prior week: Buy 35/Sell 73(32%)

DJIA 6 weeks: -366.70(3-7) -114.63(2-29) +32.81(2-22) +166.08(2-15) -561.06(2-8) +536.02(2-1)

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with Tiger Investment Software
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Douglas Gale, President, Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"
MktMetrics does.

As Advertised on:
TraderDaily.com, Institutional Investor Magazine and TigerSoft.com
An Internet video webcast called MktMetrics Morning appears late morning on YouTube and Yahoo Video, that can be searched under: "MktMetrics"

www.galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions blog (Always first information available)
The three daily blogs provide:
11:00pmET Trading Ideas for next day's trading
7:45amET Stock Market Forecast and Institutional Investor Statistics
8:15amET Diamonds (DIA) Forecast for the day illustrating a portion of our program

Subscribe to MktMetrics.com to see what the Exchange Insiders (Specialists & Market Makers) are currently doing with their inventory for any stock or ETF that you trade.

Total number of Blogs archived: 1,574 since April 2005

Friday, March 07, 2008

Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Friday March 7 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/
(Below is a sample of our program using DIA ETF current information)

Details for DIA Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 03/07/08
Last Updated: 03/06/08
03/06/08 Final Numbers
(Open) 122.20
(High) 122.39
(Low) 120.31
(Close) 120.80
(Range) 2.08

DIA Friday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.39
Today's Predicted High: 121.58
Today's Predicted Low: 120.02
Today's Proposed Range: 1.56
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell (up from strong Sell)

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday -2.57% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.92% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction yesterday to "Up" Wednesday, but the Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed near its historic low. Friday's have recently been up at the open, down at the close. However, it appears that the Dow is putting in a bottom here.

DIA Resistance: Mean 123.76 / Intermediate 126.49 / Breakout 129.22
DIA Support: Mean 123.66 / Intermediate 120.88 / Breakdown 118.09
DIA Closed: 2.20% above its rising 21 day moving average vs. +.53% prior day

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 34 Down from 41
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.85 Down
Current Trend: Positive 6 Up from 0
Demand Factor: 93 Down from 99
Stock Volatility: 3.12 Up from 2.85

Predict DIA Upside and Downside Potential
03/06/08 12:45 Close: 121.29
Upside Potential: 122.01
Downside Potential: 118.89

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 122.72
2. 123.22
3. 124.64
4. 124.84

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)
1. 119.94
2. 119.76
3. 118.38
4. 117.90

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.88
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.66
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.89
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 124.13
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.46
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.46
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 131.60
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.60

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Friday: 97%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 56.3% / 57.4% / 56.6% / 57.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
DIA Trend: Rising Today Positive 6 Up from 0
DIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08
DIA Open/Close 20-Day Trend: Open Down/Close Up
(DIA Open/Close Trend Changed as of Tuesday 2-26-08)

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Friday: 68%
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 39% vs. 39% Yesterday
DJIA Trend Direction: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08

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Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned at time of writing by author?
Long DIA

Please refer to:
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions "Trading Ideas" to see suggested trades for today.
Will post tonight as I was unable to post Thursday night.

Stock Market Forecast Friday March 7 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

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Thursday 3-6-08 DJIA closed: 12,040.39 -214.60 vs. Prior day: 12,254.99 +41.10
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,357.90 -10.70 vs. Prior day: 12,368.60 -18.11
(DJIA closed -.92% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -.92% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Friday March 7 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 68%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 97%
DIA Past 4 Fridays: Falling 56.3% / 57.4% / 56.6% / 57.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Unch Today Up 12 vs. Down 19 (+0 vs +2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Unch Today 39% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 3-5-08 (hold stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 32% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.05 vs Yesterday 1.37 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -1410 vs Yesterday -991 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-1410 -97.2% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,368 / Intermediate Term 12,579 / Breakout 12,790
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,357 / Intermediate Term 12,141 / Breakdown 11,925

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Thursday -2.57% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -.92% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction yesterday to "Up" Wednesday, but the Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change closed near its historic low. Friday's have recently been up at the open, down at the close. However, it appears that the Dow is putting in a bottom here.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .04% vs Yesterday .03% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch#3 Today 29% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Falling Today 51.93% vs Yesterday 60.93% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 36.38% vs Yesterday 40.96% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.00% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 38% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 30.9% vs Yesterday 40.3% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today 6% vs. Yesterday -0% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -8% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -11% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 58% vs. Yesterday 47% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -34% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -12% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -26% vs. Yesterday -25% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Falling Trend Today 15 vs. Yesterday 101 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 100 vs. Yesterday 37 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Thursday, March 06, 2008

Stock Market Forecast Thursday March 6 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Wednesday 3-5-08 DJIA closed: 12,254.99 +41.10 vs. Prior day: 12,213.80 -45.10
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,368.60 -18.11 vs. Prior day: 12,386.71 -25.21
(DJIA closed -.92% below its falling 21-day moving average vs. -1.40% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Thursday March 6 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 52%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 35%
DIA Past 4 Thursdays: Falling 52.7% / 53.7% / 54.7% / 55.7%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Rising Today Up 12 vs. Down 19 (+2 vs -2 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 39% vs Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Up" from "Down" as of Wednesday, 3-5-08 (hold stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 39% vs Yesterday 32% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Unch Today 1.37 vs Yesterday 1.38 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Rising Today -991 vs Yesterday -993 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-993 -68.3% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,386 / Intermediate Term 12,594 / Breakout 12,802
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,368 / Intermediate Term 12,152 / Breakdown 11,935

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Wednesday -.92% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -1.40% previously. The Dow Trend changed direction yesterday to "Up," but the Dow Outlook remains Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change was unchanged. Thursday's have not done well recently.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today .03% vs Yesterday .01% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch#2 Today 29% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 60.93% vs Yesterday 60.87% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Rising Today 40.96% vs Yesterday 38.54% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.05% vs Yesterday -.09% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, negative yet increasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 39% vs. Yesterday 40% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 40.3% vs Yesterday 35.5% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Rising Trend Today -0% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Rising Trend Today -13% vs. Yesterday -28% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Rising Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -14% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -6% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 47% vs. Yesterday 36% (High 69% / Low -60%)
XLF: Rising Trend Today -7% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Rising Trend Today -31% vs. Yesterday -36% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Rising Trend Today -12% vs. Yesterday -17% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Rising Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -36% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 101 vs. Yesterday 87 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Rising Trend Today 37 vs. Yesterday 32 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Thursday March 6 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 35%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Thursday: 52%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Rising 39% vs. 32% prior day (hold stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Up" from "Down" Wednesday 3-5-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 39% vs. 32% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 39% vs. 40% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 40.3% vs. 35.5% prior day
Opinion: Wait for DJIA Outlook to confirm Trend Change "Up."

10 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Thursday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 6 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
AGU
CCU
CRS
DLTR
DSX
FLR
KBR
OII
OVTI
TXT
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

19 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Thursday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for Monday 6 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
BDK
BSC
CBS
CHS
CRR
EQY
HLTH
IPG
ITF
KR
MBI
MSTR
NOVN
PDLI
SGP
SNPS
TECD
THQI
VARI
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*WEDNESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,097,161.92 3-7-08 Change +$9,260.18
Account Value $1,087,907.11 3-6-08 Change +$4,549.14
Account Value $1,083,363.34 3-5-08 Change +$3,621.89
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-Short CYMIDisclaimer:The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Wednesday March 5 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Tuesday 3-4-08 DJIA closed: 12,213.80 -45.10 vs. Prior day: 12,258.90 -7.49
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,386.71 -25.21 vs. Prior day: 12,411.92 -18.64
(DJIA closed -1.40% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -1.23% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Wednesday March 5 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 40%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 45%
DIA Past 4 Wednesdays: Rising 62.9% / 62.2 / 61.5% / 60.7%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 10 vs. Down 21 (-2 vs -4 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 32% vs Yesterday 39% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-29-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 32% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.38 vs Yesterday 0.53 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -993 vs Yesterday -974 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-993 -68.5% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,412 / Intermediate Term 12,616 / Breakout 12,820
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,386 / Intermediate Term 12,169 / Breakdown 11,953

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Tuesday -1.40% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -1.23% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook are Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is falling as well. Wednesday's trading may have a more contracted range. Let's see what happens.

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Unch Today .01% vs Yesterday .01% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, Positive yet flat.

Institutional Money Flow: Unch Today 29% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative yet flat.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 60.87% vs Yesterday 53.67% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 38.54% vs Yesterday 40.87% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.09% vs Yesterday -.07% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 40% vs. Yesterday 43% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising Today 35.5% vs Yesterday 33.6% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -28% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -25% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Rising Trend Today -14% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Rising Trend Today -20% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today *76% vs. Yesterday 54% (*High 76% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday -5% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -36% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today -17% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -36% vs. Yesterday -30% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 87 vs. Yesterday 53 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 32 vs. Yesterday 60 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Tuesday, March 04, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Wednesday March 5 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 45%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Wednesday: 40%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Falling 32% vs. 39% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-29-08
DJIA Momentum: Rising 32% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 40% vs. 43% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 35.5% vs. 33.6% prior day

87 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Wednesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 5 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI
ACL
ACS
ALO
APH
ATK
ATLS
AVY
AXA
AZN
BDX
BIO
BMC
BUCY
CB
CQB
CVX
DB
DPTR
EFA
ENZN
EWD
EWM
EWQ
EWY
GILD
GPC
GR
GYMB
HAL
HPT
HST
IBM
IEV
IMCL
INFA
IR
ITF
IYR
KIM
KOP
MAA
MIL
MTL
NLY
NOK
NSC
NTRS
NUAN
PDLI
PPS
PX
R
RL
RRGB
RWR
SAFT
SIAL
SLGN
SNE
SPG
SPLS
SSP
SSS
STI
STT
TEVA
TMK
TNB
TRMK
TRP
TYC
UDR
UNP
USB
UTH
VIA
VIVO
WAT
WDC
WMS
WWY
WYE
XEC
XLF
XLV
XLY
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

32 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Wednesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for Monday 5 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ADSK
ALFA
AMWD
ATAC
CROX
CSGS
CSIQ
DUG
DXD
ESLR
FOE
GSIC
LAVA
LII
MALL
MATK
MATR
MNI
MZZ
NVEC
NYX
PGNX
POSS
Q
QID
RNE
SDS
SOLF
SRS
TDS
USU
ZOLT
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*TUESDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,079,741.45 3-4-08 Change +$3,973.20
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-Short CYMIDisclaimer:The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Forecast Tuesday March 4 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!" MktMetrics Does.

Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: www.mktmetrics.com - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what prices Specialists and Market Makers are only interested to buy and sell your stocks.

Monday 3-3-08 DJIA closed: 12,258.90 -7.49 vs. Prior day: 12,266.39 -315.79
DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 12,411.92 -18.64 vs. Prior day: 12,430.56 -8.40
(DJIA closed -1.23% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -1.32% prior day)

Before the New York Stock Exchange Open
Tuesday March 4 Stock Market Forecast

Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 54%
DIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 42%
DIA Past 4 Tuesdays: Past 53 Rising 56.6% / 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low)
Dow 30 + DIA: Falling Today Up 12 vs. Down 19 (-4 vs -3 prior day)
DJIA Trend: Falling Today 39% vs Yesterday 52% (High 97% / Low 0%)
Change in Trend: To "Down" from "Up" as of Friday, 2-29-08 (distribute stocks)
DJIA MACD: Falling Today, Sell as of Monday 3-3-08 (12,26 computation)
DJIA Momentum: Unch Today 29% vs Yesterday 29% (High 97% / Low 10%)
DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.53 vs Yesterday 1.31 (High 6.98 / Low -1.14)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: Falling Today -974 vs Yesterday -901 (High 1450 / Low -1562)
DJIA 50-Day Net Change: High 1450 5-23-07 / Low -1562 1-18-08 (today-974 -67.2% of High)

DJIA Resistance Levels: Mean= 12,431 / Intermediate Term 12,638 / Breakout 12,846
DJIA Support Levels: Mean= 12,412 / Intermediate Term 12,195 / Breakdown 11,978

Market Comment:
DJIA closed Monday -1.23% above its rising 21-day moving average vs. -1.32% previously. The Dow Trend and Dow Outlook are Bearish. The DJIA 50-Day Net Change is falling as well. Tuesday's trading looks benign as if it is waiting for something to happen. Rate cut soon?

Institutional Investor Statistical Trends (Historic High / Low)

Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today .01% vs Yesterday .04% (High .29% / Low -.24%) Mean= -.02% Closed above its Mean, positive yet decreasing.

Institutional Money Flow: Falling Today 29% vs Yesterday 35% (High 97% / Low 6%) Mean= 52% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Demand: Rising Today 53.67% vs Yesterday 50.96% (High 86.84% / Low 13.13%) Mean= 50.0% Closed above its Mean, Positive and increasing.

Institutional Inventory: Falling Today 40.87% vs Yesterday 45.06% (High 81.06%/Low 19.77%) Mean= 50.4% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.07% vs Yesterday -.00% (High .35% / -.41%) Mean= -.03% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Outlook Statistics: Above 50% Bullish/Below 50% Bearish (Historic High/Low)

DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 43% vs. Yesterday 46% (High 89% / Low 16%) Mean= 53.5% Closed below its Mean, Negative and decreasing.

Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling Today 33.6% vs Yesterday 34.5% (High 100.0% / Low 4.8%) Mean= 52.4% (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100, aggregate)

12 Key ETFs: Above 0% Bullish/Below 0% Bearish (Historic High/Low)
DIA: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 95% / Low -80%)
SPY: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 77% / Low -89%)
MDY: Falling Trend Today -1% vs. Yesterday 18% (High 91% / Low -1.16%)
IWM: Falling Trend Today -9% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 71% / Low -67%)
QQQQ: Falling Trend Today -15% vs. Yesterday -7% (High 54% / Low -43%)
SMH: Rising Trend Today -3% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 48% / Low -53%)
IYT: Falling Trend Today -22% vs. Yesterday -13% (High 80% / Low -95%)
XLE: Rising Trend Today 54% vs. Yesterday 48% (High 70% / Low -60%)
XLF: Falling Trend Today -5% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 45% / Low -58%)
IAI: Falling Trend Today -38% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 55% / Low -65%)
IYR: Falling Trend Today 2% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 64% / Low -85%)
XHB: Falling Trend Today -30% vs. Yesterday -12% (High .69% / Low -.56%)
(MktMetrics.com tracks 108 Exchange Traded Funds for our subscribers)

Stock Market Plurality: (an overbought/oversold indicator)
100 “High” vs 0 "Low" Demand Factor of 1,000 Stock Universe (Historic High/Low)
Demand Factor "100": Rising Trend Today 53 vs. Yesterday 20 (High 367 / Low 3)
Demand Factor "0": Falling Trend Today 60 vs. Yesterday 65 (High 360 / Low 7)

Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com/
A Strategic Collaboration with TigerSoft.com
http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/TigerSoft-Blog.htm

Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)
Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.
http://www.mktmetrics.com/
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Monday, March 03, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Tuesday March 4 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 42%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Tuesday: 54%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Falling 39% vs. 52% prior day (distribute stocks)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-29-08
DJIA Momentum: Unch 29% vs. 29% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish Falling 43% vs. 46% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 33.6% vs. 34.5% prior day

53 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Tuesday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 4 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI
ACS
ATK
ATLS
AVID
AXA
BIO
BMC
CHTT
CQB
DPTR
ECL
ENZN
ETN
EWM
GLD
HAL
HPT
HST
HW
IAU
ILF
IR
ITF
IYM
KGC
KIM
KOP
MDR
MIL
MTL
NLY
NOK
NUE
OHI
OXY
PAAS
PDLI
PX
SCHN
SIAL
SLV
SPG
SSS
TRP
TSU
TYC
UDR
UNP
UTH
VIVO
WMS
WWY
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

63 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Tuesday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for Monday 4 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ADSK
ADVS
ALFA
AMLN
APOL
ASFI
ATMI
BCSI
BRCM
BRKS
CRDN
CROX
CSGS
DECK
DUG
ESLR
FNM
FOE
FOSL
FRE
GAP
GBCI
GLNG
GRMN
IAH
IKN
IRF
KLIC
LAVA
LDK
LPX
MALL
MATR
MCHX
MDTH
MNI
MOT
MRCY
MSFT
NSM
NVEC
NYX
ONXX
PANL
Q
RESP
REXI
RHT
RUBO
SBGI
SEIC
SIGM
SNDK
SOLF
STRA
SUG
SWY
UNTD
USU
ZOLT
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*MONDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,075,768.25 3-3-08 Change +$2,883.73
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$65,048.93
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Sunday, March 02, 2008

Stock Trading Ideas Monday March 3 2008

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Nightly Analysis Update

DIA Probability of being "Up" Monday: 100%
DJIA Probability of being "Up" Monday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)
DJIA Trend: Falling 52% vs. 61% prior day (Hold stocks, wait for confirmation Monday)
DJIA Trend Change: To "Down" from "Up" Friday 2-29-08
DJIA Momentum: Falling 29% vs. 39% prior day
DJIA Outlook: Bearish, yet Rising 46% vs. 45% prior day
Stock Market Outlook: Bearish Falling 34.5% vs. 42.1% prior day

19 Selected Stocks expected to move "HIGHER" Monday
Buy-Long Day Trading Ideas suggested for March 3 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ABI OFV: 33.59 (1.25) +84-
ACL OFV: 144.01 (3.23) +55-
AKAM OFV: 34.34 (1.47) +80+
AVID OFV: 24.27 (0.97) +70+
CEF OFV: 13.47 (0.39) +90-
DPTR OFV: 23.98 (1.29) +91-
ENZN OFV: 8.51 (0.28) +56+
GLD OFV: 95.80 (1.55) +93+
HPT OFV: 36.12 (1.18) +82-
IAU OFV: 95.92 (1.50) +99+
KOP OFV: 41.64 (1.52) +87+
MDR OFV: 51.84 (2.21) +78+
NLY OFV: 20.62 (0.51) +78-
NTES OFV: 21.34 (0.52) +85+
OHI OFV: 16.89 (0.60) +74-
SLV OFV: 195.47 (4.63) +99/
SSS OFV: 38.28 (1.59) -50-
UNP OFV: 124.67 (3.52) +77-
WYE OFV: 42.75 (1.04) +78+
*OFV: Opening Fair Value

63 Selected Stocks expected to move "LOWER" Monday
Sell-Short Day Trading Ideas suggested for Monday 3 2008
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) (Price Internal Strength)
ADSK
ADTN
ADVS
ALFA
ASFI
ATAC
ATMI
BCSI
BRCM
BRKS
CMLS
CRDN
CROX
CSGS
DECK
DLB
DUK
ESLR
ESRX
ETM
FNM
FOSL
GAS
GBCI
GLNG
GRMN
HTCH
IRF
KLAC
KLIC
LAVA
LPX
MALL
MATR
MCHX
MDTH
MMS
MNI
MOT
MRCY
MSFT
NSM
NVEC
NYX
ONXX
OSIP
PANL
PCG
PGNX
Q
RESP
RNOW
RUBO
SBGI
SEIC
SIGM
SNDK
SOLF
SUG
SWH
SWY
UNTD
ZOLT
*Opening Fair Value

Good luck and good trading!

*FRIDAY'S RESULTS*
Next Day's Advance Market Decisions-Trading Ideas
$1,000,000.00 Portfolio Performance, Funded: 12-17-2007
Account Value $1,072,884.52 2-29-08 Change +$48,366.45
Account Value $1,023,701.09 2-28-08 Change +$29,185.00
Account Value $994,516.09 2-27-08 Change -4,340.00
Account Value $998,856.09 2-26-08 Change -$27,360.00
Account Value $1,026,406.09 2-25-08 Change -$17,872.25
Account Value $1,044,278.34 2-22-08 Change +$4,143.42
Account Value $1,040,134.92 2-21-08 Change +$8,519.73
Account Value $1,031,615.19 2-20-08 Change +$4,268.64
Account Value $1,027,346.55 2-19-08 Change -$391.54
Account Value $1,027,738.09 2-15-08 Change +$10,909.66
Account Value $1,016,828.43 2-14-08 Change +$16,818.64
Account Value $1,000,009.79 2-13-08 Change -$3,322.08
Account Value $1,003,331.87 2-12-08 Change -$34,784.92
Account Value $1,038,116.79 2-11-08 Change -$23,307.24
Account Value $1,061,424.03 2-8-08 Change +$22,567.54
Account Value $1,038,856.49 2-7-08 Change +$287.21
Account Value $1,038,572.46 2-6-08 Change +$4,681.54
Account Value $1,033,897.14 2-5-08 Change +$39,523.61
Account Value $994,382.61 2-4-08 Change -$1,910.82
Account Value $996,293.43 2-1-08 Change -$11,580.22
Account Value $1,007,835.59 1-31-08 Change +$17,581.30
Account Value $990,254.29 12-31-07 Change -$9,745.71

Next Day's Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."

Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks and ETFs owned at time of writing by its author-
Short CYMI

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Monday 3-3-08

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

DIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 100%
DJIA Probability to be "Up" Monday: 45%
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
This Week's Five Day Forecast (3-3 through 3-7)
Information provided by:http://www.tigersoft.com/DG/welcome.htm

Mondays: Past 50 Rising 50.0% / 48.9% / 48.9% / 47.9%

Tuesdays: Past 53 Rising 56.6% / 55.7% / 54.9% / 54.0%

Wednesdays: Past 54 Rising 62.9% / 62.2 / 61.5% / 60.7%
(Lower Open, Higher Close from Opening is greatest for Wednesday)

Thursdays: Past 55 Falling 52.7% / 53.7% / 54.7% / 55.7%

Fridays: Past 55 Falling 56.3% / 57.4% / 56.6% / 57.6%
(Higher Open, Lower Close from Opening is greatest for Friday)

All days: Past 267 Days Rising 55.8% / 55.7% / 55.4% / 55.3%

Dow 30 + DIA Buy/Sell Signals & Trends
Sym/Sig/Demand/Range/IRS*/Trend
AA S/BUY
83- 1.56 82D 0.36+
AIG SELL 33- 2.01 33D -0.43+
AXP S/SELL 18- 1.60 14D -0.33+
BA SELL 42- 1.38 43D 0.11+
BAC S/SELL- 78- 1.27 32D -0.04+
C S/SELL 13- 0.94 10D -0.24+
CAT BUY 39- 1.81 70D 0.23+
CVX BUY 94- 2.14 85D 0.35+
DD BUY 29- 1.20 64D 0.14/
DIA BUY 74- 2.38 56D 0.06+
DIS BUY 83- 0.64 81D 0.17+
GE S/SELL 16- 0.59 15D -0.14+
GM SELL 27- 1.40 17D -0.26+
HD SELL+ 46- 1.21 27D -0.26+
HPQ BUY 45- 1.45 73D 0.25+
IBM S/BUY 92- 3.87 88D 0.63+
INTC S/SELL 25- 0.85 33D -0.09+
JNJ S/SELL 26- 0.72 27D -0.04/
JPM S/SELL 70- 1.64 24D -0.28+
KO SELL 43- 1.02 54D-0.01+
MCD BUY 84- 1.16 60D 0.31+
MMM SELL- 49- 1.54 40D 0.08+
MRK S/SELL 76- 0.87 23D -0.14+
MSFT SELL 0/ 1.04 5D -0.56+
PFE S/SELL 18- 0.35 24D -0.15+
PG SELL- 9- 1.25 43D 0.04+
T S/SELL- 70- 0.97 38D -0.01+
UTX S/SELL 42- 1.39 32D -0.08+
VZ SELL- 89- 0.94 50D 0.04+
WMT S/BUY 80- 0.91 78D 0.09+
XOM BUY 87- 1.89 76D 0.17+
*Internal Relative Strength

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MktMetrics Weekly Stocks In Review

Information provided by: http://www.MktMetrics.com/

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This Week's BEST & WORST Opportunities

Top 19 Selected BEST Positive Stocks
Steady Accumulation confirmed by an Up Trend
Statistics for 3-3-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ABI OFV: 33.59 (1.25) +84-
ACL OFV: 144.01 (3.23) +55-
AKAM OFV: 34.34 (1.47) +80+
AVID OFV: 24.27 (0.97) +70+
CEF OFV: 13.47 (0.39) +90-
DPTR OFV: 23.98 (1.29) +91-
ENZN OFV: 8.51 (0.28) +56+
GLD OFV: 95.80 (1.55) +93+
HPT OFV: 36.12 (1.18) +82-
IAU OFV: 95.92 (1.50) +99+
KOP OFV: 41.64 (1.52) +87+
MDR OFV: 51.84 (2.21) +78+
NLY OFV: 20.62 (0.51) +78-
NTES OFV: 21.34 (0.52) +85+
OHI OFV: 16.89 (0.60) +74-
SLV OFV: 195.47 (4.63) +99/
SSS OFV: 38.28 (1.59) -50-
UNP OFV: 124.67 (3.52) +77-
WYE OFV: 42.75 (1.04) +78+
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Top 62 Selected Negative Stocks
Steady Distribution confirmed by a Down Trend
Statistics for 3-3-08 Monday's NYSE Open
Symbol OFV (Proposed Range) Price Internal Strength +/-
ADSK
ADTN
ADVS
ALFA
ASFI
ATAC
ATMI
BCSI
BRCM
BRKS
CMLS
CRDN
CROX
CSGS
DECK
DLB
DUK
ESLR
ESRX
ETM
FNM
FOSL
GAS
GBCI
GLNG
GRMN
HTCH
IRF
KLAC
KLIC
LAVA
LPX
MALL
MATR
MCHX
MDTH
MMS
MNI
MOT
MRCY
MSFT
NSM
NVEC
NYX
ONXX
OSIP
PANL
PCG
PGNX
Q
RESP
RNOW
RUBO
SBGI
SEIC
SIGM
SNDK
SOLF
SUG
SWH
SWY
UNTD
ZOLT
OFV: Opening Fair Value

Next Day’s Advance Market Decisions:
"Not always right, just very seldom wrong."